NYSE: BWA

BorgWarner (BWA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$61.07−0.25 (−0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

BorgWarner's recent coverage centers on a debate over valuation alongside preparations for its next earnings release. Argus lowered its target price for BWA to $64.00, while a separate valuation note cited GuruFocus's GF Value of $39.52, framing shares as 54.6% above that intrinsic value despite a GF Score of 75/100. Reported price points varied across items, including a 3.5% decline to $61.11, a 1.2% gain to a close of $30.42, and a pre-market trade of $63.55. BorgWarner also confirmed a webcast for its third-quarter 2026 results, scheduled for 29 October 2026 at 9:30 AM Eastern Time.

The stock closes at $61.07, down 0.4%, sitting between its 50-day average of $64.77 and 200-day average of $59.13. The GekkoIndex reads 65.5, placing BWA in the Accumulation zone. Price sits close to Gekko Fair Value of $61.46, a gap of -0.6%.

Over the next 20 trading days, attention turns toward the 29 October earnings date, which falls 30 days out and beyond that window. In the past 90 days, one open-market insider purchase totaling $500,664 was recorded, alongside one unusual options signal in the past 30 days showing $369,720 in put premium and no call premium. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.3% over five years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 8 buy and 3 hold ratings among 11 firms, with a consensus target of $79.93.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

BorgWarner price vs fair value

$61.46$61.07Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $61.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $61.46

BorgWarner quick facts

Market cap
$12.53B
P/E ratio
30.2
Forward P/E
11.9
EPS, TTM
$2.03
Revenue, TTM
$14.34B
Profit margin
2.9%
Dividend yield
1.16%
Beta
1.10
Volume
3.25M avg 2.28M
1-year return
+40.7%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$64.77
200-day average
$59.13
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
203.7M
52-week range
$40.50$78.82

BorgWarner swing-trade checklist

BorgWarner scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $61.07 sits between the 50-day ($64.77) and 200-day ($59.13) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.5, Accumulation

    Reading 65.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.6% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.6% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneymixed

    Mixed

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

BorgWarner stock chart and price history

BorgWarner closed at $61.07 on Sep 28, 2026, +40.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $40.50 to $78.82.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
BorgWarner share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep61.07

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.8%
3 months
−7.3%
6 months
+12.6%
1 year
+40.7%
The full BWA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BWA in Gekko

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About BorgWarner

BorgWarner makes propulsion parts and systems used across vehicles with combustion engines, hybrid setups, and fully electric drivetrains. It is known for supplying the hardware that helps vehicles run efficiently and manage power, from turbocharging equipment to electric drive components, serving car makers and their suppliers around the world.

The company runs four business units. Air Management covers turbochargers, engine timing and emissions parts, thermal products, ignition technology, sensors, and battery components such as packs and charging systems. E-Propulsion & Drivetrain provides electric motors, power electronics, control modules, and transmission and torque parts. Fuel Injection designs fuel delivery systems for gasoline and diesel engines. Aftermarket sells replacement parts, diagnostic tools, and engine management products to repair shops and original equipment service providers. Its customers span light vehicle, commercial vehicle, and off-highway equipment manufacturers, along with Tier 1 suppliers and aftermarket buyers in each of those categories.

The company was established in 1987 under the name Borg-Warner Automotive, Inc. and is headquartered in Auburn Hills, Michigan. BorgWarner shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BWA.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
Website
borgwarner.com

BorgWarner GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

BorgWarner’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.4 points over five sessions.

010065.5Accumulation

Up 1.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying15+1.5%+3.0%+2.1%+7.0%
Accumulation (current zone)210+0.7%+1.6%+2.6%+7.9%
Neutral395+0.4%+1.0%+2.9%+6.9%
Distribution49+1.3%+0.8%−0.8%+0.2%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average BWA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BWA price, zone by zone.Track BWA in Gekko

Is BorgWarner stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

BorgWarner trades 0.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.46, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what BorgWarner shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$61.46

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

0.6% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BWA in Gekko

BorgWarner insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in BorgWarner worth $501K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$501Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 20Kalathur Rajesh
director
Purchase7,407$501K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BWA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BWA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BWA in Gekko

Buybacks

BorgWarner has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$100.0M
As a share of market cap
0.80%
Trailing four quarters
$650.0M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 12, $370K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BWA.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

