H World (HTHT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$43.29+1.29 (+3.1%)

Gekko Brief

H World closed at $43.29 on 28 September 2026, +3.1% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($43.98) and 200-day ($47.44) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $36.56 to $56.64. The GekkoIndex reads 61.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.6 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $64.34, so the price is 32.7% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 16 November 2026, 48 days away (before open). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 3 times, with an average move of 4.8% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged -3.8% over the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

1 firms rate the stock: 1 buy, 0 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $60.52. A typical daily move is about 2%, and a typical 20-day move about 7.2%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (trend, seasonality).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

H World price vs fair value

$64.34$43.29Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $43.29200-day averageGekko Fair Value $64.34

H World quick facts

Market cap
$13.30B
P/E ratio
30
Forward P/E
35.3
EPS, TTM
$1.40
Revenue, TTM
$26.60B
Profit margin
18.9%
Dividend yield
5.17%
Beta
0.13
Volume
2.14M avg 1.31M
1-year return
+10.6%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
50-day average
$43.98
200-day average
$47.44
Next earnings
Nov 16 before open
Shares outstanding
315.4M
52-week range
$36.56$56.64

H World swing-trade checklist

H World scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $43.29 is below the 50-day ($43.98) and 200-day ($47.44) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.6, Accumulation

    Reading 61.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    32.7% below

    Price is 32.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 48 days

    Next report Nov 16, 2026, 48 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

H World stock chart and price history

H World closed at $43.29 on Sep 28, 2026, +10.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $36.56 to $56.64.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
H World share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$35$40$45$50$55NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep43.29

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.3%
3 months
0.0%
6 months
−11.8%
1 year
+10.6%
The full HTHT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HTHT in Gekko

Follow H World through every session

Put HTHT on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About H World

H World develops and manages hotels across China, operating through leased, owned, manachised and franchised arrangements. The group is known for a wide portfolio of self-owned hotel brands spanning different price tiers, including HanTing Hotel, Ni Hao Hotel, Hi Inn, Elan Hotel, JI Hotel, Orange Hotel, Ibis Hotel, Mercure Hotel, Novotel Hotel and Steigenberger Hotels & Resorts, among others, serving travelers with varying accommodation needs.

The company runs its properties under multiple business models rather than relying on a single ownership structure, which allows it to combine directly run hotels with franchised and manachised locations. As of June 30, 2022, it oversaw 8,176 hotels comprising 773,898 rooms in total. The company was formerly called Huazhu Group Limited before adopting the H World Group name in June 2022.

H World was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, in the People's Republic of China. Its shares trade under the ticker HTHT.

Sector
Consumer services
Website
hworld.com

H World GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

H World’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.6 points over five sessions.

010061.6Accumulation

Down 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying22+3.9%+3.2%+3.9%+10.0%
Accumulation (current zone)251−0.2%−0.6%−0.1%+3.8%
Neutral305+0.3%+1.1%+1.6%+1.0%
Distribution44+0.2%−0.6%+0.1%−2.4%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average HTHT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HTHT price, zone by zone.Track HTHT in Gekko

Is H World stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

H World trades 32.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $64.34, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what H World shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$64.34

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

32.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HTHT in Gekko

H World insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for H World, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HTHT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HTHT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HTHT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HTHT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HTHT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HTHT in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds HTHT.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

H World earnings: next date and track record

H World reports on Nov 16, 2026, before the open (48 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.9%Nov ’24−1.2%Mar ’25−4.7%May ’25+7.7%Aug ’25+3.2%Nov ’25−3.1%Mar ’26+0.2%May ’26+9.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 17, 2026 AI summary

What they said
H World Q2 2026 showed strong performance with hotel GMV growing 13.2% YoY to RMB 30.5 billion, supported by 12.7% YoY room count growth. Manachise and franchise revenue surged 25.2% YoY to RMB 3.6 billion, with gross operating profit up 18.5% YoY to RMB 2.2 billion. ADR grew 2.6% YoY marking fourth consecutive quarters of positive growth, driving 1.1% RevPAR increase. Network reached 13,417 hotels with 3,054 in pipeline.
Guidance
Management targets 20,000 hotels across 2,000 cities long-term. China's government 15th 5-year plan targets 8.3 billion domestic trips and RMB 7.7 trillion consumption by 2030, providing a favorable macro backdrop for continued expansion.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 17, 2026$0.78
est $0.74
+5.4%$1.05B
est $998.9M
+4.9%+9.6%
May 15, 2026$3.36
est $3.89
−13.6%$869.0M
est $837.1M
+3.8%+0.2%
Mar 18, 2026$4.06
est $2.80
+45.0%$932.8M
est $914.9M
+2.0%−3.1%
Nov 17, 2025$4.76
est $4.76
0.0%$977.7M
est $894.9M
+9.3%+3.2%
Aug 20, 2025$4.24
est $4.12
+2.9%$896.1M
est $879.1M
+1.9%+7.7%
May 20, 2025$2.48
est $3.02
−17.9%$740.9M
est $744.0M
−0.4%−4.7%
Mar 20, 2025$1.03
est $2.03
−49.2%$824.9M
est $781.3M
+5.6%−1.2%
Nov 26, 2024$4.29
est $4.79
−10.4%$918.0M
est $932.9M
−1.6%−8.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

H World stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for H World is $60.52, +39.8% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$60.52consensus 12-month target, +39.8% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 18Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$65.40+51.1%
Aug 18Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$65.40+51.1%
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

H World seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, H World averaged −3.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.5%2021−15.4%2022−5.0%2023+5.1%2024−2.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.8%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.6%2 of 5

For scale, HTHT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.2%.

H World market cap and key statistics

H World’s market cap is $13.30B, with a P/E ratio of 30 and revenue of $26.60B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$13.30B
P/E ratio
30
Forward P/E
35.3
EPS, TTM
$1.40
Gekko Fair Value
$64.34

Trading

Volume
2.14M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.31M
52-week high
$56.64
52-week low
$36.56
Shares outstanding
315.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$26.60B
Profit margin
18.9%
Return on equity
38.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−1.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.13
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
Dividend yield
5.17%

H World stock news this week

Coverage of H World this week reads positive: 4 positive, 0 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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H World stock FAQ

What is H World’s market cap?

H World’s market cap is $13.30B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $43.29, with 315.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.

What is the H World stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for H World is $60.52, +39.8% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is H World stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate H World is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $43.29 is 32.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $64.34. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does H World report earnings next?

H World is expected to report on Nov 16, 2026, before the market opens (48 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.80 per share on revenue of $1.09B. H World beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.8% on average across the report.

What is H World’s 52-week high and low?

H World’s 52-week high is $56.64 and its 52-week low is $36.56; it closed at $43.29 on Sep 28, 2026, +10.6% over the past year.

Is H World stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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