NASDAQ: SBUX

Starbucks (SBUX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Starbucks Corporation. Consumer services sector, restaurants industry. Market cap $109.2B.

$95.83−0.84 (−0.9%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Starbucks closes at $95.83, down 0.9%, sitting between its 50-day average of $104.46 and 200-day average of $98.26. The GekkoIndex reads 76.2, placing the stock in the Buying zone, up 6.7 over five sessions. Price sits 11.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $85.63. Over the past month the stock is down 8.7%, though it remains up 15.2% over the past year.

This week's news centers on legal resolutions in Florida. Starbucks settled a lawsuit with the Florida attorney general over hiring practices, agreeing to pay $1 million and to drop race- or sex-based goals in hiring and promotion, along with annual compliance certifications for four years, without admitting liability. Separately, a federal appeals court largely overturned an NLRB ruling that Starbucks illegally threatened workers over unionization, though it upheld a finding tied to denial of maternity leave benefits for a pregnant employee. Institutional activity also surfaced, with Nykredit A/S disclosed as having acquired 288,913 shares valued at approximately $29.5 million during the second quarter.

Looking ahead, Starbucks next reports earnings on 28 October 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window; its last report showed EPS of $0.85 against a $0.66 estimate, with a 2.7% reaction. Analyst coverage spans 21 firms, 12 at buy and 9 at hold, with a consensus target of $112.23, implying 17.1% upside. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.6% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them, worth noting alongside the gap to Gekko Fair Value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $95.83200-day averageGekko Fair Value $85.63

Key stats

Market cap
$109.2B
P/E ratio
56.2
Forward P/E
32.4
EPS, TTM
$1.72
Revenue, TTM
$38.34B
Profit margin
5.2%
Dividend yield
2.55%
Beta
0.97
Volume
12.81M avg 6.23M
1-year return
+15.2%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$104.46
200-day average
$98.26
Next earnings
Oct 28 after close
Shares outstanding
1.14B
52-week range
$77.99$110.51

Starbucks swing-trade checklist

Starbucks scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $95.83 sits between the 50-day ($104.46) and 200-day ($98.26) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    76.2, Buying

    Reading 76.2 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    11.9% above

    Price is 11.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Starbucks stock chart and price history

Starbucks closed at $95.83 on Sep 18, 2026, +15.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $77.99 to $110.51.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.7%
3 months
−4.8%
6 months
0.0%
1 year
+15.2%
The full SBUX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SBUX in Gekko

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About Starbucks

Starbucks roasts, markets, and sells specialty coffee through retail locations found around the world. Its stores serve coffee and tea drinks, whole bean and ground coffee, single-serve pods, and ready-to-drink beverages, alongside food such as pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items. The brand is widely recognized for this cafe-based model built around coffee and related refreshments.

The company runs its operations through three divisions covering North America, international markets, and channel development. Beyond its own stores, it licenses its trademarks to independently run outlets, grocery chains, and foodservice providers, extending its reach through additional brand names including Teavana, Seattle's Best Coffee, Evolution Fresh, Ethos, Starbucks Reserve, and Princi. This mix of owned locations, licensed sites, and packaged goods brings its products to customers through many different channels.

Starbucks was founded in 1971 and is based in Seattle, Washington. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker SBUX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Restaurants
Website
starbucks.com

Starbucks GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Starbucks’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 76.2, in the Buying zone, up 6.7 points over five sessions.

010076.2Buying

Up 6.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)44+2.1%+2.5%+1.3%+4.1%
Accumulation174+0.4%+0.8%+2.6%+4.9%
Neutral421−0.2%−0.2%−0.2%+0.8%
Distribution21+0.4%+2.4%+0.2%−9.7%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average SBUX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SBUX price, zone by zone.Track SBUX in Gekko

Is Starbucks stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Starbucks trades 11.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $85.63, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Starbucks shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$85.63

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

11.9% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SBUX in Gekko

Starbucks insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Starbucks, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SBUX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SBUX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SBUX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SBUX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SBUX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SBUX in Gekko

Buybacks

Starbucks has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2023
$1.27B
As a share of market cap
1.16%
Trailing four quarters
$2.06B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SBUX.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Starbucks earnings: next date and track record

