NASDAQ: CHRD

Chord Energy (CHRD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$135.15−1.12 (−0.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Chord Energy's most substantive recent news concerns its Q2 2026 results, reported 5 August, in which adjusted free cash flow reached $414 million, exceeding expectations, with oil production at the high end of guidance and capital spending below midpoint. The company returned $220 million (54%) to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, grew its balance sheet to $612 million, and kept leverage below 1.5x, while noting expanded chemical workover programs. The last earnings reaction was -3.2% despite the beat-heavy backdrop, with 4 beats over the last 8 quarters.

CHRD closed at $135.15, down 0.8%, sitting between its 50-day average of $141.45 and 200-day average of $124.80, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 65.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 2.9 over five days. Price sits 22.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $173.94. Over the past year the stock has returned 30.6%, though the past month shows a 7.4% decline.

The next earnings date falls on 3 November, 35 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 6% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst coverage shows 10 buy ratings among 12 firms, with a consensus target of $173.12. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, leaving one billionaire holder as the notable position on record.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Chord Energy price vs fair value

$173.94$135.15Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $135.15200-day averageGekko Fair Value $173.94

Chord Energy quick facts

Market cap
$7.61B
P/E ratio
9.3
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
$15.04
Revenue, TTM
$5.96B
Profit margin
14.2%
Dividend yield
3.78%
Beta
0.39
Volume
662,234 avg 704,834
1-year return
+30.6%
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
50-day average
$141.45
200-day average
$124.80
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
54.70M
52-week range
$84.25$157.06

Chord Energy swing-trade checklist

Chord Energy scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $135.15 sits between the 50-day ($141.45) and 200-day ($124.80) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.6, Accumulation

    Reading 65.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    22.3% below

    Price is 22.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Chord Energy stock chart and price history

Chord Energy closed at $135.15 on Sep 28, 2026, +30.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $84.25 to $157.06.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Chord Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$120$140$160NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep135.15

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.4%
3 months
+16.5%
6 months
−7.0%
1 year
+30.6%
The full CHRD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CHRD in Gekko

Follow Chord Energy through every session

Put CHRD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track CHRD in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

Chord Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Chord Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.9 points over five sessions.

010065.6Accumulation

Up 2.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying50+1.9%+3.3%+2.7%+2.7%
Accumulation (current zone)241−0.1%+0.2%−0.1%−1.6%
Neutral346−0.3%−0.7%−0.2%+0.7%
Distribution33+2.3%+4.4%+4.5%+6.4%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average CHRD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CHRD price, zone by zone.Track CHRD in Gekko

Is Chord Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Chord Energy trades 22.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $173.94, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Chord Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$173.94

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

22.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CHRD in Gekko

Chord Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Chord Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CHRD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CHRD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CHRD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CHRD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CHRD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CHRD in Gekko

Buybacks

Chord Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$149.9M
As a share of market cap
1.97%
Trailing four quarters
$308.5M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CHRD.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Chord Energy earnings: next date and track record

Chord Energy reports on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.9%Nov ’24+1.8%Feb ’25−0.2%May ’25−6.5%Aug ’25−6.5%Nov ’25+0.4%Feb ’26−5.6%May ’26−3.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Chord Energy (CHRD) reported Q2 2026 adjusted free cash flow of $414 million, exceeding expectations, with oil production at the high end of guidance and capital spending below midpoint. The company returned $220 million (54%) to shareholders via dividends and buybacks. Balance sheet grew to $612 million with leverage below 1.5x. Strategic initiatives include expanding chemical workover programs, AI-optimized artificial lift, and scaling 4-mile lateral drilling with 26 wells completed to date.
Guidance
Starting Q3 2026, shareholder returns will increase to at least 75% of adjusted free cash flow. Full-year oil production guidance raised by 2,000 barrels/day. The 4-mile lateral program is on track to scale through H2 2026 and into 2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$6.44
est $6.68
−3.6%$2.17B
est $1.62B
+34.3%−3.2%
May 5, 2026$4.56
est $3.49
+30.7%$1.67B
est $1.21B
+37.9%−5.6%
Feb 25, 2026$1.28
est $1.54
−16.9%$1.17B
est $1.08B
+8.1%+0.4%
Nov 4, 2025$2.35
est $2.24
+4.9%$1.31B
est $1.03B
+27.0%−6.5%
Aug 6, 2025$1.79
est $1.88
−4.8%$1.18B
est $946.4M
+24.7%−6.5%
May 6, 2025$4.04
est $3.60
+12.2%$1.22B
est $1.18B
+3.3%−0.2%
Feb 25, 2025$3.49
est $2.75
+26.9%$1.45B
est $1.04B
+40.0%+1.8%
Nov 6, 2024$3.40
est $3.78
−10.1%$1.45B
est $1.26B
+14.8%+4.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Chord Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Chord Energy is $173.12, +28.1% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$173.12consensus 12-month target, +28.1% from the last close
Low $145High $201
Buy10
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 23Siebert Williams Shank & CoBuy, maintained$201+48.7%
Sep 22UBSBuy, reiterated$184+36.1%
Sep 18JefferiesHold, reiterated$150+11.0%
Sep 18Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$175+29.5%
Sep 17Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$180+33.2%
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Chord Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Chord Energy averaged +6.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+14.4%2021+25.3%2022+5.0%2023+0.2%2024−11.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.8%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.9%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.4%3 of 5

For scale, CHRD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.

Chord Energy market cap and key statistics

Chord Energy’s market cap is $7.61B, with a P/E ratio of 9.3 and revenue of $5.96B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$7.61B
P/E ratio
9.3
EPS, TTM
$15.04
Gekko Fair Value
$173.94

Trading

Volume
662,234
Avg volume, 20 days
704,834
52-week high
$157.06
52-week low
$84.25
Shares outstanding
54.70M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.96B
Profit margin
14.2%
Return on equity
10.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−48.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.39
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
Dividend yield
3.78%

Chord Energy stock news this week

1 headline about Chord Energy from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Chord Energy peers

Chord Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil−0.2%Neutral11.4% above
CVXChevron−0.3%Accumulation4.2% above
TTETotalEnergies−1.5%Neutral27.5% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources−1.0%Accumulation23.0% below
SUSuncor Energy−0.5%Neutral19.7% below
EOGEOG Resources−1.2%Accumulation26.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Chord Energy stock FAQ

What is Chord Energy’s market cap?

Chord Energy’s market cap is $7.61B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $135.15, with 54.70M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.3.

What is the Chord Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Chord Energy is $173.12, +28.1% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Chord Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Chord Energy is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $135.15 is 22.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $173.94. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Chord Energy report earnings next?

Chord Energy is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.77 per share on revenue of $1.50B. Chord Energy beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.6% on average across the report.

What is Chord Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Chord Energy’s 52-week high is $157.06 and its 52-week low is $84.25; it closed at $135.15 on Sep 28, 2026, +30.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $190.23 on Apr 12, 2024.

Is Chord Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Chord Energy the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.