NASDAQ: CBRL

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$58.74+1.28 (+2.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's headlines around Cracker Barrel center on holiday retail merchandise, with multiple articles highlighting new Christmas decor items such as dinnerware, ornaments, textiles, and festive pieces across various price points, some described as selling out before November. Separately, coverage notes an improving earnings outlook with analysts raising estimates, and commentary on the stock's six-month run framed around the company's restaurant-retail model, loyalty program, and focus on food quality and guest experience. A Form 4 filing was also noted during the week, alongside disclosure of a time-based RSU grant to the company's CIO vesting in 2028, and a shareholder meeting set for 19 November covering director nominees, executive compensation, and a preferred stock proposal.

The stock closed at $58.74, up 2.2%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $54.01 and 200-day average of $39.97, with the shorter average above the longer one. Shares trade near the 52-week high of $60.26, well above the 52-week low of $24.85, and show a one-month return of 18.7% and a six-month return of 110.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 49.7, placing it in the Neutral zone, while the price sits 22.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $47.84.

Earnings are scheduled for 8 December, 56 days out, placing the report outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.9% return over five years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst views are mixed, with 6 firms covering the stock, 1 buy, 3 hold, and 2 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $50.71.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store price vs fair value

$58.74$47.84Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $58.74200-day averageGekko Fair Value $47.84

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store quick facts

Market cap
$1.31B
P/E ratio
39.5
Forward P/E
48.5
EPS, TTM
$1.40
Revenue, TTM
$3.32B
Profit margin
1%
Dividend yield
1.77%
Beta
1.21
Volume
705,152 avg 1.17M
1-year return
+44.2%
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±9.4%
50-day average
$54.01
200-day average
$39.97
Next earnings
Dec 8
Shares outstanding
22.35M
52-week range
$24.85$60.26

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store swing-trade checklist

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $58.74 is above the 50-day ($54.01) and 200-day ($39.97) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.7, Neutral

    Reading 49.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    22.8% above

    Price is 22.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 57 days

    Next report Dec 8, 2026, 57 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store stock chart and price history

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store closed at $58.74 on Oct 12, 2026, +44.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.85 to $60.26.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$40$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct58.74

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+18.7%
3 months
+10.1%
6 months
+110.9%
1 year
+44.2%
The full CBRL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CBRL in Gekko

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About Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store runs a chain of combined restaurant and retail locations across the United States under its own name. Each site pairs a full-service dining room, open for breakfast, lunch, and dinner, with an attached gift shop, and customers can eat in, pick up orders, or have food delivered.

The gift shops sell a mix of decorative and practical goods, including rocking chairs, seasonal items, clothing, toys, cookware, and food products such as candies and preserves. In this way the company draws on two linked sources of revenue from the same visit, serving diners who often also shop before or after their meal.

The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Lebanon, Tennessee. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker CBRL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Restaurants
Website
crackerbarrel.com

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.7, in the Neutral zone, down 1.8 points over five sessions.

010049.7Neutral

Down 1.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying78+1.1%−1.3%−6.9%−3.5%
Accumulation231−1.6%−2.0%−3.2%−2.6%
Neutral (current zone)339+1.1%+1.7%+3.9%+7.6%
Distribution26−0.1%+0.7%−0.5%−0.5%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average CBRL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CBRL price, zone by zone.Track CBRL in Gekko

Is Cracker Barrel Old Country Store stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store trades 22.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $47.84, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Cracker Barrel Old Country Store shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$47.84

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

22.8% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$48$57Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CBRL in Gekko

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CBRL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CBRL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CBRL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CBRL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CBRL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CBRL in Gekko

Buybacks

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended May 1, 2026
$9K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store earnings: next date and track record