Starbucks reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.3%Oct ’24+8.6%Jan ’25−4.6%Apr ’25−1.0%Jul ’25−2.7%Oct ’25−1.9%Jan ’26+7.8%Apr ’26+2.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Starbucks reported Q3 FY2026 results showing continued recovery and momentum under its “Back to Starbucks” plan. Management highlighted a fourth consecutive quarter of positive global comps, consolidated margin expansion, and strong transaction-led comp growth (global comps +7.9%; North America comps +8.1%; U.S. comps +7.9%). Consolidated net revenues were $9.3 billion (down ~1% year-over-year largely due to the transition of the China retail business to a joint-venture license structure). Management emphasized improvements in store operations (Green Apron Service), digital capabilities, product innovation (notably Refreshers and food attach), and store uplifts/remodels that are driving brand health and customer experience. They signaled continued investment in marketing, digital menu boards and delivery, and discussed a more disciplined approach to development including potential targeted closures of underperforming stores. Management expressed confidence and raised full-year 2026 guidance.
Guidance
Management raised full-year fiscal 2026 guidance (no numeric detail provided in the transcript).
Risks flagged
- Transition of China retail business to a new joint-venture license structure reduced reported consolidated revenues. - Prior suboptimal development and underperforming stores; management plans targeted closures/remodels. - Supply chain/tariff uncertainty (tariff refunds mostly received but noted as a factor). - Localized events/natural disasters (earthquake in Japan) can disrupt operations. - Execution risk in scaling uplifts, remodels, digital rollouts and delivery while maintaining quality.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$0.85
est $0.66
+28.8%$9.32B
est $9.17B
+1.6%+2.7%
Apr 28, 2026$0.50
est $0.41
+23.3%$9.53B
est $9.17B
+4.0%+7.8%
Jan 28, 2026$0.56
est $0.59
−4.4%$9.92B
est $9.65B
+2.7%−1.9%
Oct 29, 2025$0.52
est $0.56
−6.5%$9.57B
est $9.33B
+2.6%−2.7%
Jul 29, 2025$0.50
est $0.65
−22.7%$9.46B
est $9.29B
+1.7%−1.0%
Apr 29, 2025$0.41
est $0.49
−15.6%$8.76B
est $8.83B
−0.8%−4.6%
Jan 28, 2025$0.69
est $0.68
+1.5%$9.40B
est $9.32B
+0.9%+8.6%
Oct 30, 2024$0.80
est $1.03
−22.3%$9.07B
est $9.20B
−1.4%+0.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Starbucks stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Starbucks is $112.23, +17.1% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$112.23consensus 12-month target, +17.1% from the last close
Low $110High $143
Buy12
Hold9
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16William BlairBuy, maintained
Sep 15Seaport GlobalHold, initiated
Aug 27J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$112+16.9%
Aug 24Robert W. BairdBuy, initiated$124+29.4%
Aug 18TD CowenBuy, reiterated$120+25.2%
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Starbucks seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Starbucks averaged −0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.4%2021−3.5%2022−1.2%2023−1.7%2024+0.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.3%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.2%0 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.6%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.8%1 of 5

For scale, SBUX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

Starbucks market cap and key statistics

Starbucks’s market cap is $109.2B, with a P/E ratio of 56.2 and revenue of $38.34B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$109.2B
P/E ratio
56.2
Forward P/E
32.4
EPS, TTM
$1.72
Gekko Fair Value
$85.63

Trading

Volume
12.81M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.23M
52-week high
$110.51
52-week low
$77.99
Shares outstanding
1.14B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$38.34B
Profit margin
5.2%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+85.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.97
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
2.55%

Starbucks stock news this week

Coverage of Starbucks this week reads positive: 7 positive, 7 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Starbucks peers

Starbucks’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MCDMcDonald's0.0%Buying13.0% below
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill−0.5%Accumulation3.1% below
YUMYum! Brands+1.8%Accumulation27.8% below
QSRRestaurant Brands International−0.2%Accumulation37.7% below
DRIDarden Restaurants+1.3%Accumulation23.3% below
ARMKAramark−0.6%Accumulation0.8% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Starbucks stock FAQ

What is Starbucks’s market cap?

Starbucks’s market cap is $109.2B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $95.83, with 1.14B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 56.2.

What is the Starbucks stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Starbucks is $112.23, +17.1% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Starbucks stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Starbucks is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $95.83 is 11.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $85.63. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Starbucks report earnings next?

Starbucks is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.71 per share on revenue of $9.22B. Starbucks beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.7% on average across the report.

What is Starbucks’s 52-week high and low?

Starbucks’s 52-week high is $110.51 and its 52-week low is $77.99; it closed at $95.83 on Sep 18, 2026, +15.2% over the past year.

Is Starbucks stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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