Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BTE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BTE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BTE in Gekko
NYSE: BTE
Baytex Energy (BTE) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$4.87+0.06 (+1.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeBaytex shares rallied this week as firmer oil prices lifted the broader energy sector, with the stock cited alongside Cenovus as a top performer on the Toronto Stock Exchange. Coverage also pointed to a year of strategic transformation for Baytex, as the company has repositioned itself as a focused Canadian oil producer concentrating on its Duvernay light oil play and heavy oil assets, with one comparison noting a price-to-sales ratio of 1.68 against an industry average of 1.75.
Baytex closed at $4.87, up 1.2%, and sits above both its 50-day average of $4.67 and 200-day average of $4.26, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 52.8, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 4.9 over five days. The stock trades 3% above Gekko Fair Value of $4.73.
Baytex next reports earnings on 5 November 2026, 24 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report showed an EPS of -0.09 against an estimate of 0.01, with a -3% reaction, and two beats across eight quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.2% return over five years, rising in three of them. The consensus analyst target stands at $6.66, implying 36.8% upside.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Baytex Energy price vs fair value
Close $4.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $4.73
Baytex Energy quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.66B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 15
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.38
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.67B
- Profit margin
- -42.9%
- Dividend yield
- 1.92%
- Beta
- 0.86
- Volume
- 9.03M avg 17.46M
- 1-year return
- +90.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9%
- 50-day average
- $4.67
- 200-day average
- $4.26
- Next earnings
- Nov 5
- Shares outstanding
- 699.2M
Baytex Energy swing-trade checklist
Baytex Energy scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $4.87 is above the 50-day ($4.67) and 200-day ($4.26) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
52.8, Neutral
Reading 52.8 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.0% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 24 days
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Baytex Energy stock chart and price history
Baytex Energy closed at $4.87 on Oct 12, 2026, +90.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $2.18 to $5.36.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −3.2%
- 3 months
- +14.9%
- 6 months
- +13.5%
- 1 year
- +90.2%
The full BTE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BTE in Gekko
Follow Baytex Energy through every session
Put BTE on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track BTE in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About Baytex Energy
Baytex Energy works in finding, developing, and pulling crude oil and natural gas out of the ground. Its output spans light oil, condensate, heavy oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas, giving it a mix of hydrocarbon products rather than a single commodity focus. The company is probably most associated with its reach across two major producing regions in North America, which ties its output to broader oil and gas markets.
Operationally, Baytex Energy is built around a set of named properties rather than a single site. It holds the Eagle Ford asset in Texas, the Viking and Lloydminster fields that stretch across Alberta and Saskatchewan, and the Peace River and Duvernay areas in Alberta. Together these assets form its base in both the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and the Eagle Ford shale play in the United States, giving it production footing on both sides of the border.
Baytex Energy was established in 1993 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BTE.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Integrated oil
- Website
- baytexenergy.com
Baytex Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Baytex Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.8, in the Neutral zone, down 4.9 points over five sessions.
52.8Neutral
Down 4.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 44 | +1.3% | +3.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 172 | +0.8% | +1.5% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 416 | +0.6% | +2.3% | ||
| Distribution | 44 | −0.7% | +0.4% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average BTE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BTE price, zone by zone.Track BTE in Gekko
Is Baytex Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Baytex Energy trades 3.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $4.73, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Baytex Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$4.73
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026
3.0% above fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 41.5% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BTE in Gekko
Baytex Energy insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Baytex Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BTE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BTE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BTE in Gekko
Baytex Energy earnings: next date and track record
Baytex Energy reports on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
24 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.14
- Revenue estimate
- $226.4M
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.7%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, May 7, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Baytex Energy Corp. reported a strong Q1 2026 with production of 69,500 BOE/day (above the high end of guidance) driven by heavy oil outperformance. The company finished the quarter with net cash of $591 million and repurchased 35 million shares for $174 million. Management raised 2026 production guidance to 69,000–71,000 BOE/day (7% annual growth at midpoint) and updated the three-year outlook to target 6%–8% annual production growth through 2028 while maintaining a net cash position. Operational highlights included strong Peavine and Lloydminster heavy oil results, the start of Duvernay completions and 13 wells expected online in 2026, and ongoing exploration (Utikima land, seismic, and potential 2027 test well). Financially, adjusted funds flow was $152 million ($0.20/share) and operating netback improved to $35.36/BOE; realized hedging losses were $29 million. Capital expenditures were moved to the high end of guidance at $625 million. Management reiterated a disciplined capital allocation framework: $650 million of Eagle Ford sale proceeds allocated to 2026 buybacks (75%), continued targeted tuck-ins, and a goal of 15% annual total shareholder return at a $70 mid-cycle price via growth, dividends, and buybacks. Gemini Thermal remains a longer-term optionality with regulatory approval for Phase 1 and a potential FID target in early 2027 (first barrels possible in 2029).
