Insider buying last 90 days
$620Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Fish James C Jr director | Purchase | $620K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NYSE: CAT
Caterpillar (CAT) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$591.30−32.64 (−5.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeCaterpillar's stock fell 5.04% on 4 November after its third-quarter report beat adjusted earnings expectations but missed consolidated revenue targets. The quarter itself, as described in the last earnings call, showed record Q3 2026 sales of $20.7 billion, up 17% year-over-year, adjusted EPS of $7.20, and a record backlog of $78 billion, up 96% from the prior year. Separately, Caterpillar closed its acquisition of the Fabick CAT dealership group in Wisconsin, and the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF reported selling $18.5 million of Caterpillar shares on 30 October as part of a broader portfolio reduction.
The stock closes at $591.30, down 5.2% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $770.88 and 200-day average of $809.44, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Momentum has been negative across recent stretches, with returns of -31.5% over one month and -31% over three months, though the one-year return remains positive at 3.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 74.6, placing the stock in the Buying zone, and the price sits 10% below Gekko Fair Value of $656.88.
Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 4 February 2027, outside this window. In the last 90 days, there has been 1 open-market insider purchase and 1 Congressional buy with no sales. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 3.8% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus among 15 firms includes 8 buy and 7 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $838.38.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Caterpillar price vs fair value
Close $591.30200-day averageGekko Fair Value $656.88
Caterpillar quick facts
- Market cap
- $271.8B
- P/E ratio
- 24.1
- Forward P/E
- 19.3
- EPS, TTM
- $25.48
- Revenue, TTM
- $77.77B
- Profit margin
- 15.2%
- Dividend yield
- 0.24%
- Beta
- 1.64
- Volume
- 5.74M avg 3.36M
- 1-year return
- +3.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.8%
- 50-day average
- $770.88
- 200-day average
- $809.44
- Next earnings
- Feb 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 459.7M
Caterpillar swing-trade checklist
Caterpillar scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $591.30 is below the 50-day ($770.88) and 200-day ($809.44) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
74.6, Buying
Reading 74.6 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
10.0% below
Price is 10% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase; Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 92 days
Next report Feb 4, 2027, 92 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Caterpillar stock chart and price history
Caterpillar closed at $591.30 on Nov 4, 2026, +3.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $537.08 to $1,073.46.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −31.5%
- 3 months
- −31.0%
- 6 months
- −36.2%
- 1 year
- +3.6%
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About Caterpillar
Caterpillar makes heavy machinery and power equipment used in construction, mining, and energy production worldwide. It is widely recognized for its construction and earthmoving machines, including excavators, loaders, and other site equipment, alongside engines and turbines used for power generation and transportation.
The company organizes its work into distinct areas. One group builds machinery for construction sites, from pavers to pipelayers. Another supplies mining operations with shovels, drills, trucks, and related technology such as fleet management and autonomous vehicle systems. A separate division produces engines, generators, turbines, and compressors for industries like marine, oil and gas, and electric power. Caterpillar also runs a financial arm that offers leasing, loans, and insurance to its customers, plus a segment that manufactures replacement parts and consumable items such as filters and ground engaging tools.
Caterpillar shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker CAT.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
- Website
- caterpillar.com
Caterpillar GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Caterpillar’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 74.6, in the Buying zone, up 8.3 points over five sessions.
74.6Buying
Up 8.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 26 | +0.4% | +7.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 178 | 0.0% | +0.9% | ||
| Neutral | 411 | +0.9% | +3.5% | ||
| Distribution | 81 | +1.7% | +4.7% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CAT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CAT price, zone by zone.Track CAT in Gekko
Is Caterpillar stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Caterpillar trades 10.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $656.88, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Caterpillar shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$656.88
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
10.0% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 24.8% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CAT in Gekko
Caterpillar insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Caterpillar worth $620K, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Lisa McClain House, MI, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 12 traded Sep 28 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Caterpillar has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $1.10B
- As a share of market cap
- 0.41%
- Trailing four quarters
- $8.06B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
3of the funds Gekko tracks hold CAT.
