Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AMBA in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AMBA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMBA in Gekko
NASDAQ: AMBA
Ambarella (AMBA) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$64.81−2.62 (−3.9%)
Gekko Brief
Oct 12 closeAmbarella closed at $64.81 on 12 October 2026, -3.9% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($71.35) and 200-day ($67.95) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $48.30 to $96.69. The GekkoIndex reads 62.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.1 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $78.81, so the price is 17.8% below it.
The next earnings report is due on 1 December 2026, 50 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 8 times, with an average move of 13.5% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +9.7% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
11 firms rate the stock: 6 buy, 5 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $89.36. A typical daily move is about 5.9%, and a typical 20-day move about 11.7%. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 items read supportive and 0 read as a headwind.
A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.
Ambarella price vs fair value
Close $64.81200-day averageGekko Fair Value $78.81
Ambarella quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.84B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 84.8
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.30
- Revenue, TTM
- $417.8M
- Profit margin
- -13.5%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 2.38
- Volume
- 875,589 avg 1.34M
- 1-year return
- −23.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±11.7%
- 50-day average
- $71.35
- 200-day average
- $67.95
- Next earnings
- Dec 1 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 44.14M
Ambarella swing-trade checklist
Ambarella scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $64.81 sits between the 50-day ($71.35) and 200-day ($67.95) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
62.5, Accumulation
Reading 62.5 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
17.8% below
Price is 17.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 50 days
Next report Dec 1, 2026, 50 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+9.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Ambarella stock chart and price history
Ambarella closed at $64.81 on Oct 12, 2026, −23.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $48.30 to $96.69.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.5%
- 3 months
- −11.1%
- 6 months
- +19.4%
- 1 year
- −23.1%
The full AMBA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AMBA in Gekko
Follow Ambarella through every session
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About Ambarella
Ambarella designs semiconductor chips focused on processing video, combining video compression, image handling, and deep learning functions onto single system-on-a-chip products. These chips are built to manage high-definition and ultra-high-definition video alongside computer vision and audio processing, while aiming to keep power use efficient. The company is recognized for applying this chip technology across automotive safety and camera systems, including dashcams, rearview displays, driver-assistance cameras, and controllers used in self-driving vehicles.
Its chips also serve security camera manufacturers, robotics and industrial equipment makers, and producers of consumer electronics such as action cameras, drones, video conferencing tools, wearable cameras, and virtual reality devices. Ambarella reaches these markets by selling to original equipment manufacturers and original design manufacturers, using both an internal sales force and outside distributors to move its products into the hands of device makers.
The company was founded in 2004 and operates out of Santa Clara, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker AMBA.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- Website
- ambarella.com
Ambarella GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Ambarella’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.1 points over five sessions.
62.5Accumulation
Up 4.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 49 | +2.5% | +5.1% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 210 | +0.7% | +5.5% | ||
| Neutral | 369 | +0.4% | +0.5% | ||
| Distribution | 52 | −0.7% | −4.0% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AMBA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AMBA price, zone by zone.Track AMBA in Gekko
Is Ambarella stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Ambarella trades 17.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.81, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Ambarella shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$78.81
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
17.8% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 20.9% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AMBA in Gekko
Ambarella insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ambarella, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AMBA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AMBA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMBA in Gekko
Buybacks
Ambarella has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026
- $2.44M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.09%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold AMBA.
0added2opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Ambarella earnings: next date and track record
Ambarella reports on Dec 1, 2026, after the close (50 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 1, 2026
Expected after the close, 50 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.32
- Revenue estimate
- $119.4M
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.5%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Sep 3, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Ambarella reported Q2 FY2027 revenue slightly above guidance midpoint with non-GAAP EPS of $0.18, driven by record edge AI revenue. The company is ramping 5nm CV75 and CV72 AI SoCs with sequential growth in both IoT and Auto segments. Management updated its 5-year SAM forecast to grow from $8.5B in FY2027 to $22.9B in FY2032 (20% CAGR), with IoT representing ~70% of terminal year. Rising memory costs are being passed to customers to maintain 59%-62% gross margin targets.
