NYSE: DEC

Diversified Energy (DEC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$14.16+0.33 (+2.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Diversified Energy edged higher this week, closing at $14.16, up 2.4%, as broader markets dipped, after a prior session that closed at $13.61 with a 1.42% gain. No new results, guidance, deals or regulatory items accompanied the moves, which tracked day-to-day market swings rather than company-specific developments.

The stock trades at $14.16, below both its 50-day average of $14.30 and its 200-day average of $14.40, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 56.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -8.7 points. Price sits 41.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.09.

No confirmed earnings date appears on the calendar, and no insider, Congress or unusual options activity is recorded in the recent windows. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -0.2%, rising in 3 of them. Separately, all 6 covering analysts carry a buy rating, with a consensus target of $21.25, implying 50.1% upside. The 52-week range spans $12.33 to $18.90, with one-month returns at -4.4% and three-month returns at 6.1%.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Diversified Energy price vs fair value

▲$24.09$14.16Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $14.16200-day averageGekko Fair Value $24.09

Diversified Energy quick facts

Market cap
$1.02B
P/E ratio
2.3
Forward P/E
4.7
EPS, TTM
$6.22
Revenue, TTM
$1.94B
Profit margin
23.3%
Dividend yield
8.27%
Beta
0.35
Volume
580,720 avg 833,311
1-year return
+6.0%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.9%
50-day average
$14.30
200-day average
$14.40
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
69.04M
52-week range
$12.33$18.90

Diversified Energy swing-trade checklist

Diversified Energy scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $14.16 is below the 50-day ($14.30) and 200-day ($14.40) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.3, Neutral

    Reading 56.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    41.2% below

    Price is 41.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Diversified Energy stock chart and price history

Diversified Energy closed at $14.16 on Oct 12, 2026, +6.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $12.33 to $18.90.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Diversified Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$16$18NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct14.16

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.4%
3 months
+6.1%
6 months
−12.4%
1 year
+6.0%
The full DEC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DEC in Gekko

Follow Diversified Energy through every session

Put DEC on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track DEC in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

Diversified Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Diversified Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.3, in the Neutral zone, down 8.7 points over five sessions.

010056.3Neutral

Down 8.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying48+0.2%+1.2%+3.3%+16.3%
Accumulation219+0.7%+1.6%+2.9%+8.1%
Neutral (current zone)369−0.1%−0.3%+0.1%−1.1%
Distribution42+1.1%+1.9%−0.3%−3.4%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average DEC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DEC price, zone by zone.Track DEC in Gekko

Is Diversified Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Diversified Energy trades 41.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.09, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Diversified Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$24.09

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

41.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DEC in Gekko

Diversified Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Diversified Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DEC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DEC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DEC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DEC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DEC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DEC in Gekko

Buybacks

Diversified Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$82.50M
As a share of market cap
8.06%

From company filings.

Diversified Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Diversified Energy is $21.25, +50.1% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$21.25consensus 12-month target, +50.1% from the last close
Low $16High $32
Buy6
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16William BlairBuy, maintained——
Sep 4Clear StreetBuy, reiterated$26+83.6%
Sep 4KeyBancBuy, maintained——
Sep 3Clear StreetBuy, maintained$26+83.6%
Aug 13Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$20+41.2%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Diversified Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Diversified Energy averaged −0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−18.5%2021+4.8%2022−7.5%2023+10.1%2024+7.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−3.0%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.4%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.5%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.1%2 of 5

For scale, DEC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.9%.

Diversified Energy market cap and key statistics

Diversified Energy’s market cap is $1.02B, with a P/E ratio of 2.3 and revenue of $1.94B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.02B
P/E ratio
2.3
Forward P/E
4.7
EPS, TTM
$6.22
Gekko Fair Value
$24.09

Trading

Volume
580,720
Avg volume, 20 days
833,311
52-week high
$18.90
52-week low
$12.33
Shares outstanding
69.04M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.94B
Profit margin
23.3%
Return on equity
53.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−9.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.35
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.9%
Dividend yield
8.27%

Diversified Energy stock news this week

3 headlines about Diversified Energy from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Diversified Energy peers

Diversified Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil+0.7%Neutral17.0% above
CVXChevron+0.2%Neutral8.4% above
TTETotalEnergies+0.2%Neutral29.7% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources+0.4%Neutral19.7% below
SUSuncor Energy+0.2%Neutral17.4% below
EOGEOG Resources+0.1%Neutral22.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Diversified Energy stock FAQ

What is Diversified Energy’s market cap?

Diversified Energy’s market cap is $1.02B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.16, with 69.04M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 2.3.

What is the Diversified Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Diversified Energy is $21.25, +50.1% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Diversified Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Diversified Energy is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $14.16 is 41.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.09. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Diversified Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Diversified Energy’s 52-week high is $18.90 and its 52-week low is $12.33; it closed at $14.16 on Oct 12, 2026, +6.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $34.80 on Aug 22, 2022.

Is Diversified Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Diversified Energy the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.