0added2opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Caterpillar earnings: next date and track record
Caterpillar reports on Feb 4, 2027, before the open (92 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 4, 2027
Expected before the open, 92 days away
- EPS estimate
- $6.64
- Revenue estimate
- $20.83B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Caterpillar reported record Q3 2026 sales of $20.7 billion, up 17% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS of $7.20, a 45% increase. Backlog hit a record $78 billion, up 96% from prior year, marking four consecutive quarters of sequential growth across all three primary segments. Power & Energy sales to users grew 36%, with power generation up 75% driven by data center demand. Construction Industries posted 20% sales growth, the seventh consecutive quarter of year-over-year gains. MP&E free cash flow reached $3.8 billion.
- Guidance
- Management expects continued strong performance supported by record backlog and robust order rates across all segments. Capacity expansion in Power & Energy remains the primary growth constraint, with ongoing investments to meet surging data center and energy demand.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | $7.20 est $7.06 | $20.68B est $20.76B | −12.7% |
| Aug 4, 2026 | $8.17 est $6.25 | $20.54B est $19.34B | +4.9% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $5.54 est $4.64 | $17.42B est $16.53B | +9.8% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $5.16 est $4.71 | $19.13B est $17.85B | +2.2% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $4.95 est $4.53 | $17.64B est $16.77B | +11.2% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $4.72 est $4.89 | $16.57B est $16.30B | −1.4% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $4.25 est $4.35 | $14.25B est $14.72B | +2.1% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $5.14 est $5.06 | $16.22B est $16.61B | −5.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Caterpillar stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Caterpillar is $838.38, +41.8% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$838.38consensus 12-month target, +41.8% from the last close
Now $591.30Avg $838.38
Low $664High $1,027
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | Bernstein | $664 | +12.3% |
| Nov 2 | D.A. Davidson | $685 | +15.8% |
| Nov 2 | Citi | $800 | +35.3% |
| Nov 2 | Freedom Capital Markets | $800 | +35.3% |
| Oct 30 | Robert W. Baird | $729 | +23.3% |
+7.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Caterpillar seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Caterpillar averaged +3.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.4% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, CAT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.8%.
Caterpillar market cap and key statistics
Caterpillar’s market cap is $271.8B, with a P/E ratio of 24.1 and revenue of $77.77B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $271.8B
- P/E ratio
- 24.1
- Forward P/E
- 19.3
- EPS, TTM
- $25.48
- Gekko Fair Value
- $656.88
Trading
- Volume
- 5.74M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.36M
- 52-week high
- $1,073.46
- 52-week low
- $537.08
- Shares outstanding
- 459.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $77.77B
- Profit margin
- 15.2%
- Return on equity
- 56.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +46.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.64
- Typical daily move
- ±4.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.8%
- Dividend yield
- 0.24%
Caterpillar stock news this week
Coverage of Caterpillar this week reads negative: 5 positive, 3 neutral and 6 negative headlines.
- Caterpillar Inc Stock (CAT) Moved Down by 5.04% on Nov 4: A Full AnalysisTradingKey, Nov 4
- Form 10-Q CATERPILLAR INC For: Sep 30StreetInsider, Nov 4
- $5,000 Reward Offered For Caterpillar Motorgrader Stolen From Hesperia Construction SiteVVNG, Nov 4
- Caterpillar Inc. $CAT Shares Newly Acquired by Associated Banc CorpDefense World, Nov 4
- Caterpillar Inc. (CAT.SN) Seasonal returns chartYahoo Finance Australia, Nov 4
- Caterpillar closes acquisition of major Wisconsin Caterpillar dealership groupThe Business Journals, Nov 3
Caterpillar peers
Caterpillar’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DEDeere | Neutral | 19.9% above |
| PCARPACCAR | Accumulation | 11.7% above |
| WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies | Neutral | 4.5% above |
| CNHCNH Industrial | Neutral | 17.5% below |
| TTCToro | Distribution | 10.4% above |
| BWABorgWarner | Buying | 24.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Caterpillar stock FAQ
What is Caterpillar’s market cap?
Caterpillar’s market cap is $271.8B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $591.30, with 459.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.1.
What is the Caterpillar stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Caterpillar is $838.38, +41.8% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Caterpillar stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Caterpillar is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $591.30 is 10.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $656.88. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Caterpillar report earnings next?
Caterpillar is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027, before the market opens (92 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.64 per share on revenue of $20.83B. Caterpillar beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.2% on average across the report.
What is Caterpillar’s 52-week high and low?
Caterpillar’s 52-week high is $1,073.46 and its 52-week low is $537.08; it closed at $591.30 on Nov 4, 2026, +3.6% over the past year.
Is Caterpillar stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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