NYSE: SU

Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$72.04−3.41 (−4.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Suncor reported third quarter 2026 results on 4 November, with record adjusted funds from operations of $6.705 billion and free funds flow of $5.2 billion, topping profit estimates on higher oil prices and strong refinery margins despite lower production volumes. Net earnings reached $3.8 billion, up from $1.6 billion a year earlier, aided by a 31% rise in benchmark Brent crude tied to the ongoing Iran war. The company raised its quarterly dividend 10% to C$0.66 per share, annualizing to C$2.64 and a 3.5% yield, and lifted monthly share repurchases 50% to $750 million, with total 2026 buybacks projected at $5.5 billion.

Shares closed at $72.04, down 4.5% on the day, though still above both the 50-day ($71.49) and 200-day ($63.84) moving averages, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 61.2, placing SU in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 23.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $94.42.

The next earnings date is 2 February 2027, 89 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality is a headwind, with the next 20 trading days averaging -2.3% over 5 years and rising in 2 of them. Consensus analyst target sits at $75.51, implying 4.8% upside.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Suncor Energy price vs fair value

$94.42$72.04Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $72.04200-day averageGekko Fair Value $94.42

Suncor Energy quick facts

Market cap
$85.06B
P/E ratio
13.9
Forward P/E
8.9
EPS, TTM
$5.42
Revenue, TTM
$56.57B
Profit margin
15.8%
Dividend yield
2.98%
Beta
0.47
Volume
5.77M avg 3.65M
1-year return
+81.8%
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
50-day average
$71.49
200-day average
$63.84
Next earnings
Feb 2
Shares outstanding
1.18B
52-week range
$38.72$80.25

Suncor Energy swing-trade checklist

Suncor Energy scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $72.04 is above the 50-day ($71.49) and 200-day ($63.84) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.2, Accumulation

    Reading 61.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    23.7% below

    Price is 23.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 89 days

    Next report Feb 2, 2027, 89 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Suncor Energy stock chart and price history

Suncor Energy closed at $72.04 on Nov 4, 2026, +81.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $38.72 to $80.25.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Suncor Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60$80DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct72.04

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.6%
3 months
+17.4%
6 months
+12.0%
1 year
+81.8%
The full SU chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SU in Gekko

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About Suncor Energy

Suncor Energy works across the full chain of the oil and gas business, from pulling hydrocarbons out of the ground to putting fuel in vehicles. Much of its resource base sits in the Athabasca oil sands, where bitumen is recovered through mining and in-situ methods and then upgraded into refinery feedstock and diesel or blended for sale. The company is also recognized for its Petro-Canada branded fuel and petrochemical distribution within Canada.

Its activities span several segments. Beyond oil sands extraction, it runs exploration and production off Canada's East Coast, in the North Sea, and onshore in Libya and Syria. A refining and marketing arm turns crude and other feedstocks into petroleum and petrochemical products sold to retail, commercial, and industrial buyers through a distributor network. The company also trades crude oil, natural gas, byproducts, refined products, and electricity, and its corporate operations include four wind farms in Ontario and Western Canada.

Suncor traces its history to 1917, operating for decades as Suncor Inc. before adopting its current name in April 1997. It is headquartered in Calgary, Canada, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker SU.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Integrated oil
Website
suncor.com

Suncor Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Suncor Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 12.2 points over five sessions.

010061.2Accumulation

Up 12.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying33+2.0%+5.6%+9.9%+13.9%
Accumulation (current zone)130+1.4%+2.8%+5.2%+8.9%
Neutral455+0.5%+0.9%+1.7%+4.4%
Distribution78+0.4%+0.8%+2.4%+11.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average SU share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SU price, zone by zone.Track SU in Gekko

Is Suncor Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Suncor Energy trades 23.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $94.42, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Suncor Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$94.42

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

23.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 27.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$94$75Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SU in Gekko

Suncor Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Suncor Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SU in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SU insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SU in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SU were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SU, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SU in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold SU.

