NASDAQ: DPZ

Domino's Pizza (DPZ) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$292.27+0.13 (0.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news centers on Domino's abruptly closing 13 franchise stores in Ohio, with employees informed via text during a dinner shift, leading to job losses and order disruptions; Domino's has said the closures do not reflect the company's overall performance. Separate commentary noted the stock's decline of 28% so far in 2026, comparing its move against the consumer discretionary sector and the broader market.

Domino's shares close at $292.27, sitting below both the 50-day average of $333.14 and the 200-day average of $356.43, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. Returns show a 1-month move of -12%, a 6-month move of -16%, and a 1-year move of -30.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 69.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 16.5% below the Gekko Fair Value of $350.04.

Domino's next earnings report is due on 13 October 2026, before the open, 14 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 20 July 2026 showed EPS of $4.07 against an estimate of $4.11, with a 1.3% reaction, and 3 beats across the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 3.6%. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows an average 20-day return of -2.9% from this point, rising in 1 of those years. Analyst coverage stands at 18 firms, with 8 buy and 10 hold ratings, a consensus target of $377.89, and consensus upside of 29.3%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Domino's Pizza price vs fair value

$350.04$292.27Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $292.27200-day averageGekko Fair Value $350.04

Domino's Pizza quick facts

Market cap
$9.67B
P/E ratio
16.6
Forward P/E
14.2
EPS, TTM
$17.65
Revenue, TTM
$5.03B
Profit margin
11.9%
Dividend yield
2.55%
Beta
0.95
Volume
610,190 avg 823,884
1-year return
−30.9%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
50-day average
$333.14
200-day average
$356.43
Next earnings
Oct 13 before open
Shares outstanding
33.08M
52-week range
$282.00$442.35

Domino's Pizza swing-trade checklist

Domino's Pizza scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $292.27 is below the 50-day ($333.14) and 200-day ($356.43) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.2, Accumulation

    Reading 69.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    16.5% below

    Price is 16.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 14 days

    Reports on Oct 13, 2026, 14 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.9% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Domino's Pizza stock chart and price history

Domino's Pizza closed at $292.27 on Sep 28, 2026, −30.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $282.00 to $442.35.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Domino's Pizza share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$350$400$450NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep292.27

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.0%
3 months
−0.6%
6 months
−16.0%
1 year
−30.9%
The full DPZ chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DPZ in Gekko

Follow Domino's Pizza through every session

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About Domino's Pizza

Domino's Pizza makes and sells pizza under its own brand, reaching customers through a large mix of company-run and franchise-owned stores. Alongside pizza, the menu covers oven-baked sandwiches, pasta, chicken in boneless and winged forms, bread and dip sides, desserts, and soft drinks, sold to everyday consumers looking for delivery or carryout food.

The business runs through three parts: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain, which together handle domestic outlets, franchise operations abroad, and the sourcing and distribution that keeps stores stocked. As of January 2, 2022, the store network totaled roughly 18,800 locations across 90 markets worldwide, reflecting a structure built heavily on franchising rather than direct ownership of most outlets.

The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker DPZ.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Restaurants
Website
biz.dominos.com

Domino's Pizza GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Domino's Pizza’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.2 points over five sessions.

010069.2Accumulation

Up 0.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40+2.3%+1.8%+2.6%+1.0%
Accumulation (current zone)258−0.2%−0.2%+0.2%−0.4%
Neutral362−0.5%−0.7%−1.6%−2.9%
Distribution11−0.3%−0.9%+0.4%+0.6%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average DPZ share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DPZ price, zone by zone.Track DPZ in Gekko

Is Domino's Pizza stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Domino's Pizza trades 16.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $350.04, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Domino's Pizza shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$350.04

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

16.5% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DPZ in Gekko

Domino's Pizza insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Domino's Pizza, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DPZ in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DPZ insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DPZ in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DPZ were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DPZ, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DPZ in Gekko

Buybacks

Domino's Pizza has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 14, 2026
$159.5M
As a share of market cap
1.65%
Trailing four quarters
$402.2M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold DPZ.

