Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for XOM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every XOM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XOM in Gekko
NYSE: XOM
Exxon Mobil (XOM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$169.44−8.02 (−4.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeExxon Mobil shares dropped this week after oil stocks broadly sold off following midterm election results that saw Democrats secure control of the U.S. Senate, with Chevron and Marathon Petroleum also mentioned as taking hits. Separately, DZ Bank issued a Sell rating on the stock amid a batch of Wednesday analyst moves covering several large-cap names. On the operational side, Exxon's Q3 results showed record refinery utilization and elevated commodity prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, with diesel production reaching 1.1 million barrels per day year-to-date and a $10 billion refining investment through 2030 aimed at boosting diesel output. The company also raised its dividend for the 44th consecutive year.
XOM closed at $169.44, down 4.5%, though it remains above both its 50-day ($168.49) and 200-day ($155.28) moving averages, with the shorter average sitting above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 58.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 10.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $153.49.
The next earnings date falls on 29 January 2027, 85 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Analyst consensus shows 8 buy, 9 hold and 1 sell ratings among 18 firms, with a consensus target of $182.05, implying 7.4% upside. Smart-money and options activity show no signals in their respective windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -2.6% across 5 years, rising in just 1 of them, a pattern worth noting given the stock's 2.8% typical daily move.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Exxon Mobil price vs fair value
Close $169.44200-day averageGekko Fair Value $153.49
Exxon Mobil quick facts
- Market cap
- $696.7B
- P/E ratio
- 19.3
- Forward P/E
- 15.9
- EPS, TTM
- $9.33
- Revenue, TTM
- $388.2B
- Profit margin
- 10.5%
- Dividend yield
- 2.20%
- Beta
- 0.14
- Volume
- 25.17M avg 12.97M
- 1-year return
- +48.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.6%
- 50-day average
- $168.49
- 200-day average
- $155.28
- Next earnings
- Jan 29
- Shares outstanding
- 4.08B
Exxon Mobil swing-trade checklist
Exxon Mobil scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $169.44 is above the 50-day ($168.49) and 200-day ($155.28) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
58.9, Neutral
Reading 58.9 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
10.4% above
Price is 10.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 85 days
Next report Jan 29, 2027, 85 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−2.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.6% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Exxon Mobil stock chart and price history
Exxon Mobil closed at $169.44 on Nov 4, 2026, +48.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $112.51 to $188.50.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +3.0%
- 3 months
- +9.4%
- 6 months
- +14.0%
- 1 year
- +48.9%
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About Exxon Mobil
Exxon Mobil is engaged in finding, drawing out and processing oil and natural gas, with operations that stretch across its home market and into other countries. The business is best known for covering the full chain of energy production, moving from raw extraction through to refined fuels and a broad range of chemical goods. It has also been putting resources into newer areas like capturing and storing carbon, hydrogen production and biofuel development.
The company runs its work through three main branches, covering upstream extraction, downstream refining, and chemical manufacturing. These units handle the production, trading, shipping and sale of crude oil, natural gas, fuel products and chemical materials such as olefins and aromatics, along with other specialty compounds used in industrial and consumer goods.
Exxon Mobil dates back to 1870 and keeps its main offices in Irving, Texas. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker XOM.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Integrated oil
- Website
- corporate.exxonmobil.com
Exxon Mobil GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Exxon Mobil’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.9, in the Neutral zone, up 12.9 points over five sessions.
58.9Neutral
Up 12.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 24 | +0.3% | +3.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 172 | +1.5% | +3.1% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 459 | +0.3% | +1.5% | ||
| Distribution | 36 | −0.8% | −1.1% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average XOM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the XOM price, zone by zone.Track XOM in Gekko
Is Exxon Mobil stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Exxon Mobil trades 10.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $153.49, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Exxon Mobil shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$153.49
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
10.4% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 9.9% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open XOM in Gekko
Exxon Mobil insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Exxon Mobil, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in XOM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for XOM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XOM in Gekko
Buybacks
Exxon Mobil has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $5.10B
- As a share of market cap
- 0.73%
- Trailing four quarters
- $20.49B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds XOM.
1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Exxon Mobil earnings: next date and track record
Exxon Mobil reports on Jan 29, 2027 (85 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Jan 29, 2027
85 days away
- EPS estimate
- $4.08
- Revenue estimate
- $115.2B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.8%average move across the report
0 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Oct 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ExxonMobil reported strong Q3 results driven by record refinery utilization and elevated commodity prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. Diesel production reached 1.1 million barrels/day YTD, an industry-leading figure. Permian and Guyana upstream volumes grew year-over-year, with Guyana surpassing 1 billion barrels produced. Structural cost savings reached $16.9 billion since 2019. LNG portfolio expanded via increased stakes in Papua LNG and Rovuma LNG.
