Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for YUMC in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every YUMC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open YUMC in Gekko
NYSE: YUMC
Yum China (YUMC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$41.10+0.63 (+1.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's coverage centers on analyst sentiment and routine equity compensation activity rather than operational news. A consensus "Moderate Buy" rating was highlighted, with an average 12-month price target cited at $59.21, well above the then-current share price of $41.54. A separate value comparison piece weighed Yum China against Chipotle Mexican Grill. Several filings disclosed dividend-equivalent RSU grants to senior executives, including the Chief People Officer, the KFC General Manager, the Pizza Hut General Manager, and the Chief Supply Chain Officer, though these were administrative in nature.
Shares closed at $41.10, up 1.6%, but remain below both the 50-day average of $44.94 and the 200-day average of $47.40, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Over the past month the stock is down 8.5%, and over six months down 17.1%, though the three-month return is roughly flat at 0.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 68.2, placing YUMC in the Accumulation zone, down 2 points over the past five sessions. The gap to Gekko Fair Value of $78.70 stands at -47.8%.
Earnings are scheduled for 3 November 2026, 35 days out, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.2% decline over five years, with gains in 2 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the stock's typical 20-day move of 5.9%.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Yum China price vs fair value
Close $41.10200-day averageGekko Fair Value $78.70
Yum China quick facts
- Market cap
- $14.35B
- P/E ratio
- 15
- Forward P/E
- 12.3
- EPS, TTM
- $2.73
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.44B
- Profit margin
- 7.8%
- Dividend yield
- 2.59%
- Beta
- 0.07
- Volume
- 1.55M avg 1.36M
- 1-year return
- −4.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.9%
- 50-day average
- $44.94
- 200-day average
- $47.40
- Next earnings
- Nov 3
- Shares outstanding
- 338.7M
Yum China swing-trade checklist
Yum China scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $41.10 is below the 50-day ($44.94) and 200-day ($47.40) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
68.2, Accumulation
Reading 68.2 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
47.8% below
Price is 47.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 35 days
Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−4.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Yum China stock chart and price history
Yum China closed at $41.10 on Sep 28, 2026, −4.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $40.15 to $58.39.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.5%
- 3 months
- +0.6%
- 6 months
- −17.1%
- 1 year
- −4.2%
The full YUMC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open YUMC in Gekko
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About Yum China
Yum China owns, operates, and franchises restaurants across China, with chicken chain KFC and pizza chain Pizza Hut forming the backbone of its business. Its wider brand lineup stretches into hot pot through Little Sheep, simmer pot dining via Huang Ji Huang, Italian-style coffee under Lavazza and COFFii & JOY, Mexican-inspired food through Taco Bell, and Chinese cuisine under East Dawning, giving it a presence across several dining styles rather than a single format.
The business is organized mainly around its KFC and Pizza Hut segments, which anchor its restaurant network throughout the country. Alongside its physical locations, Yum China also runs V-Gold Mall, a mobile e-commerce platform that sells electronics, home and kitchen items, and general goods, as well as prepared foods like fried rice, steak, and pasta and coffee capsules, extending its reach beyond in-restaurant dining to online retail and food delivery.
Yum China is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was established in 2016. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker YUMC.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Website
- yumchina.com
Yum China GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Yum China’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 2 points over five sessions.
68.2Accumulation
Down 2 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 32 | −0.2% | +0.1% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 235 | +0.2% | +0.7% | ||
| Neutral | 367 | +0.1% | +1.5% | ||
| Distribution | 30 | +2.4% | −1.8% | ||
| Selling | 8 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average YUMC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the YUMC price, zone by zone.Track YUMC in Gekko
Is Yum China stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Yum China trades 47.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.70, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Yum China shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$78.70
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
47.8% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open YUMC in Gekko
Yum China insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Yum China, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in YUMC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for YUMC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open YUMC in Gekko
Buybacks
Yum China has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $316.4M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.20%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.31B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold YUMC.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Yum China earnings: next date and track record
Yum China reports on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
35 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.91
- Revenue estimate
- $3.50B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Yum China Q1 2026 delivered 10% revenue growth and 12% operating profit growth in reporting currency. Net new store openings reached 636, over one-third of the full-year target. KFC same-store sales grew 1% for the fourth consecutive quarter with 19.1% restaurant margins. Pizza Hut achieved 18% operating profit growth with restaurant margins improving 60 basis points to 15%. This marks the eighth consecutive quarter of simultaneous growth across system sales, operating profit, and margins.
