NYSE: CVX

Chevron (CVX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Chevron Corporation. Energy minerals sector, integrated oil industry. Market cap $417.3B.

$209.51−2.06 (−1.0%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Chevron trades at $209.51, down 1% on the day but above both its 50-day average of $198.76 and 200-day average of $183.90, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 53.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 6.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $197.06.

The week's news centers on Chevron's shift toward growth drivers beyond oil prices, including a power deal with Microsoft, a strong downstream quarter, and continued Hess synergy capture following the Q2 EPS beat of $6.06 versus $5.80 estimated. Coverage also highlights CEO Mike Wirth's view that global spare oil capacity is depleted, tied to a $7 billion bet, alongside a $109.20 Brent crude backdrop and commentary on a broader fuel crisis. Separately, Chevron has built roughly one-fifth of its targeted LNG supply portfolio through third-party contracts, and comparisons continue with Exxon Mobil (XOM) over dividend durability.

Looking ahead, Chevron's next earnings report is set for 30 October 2026, 40 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 13 buy, 4 hold, 0 sell ratings across 17 firms, with a consensus target of $222.67.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $209.51200-day averageGekko Fair Value $197.06

Key stats

Market cap
$417.3B
P/E ratio
20.4
Forward P/E
15.8
EPS, TTM
$10.39
Revenue, TTM
$209.4B
Profit margin
9.8%
Dividend yield
3.30%
Beta
0.49
Volume
44.65M avg 9.46M
1-year return
+30.9%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$198.76
200-day average
$183.90
Next earnings
Oct 30
Shares outstanding
1.96B
52-week range
$146.49$217.78

Chevron swing-trade checklist

Chevron scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $209.51 is above the 50-day ($198.76) and 200-day ($183.90) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53.6, Neutral

    Reading 53.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    6.3% above

    Price is 6.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 40 days

    Next report Oct 30, 2026, 40 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Chevron stock chart and price history

Chevron closed at $209.51 on Sep 18, 2026, +30.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $146.49 to $217.78.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.8%
3 months
+20.7%
6 months
+4.0%
1 year
+30.9%
The full CVX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CVX in Gekko

Follow Chevron through every session

Put CVX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track CVX in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Chevron

Chevron works across the energy and chemicals space, handling everything from finding and pumping crude oil and natural gas to turning those raw materials into fuels and other products people and industries use every day. It is widely recognized for its reach across the full energy chain, touching both the extraction side and the finished products that reach consumers and businesses.

The company splits its work into two main areas. One side, Upstream, covers locating and producing oil and gas, moving it through pipelines, and handling liquefied natural gas through processing, shipping, and regasification, along with a plant that turns gas into liquid fuel. The other side, Downstream, takes crude oil and refines it into fuels, lubricants, and petrochemical products, then transports and sells these goods by pipeline, ship, truck, and rail, while also producing renewable fuels, plastics, and fuel and lubricant additives. Beyond these operations, Chevron also engages in activities such as financing, insurance, real estate, and technology ventures.

The company traces its founding back to 1879 and took its current name in 2005, after previously operating as ChevronTexaco Corporation. It is headquartered in San Ramon, California, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker CVX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Integrated oil
Website
chevron.com

Chevron GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Chevron’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.6, in the Neutral zone, up 5.9 points over five sessions.

010053.6Neutral

Up 5.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying29+1.1%+3.4%+6.8%+12.5%
Accumulation181+0.9%+1.2%+2.2%+4.9%
Neutral (current zone)418+0.1%+0.4%+0.6%+0.7%
Distribution330.0%−0.5%−1.1%+2.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average CVX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CVX price, zone by zone.Track CVX in Gekko

Is Chevron stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Chevron trades 6.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $197.06, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Chevron shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$197.06

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

6.3% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CVX in Gekko

Chevron insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Chevron, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CVX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CVX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CVX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
John Boozman
Senate, AR, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 17
traded Jul 2

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Chevron has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$3.00B
As a share of market cap
0.72%
Trailing four quarters
$11.14B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CVX.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Chevron earnings: next date and track record

