NYSE: NU

Nu (NU) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$11.99+0.38 (+3.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Nu shares moved this week amid a Brazilian political shock, with the stock down sharply following election results that pressured the Brazilian real, leaving the stock roughly 36% off its high according to commentary. Coverage also weighed Nu against peers including CME Group, Robinhood and Landmark Bancorp, citing its customer base above 140 million and 2025 revenue near $15.9 billion, while other pieces flagged an upcoming first-ever investor day on 8 December and debated whether the sell-off is overdone given reported customer growth of 13% year-over-year and net income up 66.58% since August 2025.

Nu closed at $11.99, up 3.3% on the day, but remains below both its 50-day average of $14.13 and 200-day average of $14.38, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 68.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $16.

Earnings are due 12 November 2026 after close, seven days out, following a prior quarter beat of $0.22 versus $0.20 estimated and a 12.3% reaction; Nu has beaten in 5 of its last 8 quarters, with an average absolute move of 7.8%. Options activity shows 2 unusual signals over the last 30 days, with call premium of $5.9 million versus put premium of $551,582. Billionaire holders stand at 2 and trailblazer holders at 6. Seasonality over 4 years shows an average 20-day return of -7.1%, positive in 1 of those years.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Nu price vs fair value

$16.00$11.99Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $11.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $16.00

Nu quick facts

Market cap
$57.92B
P/E ratio
15.9
Forward P/E
10.5
EPS, TTM
$0.73
Revenue, TTM
$8.44B
Profit margin
42.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.97
Volume
87.40M avg 86.76M
1-year return
−25.7%
Typical daily move
±6.1%
Typical 20-day move
±9%
50-day average
$14.13
200-day average
$14.38
Next earnings
Nov 12 after close
Shares outstanding
3.81B
52-week range
$11.20$18.98

Nu swing-trade checklist

Nu scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $11.99 is below the 50-day ($14.13) and 200-day ($14.38) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.9, Accumulation

    Reading 68.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    25.1% below

    Price is 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 7 days

    Reports on Nov 12, 2026, 7 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −7.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −7.1% over 4 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Nu stock chart and price history

Nu closed at $11.99 on Nov 4, 2026, −25.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.20 to $18.98.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Nu share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$14$16$18DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct11.99

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−23.4%
3 months
−15.1%
6 months
−17.2%
1 year
−25.7%
The full NU chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NU in Gekko

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About Nu

Nu runs an online banking service used by consumers across Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. People recognize it for its card lineup, which includes a device that works as both a credit and prepaid card, a premium metal option called Ultraviolet, and a membership upgrade known as Nubank+. Through its app, account holders can send money, cover bills, shop with everyday purchases, and browse an in-app marketplace linked to outside online retailers.

The company also runs personal and business accounts, letting entrepreneurs manage their finances alongside individual customers. Its savings and investment tools include goal-oriented Money Boxes, guided investment options, and a feature for trading cryptocurrency. On the lending side, Nu provides unsecured and secured personal loans, instant peer-to-peer transfer financing, bill-payment financing, and purchase-related credit, plus a tool for completing online payments through the app. It further sells insurance covering life, mobile devices, vehicles, homes, and financial protection, and adds extras like a travel-booking service and a mobile phone plan.

Nu traces back to 2013 and runs its main offices out of São Paulo, Brazil. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker NU.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Regional banks
Website
nubank.com.br

Nu GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Nu’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.9, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.4 points over five sessions.

010068.9Accumulation

Down 2.4 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying45+2.2%+4.4%+5.4%+11.3%
Accumulation (current zone)193+0.9%+2.8%+5.8%+5.0%
Neutral3900.0%−0.4%+0.1%+2.3%
Distribution63+0.5%+0.8%−1.3%−0.1%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average NU share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NU price, zone by zone.Track NU in Gekko

Is Nu stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Nu trades 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $16.00, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Nu shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$16.00

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

25.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$16$12Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NU in Gekko

Nu insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nu, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NU in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NU insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NU in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NU were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NU, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NU in Gekko

Buybacks

Nu has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$500.4M
As a share of market cap
0.86%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 91% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 27, $1.86M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

8of the funds Gekko tracks hold NU.

4added1opened3trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Nu earnings: next date and track record

