Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for IMO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every IMO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IMO in Gekko
NYSE Arca: IMO
Imperial Oil (IMO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$127.47−6.82 (−5.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeImperial Oil's third quarter results dominate this week's coverage. The company reported Q3 net income of $2.454 billion, up $1.915 billion year-over-year, with revenue of C$16.18B and diluted EPS of C$5.11, driven by higher crude realizations and improved refining margins even as upstream production and refinery throughput declined. The downstream segment delivered record earnings amid tight refined product markets, and record renewable diesel production was achieved, though Kearl faced a third-party pipeline outage. Separately, CEO John Whelan expressed optimism on progress toward finalizing the Pathways carbon storage agreement, seen as important for the proposed Pacific Link pipeline.
The stock closed at $127.47, down 5.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $129.28 and 200-day average of $124.47, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 60.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 3.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $123.60, putting it within range of that benchmark.
The next earnings date falls on 29 January 2027, 85 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 1.2% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, with gains in 3 of them. The consensus analyst target stands at $108.81, implying downside of 14.6% from current levels, a gap worth noting alongside the Accumulation reading.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Imperial Oil price vs fair value
Close $127.47200-day averageGekko Fair Value $123.60
Imperial Oil quick facts
- Market cap
- $61.64B
- P/E ratio
- 14.3
- Forward P/E
- 15.7
- EPS, TTM
- $9.36
- Revenue, TTM
- $55.83B
- Profit margin
- 10.9%
- Dividend yield
- 2.41%
- Beta
- 0.92
- Volume
- 676,217 avg 539,963
- 1-year return
- +41.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.6%
- 50-day average
- $129.28
- 200-day average
- $124.47
- Next earnings
- Jan 29 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 472.0M
Imperial Oil swing-trade checklist
Imperial Oil scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $127.47 sits between the 50-day ($129.28) and 200-day ($124.47) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
60.1, Accumulation
Reading 60.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.1% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.1% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 85 days
Next report Jan 29, 2027, 85 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+1.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Imperial Oil stock chart and price history
Imperial Oil closed at $127.47 on Nov 4, 2026, +41.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $83.27 to $139.44.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +4.3%
- 3 months
- +0.9%
- 6 months
- −0.3%
- 1 year
- +41.9%
The full IMO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open IMO in Gekko
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About Imperial Oil
Imperial Oil operates in the energy business, locating and pulling crude oil and natural gas from the ground and converting them into fuels and related goods. Among the public, it is best known for the Esso and Mobil fuel stations where everyday drivers fill up.
Its work is split into three parts. One side searches for and produces oil, gas, synthetic crude and bitumen. Another takes that raw material through refining and blending, then gets finished products to market using pipelines, rail cars, ships and trucks, selling through close to 2,400 branded fuel outlets as well as to factories, transport firms, resellers and distributors that supply farms, homes and businesses. A third division makes chemical products like benzene, various solvents, plasticizer components and polyethylene resin. Imperial Oil has also teamed up with E3 Metals Corp on an early-stage lithium project in Alberta.
The company dates back to 1880 and runs its operations from Calgary, Canada, as part of the Exxon Mobil group. Its stock is listed on NYSE Arca under the ticker IMO.
- Listed
- NYSE Arca
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Integrated oil
- Website
- imperialoil.ca
Imperial Oil GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Imperial Oil’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.7 points over five sessions.
60.1Accumulation
Up 2.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 26 | +2.3% | +12.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 156 | +1.3% | +5.8% | ||
| Neutral | 471 | +0.6% | +1.8% | ||
| Distribution | 43 | −1.2% | −2.5% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average IMO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the IMO price, zone by zone.Track IMO in Gekko
Is Imperial Oil stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Imperial Oil trades 3.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $123.60, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Imperial Oil shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$123.60
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
3.1% above fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 5.2% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open IMO in Gekko
Imperial Oil insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Imperial Oil, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in IMO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for IMO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IMO in Gekko
Imperial Oil earnings: next date and track record
Imperial Oil reports on Jan 29, 2027, before the open (85 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Jan 29, 2027
Expected before the open, 85 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.92
- Revenue estimate
- $12.65B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.3%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Oct 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Imperial Oil reported Q3 net income of $2.454 billion, up $1.915 billion year-over-year, driven by higher commodity prices. Downstream segment delivered record earnings amid tight refined product markets, and record renewable diesel production was achieved. Cash flow from operations exceeded $3.2 billion, with cash balance growing to $2.9 billion. Kearl faced a third-party pipeline outage causing a production shutdown, prompting a revised annual gross production target of 280,000 barrels per day.