Chevron reports on Oct 30, 2026 (40 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.5%Nov ’24−4.5%Jan ’25−0.6%May ’25−0.4%Aug ’25+0.3%Oct ’25+1.7%Jan ’26−0.5%May ’26+0.5%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 31, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Chevron reported Q2 2026 adjusted earnings of $12 billion ($6.06/share) with cash flow from operations of ~$20 billion. U.S. upstream production hit a record ~2.1 million BOE/day with record refinery throughput exceeding 1 million BPD. The company achieved $3 billion in annual run rate cost savings 6 months early and captured $1.5 billion in Hess synergies ahead of schedule. Project Kilby secured a 20-year Microsoft PPA for 2.67 gigawatts of power capacity.
Guidance
Chevron expects full-year organic CapEx at the lower end of $18-19 billion guidance range. Project Kilby targets mid-teens returns with a final investment decision expected later this year. CapEx efficiency in U.S. shale expected 25% lower per BOE versus 2025.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 31, 2026$6.06
est $5.80
+4.5%$70.06B
est $62.72B
+11.7%+0.5%
May 1, 2026$1.41
est $1.00
+41.0%$48.61B
est $51.86B
−6.3%−0.5%
Jan 30, 2026$1.52
est $1.41
+7.8%$46.87B
est $46.79B
+0.2%+1.7%
Oct 31, 2025$1.85
est $1.69
+9.5%$48.17B
est $48.94B
−1.6%+0.3%
Aug 1, 2025$1.77
est $1.73
+2.3%$44.38B
est $43.87B
+1.2%−0.4%
May 2, 2025$2.18
est $2.16
+0.9%$47.61B
est $48.25B
−1.3%−0.6%
Jan 31, 2025$2.06
est $2.42
−14.9%$52.23B
est $46.60B
+12.1%−4.5%
Nov 1, 2024$2.51
est $2.42
+3.7%$48.93B
est $48.86B
+0.1%+3.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Chevron stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Chevron is $222.67, +6.3% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$222.67consensus 12-month target, +6.3% from the last close
Low $205High $243
Buy13
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$240+14.6%
Sep 9BarclaysHold, maintained$208−0.7%
Sep 3Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$230+9.8%
Sep 3Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$243+16.0%
Sep 3Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Chevron seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Chevron averaged +4.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+15.6%2021+2.8%2022+0.2%2023+4.3%2024−2.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.4%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.4%4 of 5

For scale, CVX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

Chevron market cap and key statistics

Chevron’s market cap is $417.3B, with a P/E ratio of 20.4 and revenue of $209.4B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$417.3B
P/E ratio
20.4
Forward P/E
15.8
EPS, TTM
$10.39
Gekko Fair Value
$197.06

Trading

Volume
44.65M
Avg volume, 20 days
9.46M
52-week high
$217.78
52-week low
$146.49
Shares outstanding
1.96B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$209.4B
Profit margin
9.8%
Return on equity
12.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+321.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.49
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
3.30%

Chevron stock news this week

Coverage of Chevron this week reads positive: 7 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Chevron peers

Chevron’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil+0.4%Neutral11.4% above
TTETotalEnergies+0.3%Neutral29.4% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources−1.9%Neutral21.8% below
SUSuncor Energy+0.2%Neutral21.4% below
EOGEOG Resources−0.6%Accumulation26.5% below
IMOImperial Oil−0.2%Neutral5.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Chevron stock FAQ

What is Chevron’s market cap?

Chevron’s market cap is $417.3B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $209.51, with 1.96B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.4.

What is the Chevron stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Chevron is $222.67, +6.3% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Chevron stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Chevron is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $209.51 is 6.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $197.06. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Chevron report earnings next?

Chevron is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026 (40 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.77 per share on revenue of $57.70B. Chevron beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.5% on average across the report.

What is Chevron’s 52-week high and low?

Chevron’s 52-week high is $217.78 and its 52-week low is $146.49; it closed at $209.51 on Sep 18, 2026, +30.9% over the past year.

Is Chevron stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Chevron the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.