NYSE: KOS

Kosmos Energy (KOS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$2.72+0.08 (+3.0%)

Gekko Brief

Oct 12 close

Kosmos Energy closed at $2.72 on 12 October 2026, +3% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($2.71) and 200-day ($2.39) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $0.84 to $3.34. The GekkoIndex reads 56.7, in the Neutral zone, down 6.4 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $2.82, so the price is 3.5% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 9 November 2026, 28 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 1 times, with an average move of 8.1% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +1.3% over the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

4 firms rate the stock: 1 buy, 1 hold and 2 sell, with a consensus target of $2.99. A typical daily move is about 5.8%, and a typical 20-day move about 10.5%. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 item reads supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (earnings risk).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.

Kosmos Energy price vs fair value

$2.82$2.72Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $2.72200-day averageGekko Fair Value $2.82

Kosmos Energy quick facts

Market cap
$1.32B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
4.7
EPS, TTM
−$1.12
Revenue, TTM
$1.58B
Profit margin
-34.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.88
Volume
10.07M avg 13.38M
1-year return
+60.9%
Typical daily move
±5.8%
Typical 20-day move
±10.5%
50-day average
$2.71
200-day average
$2.39
Next earnings
Nov 9
Shares outstanding
595.5M
52-week range
$0.84$3.34

Kosmos Energy swing-trade checklist

Kosmos Energy scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $2.72 is above the 50-day ($2.71) and 200-day ($2.39) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.7, Neutral

    Reading 56.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.5% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Nov 9, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Kosmos Energy stock chart and price history

Kosmos Energy closed at $2.72 on Oct 12, 2026, +60.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $0.84 to $3.34.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Kosmos Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$1.00$1.50$2.00$2.50$3.00NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct2.72

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.9%
3 months
+8.8%
6 months
+3.8%
1 year
+60.9%
The full KOS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KOS in Gekko

Follow Kosmos Energy through every session

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About Kosmos Energy

Kosmos Energy searches for and produces oil and natural gas in deep-water settings, with its work concentrated along the Atlantic Margins. The company holds producing oil interests offshore Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, and in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, and it is best known for this deep-water production base along with natural gas projects being developed off Mauritania and Senegal.

Alongside its producing and developing assets, Kosmos Energy carries out exploration work in basins already known to hold hydrocarbons, extending its activity beyond current output into future supply. This exploration effort sits alongside the established production and the gas projects under development, giving the company a mix of current income and longer-term prospects within the same geographic focus.

Kosmos Energy was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker KOS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Integrated oil
Website
kosmosenergy.com

Kosmos Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Kosmos Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.7, in the Neutral zone, down 6.4 points over five sessions.

010056.7Neutral

Down 6.4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying73+0.6%+1.3%+3.7%+27.8%
Accumulation284−0.3%−0.8%−3.2%−3.9%
Neutral (current zone)312+0.1%−0.4%+0.4%−3.4%
Distribution12−9.1%−1.0%+8.3%+23.7%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average KOS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KOS price, zone by zone.Track KOS in Gekko

Is Kosmos Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Kosmos Energy trades 3.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $2.82, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Kosmos Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$2.82

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

3.5% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.6% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$3$3Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KOS in Gekko

Kosmos Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Kosmos Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for KOS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every KOS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KOS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KOS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KOS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KOS in Gekko

Buybacks

Kosmos Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2022
$2.75M
As a share of market cap
0.21%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds KOS.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Kosmos Energy earnings: next date and track record

