Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for IMO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every IMO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IMO in Gekko
NYSE Arca: IMO
Imperial Oil (IMO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$129.91−0.37 (−0.3%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryImperial Oil (IMO) closes at $129.91, down 0.3%, holding above both its 50-day average of $129.38 and 200-day average of $118.20. The GekkoIndex reads 57.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while price sits 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $122.86. Over the past year the stock has returned 37.5%, though the past month shows a 4.6% pullback, with a 52-week range of $83.27 to $139.44.
Recent coverage points to divided opinions among research firms, with at least one brokerage raising its price target while keeping a cautious rating, and others remaining skeptical on valuation. A separate report notes a GF Score of 63 out of 100 alongside a 3.7% single-day decline to $130.30. Longer-term performance has also drawn attention, with a hypothetical $1,000 investment five years ago now valued at $4,913.27. The consensus analyst target stands at $108.65, implying downside of 16.4% from current levels.
Imperial Oil's next earnings report is scheduled for 30 October 2026, 40 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior quarter saw a $1.94 actual versus $2.40 estimate and a 2.6% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 8.3% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to Gekko Fair Value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $129.91200-day averageGekko Fair Value $122.86
Key stats
- Market cap
- $63.64B
- P/E ratio
- 21.2
- Forward P/E
- 14.9
- EPS, TTM
- $6.16
- Revenue, TTM
- $51.64B
- Profit margin
- 8.1%
- Dividend yield
- 2.44%
- Beta
- 0.81
- Volume
- 297,248 avg 499,856
- 1-year return
- +37.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.7%
- 50-day average
- $129.38
- 200-day average
- $118.20
- Next earnings
- Oct 30 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 483.6M
Imperial Oil swing-trade checklist
Imperial Oil scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $129.91 is above the 50-day ($129.38) and 200-day ($118.20) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
57.3, Neutral
Reading 57.3 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
5.7% above
Price is 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 40 days
Next report Oct 30, 2026, 40 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+8.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Imperial Oil stock chart and price history
Imperial Oil closed at $129.91 on Sep 18, 2026, +37.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $83.27 to $139.44.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.6%
- 3 months
- +15.4%
- 6 months
- +2.3%
- 1 year
- +37.5%
The full IMO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open IMO in Gekko
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About Imperial Oil
Imperial Oil operates in the energy business, locating and pulling crude oil and natural gas from the ground and converting them into fuels and related goods. Among the public, it is best known for the Esso and Mobil fuel stations where everyday drivers fill up.
Its work is split into three parts. One side searches for and produces oil, gas, synthetic crude and bitumen. Another takes that raw material through refining and blending, then gets finished products to market using pipelines, rail cars, ships and trucks, selling through close to 2,400 branded fuel outlets as well as to factories, transport firms, resellers and distributors that supply farms, homes and businesses. A third division makes chemical products like benzene, various solvents, plasticizer components and polyethylene resin. Imperial Oil has also teamed up with E3 Metals Corp on an early-stage lithium project in Alberta.
The company dates back to 1880 and runs its operations from Calgary, Canada, as part of the Exxon Mobil group. Its stock is listed on NYSE Arca under the ticker IMO.
- Listed
- NYSE Arca
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Integrated oil
- Website
- imperialoil.ca
Imperial Oil GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Imperial Oil’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.3, in the Neutral zone, down 2.2 points over five sessions.
57.3Neutral
Down 2.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 26 | +2.3% | +12.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 140 | +1.2% | +5.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 454 | +0.7% | +2.1% | ||
| Distribution | 41 | −1.1% | −2.0% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average IMO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the IMO price, zone by zone.Track IMO in Gekko
Is Imperial Oil stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Imperial Oil trades 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $122.86, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Imperial Oil shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$122.86
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
5.7% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open IMO in Gekko
Imperial Oil insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Imperial Oil, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in IMO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for IMO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IMO in Gekko
Imperial Oil earnings: next date and track record
Imperial Oil reports on Oct 30, 2026, before the open (40 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 30, 2026
Expected before the open, 40 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.92
- Revenue estimate
- $11.11B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.7%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, May 1, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Imperial Oil reported Q1 2026 net income of $940 million, down $348 million year-over-year due to higher incentive compensation charges ($143 million after-tax) and lower upstream price realizations. Cash flows from operations were $756 million ($1.2 billion excluding working capital). Kearl posted near-record Q1 production despite a gas supply outage, while Cold Lake achieved its highest Q1 output in 8 years. Upstream earnings of $470 million rose $472 million sequentially.
