Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for EXE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every EXE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXE in Gekko
NASDAQ: EXE
Expand Energy (EXE) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$85.31−1.53 (−1.8%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryExpand Energy shares have been pressured this week by concerns over management instability, rising unit costs, and declining operating margins, which have contributed to underperformance versus the S&P 500. Argus lowered its target price for the stock to $83.00, even as heavy put activity was noted in recent trading. Despite these headwinds, commentary continues to point to the company's undemanding multiples and financial health, alongside an analyst base that maintains a favorable overall stance.
EXE closed at $85.31, down 1.8%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $93.44 and its 200-day average of $98.98, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The stock's 52-week range spans $84.99 to $126.62, and returns have been negative across the 1-month (-12.9%), 3-month (-2.5%), 6-month (-24.8%) and 1-year (-18.3%) periods. The GekkoIndex reads 71.3, placing EXE in the Buying zone, while the price sits 42.4% below the Gekko Fair Value of $148.11.
Earnings are due 27 October 2026, 28 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $1.33 against a $1.13 estimate, with a 2.2% reaction. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +2.5% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity is recorded in the respective windows, and analyst consensus remains at 15 buy, 4 hold, 0 sell ratings with a $125.52 target.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Expand Energy price vs fair value
Close $85.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $148.11
Expand Energy quick facts
- Market cap
- $19.75B
- P/E ratio
- 7.5
- Forward P/E
- 9.6
- EPS, TTM
- $11.60
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.66B
- Profit margin
- 22%
- Dividend yield
- 3.60%
- Beta
- 0.32
- Volume
- 4.48M avg 3.22M
- 1-year return
- −18.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.6%
- 50-day average
- $93.44
- 200-day average
- $98.98
- Next earnings
- Oct 27
- Shares outstanding
- 231.5M
Expand Energy swing-trade checklist
Expand Energy scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $85.31 is below the 50-day ($93.44) and 200-day ($98.98) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
71.3, Buying
Reading 71.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
42.4% below
Price is 42.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 28 days
Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Expand Energy stock chart and price history
Expand Energy closed at $85.31 on Sep 28, 2026, −18.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $84.99 to $126.62.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −12.9%
- 3 months
- −2.5%
- 6 months
- −24.8%
- 1 year
- −18.3%
The full EXE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open EXE in Gekko
Follow Expand Energy through every session
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About Expand Energy
Expand Energy operates as an independent producer engaged in locating and drawing out energy resources across the United States. Its work centers on acquiring, exploring and developing properties that yield crude oil, natural gas and related liquid hydrocarbons from underground formations. The company holds notable positions in two significant natural gas regions: the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania, known for its Marcellus Shale, and northwestern Louisiana, home to the Haynesville and Bossier Shales.
Its portfolio consists of onshore unconventional natural gas assets scattered throughout the country, with ownership interests spanning roughly 5,000 gas wells as of the end of 2023. This concentration of unconventional properties reflects a business built around extracting hydrocarbons from shale formations rather than conventional reservoirs.
The corporation traces its founding to 1989 and keeps its headquarters in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. It previously operated under the name Chesapeake Energy Corporation before rebranding as Expand Energy Corporation in October 2024. Shares of Expand Energy trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker EXE.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Integrated oil
- Website
- expandenergy.com
Expand Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Expand Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.3, in the Buying zone, down 4.6 points over five sessions.
71.3Buying
Down 4.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 69 | −0.2% | −1.3% | ||
| Accumulation | 203 | +0.1% | +2.3% | ||
| Neutral | 343 | +0.2% | +0.6% | ||
| Distribution | 55 | +0.5% | 0.0% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average EXE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EXE price, zone by zone.Track EXE in Gekko
Is Expand Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Expand Energy trades 42.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $148.11, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Expand Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$148.11
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
42.4% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EXE in Gekko
Expand Energy insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Expand Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in EXE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for EXE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXE in Gekko
Buybacks
Expand Energy has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $1.00B, Jul 28, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $514.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.60%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold EXE.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Expand Energy earnings: next date and track record
Expand Energy reports on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
28 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.33
- Revenue estimate
- $2.89B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Expand Energy reported strong Q2 2026 results driven by operational excellence, particularly in Southwest Appalachia. The company paid down $1.3B in gross debt in Q1 and repurchased $850M (4%) of shares when stock price dislocated from their $3.50-$4 mid-cycle price view. Board authorized an additional $1B buyback. Key strategic moves include an LNG deal with Delfin and the acquisition of Twin Eagle, a physical gas marketing platform, to accelerate integrated natural gas strategy.
