Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for XOM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every XOM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XOM in Gekko
NYSE: XOM
Exxon Mobil (XOM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$163.18−0.09 (−0.1%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryExxon Mobil closes at $163.18, down 0.1% on the day, with the stock trading above both its 50-day average of $157.78 and its 200-day average of $146.90. The GekkoIndex reading of 57.2 places the stock in the Neutral zone, up 7.1 over the past five readings. Price sits 11.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $146.53, a gap worth noting given the recent run, which includes a 3-month return of 18.4% and a 1-year return of 41.5%.
This week's coverage centers on operational and strategic developments. A flooded pump overwhelmed operations at Exxon's 275,000-barrel-per-day Joliet, Illinois refinery, halting the facility with no immediate timeline for resumption and raising questions about regional fuel supply. Separately, reports indicate Exxon may be nearing a deal in Venezuela's oil fields, potentially involving access to roughly 50 billion barrels of crude. Other coverage touches on refining margins, capital-return comparisons with peers, and a company projection of 65% growth in global electricity demand by 2050.
Exxon's next earnings report is scheduled for 30 October 2026, 40 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. In the prior quarter, reported EPS of $3.52 missed the $3.56 estimate, with a share reaction of -1.2%; the company has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters, averaging an absolute reaction of 1.7%. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.8% gain over five years, with gains in 3 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst coverage from 17 firms shows 8 buy and 9 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $170.91.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $163.18200-day averageGekko Fair Value $146.53
Key stats
- Market cap
- $676.3B
- P/E ratio
- 21
- Forward P/E
- 15
- EPS, TTM
- $7.77
- Revenue, TTM
- $361.1B
- Profit margin
- 9.1%
- Dividend yield
- 2.50%
- Beta
- 0.18
- Volume
- 36.29M avg 14.42M
- 1-year return
- +41.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- 50-day average
- $157.78
- 200-day average
- $146.90
- Next earnings
- Oct 30
- Shares outstanding
- 4.11B
Exxon Mobil swing-trade checklist
Exxon Mobil scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $163.18 is above the 50-day ($157.78) and 200-day ($146.90) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
57.2, Neutral
Reading 57.2 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
11.4% above
Price is 11.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 40 days
Next report Oct 30, 2026, 40 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Exxon Mobil stock chart and price history
Exxon Mobil closed at $163.18 on Sep 18, 2026, +41.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $110.39 to $176.41.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −1.0%
- 3 months
- +18.4%
- 6 months
- +3.2%
- 1 year
- +41.5%
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About Exxon Mobil
Exxon Mobil is engaged in finding, drawing out and processing oil and natural gas, with operations that stretch across its home market and into other countries. The business is best known for covering the full chain of energy production, moving from raw extraction through to refined fuels and a broad range of chemical goods. It has also been putting resources into newer areas like capturing and storing carbon, hydrogen production and biofuel development.
The company runs its work through three main branches, covering upstream extraction, downstream refining, and chemical manufacturing. These units handle the production, trading, shipping and sale of crude oil, natural gas, fuel products and chemical materials such as olefins and aromatics, along with other specialty compounds used in industrial and consumer goods.
Exxon Mobil dates back to 1870 and keeps its main offices in Irving, Texas. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker XOM.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Integrated oil
- Website
- corporate.exxonmobil.com
Exxon Mobil GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Exxon Mobil’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.2, in the Neutral zone, up 7.1 points over five sessions.
57.2Neutral
Up 7.1 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 24 | +0.3% | +3.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 169 | +1.5% | +2.9% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 431 | +0.2% | +1.3% | ||
| Distribution | 32 | −1.2% | −1.1% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average XOM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the XOM price, zone by zone.Track XOM in Gekko
Is Exxon Mobil stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Exxon Mobil trades 11.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $146.53, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Exxon Mobil shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$146.53
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
11.4% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open XOM in Gekko
Exxon Mobil insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Exxon Mobil, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in XOM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for XOM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XOM in Gekko
Buybacks
Exxon Mobil has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $5.14B
- As a share of market cap
- 0.76%
- Trailing four quarters
- $20.51B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds XOM.
1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Exxon Mobil earnings: next date and track record
Exxon Mobil reports on Oct 30, 2026 (40 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 30, 2026
40 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.54
- Revenue estimate
- $106.8B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.7%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 31, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ExxonMobil reported Q2 earnings of $14.5 billion and cash flow from operations of $23.6 billion despite losing ~10% of upstream production due to Middle East conflict. Permian Basin hit record production of 1.8M BOE/day; Guyana delivered ~900K barrels/day gross production. Chemical margins surged ~180% QoQ; Specialty Products achieved record quarterly earnings. Supply chain optimization avoided ~$750M in annual disruption costs.