- Guidance
- Management provided guidance for seasonal Q3 FY2027. The company plans to pass rising supply chain and memory costs to customers to preserve long-term gross margin targets of 59%-62%. Long-term SAM CAGR was raised to 20% from the prior 18% forecast.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | $0.18 est $0.17 | $108.1M est $107.8M | −6.3% |
| May 28, 2026 | $0.11 est $0.10 | $100.4M est $100.1M | −20.3% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $0.13 est $0.10 | $100.9M est $100.2M | −14.2% |
| Nov 25, 2025 | $0.27 est $0.20 | $108.5M est $104.2M | −17.5% |
| Aug 28, 2025 | $0.15 est $0.06 | $95.51M est $93.86M | +14.7% |
| May 29, 2025 | $0.07 est $0.04 | $85.87M est $84.00M | −15.6% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.11 est −$0.02 | $84.02M est $84.01M | −14.7% |
| Nov 27, 2024 | $0.11 est $0.03 | $82.65M est $79.01M | +4.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Ambarella stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ambarella is $89.36, +37.9% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$89.36consensus 12-month target, +37.9% from the last close
Now $64.81Avg $89.36
Low $65High $120
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Morgan Stanley | $96 | +48.1% |
| Sep 4 | Craig-Hallum | $70 | +8.0% |
| Sep 4 | Bank of America Securities | $70 | +8.0% |
| Sep 4 | KeyBanc | — | — |
| Sep 4 | Roth MKM | $65 | +0.3% |
+5.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+9.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Ambarella seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Ambarella averaged +9.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +9.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +13.1% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, AMBA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.7%.
Ambarella market cap and key statistics
Ambarella’s market cap is $2.84B and revenue of $417.8M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.84B
- Forward P/E
- 84.8
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.30
- Gekko Fair Value
- $78.81
Trading
- Volume
- 875,589
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.34M
- 52-week high
- $96.69
- 52-week low
- $48.30
- Shares outstanding
- 44.14M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $417.8M
- Profit margin
- -13.5%
- Return on equity
- -9.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.38
- Typical daily move
- ±5.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±11.7%
Ambarella stock news this week
Coverage of Ambarella this week reads negative: 3 positive, 2 neutral and 4 negative headlines.
- Ambarella (AMBA) Draws Fresh Attention, Is It A Bargain?Simply Wall Street, Oct 11
- Trading the Move, Not the Narrative: (AMBA) EditionStock Traders Daily, Oct 10
- Ambarella gains on report Qualcomm may be interested in takeoverTradingView, Oct 9
- Ambarella (AMBA) Shares Rise 5.3% on Qualcomm Acquisition SpeculationGuruFocus, Oct 9
- Ambarella Inc. Share Price - AMBA, RNS News, Articles, Quotes, & Charts (AMBA)Proactive financial news, Oct 9
- Ambarella Inc (AMBA) Shares Fall 3.8% -- What GF Score of 75 TelGuruFocus, Oct 8
Ambarella peers
Ambarella’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| NVDANVIDIA | Neutral | 14.8% below |
| AVGOBroadcom | Neutral | 1.3% below |
| MUMicron Technology | Accumulation | 27.3% below |
| AMDAdvanced Micro Devices | Neutral | 13.2% above |
| INTCIntel | Accumulation | 1.5% above |
| TXNTexas Instruments | Neutral | 8.2% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Ambarella stock FAQ
What is Ambarella’s market cap?
Ambarella’s market cap is $2.84B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $64.81, with 44.14M shares outstanding.
What is the Ambarella stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ambarella is $89.36, +37.9% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Ambarella stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Ambarella is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $64.81 is 17.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.81. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Ambarella report earnings next?
Ambarella is expected to report on Dec 1, 2026, after the market closes (50 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.32 per share on revenue of $119.4M. Ambarella beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.5% on average across the report.
What is Ambarella’s 52-week high and low?
Ambarella’s 52-week high is $96.69 and its 52-week low is $48.30; it closed at $64.81 on Oct 12, 2026, −23.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $227.59 on Dec 1, 2021.
Is Ambarella stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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