Kosmos Energy reports on Nov 9, 2026 (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.8%Nov ’24−16.4%Feb ’25−4.4%May ’25−5.6%Aug ’25−5.7%Nov ’25+10.3%Mar ’26−11.6%May ’26−10.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Kosmos Energy reported a strong second quarter 2026 driven by higher production (approximately +12% year-over-year in Q2; +18% in H1), realized price tailwinds from geopolitical-driven price strength, significant operating cost reductions (absolute OpEx down ~25% in Q2 and ~24% in H1), and meaningful net debt reduction (~15% vs year-end 2025). Management highlighted operational progress at Jubilee (notably the high-performing J-76 well), continued ramp-up and domestic gas commercialization progress at the Greater Tortue/Ahmeyim (GTA) asset, and advancement of growth assets in the U.S. Gulf — including the Tiberius farm-down and Trailblazer prospectivity. Management reiterated four 2026 priorities — grow production, lower costs, reduce debt, and advance the growth portfolio — and reported progress against each. Near-term headwinds discussed include drilling performance issues at Winterfell (activity paused to diagnose drilling problems) and lower-than-target water injection availability at Jubilee in Q2 (around 65%), both of which are operational focus areas. Financial actions include the Equatorial Guinea disposal (completed in June), continued RBL refinancing work (targeting completion in Q4), consideration of the 2028 bond maturity (repayment, opportunistic repurchase, or refinancing), and an expectation to generate incremental free cash flow to achieve a ~20% net debt reduction target for 2026.
Guidance
Updated Q3 and full-year 2026 guidance reflecting the Equatorial Guinea sale: production midpoint reduced by ~2,500 boe/d for H2 2026; company expects OpEx per barrel to fall ~35% in 2026. Management expects to achieve ~20% net debt reduction in 2026 (from year-end 2025), with approximately $150 million of the remaining reduction expected to come from free cash flow. Updated guidance table referenced in appendix (no additional numeric ranges provided in transcript).
Risks flagged
Operational risks: Winterfell drilling performance and higher-than-expected drilling costs leading to a pause pending resolution; Jubilee water injection availability shortfall in Q2 (~65% vs ~130% in Q1) which could impact reservoir support if not fixed. Financial/refinancing risks: upcoming bond maturities (notably 2028), ongoing RBL redetermination/refinancing activity (though management expects completion), and exposure to commodity price volatility (prices helped Q2 results but are inherently variable).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$0.11
est $0.09
+22.2%$617.0M
est $483.2M
+27.7%−10.0%
May 5, 2026−$0.07
est $0.02
−450.0%$370.9M
est $405.2M
−8.5%−11.6%
Mar 2, 2026−$0.16
est −$0.13
−25.0%$296.5M
est $330.0M
−10.2%+10.3%
Nov 3, 2025−$0.15
est −$0.13
−18.8%$311.2M
est $323.5M
−3.8%−5.7%
Aug 4, 2025−$0.19
est −$0.06
−216.7%$393.5M
est $444.3M
−11.4%−5.6%
May 6, 2025−$0.23
est $0.14
−266.1%$290.1M
est $423.9M
−31.6%−4.4%
Feb 24, 2025−$0.03
est −$0.02
−50.0%$397.6M
est $400.9M
−0.8%−16.4%
Nov 4, 2024$0.08
est $0.08
0.0%$407.8M
est $409.1M
−0.3%+0.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Kosmos Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Kosmos Energy is $2.99, +9.7% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$2.99consensus 12-month target, +9.7% from the last close
Low $1.90High $2.82
Buy1
Hold1
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$1.90−30.1%
Sep 9Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$1.70−37.5%
Aug 4JefferiesBuy, reiterated$2.82+3.7%
Jul 27Goldman SachsSell, maintained$2.50−8.1%
Jul 21StephensHold, maintained$2.40−11.8%
+0.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Kosmos Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Kosmos Energy averaged +1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+12.2%2021+24.7%2022−10.4%2023−19.0%2024−7.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.2%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.4%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−5.9%2 of 5

For scale, KOS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.5%.

Kosmos Energy market cap and key statistics

Kosmos Energy’s market cap is $1.32B and revenue of $1.58B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.32B
Forward P/E
4.7
EPS, TTM
−$1.12
Gekko Fair Value
$2.82

Trading

Volume
10.07M
Avg volume, 20 days
13.38M
52-week high
$3.34
52-week low
$0.84
Shares outstanding
595.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.58B
Profit margin
-34.2%
Return on equity
-62.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−50.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.88
Typical daily move
±5.8%
Typical 20-day move
±10.5%

Kosmos Energy stock news this week

Coverage of Kosmos Energy this week reads positive: 6 positive, 4 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Kosmos Energy peers

Kosmos Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil+0.7%Neutral17.0% above
CVXChevron+0.2%Neutral8.4% above
TTETotalEnergies+0.2%Neutral29.7% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources+0.4%Neutral19.7% below
SUSuncor Energy+0.2%Neutral17.4% below
EOGEOG Resources+0.1%Neutral22.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Kosmos Energy stock FAQ

What is Kosmos Energy’s market cap?

Kosmos Energy’s market cap is $1.32B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $2.72, with 595.5M shares outstanding.

What is the Kosmos Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Kosmos Energy is $2.99, +9.7% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Kosmos Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Kosmos Energy is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $2.72 is 3.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $2.82. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Kosmos Energy report earnings next?

Kosmos Energy is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.11 per share on revenue of $426.9M. Kosmos Energy beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.1% on average across the report.

What is Kosmos Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Kosmos Energy’s 52-week high is $3.34 and its 52-week low is $0.84; it closed at $2.72 on Oct 12, 2026, +60.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $8.55 on Feb 27, 2023.

Is Kosmos Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend), 3 as mixed (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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