NYSE: CM

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce. Finance sector, regional banks industry. Market cap $106.4B.

$114.87+1.09 (+1.0%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

CM closes at $114.87, up 1% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $117.52 and 200-day average of $105.59. The GekkoIndex reads 59.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while price trades 3.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $118.76. Longer-term returns remain firm, with the stock up 20.2% over six months and 43.2% over the past year, though the one-month return is -2.5%.

Coverage this week centered on fundamentals and analyst positioning. CM presented at the Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference, and commentary highlighted Q3 results showing 15% year-over-year revenue growth with broad-based strength across core segments, attributed to net interest income, trading revenues and disciplined expense management. Separately, analysts issued a "Hold" consensus with a C$167.79 target from twelve analysts, while another set of ten brokerages assigned a "Moderate Buy" rating with a $167.00 average target. CIBC also extended a CA$2 million revolving credit facility to Focus Graphite and published Second Amended Final Terms on notes due September 2033.

Looking ahead, CM's next earnings report is scheduled for 3 December 2026, 74 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The consensus target stands at $120.60, implying 5% upside from current levels. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a -1.8% return over five years, rising in only 2 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $114.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $118.76

Key stats

Market cap
$106.4B
P/E ratio
15.1
Forward P/E
13.7
EPS, TTM
$7.49
Revenue, TTM
$30.01B
Profit margin
33.7%
Dividend yield
3.69%
Beta
1.25
Volume
676,116 avg 934,714
1-year return
+43.2%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
50-day average
$117.52
200-day average
$105.59
Next earnings
Dec 3
Shares outstanding
907.9M
52-week range
$78.79$124.86

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce swing-trade checklist

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $114.87 sits between the 50-day ($117.52) and 200-day ($105.59) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.3, Neutral

    Reading 59.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.3% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.3% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 74 days

    Next report Dec 3, 2026, 74 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce stock chart and price history

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce closed at $114.87 on Sep 18, 2026, +43.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $78.79 to $124.86.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.5%
3 months
+2.8%
6 months
+20.2%
1 year
+43.2%
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About Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, known as CIBC, is a full-service bank serving everyday customers, small and large businesses, government bodies and major institutional clients in Canada, the United States and other parts of the world. Its offerings span deposit and checking accounts, home loans, personal and commercial lending, student and agricultural financing, credit cards, overdraft coverage, and insurance and investment products.

The bank runs its business through four segments: personal and business banking in Canada, commercial banking and wealth management in Canada, commercial banking and wealth management in the United States, and a capital markets unit. It also supports clients with wealth planning, borrowing solutions, cross-border banking links, currency exchange handled digitally, and cash management tools for managing day-to-day finances.

CIBC traces its founding to 1867 and keeps its head office in Toronto, Canada. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker CM.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Regional banks
Website
cibc.com

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.3, in the Neutral zone, down 1 point over five sessions.

010059.3Neutral

Down 1 point over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying13+0.7%+2.1%+2.1%+16.9%
Accumulation135+0.5%+1.2%+3.9%+7.4%
Neutral (current zone)445+0.8%+1.5%+2.9%+8.0%
Distribution68+1.1%+1.9%+3.3%+8.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average CM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CM price, zone by zone.Track CM in Gekko

Is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce trades 3.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $118.76, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$118.76

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 18, 2026

3.3% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CM in Gekko

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CM in Gekko

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce earnings: next date and track record

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce reports on Dec 3, 2026 (74 days away).

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce is $120.60, +5.0% from the last close.

$120.60consensus 12-month target, +5.0% from the last close
+2.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−1.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce averaged −1.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.0%2021−10.6%2022−6.6%2023+1.6%2024−1.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.6%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.8%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.0%3 of 5

For scale, CM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.6%.

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce market cap and key statistics

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce’s market cap is $106.4B, with a P/E ratio of 15.1 and revenue of $30.01B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$106.4B
P/E ratio
15.1
Forward P/E
13.7
EPS, TTM
$7.49
Gekko Fair Value
$118.76

Trading

Volume
676,116
Avg volume, 20 days
934,714
52-week high
$124.86
52-week low
$78.79
Shares outstanding
907.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$30.01B
Profit margin
33.7%
Return on equity
15.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+14.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.25
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
Dividend yield
3.69%

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce peers

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
USBU.S. Bancorp+0.4%Buying8.9% below
NUNu−0.9%Accumulation15.5% below
TFCTruist Financial+0.2%Buying8.0% below
FITBFifth Third Bancorp−0.7%Accumulation10.0% below
MTBM&T Bank+0.6%Buying9.2% below
FCNCAFirst Citizens BancShares−0.3%Accumulation5.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce stock FAQ

What is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce’s market cap?

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce’s market cap is $106.4B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $114.87, with 907.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.1.

What is the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce is $120.60, +5.0% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $114.87 is 3.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $118.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce report earnings next?

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce is expected to report on Dec 3, 2026 (74 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.83 per share on revenue of $5.95B.

What is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce’s 52-week high and low?

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce’s 52-week high is $124.86 and its 52-week low is $78.79; it closed at $114.87 on Sep 18, 2026, +43.2% over the past year.

Is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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