BorgWarner earnings: next date and track record

BorgWarner reports on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.2%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.3%Oct ’24−3.7%Feb ’25+7.4%May ’25+8.7%Jul ’25+0.3%Oct ’25+23.3%Feb ’26+1.6%May ’26+4.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BorgWarner reported Q2 2026 sales of over $3.6 billion, with organic net sales up modestly year-over-year excluding Battery Energy Systems decline, outperforming market production declines driven by strong North American transfer case volumes. Adjusted operating margin expanded 100 basis points and EPS grew 17% in a flat sales environment. The company returned ~$134 million to shareholders and expanded share repurchase authorization by $1 billion to $1.35 billion, approximately 10% of market cap.
Guidance
Management reaffirmed full year 2026 sales, margin, EPS, and free cash flow guidance. Strong H1 performance enables increased H2 industrial R&D investment to accelerate product readiness while maintaining full year financial commitments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$1.42
est $1.26
+12.7%$3.65B
est $3.58B
+1.8%+4.4%
May 6, 2026$1.24
est $1.17
+6.0%$3.53B
est $3.50B
+1.0%+1.6%
Feb 11, 2026$1.35
est $1.19
+13.4%$3.57B
est $3.53B
+1.2%+23.3%
Oct 30, 2025$1.24
est $1.16
+6.9%$3.59B
est $3.48B
+3.1%+0.3%
Jul 31, 2025$1.21
est $1.06
+14.2%$3.64B
est $3.52B
+3.2%+8.7%
May 7, 2025$1.11
est $0.98
+13.3%$3.52B
est $3.51B
+0.2%+7.4%
Feb 6, 2025−$1.85
est $0.84
−320.2%$3.44B
est $3.47B
−0.8%−3.7%
Oct 31, 2024$1.09
est $0.93
+17.2%$3.45B
est $3.48B
−0.8%−0.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

BorgWarner stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BorgWarner is $79.93, +30.9% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$79.93consensus 12-month target, +30.9% from the last close
Low $68High $87
Buy8
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28BarclaysBuy, maintained$85+39.2%
Sep 15J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$85+39.2%
Aug 31RBC CapitalBuy, initiated$87+42.5%
Aug 10Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained——
Aug 10Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$75+22.8%
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

BorgWarner seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, BorgWarner averaged −0.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.1%2021+16.4%2022−9.1%2023−5.2%2024−1.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.6%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.5%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.3%3 of 5

For scale, BWA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

BorgWarner market cap and key statistics

BorgWarner’s market cap is $12.53B, with a P/E ratio of 30.2 and revenue of $14.34B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.53B
P/E ratio
30.2
Forward P/E
11.9
EPS, TTM
$2.03
Gekko Fair Value
$61.46

Trading

Volume
3.25M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.28M
52-week high
$78.82
52-week low
$40.50
Shares outstanding
203.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$14.34B
Profit margin
2.9%
Return on equity
8.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+30.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.10
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
Dividend yield
1.16%

BorgWarner stock news this week

Coverage of BorgWarner this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 5 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

BorgWarner peers

BorgWarner’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CATCaterpillar−0.1%Neutral6.4% above
DEDeere+0.4%Neutral22.4% above
PCARPACCAR+1.2%Buying3.4% above
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies+1.2%Neutral5.6% above
CNHCNH Industrial+1.6%Neutral2.1% below
TTCToro+0.5%Neutral3.4% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

BorgWarner stock FAQ

What is BorgWarner’s market cap?

BorgWarner’s market cap is $12.53B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $61.07, with 203.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.2.

What is the BorgWarner stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BorgWarner is $79.93, +30.9% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is BorgWarner stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate BorgWarner is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $61.07 is 0.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does BorgWarner report earnings next?

BorgWarner is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.24 per share on revenue of $3.52B. BorgWarner beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.2% on average across the report.

What is BorgWarner’s 52-week high and low?

BorgWarner’s 52-week high is $78.82 and its 52-week low is $40.50; it closed at $61.07 on Sep 28, 2026, +40.7% over the past year.

Is BorgWarner stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, fair value and smart money) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in BorgWarner?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in BorgWarner over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $370K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 12, 2026 with $370K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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