NASDAQ: APA

APA (APA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$42.33−0.41 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

APA has climbed this week alongside a rebound in oil markets, with West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude both gaining and lifting sentiment across the energy sector. The company has extended its share buyback program, and analysts have responded with raised price targets, including Stifel initiating coverage with a Buy rating and a $62 target citing undervaluation and future free cash flow from Suriname, while Raymond James also lifted its target. Separately, APA Alaska is preparing to drill two wells on the eastern North Slope during the 2026-2027 winter exploration season, including an appraisal well for the Sockeye discovery complex.

The stock closed at $42.33, down 1% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $41.03 and its 200-day average of $35.00, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 58.6, placing APA in the Neutral zone. Price sits 29% below Gekko Fair Value of $59.6.

Over the next 20 trading days, APA's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, 36 days out, placing it outside a typical holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, this point in the calendar has produced an average 20-day return of 10.4% over 5 years, with gains in 3 of those years. Consensus among 18 firms includes 6 Buy, 10 Hold, and 2 Sell ratings, with a consensus target of $45.96.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

APA price vs fair value

▲$59.60$42.33Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $42.33200-day averageGekko Fair Value $59.60

APA quick facts

Market cap
$14.96B
P/E ratio
9
Forward P/E
9.4
EPS, TTM
$4.74
Revenue, TTM
$8.57B
Profit margin
19.6%
Dividend yield
2.29%
Beta
0.37
Volume
7.95M avg 5.88M
1-year return
+73.9%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
50-day average
$41.03
200-day average
$35.00
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
350.4M
52-week range
$21.63$47.44

APA swing-trade checklist

APA scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $42.33 is above the 50-day ($41.03) and 200-day ($35.00) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.6, Neutral

    Reading 58.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    29.0% below

    Price is 29% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +10.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +10.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

APA stock chart and price history

APA closed at $42.33 on Sep 28, 2026, +73.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.63 to $47.44.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
APA share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$30$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep42.33

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.1%
3 months
+28.4%
6 months
−4.6%
1 year
+73.9%
The full APA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open APA in Gekko

Follow APA through every session

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About APA

APA searches for, develops, and produces oil and natural gas, working through its subsidiaries to bring hydrocarbon assets into production. Its work sits in the upstream side of the energy business, covering exploration and extraction rather than refining or retail sales. The company is active in the United States, Egypt, and the United Kingdom, and it also explores offshore Suriname.

Beyond extraction, APA runs gathering, processing, and transmission systems in West Texas, and it holds stakes in four pipelines that carry output from the Permian Basin to the Gulf Coast. This infrastructure supports the movement of its own production to market alongside its exploration and development work.

APA was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker APA.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Integrated oil
Website
apacorp.com

APA GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

APA’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.6, in the Neutral zone, up 5.1 points over five sessions.

010058.6Neutral

Up 5.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying42+2.4%+3.9%+4.5%+3.3%
Accumulation215+0.8%+0.8%+0.8%+3.5%
Neutral (current zone)374+0.1%+0.5%+1.9%+4.6%
Distribution40+0.2%+1.7%+3.2%+0.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average APA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the APA price, zone by zone.Track APA in Gekko

Is APA stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

APA trades 29.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $59.60, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what APA shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$59.60

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

29.0% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open APA in Gekko

APA insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for APA, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for APA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every APA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open APA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in APA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for APA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open APA in Gekko

Buybacks

APA has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$100.0M
As a share of market cap
0.67%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold APA.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

APA earnings: next date and track record

APA reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−12.0%Nov ’24−8.8%Feb ’25+2.9%May ’25+4.7%Aug ’25+7.0%Nov ’25+1.7%Feb ’26−12.6%May ’26+2.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
APA Corporation's Q2 2026 results showed strong operational performance with Permian oil production exceeding guidance while capital came in below plan. The company raised annualized run-rate savings target to $500M from $450M. Egypt BOE production met guidance with growing gas volumes benefiting from revised pricing. Suriname's GranMorgu development remains on budget and on schedule for mid-2028 first oil. APA acquired Savant Alaska to secure critical infrastructure for North Slope exploration.
Guidance
APA expects to exit the year with approximately $500M in annualized run-rate savings and targets $3.5M per month in Permian operating cost reductions by year-end. GranMorgu first oil remains targeted for mid-2028, with upcoming Alaska appraisal and exploration drilling planned for winter.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$1.89
est $1.90
−0.5%$2.40B
est $2.46B
−2.5%+2.0%
May 6, 2026$1.38
est $0.53
+158.0%$2.22B
est $2.13B
+3.8%−12.6%
Feb 25, 2026$0.91
est $0.73
+25.2%$1.98B
est $1.76B
+12.1%+1.7%
Nov 5, 2025$0.93
est $0.79
+17.3%$2.12B
est $2.06B
+2.7%+7.0%
Aug 6, 2025$0.87
est $0.45
+93.3%$2.18B
est $2.06B
+5.6%+4.7%
May 7, 2025$1.06
est $0.83
+27.7%$2.64B
est $2.20B
+20.0%+2.9%
Feb 26, 2025$0.79
est $0.97
−18.6%$2.71B
est $2.31B
+17.4%−8.8%
Nov 7, 2024$1.00
est $1.01
−1.0%$2.53B
est $2.26B
+11.9%−12.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

APA stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for APA is $45.96, +8.6% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$45.96consensus 12-month target, +8.6% from the last close
Low $39High $62
Buy6
Hold10
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21Truist FinancialHold, reiterated$44+3.9%
Sep 16Roth MKMBuy, maintained$39−7.9%
Sep 15UBSHold, reiterated$47+11.0%
Sep 14Evercore ISIHold, maintained$40−5.5%
Sep 14UBSHold, maintained$47+11.0%
+1.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+10.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

APA seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, APA averaged +10.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+26.5%2021+30.8%2022−2.4%2023−3.1%2024−4.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+8.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+9.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+10.4%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.6%3 of 5

For scale, APA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.8%.

APA market cap and key statistics

APA’s market cap is $14.96B, with a P/E ratio of 9 and revenue of $8.57B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$14.96B
P/E ratio
9
Forward P/E
9.4
EPS, TTM
$4.74
Gekko Fair Value
$59.60

Trading

Volume
7.95M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.88M
52-week high
$47.44
52-week low
$21.63
Shares outstanding
350.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$8.57B
Profit margin
19.6%
Return on equity
26.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+26.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.37
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
Dividend yield
2.29%

APA stock news this week

Coverage of APA this week reads positive: 10 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

APA peers

APA’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil−0.2%Neutral11.4% above
CVXChevron−0.3%Accumulation4.2% above
TTETotalEnergies−1.5%Neutral27.5% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources−1.0%Accumulation23.0% below
SUSuncor Energy−0.5%Neutral19.7% below
EOGEOG Resources−1.2%Accumulation26.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

APA stock FAQ

What is APA’s market cap?

APA’s market cap is $14.96B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $42.33, with 350.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.

What is the APA stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for APA is $45.96, +8.6% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is APA stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate APA is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $42.33 is 29.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $59.60. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does APA report earnings next?

APA is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.34 per share on revenue of $2.22B. APA beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.5% on average across the report.

What is APA’s 52-week high and low?

APA’s 52-week high is $47.44 and its 52-week low is $21.63; it closed at $42.33 on Sep 28, 2026, +73.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $51.95 on Jun 8, 2022.

Is APA stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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