Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for SHAK in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every SHAK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SHAK in Gekko
NYSE: SHAK
Shake Shack (SHAK) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$69.34+2.44 (+3.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeShake Shack moves this week on expansion news, with plans to enter Brazil through a licensing partnership with Bold Hospitality Company, targeting 40 restaurants by 2036 and extending its Latin American footprint. Alongside this, commentary circulates on the consensus price target, which points to a 32.34% upside, and a head-to-head comparison with Aramark (ARMK) on institutional ownership, analyst recommendations and valuation also appears in coverage.
SHAK closes at $69.34, up 3.6%, sitting between its 50-day average of $66.14 and 200-day average of $76.44, a trend the checklist describes as mixed. The GekkoIndex reads 49.7, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 8.3 over the past five readings. Price sits 10.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $63.00, a gap the checklist flags as a headwind.
Earnings are due on 29 October 2026 before the open, 17 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior report on 5 August 2026 beat estimates ($0.43 versus $0.31) and produced a 6.1% reaction, with an average absolute move of 10.3% across recent quarters. Smart money shows one Congress buy and no sales over the past 90 days, alongside one trailblazer holder. Seasonality from this calendar point has averaged a 6.7% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 5 buy, 10 hold, 0 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $80.71.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Shake Shack price vs fair value
Close $69.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $63.00
Shake Shack quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.80B
- P/E ratio
- 70.9
- Forward P/E
- 41.7
- EPS, TTM
- $0.95
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.55B
- Profit margin
- 2.6%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.68
- Volume
- 1.36M avg 1.54M
- 1-year return
- −23.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9%
- 50-day average
- $66.14
- 200-day average
- $76.44
- Next earnings
- Oct 29 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 40.35M
Shake Shack swing-trade checklist
Shake Shack scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $69.34 sits between the 50-day ($66.14) and 200-day ($76.44) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
49.7, Neutral
Reading 49.7 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
10.1% above
Price is 10.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 17 days
Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+6.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Shake Shack stock chart and price history
Shake Shack closed at $69.34 on Oct 12, 2026, −23.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $51.60 to $107.46.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +8.9%
- 3 months
- +15.4%
- 6 months
- −31.1%
- 1 year
- −23.8%
The full SHAK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SHAK in Gekko
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About Shake Shack
Shake Shack runs a chain of restaurants called Shacks, serving familiar American food such as hamburgers, hot dogs, chicken sandwiches, crinkle-cut fries, milkshakes, frozen custard, and drinks that include beer and wine. The brand is built around this casual, counter-style menu, offered both in the United States and in other countries.
The company operates some Shacks directly and allows others to run under license, both at home and abroad. Its network includes locations it owns and operates itself alongside domestically and internationally licensed restaurants, giving it a presence that reaches beyond outlets it manages on its own.
Shake Shack was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in New York City. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker SHAK.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Website
- shakeshack.com
Shake Shack GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Shake Shack’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.7, in the Neutral zone, down 8.3 points over five sessions.
49.7Neutral
Down 8.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 55 | +1.8% | −3.2% |
| Accumulation | 252 | −0.8% | +1.6% |
| Neutral (current zone) | 323 | +0.4% | −1.5% |
| Distribution | 40 | +1.9% | +8.8% |
| Selling | 12 | +6.4% | +29.6% |
Average SHAK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SHAK price, zone by zone.Track SHAK in Gekko
Is Shake Shack stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Shake Shack trades 10.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $63.00, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Shake Shack shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$63.00
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
10.1% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 33.1% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SHAK in Gekko
Shake Shack insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Shake Shack, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Cisneros House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 11 traded Aug 11 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Shake Shack has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
- $484K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.02%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SHAK.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Shake Shack earnings: next date and track record
Shake Shack reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
Expected before the open, 17 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.34
- Revenue estimate
- $426.4M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Shake Shack reported Q2 2026 Same-Shack sales growth of 3.5% with positive traffic of 2.0%, marking 22 consecutive quarters of comp sales growth and four straight quarters of positive traffic. Results aligned with revised June guidance despite headwinds from record beef prices, higher fuel/distribution costs, and World Cup uncertainty. Comparable app channel sales surged nearly 30% YoY. Strategic priorities include culinary innovation, digital ecosystem expansion, and an upcoming loyalty platform launch.
