Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CAT in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CAT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CAT in Gekko
NYSE: CAT
Caterpillar (CAT) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$808.99+10.42 (+1.3%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryCaterpillar closes at $808.99, up 1.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $840.14 and its 200-day average of $784.11. The GekkoIndex reads 61.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 4.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $771.79. Over the past year the stock has returned 79.5%, though the three-month return stands at -17.9% and the one-month return at -0.9%, with the six-month figure at 17.5%.
This week's coverage centers on Caterpillar's autonomous haulage expansion, with Luck Stone extending the technology to two additional Virginia quarries following an 18-month pilot at Bull Run Quarry, marking the first deployment on Cat 775 trucks. Coverage also notes that Caterpillar's stock performance is increasingly tied to its Power & Energy segment, particularly power generation equipment sales for data centers, a theme echoed by a separate report on Generac's $2.4 billion generator deal with Amazon, in which Caterpillar was mentioned as "ticking up" alongside the broader data-center power narrative. Caterpillar also appears in a broader industry outlook alongside Komatsu and Terex, and one report ties a same-day 2.02% move to a central bank rate increase and selective trading in industrial names.
Looking ahead, the next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, 45 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 4 August 2026 showed adjusted EPS of $8.17 against an estimate of $6.25, with a 4.9% reaction. Analyst coverage spans 16 firms, with 8 at buy and 8 at hold, and a consensus target of $975.61. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +4.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting given the current gap to fair value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $808.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $771.79
Key stats
- Market cap
- $372.7B
- P/E ratio
- 33.7
- Forward P/E
- 24.5
- EPS, TTM
- $23.72
- Revenue, TTM
- $74.73B
- Profit margin
- 14.5%
- Dividend yield
- 0.79%
- Beta
- 1.59
- Volume
- 4.54M avg 2.30M
- 1-year return
- +79.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.8%
- 50-day average
- $840.14
- 200-day average
- $784.11
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 459.7M
Caterpillar swing-trade checklist
Caterpillar scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $808.99 sits between the 50-day ($840.14) and 200-day ($784.11) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
61.2, Accumulation
Reading 61.2 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
4.8% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.8% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 45 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Caterpillar stock chart and price history
Caterpillar closed at $808.99 on Sep 18, 2026, +79.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $448.87 to $1,073.46.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −0.9%
- 3 months
- −17.9%
- 6 months
- +17.5%
- 1 year
- +79.5%
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About Caterpillar
Caterpillar makes heavy machinery and power equipment used in construction, mining, and energy production worldwide. It is widely recognized for its construction and earthmoving machines, including excavators, loaders, and other site equipment, alongside engines and turbines used for power generation and transportation.
The company organizes its work into distinct areas. One group builds machinery for construction sites, from pavers to pipelayers. Another supplies mining operations with shovels, drills, trucks, and related technology such as fleet management and autonomous vehicle systems. A separate division produces engines, generators, turbines, and compressors for industries like marine, oil and gas, and electric power. Caterpillar also runs a financial arm that offers leasing, loans, and insurance to its customers, plus a segment that manufactures replacement parts and consumable items such as filters and ground engaging tools.
Caterpillar shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker CAT.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
- Website
- caterpillar.com
Caterpillar GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Caterpillar’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.1 points over five sessions.
61.2Accumulation
Down 0.1 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 20 | +2.2% | +7.5% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 161 | +0.1% | +1.3% | ||
| Neutral | 399 | +1.0% | +3.9% | ||
| Distribution | 81 | +1.7% | +4.7% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CAT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CAT price, zone by zone.Track CAT in Gekko
Is Caterpillar stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Caterpillar trades 4.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $771.79, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Caterpillar shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$771.79
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
4.8% above fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CAT in Gekko
Caterpillar insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Caterpillar, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CAT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CAT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CAT in Gekko
Buybacks
Caterpillar has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $1.52B
- As a share of market cap
- 0.41%
- Trailing four quarters
- $7.30B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
3of the funds Gekko tracks hold CAT.
0added2opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Caterpillar earnings: next date and track record
Caterpillar reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 45 days away
- EPS estimate
- $6.95
- Revenue estimate
- $20.49B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Caterpillar's Q2 2026 earnings call highlighted record quarterly sales and revenues of $20.5 billion (up 24% YoY), adjusted EPS of $8.17 (up 73% YoY), adjusted operating profit margin of 21.9%, backlog growth to $72 billion (up ~$35 billion YoY), and MP&E free cash flow of $5.1 billion. Management emphasized strong end-market demand across Construction Industries (CI), Resource Industries (RI), and Power & Energy (P&E), driven by higher sales to users (STU), favorable price realization, and tariff recoveries. They noted improved margins driven partly by IEEPA tariff recoveries and lower-than-expected tariff costs, offset somewhat by higher SG&A and R&D. Management discussed capacity additions in P&E (including restarting a 10-MW MaK recip line) to support data center and other power generation demand, expectations for services growth beyond 2030 as installed base expands, and dealer rental fleet initiatives and Major Projects fleet to capture rental demand. Cash deployment: $2.2 billion returned via buybacks/dividends. Management said backlog includes large and broad-based orders; P&E lead times extend into late 2028–2029 for gas prime and turbines, with diesel gensets extended into 2028. Overall tone bullish with measured caution about freight/cost pressures and macro uncertainties.
