Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BUSE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BUSE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BUSE in Gekko
NASDAQ: BUSE
First Busey (BUSE) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$29.21+0.28 (+1.0%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's attention on First Busey centers on its upcoming earnings report, with commentary pointing to its track record of surprises and highlighting the stock as a dividend candidate. A separate piece compares First Busey to Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) across earnings, profitability, dividends and valuation, while another notes mixed near-term sentiment alongside a more constructive long-term view based on trading-strategy analysis.
BUSE closed at $29.21, up 1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $30.25 and 200-day average of $27.54, a mixed trend signal. The GekkoIndex reads 64.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Shares trade 6.3% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $31.17. Three covering analysts show one buy and two hold ratings, with a consensus target of $32.43 and 11% implied upside.
Over the next 20 trading days, the company reports earnings on 27 October, 14 days out, which falls inside a typical holding window and follows a history of 7 beats in 8 quarters, with the last report producing a 3.3% reaction. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 8.8% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, higher in 5 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
First Busey price vs fair value
Close $29.21200-day averageGekko Fair Value $31.17
First Busey quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.47B
- P/E ratio
- 12
- Forward P/E
- 10.4
- EPS, TTM
- $2.42
- Revenue, TTM
- $782.9M
- Profit margin
- 29.5%
- Dividend yield
- 3.47%
- Beta
- 0.74
- Volume
- 512,924 avg 863,895
- 1-year return
- +25.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5%
- 50-day average
- $30.25
- 200-day average
- $27.54
- Next earnings
- Oct 27
- Shares outstanding
- 82.58M
First Busey swing-trade checklist
First Busey scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $29.21 sits between the 50-day ($30.25) and 200-day ($27.54) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64.4, Accumulation
Reading 64.4 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
6.3% below
Price is 6.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 15 days
Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 15 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+8.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.8% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
First Busey stock chart and price history
First Busey closed at $29.21 on Oct 12, 2026, +25.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $22.00 to $31.70.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.0%
- 3 months
- −0.3%
- 6 months
- +9.4%
- 1 year
- +25.4%
The full BUSE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BUSE in Gekko
Follow First Busey through every session
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About First Busey
First Busey is the holding company behind Busey Bank, offering banking and financial services across the United States to everyday consumers, businesses, institutions, and government bodies. It is widely recognized for operating a full-service bank that pairs traditional deposit and lending products with broader wealth and payment services, reaching customers through branches, ATMs, and online channels.
The company runs its work through three divisions. Its banking arm handles deposit accounts and a wide variety of loans, including commercial, agricultural, real estate, and consumer lending, along with services like money transfers and safe deposit boxes. The Wealth Management division covers investment and trust services, retirement and succession planning, brokerage, tax preparation, and farm management, while a separate unit called FirsTech focuses on payment processing, supporting bill pay, direct debits, ACH transactions, card network services, and treasury management tools for businesses.
First Busey traces its roots to 1868 and is headquartered in Champaign, Illinois, with banking centers spread across Illinois, Missouri, southwest Florida, and Indianapolis, Indiana. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker BUSE.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Regional banks
- Website
- busey.com
First Busey GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
First Busey’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.5 points over five sessions.
64.4Accumulation
Up 1.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 26 | −0.3% | +5.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 218 | +0.6% | +2.9% | ||
| Neutral | 396 | +0.2% | 0.0% | ||
| Distribution | 40 | −1.1% | −2.7% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average BUSE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BUSE price, zone by zone.Track BUSE in Gekko
Is First Busey stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
First Busey trades 6.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $31.17, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what First Busey shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$31.17
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026
6.3% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.5% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BUSE in Gekko
First Busey insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for First Busey, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BUSE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BUSE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BUSE in Gekko
Buybacks
First Busey has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $63.76M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.58%
- Trailing four quarters
- $172.8M
From company filings.
First Busey earnings: next date and track record
First Busey reports on Oct 27, 2026 (15 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
15 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.67
- Revenue estimate
- $195.8M
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $0.69 est $0.63 | $194.3M est $197.6M | +3.3% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $0.52 est $0.55 | $197.2M est $197.1M | −2.8% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $0.68 est $0.62 | $200.9M est $197.7M | −1.3% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.64 est $0.61 | $196.3M est $196.0M | −2.9% |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $0.63 est $0.61 | $198.0M est $196.1M | −1.9% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $0.57 est $0.53 | $125.0M est $140.8M | +6.8% |
| Jan 28, 2025 | $0.53 est $0.52 | $116.0M est $116.1M | +1.5% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $0.58 est $0.54 | $118.5M est $119.0M | −0.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
First Busey stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for First Busey is $32.43, +11.0% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$32.43consensus 12-month target, +11.0% from the last close
Now $29.21Avg $32.43
Low $30High $34
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | Piper Sandler | $30 | +2.7% |
| Jul 31 | KBW | $34 | +16.4% |
| Jul 30 | D.A. Davidson | $31 | +6.1% |
| Jul 30 | Piper Sandler | $35 | +19.8% |
| Jul 29 | Piper Sandler | $32 | +9.6% |
+2.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+8.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
First Busey seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, First Busey averaged +8.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.1% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.8% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +9.1% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, BUSE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.
First Busey market cap and key statistics
First Busey’s market cap is $2.47B, with a P/E ratio of 12 and revenue of $782.9M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.47B
- P/E ratio
- 12
- Forward P/E
- 10.4
- EPS, TTM
- $2.42
- Gekko Fair Value
- $31.17
Trading
- Volume
- 512,924
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 863,895
- 52-week high
- $31.70
- 52-week low
- $22.00
- Shares outstanding
- 82.58M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $782.9M
- Profit margin
- 29.5%
- Return on equity
- 9.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +32.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.74
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5%
- Dividend yield
- 3.47%
First Busey stock news this week
4 headlines about First Busey from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Will First Busey (BUSE) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?Zacks Investment Research, Oct 12
- Why First Busey (BUSE) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your PortfolioZacks Investment Research, Oct 12
- Reviewing First Busey (NASDAQ:BUSE) & Live Oak Bancshares (NYSE:LOB)Defense World, Oct 11
- Precision Trading with First Busey Corporation (BUSE) Risk ZonesStock Traders Daily, Oct 10
First Busey peers
First Busey’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CMCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | Accumulation | 5.7% below |
| USBU.S. Bancorp | Accumulation | 11.0% below |
| NUNu | Neutral | 0.7% below |
| TFCTruist Financial | Accumulation | 9.6% below |
| FITBFifth Third Bancorp | Accumulation | 11.2% below |
| MTBM&T Bank | Accumulation | 9.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
First Busey stock FAQ
What is First Busey’s market cap?
First Busey’s market cap is $2.47B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $29.21, with 82.58M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.
What is the First Busey stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for First Busey is $32.43, +11.0% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is First Busey stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate First Busey is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $29.21 is 6.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $31.17. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does First Busey report earnings next?
First Busey is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (15 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.67 per share on revenue of $195.8M. First Busey beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.
What is First Busey’s 52-week high and low?
First Busey’s 52-week high is $31.70 and its 52-week low is $22.00; it closed at $29.21 on Oct 12, 2026, +25.4% over the past year.
Is First Busey stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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