- Guidance
- Fifth Guyana FPSO Errea Wittu on track for year-end startup; Longtail moving toward final investment decision with potential ninth FPSO being evaluated. New integrated global operations model launched July 1 expected to deliver improved margins and operational excellence across 150+ sites.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | $3.52 est $3.56 | $116.0B est $109.9B | −1.2% |
| May 1, 2026 | $1.16 est $0.98 | $85.14B est $81.13B | −0.4% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | $1.71 est $1.70 | $82.31B est $80.63B | −1.5% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $1.88 est $1.82 | $83.33B est $86.47B | −0.8% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | $1.64 est $1.57 | $79.48B est $80.70B | −3.8% |
| May 2, 2025 | $1.76 est $1.75 | $81.06B est $86.35B | −2.4% |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $1.67 est $1.77 | $81.06B est $86.33B | −2.3% |
| Nov 1, 2024 | $1.92 est $1.88 | $87.79B est $89.97B | +1.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Exxon Mobil stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Exxon Mobil is $170.91, +4.7% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$170.91consensus 12-month target, +4.7% from the last close
Now $163.18Avg $170.91
Low $142High $185
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10 | Barclays | $177 | +8.5% |
| Sep 3 | Piper Sandler | $185 | +13.4% |
| Aug 18 | Morgan Stanley | $177 | +8.5% |
| Aug 17 | UBS | $174 | +6.6% |
| Aug 17 | Barclays | $177 | +8.5% |
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Exxon Mobil seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Exxon Mobil averaged +4.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.9% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, XOM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.
Exxon Mobil market cap and key statistics
Exxon Mobil’s market cap is $676.3B, with a P/E ratio of 21 and revenue of $361.1B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $676.3B
- P/E ratio
- 21
- Forward P/E
- 15
- EPS, TTM
- $7.77
- Gekko Fair Value
- $146.53
Trading
- Volume
- 36.29M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 14.42M
- 52-week high
- $176.41
- 52-week low
- $110.39
- Shares outstanding
- 4.11B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $361.1B
- Profit margin
- 9.1%
- Return on equity
- 12.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +112.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.18
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- Dividend yield
- 2.50%
Exxon Mobil stock news this week
Coverage of Exxon Mobil this week reads positive: 10 positive, 1 neutral and 4 negative headlines.
- Chevron vs. Exxon: Which Dividend Survives the Downturn24/7 Wall St., Sep 18
- ExxonMobil's Advantaged Assets and Refining Strength Drive OutlookZacks Investment Research, Sep 18
- Exxon Sees Power Demand Exploding 65% By 2050Benzinga, Sep 18
- Exxon’s 11 Million-Gallon Refinery Goes Dark. How High Can Midwest Gas Prices Go?247 Wallst, Sep 18
- ExxonMobil vs. ConocoPhillips: Which Oil Major's Stock Buybacks Will Actually Move the Needle?The Motley Fool, Sep 18
- ExxonMobil Is Reportedly Nearing a Deal to Invest in Venezuela's Oil Fields. Is XOM Stock a Buy?The Motley Fool, Sep 18
Exxon Mobil peers
Exxon Mobil’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CVXChevron | Neutral | 6.3% above |
| TTETotalEnergies | Neutral | 29.4% below |
| CNQCanadian Natural Resources | Neutral | 21.8% below |
| SUSuncor Energy | Neutral | 21.4% below |
| EOGEOG Resources | Accumulation | 26.5% below |
| IMOImperial Oil | Neutral | 5.7% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Exxon Mobil stock FAQ
What is Exxon Mobil’s market cap?
Exxon Mobil’s market cap is $676.3B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $163.18, with 4.11B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.
What is the Exxon Mobil stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Exxon Mobil is $170.91, +4.7% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Exxon Mobil stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Exxon Mobil is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $163.18 is 11.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $146.53. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Exxon Mobil report earnings next?
Exxon Mobil is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026 (40 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.54 per share on revenue of $106.8B. Exxon Mobil beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.7% on average across the report.
What is Exxon Mobil’s 52-week high and low?
Exxon Mobil’s 52-week high is $176.41 and its 52-week low is $110.39; it closed at $163.18 on Sep 18, 2026, +41.5% over the past year.
Is Exxon Mobil stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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