NYSE Arca: REPX

Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$46.26+0.89 (+2.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Riley Exploration Permian reaches a new 52-week high this week, with shares touching $45.98 and commentary pointing to a one-year return near 81.55% alongside a P/E of 8.1. The company has also refinanced its capital structure, borrowing $130 million under its secured credit facility to retire $130 million of 10.50% senior unsecured notes due 2028, a move aimed at financing flexibility and interest costs. Coverage is mixed on valuation, with one view calling the stock 17.0% overvalued against a GF Score of 80/100, while noting insider selling totaling $63.8 million over the past year.

REPX closes at $46.26, up 2% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $39.88 and 200-day average of $34.50, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 46.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 6.1 over five sessions. Price sits 0.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $45.84, and the 52-week range spans $24.08 to $46.54.

Earnings are set for 4 November 2026, 22 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report beat estimates ($2.55 vs $1.54) with a 1.2% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point has averaged 11.2% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 3 firms stands at buy, with a target of $46 implying -0.6% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Riley Exploration Permian price vs fair value

$46.26$45.84Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $46.26200-day averageGekko Fair Value $45.84

Riley Exploration Permian quick facts

Market cap
$1.00B
P/E ratio
7.9
Forward P/E
5.4
EPS, TTM
$5.62
Revenue, TTM
$483.9M
Profit margin
24.5%
Dividend yield
3.70%
Beta
1.04
Volume
146,368 avg 326,702
1-year return
+68.9%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±8.3%
50-day average
$39.88
200-day average
$34.50
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
21.70M
52-week range
$24.08$46.54

Riley Exploration Permian swing-trade checklist

Riley Exploration Permian scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $46.26 is above the 50-day ($39.88) and 200-day ($34.50) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    46.6, Neutral

    Reading 46.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.9% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.9% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +11.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +11.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Riley Exploration Permian stock chart and price history

Riley Exploration Permian closed at $46.26 on Oct 12, 2026, +68.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.08 to $46.54.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Riley Exploration Permian share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct46.26

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+6.3%
3 months
+34.6%
6 months
+14.9%
1 year
+68.9%
The full REPX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open REPX in Gekko

Follow Riley Exploration Permian through every session

Put REPX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track REPX in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Riley Exploration Permian

Riley Exploration Permian works as an independent energy company involved in every stage of oil and gas development, covering land acquisition, exploration, site development, and the production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Its operations are centered in Texas and New Mexico, with a focus on the San Andres Formation, a geological shelf margin deposit found within the Central Basin Platform and Northwest Shelf regions.

The company's holdings consist largely of connected acreage blocks in Yoakum County, Texas, and in Lea and Roosevelt Counties, New Mexico. As of September 30, 2021, it held roughly 31,352 net acres and ran 77 net producing wells across these properties.

Riley Exploration Permian is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, and its shares are listed on NYSE Arca under the ticker REPX.

Listed
NYSE Arca
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Integrated oil
Website
rileypermian.com

Riley Exploration Permian GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Riley Exploration Permian’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.6, in the Neutral zone, down 6.1 points over five sessions.

010046.6Neutral

Down 6.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying15+3.1%+8.5%+3.8%+5.7%
Accumulation199+2.3%+3.9%+5.0%+9.7%
Neutral (current zone)4110.0%0.0%+1.9%+3.1%
Distribution54−0.3%−0.3%−2.6%−3.3%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average REPX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the REPX price, zone by zone.Track REPX in Gekko

Is Riley Exploration Permian stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Riley Exploration Permian trades 0.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $45.84, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Riley Exploration Permian shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$45.84

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

0.9% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$46$45Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open REPX in Gekko

Riley Exploration Permian insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Riley Exploration Permian, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for REPX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every REPX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open REPX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in REPX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for REPX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open REPX in Gekko

Buybacks

Riley Exploration Permian has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$100.0M, Dec 16, 2025
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$2.71M
As a share of market cap
0.27%
Trailing four quarters
$9.64M

From company filings.

