NASDAQ: BJRI

BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$58.49−1.38 (−2.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

BJ's Restaurants has drawn attention this week around its upcoming Q3 2026 earnings date, confirmed for 29 October after market close, with analysts anticipating $0.1605 per share on revenues of $344.77 million. Commentary has also pointed to the stock's roughly 65% return since March, attributed to operational improvements and menu innovation, alongside a deliberate slowdown in new restaurant openings with acceleration expected in FY 2028 and beyond. A separate piece noted analysts' consensus fair value of US$75.43, tied to narratives around menu renovation, digital expansion, loyalty programs and efficiency efforts. A fund ownership filing from Dimensional Fund Advisors was also reported, showing a 4.6% stake in the company.

The stock closed at $58.49, down 2.3%, sitting below its 50-day average of $63.05 but above its 200-day average of $49.64. The GekkoIndex reads 63.4, placing it in the Accumulation zone, up 4.4 over the past five sessions. Price trades 2.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $56.92.

Earnings on 29 October falls within the next 20 trading days, with the last report producing a -3.6% reaction despite an EPS beat, against an average absolute reaction of 7.7% across prior quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality has been historically supportive, with the next 20 trading days averaging +13.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

BJ's Restaurants price vs fair value

$58.49$56.92Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $58.49200-day averageGekko Fair Value $56.92

BJ's Restaurants quick facts

Market cap
$1.23B
P/E ratio
32.8
Forward P/E
23.8
EPS, TTM
$1.81
Revenue, TTM
$1.43B
Profit margin
2.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.33
Volume
362,507 avg 419,671
1-year return
+88.0%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±7.9%
50-day average
$63.05
200-day average
$49.64
Next earnings
Oct 29 after close
Shares outstanding
21.27M
52-week range
$28.46$74.60

BJ's Restaurants swing-trade checklist

BJ's Restaurants scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $58.49 sits between the 50-day ($63.05) and 200-day ($49.64) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.4, Accumulation

    Reading 63.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.8% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.8% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +13.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +13.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

BJ's Restaurants stock chart and price history

BJ's Restaurants closed at $58.49 on Oct 12, 2026, +88.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $28.46 to $74.60.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
BJ's Restaurants share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$40$50$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct58.49

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.8%
3 months
−5.1%
6 months
+58.5%
1 year
+88.0%
The full BJRI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BJRI in Gekko

Follow BJ's Restaurants through every session

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About BJ's Restaurants

BJ's Restaurants operates casual dining locations across the United States, serving guests a broad menu that spans pizzas, craft and other beers, appetizers, entrees, pasta, sandwiches, signature salads and desserts. The chain is particularly recognized for pairing its pizza offerings with an extensive beer selection, giving its restaurants a distinct identity within the casual dining space.

The company runs its restaurants as a connected network rather than standalone outlets, with locations spread across numerous states to serve a wide base of everyday diners seeking a full-service casual meal experience.

BJ's Restaurants was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Huntington Beach, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker BJRI.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Restaurants
Website
bjsrestaurants.com

BJ's Restaurants GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

BJ's Restaurants’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.4 points over five sessions.

010063.4Accumulation

Up 4.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40+0.3%+2.5%+1.7%+13.4%
Accumulation (current zone)183+0.7%+0.6%+1.5%+10.6%
Neutral400+0.5%+0.8%+1.8%+4.9%
Distribution57+1.3%+4.3%+9.1%+5.2%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average BJRI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BJRI price, zone by zone.Track BJRI in Gekko

Is BJ's Restaurants stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

BJ's Restaurants trades 2.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $56.92, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what BJ's Restaurants shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$56.92

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

2.8% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 9.6% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$57$60Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BJRI in Gekko

BJ's Restaurants insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BJ's Restaurants, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BJRI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BJRI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BJRI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BJRI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BJRI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BJRI in Gekko

Buybacks

BJ's Restaurants has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$2.37M
As a share of market cap
0.19%
Trailing four quarters
$46.22M

From company filings.

