YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$51.37−0.73 (−1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's headlines center on YPF's financing activity and project developments. The company is set to receive a financing proposal of up to $6 billion from the U.S. Export-Import Bank for the Argentina LNG project, described as potentially the largest infrastructure endeavor in Argentina's history. Separately, YPF raised $1.2 billion in a corporate bond offering, reported as the largest such deal by an Argentine issuer in over a decade, with Cleary Gottlieb advising on the transaction. A golden cross signal was also noted as the stock moved above its 20-day moving average.

YPF closed at $51.37, down 1.4%, sitting between its 50-day average of $51.91 and 200-day average of $44.59. The stock trades in the GekkoIndex Accumulation zone with a score of 61.6, and sits 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $55.38.

Earnings are scheduled for 29 October 2026, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. In the last 90 days, insiders made 3 open-market purchases totaling $532,930. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged a 13.1% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 3 buy and 2 hold ratings among 5 firms, with a consensus target of $60.63.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

YPF Sociedad Anonima price vs fair value

$55.38$51.37Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $51.37200-day averageGekko Fair Value $55.38

YPF Sociedad Anonima quick facts

Market cap
$20.14B
P/E ratio
28.5
Forward P/E
5
EPS, TTM
$1.88
Revenue, TTM
$29.23T
Profit margin
4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
-0.09
Volume
1.06M avg 1.36M
1-year return
+91.9%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±9.6%
50-day average
$51.91
200-day average
$44.59
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
392.0M
52-week range
$23.02$57.87

YPF Sociedad Anonima swing-trade checklist

YPF Sociedad Anonima scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $51.37 sits between the 50-day ($51.91) and 200-day ($44.59) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.6, Accumulation

    Reading 61.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.2% below

    Price is 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 3 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +13.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +13.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

YPF Sociedad Anonima stock chart and price history

YPF Sociedad Anonima closed at $51.37 on Sep 28, 2026, +91.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $23.02 to $57.87.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
YPF Sociedad Anonima share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep51.37

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.8%
3 months
+13.5%
6 months
+13.7%
1 year
+91.9%
The full YPF chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open YPF in Gekko

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About YPF Sociedad Anonima

YPF Sociedad Anonima operates as an Argentine energy business spanning both ends of the oil and gas trade. It searches for and develops crude oil, natural gas, and related liquids, then carries those resources through refining, marketing, and distribution. The company is particularly recognized for its large chain of fuel stations carrying the YPF brand throughout Argentina.

Its downstream work covers turning crude into usable products such as petroleum derivatives, petrochemicals, liquefied gas, and biofuels, plus moving natural gas through distribution networks and separating gas into its components. To support this, YPF runs refineries, pipelines for hauling crude and finished fuels, storage sites, and port terminals used for shipping. The company also has ownership stakes in electricity generation plants and sells additional goods like diesel, lubricants, fertilizers, and other agricultural and industrial supplies, reaching buyers connected to Argentina's fuel and power markets.

Founded in 1977, YPF is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Its stock trades under the ticker YPF.

Sector
Energy minerals
Website
ypf.com

YPF Sociedad Anonima GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

YPF Sociedad Anonima’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.

010061.6Accumulation

Up 4.6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying1Too few readings yet
Accumulation (current zone)15+2.7%+7.2%+10.9%+18.0%
Neutral93+1.0%+2.5%+6.1%+9.4%
Distribution20+0.9%−2.0%−6.9%+9.9%
Selling0Not available

Average YPF share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the YPF price, zone by zone.Track YPF in Gekko

Is YPF Sociedad Anonima stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

YPF Sociedad Anonima trades 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $55.38, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what YPF Sociedad Anonima shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$55.38

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

7.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open YPF in Gekko

YPF Sociedad Anonima insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 3 open-market purchases in YPF Sociedad Anonima worth $533K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$533Kin 3 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Jul 6Matias Osvaldo Farina
VP Upstream
Purchase4,357$202K
Jul 6Matias Osvaldo Farina
VP Upstream
Purchase4,518$200K
Jul 6Horacio Daniel Marin
Chairman of the Board/ CEO
Purchase2,840$132K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in YPF were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for YPF, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open YPF in Gekko

Buybacks

YPF Sociedad Anonima has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2020
$69K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold YPF.

0added0opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

YPF Sociedad Anonima earnings: next date and track record

YPF Sociedad Anonima reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.8%Nov ’24−5.5%Mar ’25+8.0%May ’25−4.1%Aug ’25+1.9%Nov ’25−5.1%Feb ’26−2.1%May ’26−4.7%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$3.07
est $2.26
+35.8%$6.13B
est $5.99B
+2.3%−4.7%
May 7, 2026$1.03
est $0.83
+24.1%$3.52B
est $5.04B
−30.0%−2.1%
Feb 26, 2026−$1.67
est $0.77
−316.9%$3.28M
est $3.14M
+4.3%−5.1%
Nov 7, 2025−$0.53
est $0.73
−172.6%$4.64B
est $4.63B
+0.3%+1.9%
Aug 8, 2025$0.13
est $0.61
−78.7%$4.64B
est $4.50B
+3.1%−4.1%
May 8, 2025−$0.04
est $0.76
−105.3%$4.61B
est $4.64B
−0.7%+8.0%
Mar 7, 2025−$0.74
est $0.70
−206.2%$4.75B
est $4.72B
+0.7%−5.5%
Nov 8, 2024$3.75
est $0.90
+318.1%$5.30B
est $4.79B
+10.6%+1.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

YPF Sociedad Anonima stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for YPF Sociedad Anonima is $60.63, +18.0% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$60.63consensus 12-month target, +18.0% from the last close
Low $55High $66
Buy3
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 1J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$66+28.5%
Aug 27UBSHold, maintained$55+7.1%
Aug 24Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Aug 11Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Aug 11JefferiesBuy, maintained$60+16.8%
+10.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+13.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

YPF Sociedad Anonima seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, YPF Sociedad Anonima averaged +13.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.9%2021+26.5%2022−9.9%2023+20.3%2024+31.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+8.0%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+13.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+15.7%3 of 5

For scale, YPF’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.6%.

YPF Sociedad Anonima market cap and key statistics

YPF Sociedad Anonima’s market cap is $20.14B, with a P/E ratio of 28.5 and revenue of $29.23T over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$20.14B
P/E ratio
28.5
Forward P/E
5
EPS, TTM
$1.88
Gekko Fair Value
$55.38

Trading

Volume
1.06M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.36M
52-week high
$57.87
52-week low
$23.02
Shares outstanding
392.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$29.23T
Profit margin
4%
Return on equity
7.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+2,551.0%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.09
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±9.6%

YPF Sociedad Anonima stock news this week

Coverage of YPF Sociedad Anonima this week reads positive: 5 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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YPF Sociedad Anonima stock FAQ

What is YPF Sociedad Anonima’s market cap?

YPF Sociedad Anonima’s market cap is $20.14B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.37, with 392.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 28.5.

What is the YPF Sociedad Anonima stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for YPF Sociedad Anonima is $60.63, +18.0% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is YPF Sociedad Anonima stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate YPF Sociedad Anonima is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.37 is 7.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $55.38. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does YPF Sociedad Anonima report earnings next?

YPF Sociedad Anonima is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.58 per share on revenue of $5.65B. YPF Sociedad Anonima beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.1% on average across the report.

What is YPF Sociedad Anonima’s 52-week high and low?

YPF Sociedad Anonima’s 52-week high is $57.87 and its 52-week low is $23.02; it closed at $51.37 on Sep 28, 2026, +91.9% over the past year.

Is YPF Sociedad Anonima stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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