- Guidance
- 2026 production guidance raised to 69,000–71,000 BOE/day (7% annual growth at midpoint). Three-year target: 6%–8% annual production growth through 2028 while maintaining net cash. Duvernay: targeting 35% production growth in 2026 with an exit rate of 14,000–15,000 BOE/day. Capital expenditures for 2026 at the high end: $625 million. Targeting 15% annual total shareholder return at $70 mid-cycle price (via growth, dividend, buybacks). CFO: ~$250 million free cash flow in 2026 at an $80 average price. Hedging: ~50% WTI hedged until end of Q2; WCS ~40–50% hedged around a $13 differential.
- Risks flagged
- Hedging losses of $29 million in Q1 and significant WTI hedge roll-off at the end of Q2 increasing exposure to oil price volatility. Service cost inflation (e.g., diesel and other supply costs) could raise capital costs. Macroeconomic/ geopolitical uncertainty referenced ("seventy days into the war") impacting oil markets. Gemini Thermal project is longer‑term optionality with commercial, technical, and timing risks (FID targeted 2027). Waterflood pilot outcomes and exploration tests (e.g., Utikima test well) are uncertain. Minor potential inconsistency in dividend commentary among speakers; ongoing execution risk in meeting higher-growth plan.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | −$0.09 est $0.01 | $325.6M est $228.0M | −3.0% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | −$0.26 est $0.00 | $552.5M est $544.3M | −0.8% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $0.03 est $0.01 | $665.1M est $535.2M | +3.4% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.20 est $0.03 | $651.2M est $565.6M | −2.8% |
| May 5, 2025 | $0.09 est $0.11 | $701.6M est $644.2M | −7.9% |
| Mar 4, 2025 | −$0.05 est $0.07 | $706.7M est $702.5M | −4.8% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $0.23 est $0.32 | $626.9M est $786.8M | +2.1% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | $0.13 est $0.16 | $652.9M est $757.1M | −4.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Baytex Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Baytex Energy is $6.66, +36.8% from the last close.
$6.66consensus 12-month target, +36.8% from the last close
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Baytex Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Baytex Energy averaged +4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −3.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.1% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, BTE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9%.
Baytex Energy market cap and key statistics
Baytex Energy’s market cap is $3.66B and revenue of $1.67B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.66B
- Forward P/E
- 15
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.38
- Gekko Fair Value
- $4.73
Trading
- Volume
- 9.03M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 17.46M
- 52-week high
- $5.36
- 52-week low
- $2.18
- Shares outstanding
- 699.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.67B
- Profit margin
- -42.9%
- Return on equity
- -8.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +21.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.86
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9%
- Dividend yield
- 1.92%
Baytex Energy stock news this week
Coverage of Baytex Energy this week reads positive: 7 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Can Baytex (TSX:BTE) Keep Its S&P/TSX Composite Energy Rally Going?Kalkine Media, Oct 12
- Baytex Energy Corp. (B5X.F) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 11
- Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE.TO) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance Singapore, Oct 10
- Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 9
- Is Baytex Energy (BTE) Stock Outpacing Its Oils-Energy Peers This Year?Zacks Investment Research, Oct 9
- Should Value Investors Buy Baytex Energy (BTE) Stock?Yahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 9
Baytex Energy peers
Baytex Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| XOMExxon Mobil | Neutral | 17.0% above |
| CVXChevron | Neutral | 8.4% above |
| TTETotalEnergies | Neutral | 29.7% below |
| CNQCanadian Natural Resources | Neutral | 19.7% below |
| SUSuncor Energy | Neutral | 17.4% below |
| EOGEOG Resources | Neutral | 22.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Baytex Energy stock FAQ
What is Baytex Energy’s market cap?
Baytex Energy’s market cap is $3.66B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $4.87, with 699.2M shares outstanding.
What is the Baytex Energy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Baytex Energy is $6.66, +36.8% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Baytex Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Baytex Energy is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $4.87 is 3.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $4.73. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Baytex Energy report earnings next?
Baytex Energy is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.14 per share on revenue of $226.4M. Baytex Energy beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.7% on average across the report.
What is Baytex Energy’s 52-week high and low?
Baytex Energy’s 52-week high is $5.36 and its 52-week low is $2.18; it closed at $4.87 on Oct 12, 2026, +90.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $7.24 on Jun 8, 2022.
Is Baytex Energy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See Baytex Energy the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.