NYSE: CRC

California Resources (CRC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$51.84−0.67 (−1.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

California Resources this week appears mainly in a comparative piece pitting the company against peer Kinetik across earnings, analyst recommendations, valuation, profitability, dividends, risk and institutional ownership, rather than in any company-specific development.

CRC closes at $51.84, down 1.3%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $53.24 and its 200-day average of $56.17, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 64.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Against Gekko Fair Value of $88.51, the shares trade 41.4% below that level.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report falls on 3 November 2026, 35 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-day holding window; the prior report on 10 August 2026 showed EPS of $0.99 against an estimate of $1.31, with a 3.9% reaction and an average absolute reaction of 6.6% across past quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears within their respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the equivalent 20-day stretch has averaged a 0.4% return over five years, rising in three of them, a modest historical pattern worth noting alongside the wider gap to Gekko Fair Value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

California Resources price vs fair value

▲$88.51$51.84Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $51.84200-day averageGekko Fair Value $88.51

California Resources quick facts

Market cap
$4.60B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
11.9
EPS, TTM
−$1.25
Revenue, TTM
$3.74B
Profit margin
-3.2%
Dividend yield
3.06%
Beta
0.90
Volume
609,361 avg 896,743
1-year return
−7.6%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
50-day average
$53.24
200-day average
$56.17
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
88.82M
52-week range
$43.25$71.98

California Resources swing-trade checklist

California Resources scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $51.84 is below the 50-day ($53.24) and 200-day ($56.17) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.8, Accumulation

    Reading 64.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    41.4% below

    Price is 41.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

California Resources stock chart and price history

California Resources closed at $51.84 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $43.25 to $71.98.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
California Resources share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$45$50$55$60$65$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep51.84

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.1%
3 months
−1.4%
6 months
−24.7%
1 year
−7.6%
The full CRC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CRC in Gekko

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California Resources GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

California Resources’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.3 points over five sessions.

010064.8Accumulation

Up 2.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying42+2.2%+3.1%+1.0%+3.7%
Accumulation (current zone)208+0.3%+0.4%+0.4%+2.1%
Neutral404−0.1%0.0%+0.9%+1.0%
Distribution17−0.9%+1.3%+0.5%−1.8%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average CRC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CRC price, zone by zone.Track CRC in Gekko

Is California Resources stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

California Resources trades 41.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $88.51, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what California Resources shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$88.51

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

41.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CRC in Gekko

California Resources insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for California Resources, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CRC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CRC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CRC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CRC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CRC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CRC in Gekko

Buybacks

California Resources has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$10.00M
As a share of market cap
0.22%
Trailing four quarters
$286.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold CRC.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

California Resources earnings: next date and track record

California Resources reports on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.5%Nov ’24−12.2%Mar ’25+10.1%May ’25+3.4%Aug ’25−1.9%Nov ’25+2.8%Mar ’26−11.1%May ’26+3.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
CRC delivered solid Q2 results driven by operational execution, synergy capture, and drilling efficiency gains. The company announced the Crimson acquisition, adding ~2,000 miles of California crude pipelines, and completed the Line 100 pipeline purchase from Phillips 66. CRC achieved first revenue at California's first commercial-scale CCS project at Elk Hills. Temporary takeaway constraints pressured oil price differentials but management expects resolution through new transportation agreements.
Guidance
Management expects pipeline dispute resolution and new transportation agreements to restore differentials to historical levels. CRC anticipates final CPUC approval for the Crimson acquisition later this month. Updates on the RCPPP natural gas with CCS market opportunity are expected this fall.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 10, 2026$0.99
est $1.31
−24.4%$1.30B
est $960.2M
+35.1%+3.9%
May 5, 2026$0.88
est $0.90
−2.2%$119.0M
est $947.5M
−87.4%−11.1%
Mar 2, 2026$0.47
est $0.49
−4.1%$924.0M
est $777.3M
+18.9%+2.8%
Nov 4, 2025$1.46
est $1.31
+11.5%$878.0M
est $780.5M
+12.5%−1.9%
Aug 5, 2025$1.10
est $0.91
+20.9%$816.0M
est $838.2M
−2.7%+3.4%
May 6, 2025$1.07
est $0.83
+28.9%$900.0M
est $821.2M
+9.6%+10.1%
Mar 3, 2025$0.91
est $0.96
−5.2%$924.0M
est $859.7M
+7.5%−12.2%
Nov 5, 2024$1.50
est $0.89
+68.5%$1.35B
est $904.9M
+49.5%+7.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

California Resources stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for California Resources is $76.33, +47.2% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$76.33consensus 12-month target, +47.2% from the last close
Low $68High $91
Buy10
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28UBSBuy, maintained$73+40.8%
Sep 27BarclaysBuy, reiterated$74+42.7%
Sep 24Roth MKMBuy, maintained——
Sep 18Roth MKMBuy, reiterated$59+13.8%
Sep 18JefferiesBuy, maintained$78+50.5%
+0.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

California Resources seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, California Resources averaged +0.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.2%2021+14.3%2022−7.1%2023−0.1%2024−12.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.0%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.9%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.6%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.4%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.3%3 of 5

For scale, CRC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.

California Resources market cap and key statistics

California Resources’s market cap is $4.60B and revenue of $3.74B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.60B
Forward P/E
11.9
EPS, TTM
−$1.25
Gekko Fair Value
$88.51

Trading

Volume
609,361
Avg volume, 20 days
896,743
52-week high
$71.98
52-week low
$43.25
Shares outstanding
88.82M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.74B
Profit margin
-3.2%
Return on equity
-3.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+200.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.90
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
Dividend yield
3.06%

California Resources stock news this week

2 headlines about California Resources from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

California Resources peers

California Resources’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil−0.2%Neutral11.4% above
CVXChevron−0.3%Accumulation4.2% above
TTETotalEnergies−1.5%Neutral27.5% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources−1.0%Accumulation23.0% below
SUSuncor Energy−0.5%Neutral19.7% below
EOGEOG Resources−1.2%Accumulation26.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

California Resources stock FAQ

What is California Resources’s market cap?

California Resources’s market cap is $4.60B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.84, with 88.82M shares outstanding.

What is the California Resources stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for California Resources is $76.33, +47.2% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is California Resources stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate California Resources is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.84 is 41.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $88.51. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does California Resources report earnings next?

California Resources is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.96 per share on revenue of $964.0M. California Resources beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.6% on average across the report.

What is California Resources’s 52-week high and low?

California Resources’s 52-week high is $71.98 and its 52-week low is $43.25; it closed at $51.84 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.6% over the past year.

Is California Resources stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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