- Guidance
- Management reaffirmed full-year outlook consistent with the June update, which already reflected cost headwinds and World Cup impacts. Second-half initiatives include loyalty platform launch, lifecycle marketing expansion, and new menu platforms. No specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.43 est $0.31 | $417.6M est $417.2M | +6.1% |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.00 est $0.11 | $366.7M est $372.4M | −27.3% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $0.37 est $0.35 | $400.5M est $402.1M | +4.2% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $0.36 est $0.32 | $367.4M est $363.7M | +7.5% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.44 est $0.37 | $356.5M est $364.4M | −20.6% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.14 est $0.16 | $320.9M est $350.7M | +7.6% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $0.26 est $0.25 | $328.7M est $332.9M | −2.3% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $0.25 est $0.20 | $316.9M est $325.5M | +7.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Shake Shack stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Shake Shack is $80.71, +16.4% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$80.71consensus 12-month target, +16.4% from the last close
Now $69.34Avg $80.71
Low $65High $90
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | J.P. Morgan | $75 | +8.2% |
| Sep 15 | Seaport Global | — | — |
| Sep 8 | RBC Capital | $89 | +28.4% |
| Aug 24 | Robert W. Baird | $80 | +15.4% |
| Aug 10 | J.P. Morgan | $77 | +11.0% |
−1.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+6.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Shake Shack seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Shake Shack averaged +6.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +7.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.7% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, SHAK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9%.
Shake Shack market cap and key statistics
Shake Shack’s market cap is $2.80B, with a P/E ratio of 70.9 and revenue of $1.55B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.80B
- P/E ratio
- 70.9
- Forward P/E
- 41.7
- EPS, TTM
- $0.95
- Gekko Fair Value
- $63.00
Trading
- Volume
- 1.36M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.54M
- 52-week high
- $107.46
- 52-week low
- $51.60
- Shares outstanding
- 40.35M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.55B
- Profit margin
- 2.6%
- Return on equity
- 7.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −9.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.68
- Typical daily move
- ±3.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9%
Shake Shack stock news this week
4 headlines about Shake Shack from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Shake Shack Expands Latin America Presence With Brazil EntryZacks Investment Research, Oct 8
- Wall Street Analysts Predict a 32.34% Upside in Shake Shack (SHAK): Here's What You Should KnowZacks Investment Research, Oct 8
- Shake Shack Deepens Latin America Presence with Planned Entry Into BrazilBusiness Wire, Oct 7
- Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) vs. Aramark (NYSE:ARMK) Head to Head SurveyDefense World, Oct 7
Shake Shack peers
Shake Shack’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MCDMcDonald's | Accumulation | 11.4% below |
| SBUXStarbucks | Accumulation | 10.2% above |
| YUMYum! Brands | Neutral | 19.8% below |
| CMGChipotle Mexican Grill | Accumulation | 10.0% below |
| QSRRestaurant Brands International | Accumulation | 37.4% below |
| DRIDarden Restaurants | Accumulation | 14.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Shake Shack stock FAQ
What is Shake Shack’s market cap?
Shake Shack’s market cap is $2.80B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $69.34, with 40.35M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 70.9.
What is the Shake Shack stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Shake Shack is $80.71, +16.4% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Shake Shack stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Shake Shack is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $69.34 is 10.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $63.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Shake Shack report earnings next?
Shake Shack is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.34 per share on revenue of $426.4M. Shake Shack beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.3% on average across the report.
What is Shake Shack’s 52-week high and low?
Shake Shack’s 52-week high is $107.46 and its 52-week low is $51.60; it closed at $69.34 on Oct 12, 2026, −23.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $144.65 on Jul 10, 2025.
Is Shake Shack stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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