- Guidance
- Management is tracking ahead of schedule on full-year store opening targets. No specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt, but expansion acceleration and module scaling suggest continued growth momentum for 2026.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | $0.87 est $0.85 | $3.27B est $3.21B | +2.3% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | $0.40 est $0.37 | $2.82B est $2.72B | +9.7% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.76 est $0.76 | $3.21B est $3.19B | −0.3% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.58 est $0.57 | $2.79B est $2.79B | −3.6% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $0.77 est $0.79 | $2.98B est $3.09B | −7.2% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $0.30 est $0.29 | $2.60B est $2.62B | +6.4% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | $0.77 est $0.65 | $3.07B est $3.03B | +7.3% |
| Aug 5, 2024 | $0.55 est $0.47 | $2.68B est $2.76B | +13.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Yum China stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Yum China is $61.91, +50.6% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$61.91consensus 12-month target, +50.6% from the last close
Now $41.10Avg $61.91
Low $56High $65.10
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2 | Huatai Securities | $64.66 | +57.3% |
| Aug 2 | Guotai Haitong | $59.79 | +45.5% |
| Jul 31 | GF Securities | $65.10 | +58.4% |
| Jul 31 | Oppenheimer | — | — |
| Jul 31 | DBS | $61.98 | +50.8% |
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Yum China seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Yum China averaged −4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −4.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −1.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, YUMC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.9%.
Yum China market cap and key statistics
Yum China’s market cap is $14.35B, with a P/E ratio of 15 and revenue of $12.44B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $14.35B
- P/E ratio
- 15
- Forward P/E
- 12.3
- EPS, TTM
- $2.73
- Gekko Fair Value
- $78.70
Trading
- Volume
- 1.55M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.36M
- 52-week high
- $58.39
- 52-week low
- $40.15
- Shares outstanding
- 338.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.44B
- Profit margin
- 7.8%
- Return on equity
- 16.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +21.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.07
- Typical daily move
- ±1.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.9%
- Dividend yield
- 2.59%
Yum China stock news this week
Coverage of Yum China this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 6 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- NewEdge Advisors LLC Sells 58,778 Shares of Yum China $YUMCMarketBeat, Sep 27
- Yum China (NYSE:YUMC) Given Consensus Recommendation of "Moderate Buy" by AnalystsMarketBeat, Sep 23
- YUMC or CMG: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?Yahoo Finance Singapore, Sep 22
- Should Value Investors Buy Yum China (YUMC) Stock?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 22
- Yum China (NYSE: YUMC) HR chief logs new RSU perks and 9-share boostStock Titan, Sep 22
- Yum China (NYSE: YUMC) grants dividend RSUs to KFC headStock Titan, Sep 22
Yum China peers
Yum China’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MCDMcDonald's | Buying | 14.3% below |
| SBUXStarbucks | Buying | 11.3% above |
| CMGChipotle Mexican Grill | Buying | 6.2% below |
| YUMYum! Brands | Accumulation | 24.5% below |
| QSRRestaurant Brands International | Accumulation | 36.7% below |
| DRIDarden Restaurants | Accumulation | 26.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Yum China stock FAQ
What is Yum China’s market cap?
Yum China’s market cap is $14.35B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $41.10, with 338.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.
What is the Yum China stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Yum China is $61.91, +50.6% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Yum China stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Yum China is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $41.10 is 47.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.70. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Yum China report earnings next?
Yum China is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.91 per share on revenue of $3.50B. Yum China beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.2% on average across the report.
What is Yum China’s 52-week high and low?
Yum China’s 52-week high is $58.39 and its 52-week low is $40.15; it closed at $41.10 on Sep 28, 2026, −4.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $64.70 on Apr 12, 2023.
Is Yum China stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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