- Guidance
- Management plans to renew its Normal Course Issuer Bid at end of June and continues its 31-year dividend growth streak. Capital allocation priorities remain consistent: business investment, dividend growth, and surplus cash returns to shareholders across varying price scenarios.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | $1.94 est $2.40 | $6.58B est $6.34B | −2.6% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | $1.97 est $1.89 | $6.02B est $6.43B | −2.7% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $1.07 est $1.91 | $6.17B est $6.74B | −1.5% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | $1.86 est $1.61 | $5.99B est $6.51B | +1.1% |
| May 2, 2025 | $2.52 est $2.16 | $6.30B est $6.78B | −0.5% |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $2.37 est $2.15 | $5.94B est $6.71B | −6.5% |
| Nov 1, 2024 | $2.33 est $2.01 | $9.80B est $10.50B | −5.0% |
| Aug 2, 2024 | $2.11 est $1.94 | $7.05B est $6.91B | −2.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Imperial Oil stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Imperial Oil is $108.65, −16.4% from the last close.
$108.65consensus 12-month target, −16.4% from the last close
+2.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+8.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Imperial Oil seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Imperial Oil averaged +8.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +6.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +8.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +10.8% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, IMO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.7%.
Imperial Oil market cap and key statistics
Imperial Oil’s market cap is $63.64B, with a P/E ratio of 21.2 and revenue of $51.64B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $63.64B
- P/E ratio
- 21.2
- Forward P/E
- 14.9
- EPS, TTM
- $6.16
- Gekko Fair Value
- $122.86
Trading
- Volume
- 297,248
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 499,856
- 52-week high
- $139.44
- 52-week low
- $83.27
- Shares outstanding
- 483.6M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $51.64B
- Profit margin
- 8.1%
- Return on equity
- 16.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +143.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.81
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.7%
- Dividend yield
- 2.44%
Imperial Oil stock news this week
Coverage of Imperial Oil this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Why Is Imperial Oil (TSX:IMO) Facing Divided Market Views?Kalkine Media, Sep 17
- If You Invested $1000 In Imperial Oil Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much TodayBenzinga, Sep 17
- Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) Stock Down 3.7% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 63/100GuruFocus, Sep 16
- Imperial Oil (TSX:IMO) Stock: Why The Mixed Signals Matter?Kalkine Media, Sep 15
Imperial Oil peers
Imperial Oil’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| XOMExxon Mobil | Neutral | 11.4% above |
| CVXChevron | Neutral | 6.3% above |
| TTETotalEnergies | Neutral | 29.4% below |
| CNQCanadian Natural Resources | Neutral | 21.8% below |
| SUSuncor Energy | Neutral | 21.4% below |
| EOGEOG Resources | Accumulation | 26.5% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Imperial Oil stock FAQ
What is Imperial Oil’s market cap?
Imperial Oil’s market cap is $63.64B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $129.91, with 483.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.2.
What is the Imperial Oil stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Imperial Oil is $108.65, −16.4% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Imperial Oil stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Imperial Oil is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $129.91 is 5.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $122.86. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Imperial Oil report earnings next?
Imperial Oil is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026, before the market opens (40 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.92 per share on revenue of $11.11B. Imperial Oil beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.7% on average across the report.
What is Imperial Oil’s 52-week high and low?
Imperial Oil’s 52-week high is $139.44 and its 52-week low is $83.27; it closed at $129.91 on Sep 18, 2026, +37.5% over the past year.
Is Imperial Oil stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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