NYSE: BH

Biglari (BH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$365.54+1.73 (+0.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Biglari trades at $365.54, sitting between its 50-day average of $371.54 and 200-day average of $355.62, a mixed trend signal. Shares are little changed on the day, up 0.5%, with a three-month return of -5% and a six-month gain of 10.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 57.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, and price sits close to Gekko Fair Value of $369.46, a gap of -1.1%.

No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Consensus analyst coverage shows a target of $500, implying 36.8% upside from current levels, though no breakdown of buy, hold, or sell ratings is noted. The 52-week range spans $234.92 to $483.60, underscoring the stock's wide swings, with a typical daily move of 2.8% and a typical 20-day move of 7.7%.

Earnings are scheduled for 6 November 2026, 25 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period. The prior report on 8 May 2026 showed an EPS of -4.63 and triggered a -17.6% reaction, with an average absolute reaction of 7.6% historically. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 2.3% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Peers including MCD, SBUX, YUM, CMG, QSR, and DRI remain relevant context for the sector backdrop.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Biglari price vs fair value

$369.46$365.54Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $365.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $369.46

Biglari quick facts

Market cap
$1.15B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
10.6
EPS, TTM
−$22.74
Revenue, TTM
$405.6M
Profit margin
-7.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.51
Volume
135,575 avg 98,501
1-year return
+6.4%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
50-day average
$371.54
200-day average
$355.62
Next earnings
Nov 6
Shares outstanding
2.11M
52-week range
$234.92$483.60

Biglari swing-trade checklist

Biglari scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $365.54 sits between the 50-day ($371.54) and 200-day ($355.62) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    57.6, Neutral

    Reading 57.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.1% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.1% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 25 days

    Reports on Nov 6, 2026, 25 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Biglari stock chart and price history

Biglari closed at $365.54 on Oct 12, 2026, +6.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $234.92 to $483.60.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Biglari share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$250$300$350$400$450NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct365.54

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.9%
3 months
−5.0%
6 months
+10.6%
1 year
+6.4%
The full BH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BH in Gekko

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About Biglari

Biglari owns and franchises restaurants across the United States, operating under the Steak n Shake and Western Sizzlin names. The restaurant network includes company-run locations alongside franchise partner units and conventional franchised outlets for both brands, and this dining business is the activity most associated with the company.

Beyond restaurants, Biglari's operations extend into several other areas. It underwrites insurance for commercial trucking, covering physical damage and non-trucking liability for truckers, as well as broader property and casualty coverage. It also holds oil and natural gas properties in the Gulf of Mexico, publishes MAXIM magazine and licenses related media products, and conducts investment activities as part of its broader corporate structure. The company was originally known as The Steak n Shake Company before adopting its current name in April 2010.

Biglari is based in San Antonio, Texas, and traces its founding to 1934. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker BH.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Restaurants
Website
biglariholdings.com

Biglari GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Biglari’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.6, in the Neutral zone, down 0.1 points over five sessions.

010057.6Neutral

Down 0.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+1.3%+3.7%+10.3%+19.0%
Accumulation204+0.1%+0.7%+3.0%+13.8%
Neutral (current zone)377+1.1%+2.0%+3.3%+6.3%
Distribution64+1.3%+2.0%+0.8%−2.4%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average BH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BH price, zone by zone.Track BH in Gekko

Is Biglari stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Biglari trades 1.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $369.46, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Biglari shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$369.46

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

1.1% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BH in Gekko

Biglari insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Biglari, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BH in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BH in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BH in Gekko

Biglari earnings: next date and track record

Biglari reports on Nov 6, 2026 (25 days away).

±7.6%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.4%Aug ’24−3.0%Nov ’24−6.7%Mar ’25−2.5%May ’25+1.1%Aug ’25−8.0%Nov ’25−13.2%Feb ’26−17.6%May ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 8, 2026−$4.63—$97.48M—−17.6%
Feb 28, 2026−$16.07—$99.87M—−13.2%
Nov 7, 2025$23.46—$99.74M—−8.0%
Aug 8, 2025$9.17—$100.6M—+1.1%
May 9, 2025−$10.72—$95.04M—−2.5%
Mar 1, 2025−$3.31—$91.12M—−6.7%
Nov 8, 2024$10.35—$90.41M—−3.0%
Aug 9, 2024−$15.53—$91.14M—−8.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Biglari stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Biglari is $500.00, +36.8% from the last close.

$500.00consensus 12-month target, +36.8% from the last close
+3.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Biglari seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Biglari averaged +2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.4%2021+10.9%2022−7.1%2023+5.2%2024+6.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.1%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.5%2 of 5

For scale, BH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.7%.

Biglari market cap and key statistics

Biglari’s market cap is $1.15B and revenue of $405.6M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.15B
Forward P/E
10.6
EPS, TTM
−$22.74
Gekko Fair Value
$369.46

Trading

Volume
135,575
Avg volume, 20 days
98,501
52-week high
$483.60
52-week low
$234.92
Shares outstanding
2.11M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$405.6M
Profit margin
-7.3%
Return on equity
-5.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−22.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.51
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%

Biglari peers

Biglari’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MCDMcDonald's+0.2%Accumulation11.4% below
SBUXStarbucks+1.2%Accumulation10.2% above
YUMYum! Brands+1.6%Neutral19.8% below
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill−1.1%Accumulation10.0% below
QSRRestaurant Brands International+0.8%Accumulation37.4% below
DRIDarden Restaurants+1.6%Accumulation14.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Biglari stock FAQ

What is Biglari’s market cap?

Biglari’s market cap is $1.15B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $365.54, with 2.11M shares outstanding.

What is the Biglari stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Biglari is $500.00, +36.8% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Biglari stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Biglari is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $365.54 is 1.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $369.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Biglari report earnings next?

Biglari is expected to report on Nov 6, 2026 (25 days away).

What is Biglari’s 52-week high and low?

Biglari’s 52-week high is $483.60 and its 52-week low is $234.92; it closed at $365.54 on Oct 12, 2026, +6.4% over the past year.

Is Biglari stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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