Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for EAT in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every EAT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EAT in Gekko
NYSE: EAT
Brinker International (EAT) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$202.45−4.75 (−2.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryBrinker International moves this week on continued attention to Chili's brand momentum, including a push into chicken, kids' menu items and desserts aimed at extending sales growth into fiscal 2027. The stock also responded to a Northcoast Research upgrade to "buy" with a $275 price target, citing strong Chili's average annual unit volumes, comparable sales and traffic; this followed an August quarterly report showing revenue up 5.1% to $1.54 billion, slightly ahead of estimates, though EPS of $3.07 narrowly missed the $3.09 estimate. Separate coverage compared EAT's trajectory to peer CAKE and to sector performance, while a story on CEO compensation noted a decrease from 2025 alongside insider sales and no purchases over the past six months.
EAT closes at $202.45, down 2.3%, with the price sitting between its 50-day average of $218.72 and 200-day average of $168.78. The GekkoIndex reads 63.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though the index has slipped 6.3 over five days. Price sits 2.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $197.69.
The next earnings date falls on 4 November, 36 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Analyst coverage shows 18 buy ratings, 3 hold, 0 sell, with a consensus target of $265.09. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 6.6% from this point, positive in 3 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Brinker International price vs fair value
Close $202.45200-day averageGekko Fair Value $197.69
Brinker International quick facts
- Market cap
- $8.68B
- P/E ratio
- 19
- Forward P/E
- 16.2
- EPS, TTM
- $10.88
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.81B
- Profit margin
- 8.4%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.26
- Volume
- 1.10M avg 1.43M
- 1-year return
- +52.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.3%
- 50-day average
- $218.72
- 200-day average
- $168.78
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 41.77M
Brinker International swing-trade checklist
Brinker International scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $202.45 sits between the 50-day ($218.72) and 200-day ($168.78) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
63.7, Accumulation
Reading 63.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
2.4% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.4% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+6.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Brinker International stock chart and price history
Brinker International closed at $202.45 on Sep 28, 2026, +52.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $100.30 to $254.99.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −13.2%
- 3 months
- +20.8%
- 6 months
- +51.5%
- 1 year
- +52.2%
The full EAT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open EAT in Gekko
Follow Brinker International through every session
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About Brinker International
Brinker International develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants, serving diners who eat out at its Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy locations both in the United States and abroad. The company is best known for the Chili's chain, which makes up the bulk of its restaurant count, alongside the smaller Maggiano's Little Italy brand.
The business is built around these two restaurant concepts, with locations that are company-owned, managed, or run under franchise agreements. Together the two brands' restaurants numbered 1,648 as of June 30, 2021, with Chili's Grill & Bar accounting for 1,594 of these and Maggiano's Little Italy for the remaining 54.
Brinker International was established in 1975 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker EAT.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Website
- brinker.com
Brinker International GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Brinker International’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 6.3 points over five sessions.
63.7Accumulation
Down 6.3 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 29 | +0.4% | +6.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 163 | +1.3% | +4.8% | ||
| Neutral | 394 | +1.2% | +5.7% | ||
| Distribution | 81 | +3.6% | +10.9% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average EAT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EAT price, zone by zone.Track EAT in Gekko
Is Brinker International stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Brinker International trades 2.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $197.69, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Brinker International shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$197.69
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
2.4% above fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EAT in Gekko
Brinker International insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Brinker International, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in EAT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for EAT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EAT in Gekko
Buybacks
Brinker International has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 24, 2026
- $100.5M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.16%
- Trailing four quarters
- $443.9M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds EAT.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Brinker International earnings: next date and track record
Brinker International reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.45
- Revenue estimate
- $1.45B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.4%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 12, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Chili's posted Q4 same-store sales growth of +6%, marking 21 consecutive quarters of SSS growth on top of a +24% prior year comp, achieving a 3-year cumulative comp of +50%. The Big Crispy chicken sandwich launch exceeded expectations, growing from 20 to 55 units sold per restaurant per day (+175%). Brand momentum remains strong with record-high buzz scores per YouGov data.