0added0opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Suncor Energy earnings: next date and track record

Suncor Energy reports on Feb 2, 2027 (89 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.0%Nov ’24+0.8%Feb ’25−2.7%May ’25+0.6%Aug ’25+4.0%Nov ’25+0.9%Feb ’26−6.2%May ’26−4.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Suncor Q2 2026 upstream production hit 761,000 bbl/day, impacted by record precipitation causing 50,000-60,000 bbl/day disruption. Upgrader utilization reached 93% with year-to-date record of 94%. Refining throughput of 471,000 bbl/day was second-highest Q2 ever, with product sales of 655,000 bbl/day setting a Q2 record. Turnaround cost reduction target of $250M/year was achieved in 2 years vs. the planned 3 years.
Guidance
July preliminary production reached approximately 870,000 bbl/day, the second-highest July on record, signaling strong H2 recovery. Management increased turnaround cost reduction ambitions beyond the original $250M/year target following early achievement.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$2.27
est $2.14
+6.1%$12.34B
est $11.68B
+5.7%−4.8%
May 5, 2026$1.93
est $1.93
0.0%$10.41B
est $9.22B
+12.9%−6.2%
Feb 3, 2026$1.10
est $1.03
+6.8%$8.77B
est $8.93B
−1.7%+0.9%
Nov 4, 2025$1.48
est $1.14
+29.8%$9.00B
est $8.78B
+2.5%+4.0%
Aug 5, 2025$0.51
est $0.50
+2.0%$9.36B
est $8.82B
+6.1%+0.6%
May 6, 2025$0.91
est $0.86
+5.8%$8.65B
est $9.58B
−9.7%−2.7%
Feb 5, 2025$1.25
est $1.14
+9.4%$8.71B
est $8.87B
−1.8%+0.8%
Nov 12, 2024$1.48
est $0.78
+89.7%$9.50B
est $9.30B
+2.1%+2.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Suncor Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Suncor Energy is $75.51, +4.8% from the last close.

$75.51consensus 12-month target, +4.8% from the last close
+5.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Suncor Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Suncor Energy averaged −2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−9.1%2021−14.1%2022−4.7%2023+2.1%2024+13.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.8%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−6.6%1 of 5

For scale, SU’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.

Suncor Energy market cap and key statistics

Suncor Energy’s market cap is $85.06B, with a P/E ratio of 13.9 and revenue of $56.57B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$85.06B
P/E ratio
13.9
Forward P/E
8.9
EPS, TTM
$5.42
Gekko Fair Value
$94.42

Trading

Volume
5.77M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.65M
52-week high
$80.25
52-week low
$38.72
Shares outstanding
1.18B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$56.57B
Profit margin
15.8%
Return on equity
19.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+241.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.47
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
Dividend yield
2.98%

Suncor Energy stock news this week

Coverage of Suncor Energy this week reads positive: 8 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Suncor Energy peers

Suncor Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil−2.8%Neutral10.4% above
CVXChevron−2.5%Neutral4.7% above
TTETotalEnergies−2.8%Neutral31.5% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources−6.0%Accumulation23.9% below
EOGEOG Resources−3.8%Accumulation27.1% below
IMOImperial Oil−4.5%Accumulation3.1% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Integrated oil

Suncor Energy stock FAQ

What is Suncor Energy’s market cap?

Suncor Energy’s market cap is $85.06B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $72.04, with 1.18B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.9.

What is the Suncor Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Suncor Energy is $75.51, +4.8% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Suncor Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Suncor Energy is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $72.04 is 23.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $94.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Suncor Energy report earnings next?

Suncor Energy is expected to report on Feb 2, 2027 (89 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.62 per share on revenue of $12.39B. Suncor Energy beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.

What is Suncor Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Suncor Energy’s 52-week high is $80.25 and its 52-week low is $38.72; it closed at $72.04 on Nov 4, 2026, +81.8% over the past year.

Is Suncor Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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