NYSE: CVX

Chevron (CVX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$216.96−8.31 (−3.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Chevron shares fell this week after Democrats secured control of the U.S. Senate in the midterm elections, a result that weighed broadly on oil stocks including Marathon Petroleum and Exxon Mobil. The stock also moved down 4.02% on 4 November despite third-quarter earnings surpassing expectations, with the decline attributed to profit-taking and management's emphasis on balance sheet preservation over aggressive share repurchases amid broader pressure from declining crude prices. Separately, Chevron is advancing talks on an Iraq oilfield deal, reaching key terms for West Qurna 2 and pursuing additional exploration blocks to expand upstream growth.

Chevron closed at $216.96, down 3.7%, though it remains above both its 50-day average of $214.39 and 200-day average of $194.20. The GekkoIndex reading of 58 places the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 4.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $207.15.

The next earnings date falls on 29 January 2027, 85 days away, outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.2% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst coverage from 17 firms shows 13 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $241.67. The gap to Gekko Fair Value and the pullback from midterm election reaction bear watching in the sessions ahead.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Chevron price vs fair value

$216.96$207.15Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $216.96200-day averageGekko Fair Value $207.15

Chevron quick facts

Market cap
$428.8B
P/E ratio
16.7
Forward P/E
17.1
EPS, TTM
$13.62
Revenue, TTM
$226.3B
Profit margin
11.9%
Dividend yield
2.99%
Beta
0.45
Volume
11.58M avg 7.91M
1-year return
+40.8%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.3%
50-day average
$214.39
200-day average
$194.20
Next earnings
Jan 29
Shares outstanding
1.95B
52-week range
$146.49$236.48

Chevron swing-trade checklist

Chevron scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $216.96 is above the 50-day ($214.39) and 200-day ($194.20) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58, Neutral

    Reading 58 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.7% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.7% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 85 days

    Next report Jan 29, 2027, 85 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Chevron stock chart and price history

Chevron closed at $216.96 on Nov 4, 2026, +40.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $146.49 to $236.48.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Chevron share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$160$180$200$240DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct216.96

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+4.5%
3 months
+14.7%
6 months
+17.2%
1 year
+40.8%
The full CVX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CVX in Gekko

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About Chevron

Chevron works across the energy and chemicals space, handling everything from finding and pumping crude oil and natural gas to turning those raw materials into fuels and other products people and industries use every day. It is widely recognized for its reach across the full energy chain, touching both the extraction side and the finished products that reach consumers and businesses.

The company splits its work into two main areas. One side, Upstream, covers locating and producing oil and gas, moving it through pipelines, and handling liquefied natural gas through processing, shipping, and regasification, along with a plant that turns gas into liquid fuel. The other side, Downstream, takes crude oil and refines it into fuels, lubricants, and petrochemical products, then transports and sells these goods by pipeline, ship, truck, and rail, while also producing renewable fuels, plastics, and fuel and lubricant additives. Beyond these operations, Chevron also engages in activities such as financing, insurance, real estate, and technology ventures.

The company traces its founding back to 1879 and took its current name in 2005, after previously operating as ChevronTexaco Corporation. It is headquartered in San Ramon, California, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker CVX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Integrated oil
Website
chevron.com

Chevron GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Chevron’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58, in the Neutral zone, up 11.2 points over five sessions.

010058Neutral

Up 11.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying29+1.1%+3.4%+6.8%+12.5%
Accumulation189+0.9%+1.3%+2.6%+5.2%
Neutral (current zone)440+0.2%+0.5%+0.7%+1.6%
Distribution38+0.2%−0.5%−1.1%+2.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average CVX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CVX price, zone by zone.Track CVX in Gekko

Is Chevron stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Chevron trades 4.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $207.15, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Chevron shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$207.15

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

4.7% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.5% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$207$225Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CVX in Gekko

Chevron insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Chevron, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CVX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CVX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CVX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Maria Elvira Salazar
House, FL, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 8
traded Sep 2

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Chevron has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$2.50B
As a share of market cap
0.58%
Trailing four quarters
$11.08B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CVX.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Chevron earnings: next date and track record