- Guidance
- Management targets a mid-cycle natural gas price view of $3.50-$4. The company plans continued share buybacks with $1B newly authorized. Twin Eagle acquisition positions EXE as the largest independent gas producer and leading gas marketer with coast-to-coast reach.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $1.33 est $1.13 | $2.96B est $3.05B | +2.2% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $3.83 est $3.17 | $4.40B est $3.53B | +4.9% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $2.00 est $1.87 | $3.27B est $2.94B | −4.4% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.97 est $0.90 | $2.97B est $2.71B | −3.3% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $4.02 est $1.15 | $3.69B est $2.55B | +6.2% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | −$1.06 est $1.86 | $2.20B est $2.55B | −3.0% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.55 est $0.43 | $2.00B est $1.97B | −5.0% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $0.16 est −$0.06 | $646.0M est $709.0M | +4.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Expand Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Expand Energy is $125.52, +47.1% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$125.52consensus 12-month target, +47.1% from the last close
Now $85.31Avg $125.52
Low $93High $160
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Siebert Williams Shank & Co | $133 | +55.9% |
| Sep 14 | UBS | $129 | +51.2% |
| Sep 10 | Stifel Nicolaus | $135 | +58.2% |
| Sep 9 | Raymond James | $147 | +72.3% |
| Sep 9 | Stifel Nicolaus | $135 | +58.2% |
−1.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+2.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Expand Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Expand Energy averaged +2.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.8% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.0% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.7% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, EXE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.
Expand Energy market cap and key statistics
Expand Energy’s market cap is $19.75B, with a P/E ratio of 7.5 and revenue of $12.66B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $19.75B
- P/E ratio
- 7.5
- Forward P/E
- 9.6
- EPS, TTM
- $11.60
- Gekko Fair Value
- $148.11
Trading
- Volume
- 4.48M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.22M
- 52-week high
- $126.62
- 52-week low
- $84.99
- Shares outstanding
- 231.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.66B
- Profit margin
- 22%
- Return on equity
- 14.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −45.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.32
- Typical daily move
- ±3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.6%
- Dividend yield
- 3.60%
Expand Energy stock news this week
Coverage of Expand Energy this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Is Expand Energy Stock Underperforming the S&P 500?Yahoo Finance, Sep 25
- Here's Why Expand Energy (EXE) is a Strong Growth StockZacks Investment Research, Sep 25
- Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) Stock ForecastsYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 24
- Nykredit A S Makes New Investment in Expand Energy Corporation $EXEMarketBeat, Sep 23
- Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 23
- 3 Stocks Put Traders Are Targeting Today: EXE, APH, WMBSchaeffers Research, Sep 22
Expand Energy peers
Expand Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| XOMExxon Mobil | Neutral | 11.4% above |
| CVXChevron | Accumulation | 4.2% above |
| TTETotalEnergies | Neutral | 27.5% below |
| CNQCanadian Natural Resources | Accumulation | 23.0% below |
| SUSuncor Energy | Neutral | 19.7% below |
| EOGEOG Resources | Accumulation | 26.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Expand Energy stock FAQ
What is Expand Energy’s market cap?
Expand Energy’s market cap is $19.75B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $85.31, with 231.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.5.
What is the Expand Energy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Expand Energy is $125.52, +47.1% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Expand Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Expand Energy is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $85.31 is 42.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $148.11. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Expand Energy report earnings next?
Expand Energy is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.33 per share on revenue of $2.89B. Expand Energy beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.1% on average across the report.
What is Expand Energy’s 52-week high and low?
Expand Energy’s 52-week high is $126.62 and its 52-week low is $84.99; it closed at $85.31 on Sep 28, 2026, −18.3% over the past year.
Is Expand Energy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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