Riley Exploration Permian earnings: next date and track record

Riley Exploration Permian reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.8%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+11.0%Nov ’24+0.5%Mar ’25+4.9%May ’25+1.1%Aug ’25−2.6%Nov ’25+9.9%Mar ’26−7.1%May ’26+1.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) reported Q2 2026 oil production near the high end of guidance, with 5% sequential growth and a June exit rate of 24,400 barrels/day. Q2 capital spend was $87M with D&C at $70M. Midstream constraints in April-May reduced production by ~2,000 bbl/day. Drilling efficiency improved 19% in lateral footage/day with 7.5% cost reduction per lateral foot vs. 2025.
Guidance
REPX raised full-year oil production guidance to approximately 30% year-over-year growth. Q3 oil production is expected to increase more than 20% sequentially, the largest quarterly increase of 2026. A Targa high-pressure gathering system is expected online in Q4, alleviating midstream constraints.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$2.55
est $1.54
+65.6%$165.9M
est $159.5M
+4.0%+1.2%
May 6, 2026$1.02
est $1.10
−7.3%$113.9M
est $118.9M
−4.2%−7.1%
Mar 4, 2026$1.01
est $1.06
−4.7%$97.28M
est $104.9M
−7.2%+9.9%
Nov 5, 2025$0.77
est $0.97
−20.6%$106.9M
est $111.2M
−3.9%−2.6%
Aug 6, 2025$1.44
est $1.00
+44.0%$85.39M
est $85.68M
−0.3%+1.1%
May 7, 2025$1.62
est $1.63
−0.6%$102.5M
est $104.5M
−2.0%+4.9%
Mar 5, 2025$0.96
est $1.66
−42.2%$102.7M
est $103.9M
−1.1%+0.5%
Nov 7, 2024$1.21
est $1.57
−22.9%$102.3M
est $105.2M
−2.7%+11.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Riley Exploration Permian stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Riley Exploration Permian is $46.00, −0.6% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$46.00consensus 12-month target, −0.6% from the last close
Low $41High $45
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 13Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$41−11.4%
Aug 6Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Aug 6Roth MKMBuy, reiterated$45−2.7%
Aug 6William BlairBuy, reiterated——
Jul 24William BlairBuy, maintained——
+1.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+11.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Riley Exploration Permian seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Riley Exploration Permian averaged +11.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.5%2021+41.3%2022+4.8%2023+12.0%2024−5.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+6.2%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+8.1%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+8.9%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+11.2%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.2%3 of 5

For scale, REPX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.3%.

Riley Exploration Permian market cap and key statistics

Riley Exploration Permian’s market cap is $1.00B, with a P/E ratio of 7.9 and revenue of $483.9M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.00B
P/E ratio
7.9
Forward P/E
5.4
EPS, TTM
$5.62
Gekko Fair Value
$45.84

Trading

Volume
146,368
Avg volume, 20 days
326,702
52-week high
$46.54
52-week low
$24.08
Shares outstanding
21.70M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$483.9M
Profit margin
24.5%
Return on equity
19.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+185.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.04
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±8.3%
Dividend yield
3.70%

Riley Exploration Permian stock news this week

Coverage of Riley Exploration Permian this week reads positive: 3 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Riley Exploration Permian peers

Riley Exploration Permian’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil+0.7%Neutral17.0% above
CVXChevron+0.2%Neutral8.4% above
TTETotalEnergies+0.2%Neutral29.7% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources+0.4%Neutral19.7% below
SUSuncor Energy+0.2%Neutral17.4% below
EOGEOG Resources+0.1%Neutral22.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Riley Exploration Permian stock FAQ

What is Riley Exploration Permian’s market cap?

Riley Exploration Permian’s market cap is $1.00B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $46.26, with 21.70M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.9.

What is the Riley Exploration Permian stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Riley Exploration Permian is $46.00, −0.6% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Riley Exploration Permian stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Riley Exploration Permian is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $46.26 is 0.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $45.84. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Riley Exploration Permian report earnings next?

Riley Exploration Permian is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.97 per share on revenue of $165.4M. Riley Exploration Permian beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.8% on average across the report.

What is Riley Exploration Permian’s 52-week high and low?

Riley Exploration Permian’s 52-week high is $46.54 and its 52-week low is $24.08; it closed at $46.26 on Oct 12, 2026, +68.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $47.79 on Apr 11, 2023.

Is Riley Exploration Permian stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Riley Exploration Permian the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.