Chevron reports on Jan 29, 2027 (85 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.5%Jan ’25−0.6%May ’25−0.4%Aug ’25+0.3%Oct ’25+1.7%Jan ’26−0.5%May ’26+0.5%Jul ’26−1.6%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Chevron delivered strong Q3 2026 results with U.S. upstream production exceeding 2 MMbpd for the fifth consecutive quarter and record crude throughput in refining. Venezuela operations are now free cash flow positive with plans to double production to ~600,000 bpd by 2031 at under $20/barrel total cost. Operational improvements include 50% reduction in DJ Basin downtime via AI, record Eastern Mediterranean production, and multiple debottlenecking projects adding 85,000+ bpd upstream capacity.
Guidance
Venezuela production targeting ~300,000 bpd gross by year-end, up 20% year-over-year, with a self-funding program to reach 600,000 bpd by 2031. Pascagoula refining capacity expected to increase 7% by 2030. TCO third-generation plant capacity increased 20% to over 1 MMbpd.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 30, 2026$5.28
est $4.87
+8.4%$67.80B
est $61.82B
+9.7%−1.6%
Jul 31, 2026$6.06
est $5.80
+4.5%$70.06B
est $62.72B
+11.7%+0.5%
May 1, 2026$1.41
est $1.00
+41.0%$48.61B
est $51.86B
−6.3%−0.5%
Jan 30, 2026$1.52
est $1.41
+7.8%$46.87B
est $46.79B
+0.2%+1.7%
Oct 31, 2025$1.85
est $1.69
+9.5%$48.17B
est $48.94B
−1.6%+0.3%
Aug 1, 2025$1.77
est $1.73
+2.3%$44.38B
est $43.87B
+1.2%−0.4%
May 2, 2025$2.18
est $2.16
+0.9%$47.61B
est $48.25B
−1.3%−0.6%
Jan 31, 2025$2.06
est $2.42
−14.9%$52.23B
est $46.60B
+12.1%−4.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Chevron stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Chevron is $241.67, +11.4% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$241.67consensus 12-month target, +11.4% from the last close
Low $225High $326
Buy13
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3UBSBuy, reiterated$265+22.1%
Nov 3DZ BANK AGHold, downgraded$240+10.6%
Nov 3Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$243+12.0%
Nov 2BarclaysHold, maintained$244+12.5%
Nov 2BernsteinHold, reiterated$248+14.3%
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Chevron seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Chevron averaged −0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.8%2021−3.7%2022−2.8%2023+5.2%2024−1.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.6%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.4%2 of 5

For scale, CVX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.3%.

Chevron market cap and key statistics

Chevron’s market cap is $428.8B, with a P/E ratio of 16.7 and revenue of $226.3B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$428.8B
P/E ratio
16.7
Forward P/E
17.1
EPS, TTM
$13.62
Gekko Fair Value
$207.15

Trading

Volume
11.58M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.91M
52-week high
$236.48
52-week low
$146.49
Shares outstanding
1.95B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$226.3B
Profit margin
11.9%
Return on equity
12.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+178.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.45
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.3%
Dividend yield
2.99%

Chevron stock news this week

Coverage of Chevron this week reads neutral: 5 positive, 0 neutral and 5 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Chevron peers

Chevron’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil−2.8%Neutral10.4% above
TTETotalEnergies−2.8%Neutral31.5% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources−6.0%Accumulation23.9% below
SUSuncor Energy−2.7%Accumulation23.7% below
EOGEOG Resources−3.8%Accumulation27.1% below
IMOImperial Oil−4.5%Accumulation3.1% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Integrated oil

Chevron stock FAQ

What is Chevron’s market cap?

Chevron’s market cap is $428.8B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $216.96, with 1.95B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.7.

What is the Chevron stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Chevron is $241.67, +11.4% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Chevron stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Chevron is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $216.96 is 4.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $207.15. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Chevron report earnings next?

Chevron is expected to report on Jan 29, 2027 (85 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.57 per share on revenue of $63.68B. Chevron beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.3% on average across the report.

What is Chevron’s 52-week high and low?

Chevron’s 52-week high is $236.48 and its 52-week low is $146.49; it closed at $216.96 on Nov 4, 2026, +40.8% over the past year.

Is Chevron stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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