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store reports on Dec 8, 2026 (57 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.3%Dec ’24+6.3%Mar ’25−4.1%Jun ’25−12.3%Sep ’25+5.0%Dec ’25+1.2%Mar ’26+30.0%Jun ’26+14.0%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Cracker Barrel's Q4 fiscal 2026 call featured new CEO Dave Deno, 6 weeks into his tenure, outlining strategic priorities around food quality, guest experience, and people. Google Star ratings rose 2% YoY, food taste/service scores improved ~400 bps, and food temperature scores improved 500 bps vs. Q4 prior year. Deno identified dinner as the biggest opportunity, planning upgrades to chicken, hamburger, and steak offerings, while breakfast remains the strongest daypart.
Guidance
Management indicated investments in food quality improvements are embedded in existing guidance. No specific revenue or EPS targets were disclosed in this excerpt. Leadership expressed confidence in continued performance improvement based on recent quarterly momentum.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 23, 2026$0.99
est $0.17
+469.9%$849.3M
est $834.6M
+1.8%+14.0%
Jun 9, 2026$0.29
est −$0.45
+164.4%$797.4M
est $776.7M
+2.7%+30.0%
Mar 4, 2026$0.25
est −$0.10
+350.0%$874.8M
est $866.5M
+1.0%+1.2%
Dec 9, 2025−$0.74
est −$0.78
+5.1%$797.2M
est $800.3M
−0.4%+5.0%
Sep 18, 2025$0.74
est $0.78
−5.1%$868.0M
est $854.8M
+1.5%−12.3%
Jun 5, 2025$0.58
est $0.17
+241.2%$821.1M
est $823.6M
−0.3%−4.1%
Mar 6, 2025$1.38
est $1.01
+36.6%$949.4M
est $827.0M
+14.8%+6.3%
Dec 4, 2024$0.45
est $0.34
+32.4%$845.1M
est $833.2M
+1.4%−8.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is $50.71, −13.7% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$50.71consensus 12-month target, −13.7% from the last close
Low $44High $60
Buy1
Hold3
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 29UBSHold, maintained$53−9.8%
Sep 29Wells FargoBuy, maintained$60+2.1%
Sep 25CitiSell, maintained$44−25.1%
Sep 24Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$48−18.3%
Sep 24Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$48−18.3%
+3.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store averaged +4.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.0%2021+24.9%2022−5.2%2023+14.1%2024−19.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.3%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.7%4 of 5

For scale, CBRL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.4%.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store market cap and key statistics

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store’s market cap is $1.31B, with a P/E ratio of 39.5 and revenue of $3.32B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.31B
P/E ratio
39.5
Forward P/E
48.5
EPS, TTM
$1.40
Gekko Fair Value
$47.84

Trading

Volume
705,152
Avg volume, 20 days
1.17M
52-week high
$60.26
52-week low
$24.85
Shares outstanding
22.35M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.32B
Profit margin
1%
Return on equity
6.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+85.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.21
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±9.4%
Dividend yield
1.77%

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store stock news this week

Coverage of Cracker Barrel Old Country Store this week reads positive: 7 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store peers

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MCDMcDonald's+0.2%Accumulation11.4% below
SBUXStarbucks+1.2%Accumulation10.2% above
YUMYum! Brands+1.6%Neutral19.8% below
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill−1.1%Accumulation10.0% below
QSRRestaurant Brands International+0.8%Accumulation37.4% below
DRIDarden Restaurants+1.6%Accumulation14.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store stock FAQ

What is Cracker Barrel Old Country Store’s market cap?

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store’s market cap is $1.31B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $58.74, with 22.35M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 39.5.

What is the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is $50.71, −13.7% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Cracker Barrel Old Country Store stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $58.74 is 22.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $47.84. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Cracker Barrel Old Country Store report earnings next?

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is expected to report on Dec 8, 2026 (57 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.11 per share on revenue of $814.9M. Cracker Barrel Old Country Store beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.1% on average across the report.

What is Cracker Barrel Old Country Store’s 52-week high and low?

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store’s 52-week high is $60.26 and its 52-week low is $24.85; it closed at $58.74 on Oct 12, 2026, +44.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $149.36 on Nov 9, 2021.

Is Cracker Barrel Old Country Store stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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