BJ's Restaurants earnings: next date and track record

BJ's Restaurants reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−9.2%Oct ’24+6.1%Feb ’25+13.9%May ’25−6.9%Jul ’25+12.9%Oct ’25−0.9%Feb ’26+8.4%May ’26−3.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BJ's Restaurants reported Q2 2026 same-store sales growth of 6.5%, driven by 8.3% traffic growth, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of sales and traffic growth. Restaurant-level operating margins expanded ~20 basis points to 17.2% despite ~5% food inflation impacting cost of sales by 120 basis points. Adjusted EBITDA margins reached 11.4%. Notable highlights include record-breaking daily/weekly sales at 80+ restaurants and strong Mother's Day/Father's Day performance.
Guidance
Management expects improved balance between traffic and mix as menu renovation progresses. Marketing efficiency improved ~20 basis points year-over-year in H1 2026. No specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.94
est $0.90
+4.9%$388.9M
est $377.1M
+3.1%−3.6%
May 5, 2026$0.57
est $0.61
−6.6%$358.1M
est $357.0M
+0.3%+8.4%
Feb 25, 2026$0.66
est $0.64
+3.6%$355.4M
est $354.4M
+0.3%−0.9%
Oct 30, 2025$0.04
est $0.03
+33.3%$330.2M
est $353.8M
−6.7%+12.9%
Jul 31, 2025$0.97
est $0.72
+34.7%$365.6M
est $335.9M
+8.9%−6.9%
May 1, 2025$0.59
est $0.38
+55.3%$348.0M
est $348.0M
0.0%+13.9%
Feb 20, 2025$0.47
est $0.34
+38.6%$344.3M
est $336.5M
+2.3%+6.1%
Oct 31, 2024−$0.13
est $0.02
−750.0%$325.7M
est $335.9M
−3.0%−9.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

BJ's Restaurants stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BJ's Restaurants is $75.43, +29.0% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$75.43consensus 12-month target, +29.0% from the last close
Low $65High $80
Buy3
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 1Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, upgraded$76+29.9%
Aug 4Mizuho SecuritiesHold, maintained$74+26.5%
Jul 31D.A. DavidsonHold, reiterated$65+11.1%
Jul 31OppenheimerHold, maintained——
Jul 31Benchmark Co.Buy, maintained$80+36.8%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+13.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

BJ's Restaurants seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, BJ's Restaurants averaged +13.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.1%2021+25.6%2022+17.4%2023+8.5%2024+18.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.2%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.9%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+12.7%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+13.4%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+14.8%4 of 5

For scale, BJRI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.9%.

BJ's Restaurants market cap and key statistics

BJ's Restaurants’s market cap is $1.23B, with a P/E ratio of 32.8 and revenue of $1.43B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.23B
P/E ratio
32.8
Forward P/E
23.8
EPS, TTM
$1.81
Gekko Fair Value
$56.92

Trading

Volume
362,507
Avg volume, 20 days
419,671
52-week high
$74.60
52-week low
$28.46
Shares outstanding
21.27M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.43B
Profit margin
2.9%
Return on equity
10.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−11.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.33
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±7.9%

BJ's Restaurants stock news this week

Coverage of BJ's Restaurants this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

BJ's Restaurants peers

BJ's Restaurants’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MCDMcDonald's+0.2%Accumulation11.4% below
SBUXStarbucks+1.2%Accumulation10.2% above
YUMYum! Brands+1.6%Neutral19.8% below
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill−1.1%Accumulation10.0% below
QSRRestaurant Brands International+0.8%Accumulation37.4% below
DRIDarden Restaurants+1.6%Accumulation14.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

BJ's Restaurants stock FAQ

What is BJ's Restaurants’s market cap?

BJ's Restaurants’s market cap is $1.23B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $58.49, with 21.27M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.8.

What is the BJ's Restaurants stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BJ's Restaurants is $75.43, +29.0% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is BJ's Restaurants stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate BJ's Restaurants is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $58.49 is 2.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $56.92. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does BJ's Restaurants report earnings next?

BJ's Restaurants is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.16 per share on revenue of $344.8M. BJ's Restaurants beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.7% on average across the report.

What is BJ's Restaurants’s 52-week high and low?

BJ's Restaurants’s 52-week high is $74.60 and its 52-week low is $28.46; it closed at $58.49 on Oct 12, 2026, +88.0% over the past year.

Is BJ's Restaurants stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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