1added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Domino's Pizza earnings: next date and track record

Domino's Pizza reports on Oct 13, 2026, before the open (14 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.6%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.0%Oct ’24+1.7%Feb ’25+1.2%Apr ’25+3.2%Jul ’25+2.3%Oct ’25+7.7%Feb ’26−7.4%Apr ’26+1.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Domino's Q2 2026 saw meaningful order count growth in both delivery and carryout segments, outperforming a flat QSR industry amid macroeconomic uncertainty. CEO Russell Weiner highlighted the company's formula of order count growth plus disciplined pricing, citing doubled U.S. orders since 2008, 2,100+ net new stores, and ~240% increase in franchisee store-level EBITDA. Incoming CEO Joe Jordan, with 15 years at Domino's, takes over in October.
Guidance
No specific financial targets or guidance figures were provided in this excerpt. Management expressed confidence in long-term growth potential, noting ~23% pizza category share versus 40-50% for leading QSR brands in other categories, implying significant runway ahead.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 20, 2026$4.07
est $4.11
−1.0%$1.19B
est $1.18B
+1.3%+1.3%
Apr 27, 2026$4.13
est $4.27
−3.3%$1.15B
est $1.16B
−1.0%−7.4%
Feb 23, 2026$5.35
est $5.38
−0.6%$1.54B
est $1.52B
+1.1%+7.7%
Oct 14, 2025$4.08
est $3.96
+3.0%$1.15B
est $1.52B
−24.7%+2.3%
Jul 21, 2025$3.81
est $3.93
−3.1%$1.15B
est $1.14B
+0.2%+3.2%
Apr 28, 2025$4.33
est $4.12
+5.1%$1.11B
est $1.12B
−0.8%+1.2%
Feb 24, 2025$4.89
est $4.98
−1.8%$1.44B
est $1.47B
−2.1%+1.7%
Oct 10, 2024$4.19
est $3.65
+14.8%$1.08B
est $1.48B
−27.2%+4.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Domino's Pizza stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Domino's Pizza is $377.89, +29.3% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$377.89consensus 12-month target, +29.3% from the last close
Low $320High $450
Buy8
Hold10
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 22GuggenheimHold, maintained$325+11.2%
Sep 15Seaport GlobalHold, initiated——
Sep 10TD CowenHold, reiterated$320+9.5%
Sep 2UBSBuy, maintained$385+31.7%
Sep 2UBSBuy, reiterated$385+31.7%
+0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Domino's Pizza seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Domino's Pizza averaged −2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.6%2021+4.8%2022−10.1%2023−3.0%2024−5.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.2%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.0%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.9%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.3%3 of 5

For scale, DPZ’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.

Domino's Pizza market cap and key statistics

Domino's Pizza’s market cap is $9.67B, with a P/E ratio of 16.6 and revenue of $5.03B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.67B
P/E ratio
16.6
Forward P/E
14.2
EPS, TTM
$17.65
Gekko Fair Value
$350.04

Trading

Volume
610,190
Avg volume, 20 days
823,884
52-week high
$442.35
52-week low
$282.00
Shares outstanding
33.08M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.03B
Profit margin
11.9%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+6.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.95
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
Dividend yield
2.55%

Domino's Pizza stock news this week

Coverage of Domino's Pizza this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Domino's Pizza peers

Domino's Pizza’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MCDMcDonald's−0.9%Buying14.3% below
SBUXStarbucks+1.1%Buying11.3% above
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill+2.1%Buying6.2% below
YUMYum! Brands−0.4%Accumulation24.5% below
QSRRestaurant Brands International−0.1%Accumulation36.7% below
DRIDarden Restaurants−1.9%Accumulation26.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Domino's Pizza stock FAQ

What is Domino's Pizza’s market cap?

Domino's Pizza’s market cap is $9.67B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $292.27, with 33.08M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.6.

What is the Domino's Pizza stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Domino's Pizza is $377.89, +29.3% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Domino's Pizza stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Domino's Pizza is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $292.27 is 16.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $350.04. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Domino's Pizza report earnings next?

Domino's Pizza is expected to report on Oct 13, 2026, before the market opens (14 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.38 per share on revenue of $1.17B. Domino's Pizza beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.6% on average across the report.

What is Domino's Pizza’s 52-week high and low?

Domino's Pizza’s 52-week high is $442.35 and its 52-week low is $282.00; it closed at $292.27 on Sep 28, 2026, −30.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $567.57 on Dec 31, 2021.

Is Domino's Pizza stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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