- Guidance
- Fifth Guyana development Uaru expected to start Q4. U.S. Gulf Coast reconfiguration projects to add 100,000 barrels/day of distillate yield. Automated drilling rigs to expand to ~25% of Permian fleet in 2025 and ~50% by 2028, targeting $20 billion cumulative savings by 2030.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | $4.23 est $4.12 | $113.2B est $104.9B | −2.0% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | $3.52 est $3.56 | $116.0B est $109.9B | −1.2% |
| May 1, 2026 | $1.16 est $0.98 | $85.14B est $81.13B | −0.4% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | $1.71 est $1.70 | $82.31B est $80.63B | −1.5% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $1.88 est $1.82 | $83.33B est $86.47B | −0.8% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | $1.64 est $1.57 | $79.48B est $80.70B | −3.8% |
| May 2, 2025 | $1.76 est $1.75 | $81.06B est $86.35B | −2.4% |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $1.67 est $1.77 | $81.06B est $86.33B | −2.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Exxon Mobil stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Exxon Mobil is $182.05, +7.4% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$182.05consensus 12-month target, +7.4% from the last close
Now $169.44Avg $182.05
Low $170High $217
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | DZ BANK AG | $170 | +0.3% |
| Nov 4 | Citi | $175 | +3.3% |
| Nov 4 | Piper Sandler | $185 | +9.2% |
| Nov 4 | TD Cowen | $193 | +13.9% |
| Nov 3 | UBS | $213 | +25.7% |
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Exxon Mobil seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Exxon Mobil averaged −2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.6% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −5.0% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, XOM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.6%.
Exxon Mobil market cap and key statistics
Exxon Mobil’s market cap is $696.7B, with a P/E ratio of 19.3 and revenue of $388.2B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $696.7B
- P/E ratio
- 19.3
- Forward P/E
- 15.9
- EPS, TTM
- $9.33
- Gekko Fair Value
- $153.49
Trading
- Volume
- 25.17M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 12.97M
- 52-week high
- $188.50
- 52-week low
- $112.51
- Shares outstanding
- 4.08B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $388.2B
- Profit margin
- 10.5%
- Return on equity
- 15.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +111.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.14
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.6%
- Dividend yield
- 2.20%
Exxon Mobil stock news this week
Coverage of Exxon Mobil this week reads positive: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Oil Stocks Chevron (CVX), Marathon (MPC), and Exxon Mobil (XOM) Take a Beating on Midterm ResultsTipRanks, Nov 4
- Fund Update: New $931.3M $XOM stock position opened by CITIGROUP INCQuiver Quantitative, Nov 4
- Buy, Sell, or Hold? Wednesday's Top Upgrades and Downgrades: Adobe, Apple, Duolingo, Exxon Mobil, Fiserv, Fortinet, Gartner, Lockheed Martin, Skyworks Solutions, Visa and More24/7 Wall St., Nov 4
- Will ExxonMobil's 100,000-BPD Diesel Expansion Boost Refining Profit?Zacks Investment Research, Nov 4
- First Nebraska Trust Co Acquires 56,591 Shares of ExxonMobil Corporation $XOMMarketBeat, Nov 4
- Exxon Mobil Just Raised Its Dividend for the 44th Year. Here Are 3 More Wall Street Favorites24/7 Wall Street, Nov 4
Exxon Mobil peers
Exxon Mobil’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CVXChevron | Neutral | 4.7% above |
| TTETotalEnergies | Neutral | 31.5% below |
| CNQCanadian Natural Resources | Accumulation | 23.9% below |
| SUSuncor Energy | Accumulation | 23.7% below |
| EOGEOG Resources | Accumulation | 27.1% below |
| IMOImperial Oil | Accumulation | 3.1% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Exxon Mobil stock FAQ
What is Exxon Mobil’s market cap?
Exxon Mobil’s market cap is $696.7B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $169.44, with 4.08B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.3.
What is the Exxon Mobil stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Exxon Mobil is $182.05, +7.4% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Exxon Mobil stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Exxon Mobil is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $169.44 is 10.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $153.49. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Exxon Mobil report earnings next?
Exxon Mobil is expected to report on Jan 29, 2027 (85 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.08 per share on revenue of $115.2B. Exxon Mobil beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.8% on average across the report.
What is Exxon Mobil’s 52-week high and low?
Exxon Mobil’s 52-week high is $188.50 and its 52-week low is $112.51; it closed at $169.44 on Nov 4, 2026, +48.9% over the past year.
Is Exxon Mobil stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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