- Guidance
- Management reiterated mid- to high-teens revenue growth for the full year (mentioned by Alex/Joe and Kyle). They provided directional assumptions: continued STU growth, dealer inventory to follow more normal seasonality with a Q4 drawdown in CI, expectation to end the year with dealer inventory higher than last year. P&E capacity ramp expectations: 10-MW recip deliveries in 4Q and ramp to ~1.5 GW over 18 months; P&E orders visibility into 2029–2030 with pricing escalators on long-dated orders. No specific numeric EPS or margin guidance beyond these statements.
- Risks flagged
- Management called out potential pressures from freight and costs in the back half of the year, macro uncertainties, tariff exposure (though recoveries helped), and capacity/production constraints that could limit near-term delivery. They noted risks in visibility for long-dated demand (AI/data center demand in out years), and that backlog composition can be lumpy (particularly RI).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $8.17 est $6.25 | $20.54B est $19.34B | +4.9% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $5.54 est $4.64 | $17.42B est $16.53B | +9.8% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $5.16 est $4.71 | $19.13B est $17.85B | +2.2% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $4.95 est $4.53 | $17.64B est $16.77B | +11.2% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $4.72 est $4.89 | $16.57B est $16.30B | −1.4% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $4.25 est $4.35 | $14.25B est $14.72B | +2.1% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $5.14 est $5.06 | $16.22B est $16.61B | −5.5% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $5.17 est $5.34 | $16.11B est $16.37B | −2.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Caterpillar stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Caterpillar is $975.61, +20.6% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$975.61consensus 12-month target, +20.6% from the last close
Now $808.99Avg $975.61
Low $882High $1,225
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | Barclays | $900 | +11.2% |
| Sep 14 | Citi | $1,100 | +36.0% |
| Sep 10 | Stifel Nicolaus | $980 | +21.1% |
| Sep 10 | Freedom Capital Markets | $980 | +21.1% |
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $1,002 | +23.9% |
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Caterpillar seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Caterpillar averaged +4.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +7.6% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, CAT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.8%.
Caterpillar market cap and key statistics
Caterpillar’s market cap is $372.7B, with a P/E ratio of 33.7 and revenue of $74.73B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $372.7B
- P/E ratio
- 33.7
- Forward P/E
- 24.5
- EPS, TTM
- $23.72
- Gekko Fair Value
- $771.79
Trading
- Volume
- 4.54M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.30M
- 52-week high
- $1,073.46
- 52-week low
- $448.87
- Shares outstanding
- 459.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $74.73B
- Profit margin
- 14.5%
- Return on equity
- 57%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +68.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.59
- Typical daily move
- ±2.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.8%
- Dividend yield
- 0.79%
Caterpillar stock news this week
Coverage of Caterpillar this week reads positive: 5 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Luck Stone Builds on Autonomous Hauling Success with CaterpillarCaterpillar Inc, Sep 19
- Caterpillar's Robot Trucks Are Heading to Two More Quarries. Should You Buy the Dip Under $800?24/7 Wall St., Sep 18
- Zacks Industry Outlook Caterpillar, Komatsu and TerexZacks Investment Research, Sep 18
- Caterpillar (CAT) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 17
- Generac Surges 16% on $2.4B Amazon Data Center Generator Deal; Caterpillar Ticks Up, Cummins Sits Out the Rally24/7 Wall St., Sep 17
- What Is Moving Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Today?Kalkine Media, Sep 17
Caterpillar peers
Caterpillar’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DEDeere | Neutral | 23.4% above |
| PCARPACCAR | Buying | 6.7% above |
| WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies | Accumulation | 0.4% below |
| CNHCNH Industrial | Neutral | 0.8% above |
| BWABorgWarner | Accumulation | 2.1% above |
| TTCToro | Accumulation | 1.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Caterpillar stock FAQ
What is Caterpillar’s market cap?
Caterpillar’s market cap is $372.7B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $808.99, with 459.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.7.
What is the Caterpillar stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Caterpillar is $975.61, +20.6% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Caterpillar stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Caterpillar is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $808.99 is 4.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $771.79. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Caterpillar report earnings next?
Caterpillar is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.95 per share on revenue of $20.49B. Caterpillar beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5% on average across the report.
What is Caterpillar’s 52-week high and low?
Caterpillar’s 52-week high is $1,073.46 and its 52-week low is $448.87; it closed at $808.99 on Sep 18, 2026, +79.5% over the past year.
Is Caterpillar stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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