- Guidance
- Management provided fiscal 2027 guidance on the call. The company expressed confidence in sustaining traffic gains through value leadership and experience improvements, with reinvestment supporting continued margin expansion and long-term growth.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | $3.07 est $3.09 | $1.54B est $1.53B | +7.8% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $2.90 est $2.85 | $1.47B est $1.47B | +17.9% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $2.87 est $2.53 | $1.45B est $1.41B | +2.1% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $1.93 est $1.76 | $1.35B est $1.40B | −13.0% |
| Aug 13, 2025 | $2.49 est $2.43 | $1.46B est $1.31B | +2.1% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $2.66 est $2.48 | $1.43B est $1.42B | −16.4% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $2.80 est $1.37 | $1.36B est $1.25B | +18.0% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $0.95 est $0.69 | $1.14B est $1.10B | +5.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Brinker International stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Brinker International is $265.09, +30.9% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$265.09consensus 12-month target, +30.9% from the last close
Now $202.45Avg $265.09
Low $210High $325
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | Northcoast Research | $275 | +35.8% |
| Sep 21 | J.P. Morgan | $245 | +21.0% |
| Sep 21 | KeyBanc | — | — |
| Sep 20 | D.A. Davidson | $210 | +3.7% |
| Sep 18 | Bank of America Securities | $310 | +53.1% |
+4.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Brinker International seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Brinker International averaged +6.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +10.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, EAT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.3%.
Brinker International market cap and key statistics
Brinker International’s market cap is $8.68B, with a P/E ratio of 19 and revenue of $5.81B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $8.68B
- P/E ratio
- 19
- Forward P/E
- 16.2
- EPS, TTM
- $10.88
- Gekko Fair Value
- $197.69
Trading
- Volume
- 1.10M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.43M
- 52-week high
- $254.99
- 52-week low
- $100.30
- Shares outstanding
- 41.77M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.81B
- Profit margin
- 8.4%
- Return on equity
- 119.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +29.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.26
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.3%
Brinker International stock news this week
Coverage of Brinker International this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 3 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Brinker Leans Into Chicken, Kids and Desserts: Can It Keep Growing?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- Corient Private Wealth LP Trims Stake in Brinker International, Inc. $EATMarketBeat, Sep 27
- BRINKER INTERNATIONAL, INC ($EAT) CEO 2026 Pay RevealedQuiver Quantitative, Sep 26
- State Street Corp Has $293.79 Million Position in Brinker International, Inc. $EATMarketBeat, Sep 24
- Are Retail-Wholesale Stocks Lagging Brinker International (EAT) This Year?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 23
- Brinker International (NYSE:EAT) Shares Up 6.2% After Analyst UpgradeMarketBeat, Sep 22
Brinker International peers
Brinker International’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MCDMcDonald's | Buying | 14.3% below |
| SBUXStarbucks | Buying | 11.3% above |
| CMGChipotle Mexican Grill | Buying | 6.2% below |
| YUMYum! Brands | Accumulation | 24.5% below |
| QSRRestaurant Brands International | Accumulation | 36.7% below |
| DRIDarden Restaurants | Accumulation | 26.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Brinker International stock FAQ
What is Brinker International’s market cap?
Brinker International’s market cap is $8.68B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $202.45, with 41.77M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.
What is the Brinker International stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Brinker International is $265.09, +30.9% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 18 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Brinker International stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Brinker International is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $202.45 is 2.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $197.69. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Brinker International report earnings next?
Brinker International is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.45 per share on revenue of $1.45B. Brinker International beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.4% on average across the report.
What is Brinker International’s 52-week high and low?
Brinker International’s 52-week high is $254.99 and its 52-week low is $100.30; it closed at $202.45 on Sep 28, 2026, +52.2% over the past year.
Is Brinker International stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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