- Guidance
- Kearl's annual gross production target revised to 280,000 bbl/day due to third-party disruptions. Cold Lake and Syncrude remain on track at the low end of guidance. Company expects to complete its NCIB by year-end and plans additional surplus cash returns to shareholders in early 2027.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | $3.65 est $3.43 | $11.38B est $12.42B | +2.0% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | $3.27 est $2.99 | $11.31B est $10.92B | −1.9% |
| May 1, 2026 | $1.94 est $2.40 | $6.58B est $6.34B | −2.6% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | $1.97 est $1.89 | $6.02B est $6.43B | −2.7% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $1.07 est $1.91 | $6.17B est $6.74B | −1.5% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | $1.86 est $1.61 | $5.99B est $6.51B | +1.1% |
| May 2, 2025 | $2.52 est $2.16 | $6.30B est $6.78B | −0.5% |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $2.37 est $2.15 | $5.94B est $6.71B | −6.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Imperial Oil stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Imperial Oil is $108.81, −14.6% from the last close.
$108.81consensus 12-month target, −14.6% from the last close
+5.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Imperial Oil seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Imperial Oil averaged +1.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +5.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −6.1% | 0 of 5 |
For scale, IMO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.
Imperial Oil market cap and key statistics
Imperial Oil’s market cap is $61.64B, with a P/E ratio of 14.3 and revenue of $55.83B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $61.64B
- P/E ratio
- 14.3
- Forward P/E
- 15.7
- EPS, TTM
- $9.36
- Gekko Fair Value
- $123.60
Trading
- Volume
- 676,217
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 539,963
- 52-week high
- $139.44
- 52-week low
- $83.27
- Shares outstanding
- 472.0M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $55.83B
- Profit margin
- 10.9%
- Return on equity
- 16.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +377.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.92
- Typical daily move
- ±4.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.6%
- Dividend yield
- 2.41%
Imperial Oil stock news this week
Coverage of Imperial Oil this week reads positive: 6 positive, 5 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Imperial Oil (IMO) is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?Zacks Investment Research, Nov 4
- Imperial Oil Ltd. stock rises Tuesday, outperforms marketMarketWatch, Nov 3
- Refineries ran at 88% capacity, but profit rose at Imperial Oil (IMO).Stock Titan, Nov 3
- Imperial Oil 3Q 2026: Revenue C$16.18B, EPS C$5.11 — 10-Q SummaryTradingView, Nov 2
- SEC Form 10-Q filed by Imperial Oil LimitedQuantisnow, Nov 2
- Imperial Oil Ltd. stock falls Monday, underperforms marketMarketWatch, Nov 2
Imperial Oil peers
Imperial Oil’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| XOMExxon Mobil | Neutral | 10.4% above |
| CVXChevron | Neutral | 4.7% above |
| TTETotalEnergies | Neutral | 31.5% below |
| CNQCanadian Natural Resources | Accumulation | 23.9% below |
| SUSuncor Energy | Accumulation | 23.7% below |
| EOGEOG Resources | Accumulation | 27.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Imperial Oil stock FAQ
What is Imperial Oil’s market cap?
Imperial Oil’s market cap is $61.64B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $127.47, with 472.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.3.
What is the Imperial Oil stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Imperial Oil is $108.81, −14.6% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Imperial Oil stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Imperial Oil is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $127.47 is 3.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $123.60. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Imperial Oil report earnings next?
Imperial Oil is expected to report on Jan 29, 2027, before the market opens (85 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.92 per share on revenue of $12.65B. Imperial Oil beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.3% on average across the report.
What is Imperial Oil’s 52-week high and low?
Imperial Oil’s 52-week high is $139.44 and its 52-week low is $83.27; it closed at $127.47 on Nov 4, 2026, +41.9% over the past year.
Is Imperial Oil stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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