Nu reports on Nov 12, 2026, after the close (7 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.1%Nov ’24−19.7%Feb ’25+4.2%May ’25+5.9%Aug ’25−2.2%Nov ’25−8.9%Feb ’26−4.9%May ’26+12.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Nu Holdings reported a strongly positive Q2 2026 quarter highlighted by its first quarter generating over $1 billion in net income. Key operational metrics improved: customer base reached 139 million (118M Brazil, 16M Mexico as of end of July, >5M Colombia), engagement/activity rates rose to 83.5% (Brazil >86%), ARPAC reached $17, gross revenue was $5.9 billion, and efficiency ratio was a low 20%. The credit portfolio grew to $39.4 billion (up 37% YoY) with broad-based growth across credit cards, unsecured and secured lending; deposits recovered to $45.3 billion with an 18% YoY increase. Management emphasized disciplined underwriting, short-duration products, and advantages from being primary bank for many customers. AI is being integrated across credit underwriting, pricing and product personalization; management highlighted productivity gains and model improvements but maintained disciplined monitoring. Mexico and Colombia remain key growth markets, and the U.S. is a future expansion with a staged approach. Q&A focused on technical items: impact of the government renegotiation program (Desenrola) on provisions and NIM, staging of affected loans, NPL seasonality vs mix shifts, private payroll product progress, and model portability to the U.S. Management tone was confident, factual and measured.
Guidance
Management provided qualitative forward guidance: they expect risk-adjusted net interest margin to remain in the same region as current levels (around the mid-teens on a managerial measure; management referenced ~12% risk-adjusted NIM as the ballpark). They also stated they will limit initial U.S. entry incremental spend to no more than 100 basis points of the efficiency ratio. No specific numeric revenue, EPS, or formal quarter/year guidance was issued.
Risks flagged
Mentioned risks and headwinds included macroeconomic uncertainty in Brazil (but management does not take directional bets), potential further impact from the government renegotiation program (Desenrola) affecting provisions, seasonality and mix shifts increasing NPL volatility (particularly driven by portfolio mix changes), Mexico deposit optimization (lowering deposits intentionally), a small Stage 3 portfolio related to the renegotiation program, attrition and hiring dynamics tied to return-to-office decisions, and the challenge/time required (12–30 months) to build credit model confidence and data richness in the U.S. market.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026$0.22
est $0.20
+10.0%$5.88B
est $5.39B
+9.1%+12.3%
May 14, 2026$0.18
est $0.19
−6.5%$4.97B
est $5.06B
−1.8%−4.9%
Feb 25, 2026$0.18
est $0.18
0.0%$4.90B
est $4.55B
+7.7%−8.9%
Nov 13, 2025$0.17
est $0.16
+6.3%$4.00B
est $3.52B
+13.7%−2.2%
Aug 14, 2025$0.14
est $0.13
+5.0%$3.54B
est $3.19B
+11.0%+5.9%
May 13, 2025$0.11
est $0.12
−5.1%$3.25B
est $3.23B
+0.6%+4.2%
Feb 20, 2025$0.12
est $0.12
+0.8%$2.99B
est $2.76B
+8.3%−19.7%
Nov 13, 2024$0.12
est $0.11
+9.1%$2.86B
est $2.61B
+9.5%−4.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Nu stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nu is $18.80, +56.8% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$18.80consensus 12-month target, +56.8% from the last close
Low $10High $23
Buy7
Hold3
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 27Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$21+75.1%
Oct 27CitiHold, maintained$14.50+20.9%
Oct 26MonnessBuy, initiated$20+66.8%
Oct 26SusquehannaHold, maintained$16+33.4%
Oct 23Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$21+75.1%
+5.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−7.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 4 years
±6.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Nu seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Nu averaged −7.1% across the last 4 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−16.6%2022−1.2%2023−18.8%2024+10.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.5%3 of 4
Next 10 trading days−6.0%0 of 4
Next 15 trading days−3.2%1 of 4
Next 20 trading days−7.1%1 of 4
Next 30 trading days−9.9%1 of 4

For scale, NU’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9%.

Nu market cap and key statistics

Nu’s market cap is $57.92B, with a P/E ratio of 15.9 and revenue of $8.44B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$57.92B
P/E ratio
15.9
Forward P/E
10.5
EPS, TTM
$0.73
Gekko Fair Value
$16.00

Trading

Volume
87.40M
Avg volume, 20 days
86.76M
52-week high
$18.98
52-week low
$11.20
Shares outstanding
3.81B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$8.44B
Profit margin
42.7%
Return on equity
31.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+66.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.97
Typical daily move
±6.1%
Typical 20-day move
±9%

Nu peers

Nu’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CMCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce+1.3%Neutral2.8% above
USBU.S. Bancorp−0.9%Neutral3.7% below
TFCTruist Financial−0.2%Neutral1.1% above
FITBFifth Third Bancorp−0.4%Neutral2.7% below
MTBM&T Bank−1.3%Neutral3.9% below
FCNCAFirst Citizens BancShares−1.6%Neutral1.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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Nu stock FAQ

What is Nu’s market cap?

Nu’s market cap is $57.92B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $11.99, with 3.81B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.9.

What is the Nu stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nu is $18.80, +56.8% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Nu stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Nu is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $11.99 is 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $16.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Nu report earnings next?

Nu is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026, after the market closes (7 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.23 per share on revenue of $5.96B. Nu beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.8% on average across the report.

What is Nu’s 52-week high and low?

Nu’s 52-week high is $18.98 and its 52-week low is $11.20; it closed at $11.99 on Nov 4, 2026, −25.7% over the past year.

Is Nu stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and smart money) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Nu?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Nu over the last 30 days, with $5.90M of flagged premium in calls and $552K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 27, 2026 with $1.86M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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