Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TXRH in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TXRH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TXRH in Gekko
NASDAQ: TXRH
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$158.45−1.30 (−0.8%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryTexas Roadhouse this week drew attention from a mix of local development and comparative coverage rather than a single catalyst. Batavia's city council approved a sales tax rebate, capped at $230,000, to support a new Texas Roadhouse location as part of a $5 million project. Analyst commentary was steady, with Evercore ISI Group maintaining an In-Line rating, while several pieces compared TXRH's expansion strategy and commodity outlook against CAVA and Boyd Gaming. One report also noted that despite record sales and customer traffic exceeding expectations in the latest quarter, rising beef costs have weighed on margins and the stock.
Shares closed at $158.45, down 0.8%, sitting below both the 50-day average of $192.49 and the 200-day average of $179.81, with one-month and three-month returns of -20.8% and -18.3% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 76.5, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $158.98, putting price about 0.3% below that mark.
Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is set for 5 November, 37 days out, placing it outside a typical holding window. In the last 90 days, Congress recorded one buy and no sales. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4% gain across 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Texas Roadhouse price vs fair value
Close $158.45200-day averageGekko Fair Value $158.98
Texas Roadhouse quick facts
- Market cap
- $10.41B
- P/E ratio
- 25.9
- Forward P/E
- 21
- EPS, TTM
- $6.25
- Revenue, TTM
- $6.23B
- Profit margin
- 6.6%
- Dividend yield
- 1.74%
- Beta
- 0.79
- Volume
- 1.67M avg 1.13M
- 1-year return
- −2.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.6%
- 50-day average
- $192.49
- 200-day average
- $179.81
- Next earnings
- Nov 5 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 65.64M
Texas Roadhouse swing-trade checklist
Texas Roadhouse scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $158.45 sits between the 50-day ($192.49) and 200-day ($179.81) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
76.5, Buying
Reading 76.5 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
0.3% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.3% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Texas Roadhouse stock chart and price history
Texas Roadhouse closed at $158.45 on Sep 28, 2026, −2.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $153.82 to $216.30.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −20.8%
- 3 months
- −18.3%
- 6 months
- −1.1%
- 1 year
- −2.8%
The full TXRH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TXRH in Gekko
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About Texas Roadhouse
Texas Roadhouse operates casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally, working through a number of subsidiaries. Its restaurant lineup includes the Texas Roadhouse brand itself, along with Bubba's 33 and Jaggers, and it is generally recognized for these dining concepts serving everyday customers looking for a casual meal out.
The company runs many of its locations directly while also extending franchise rights to outside operators, giving it a mix of company-operated and franchised restaurants. As of late December 2021, its records showed 566 restaurants run directly by the company in the U.S., alongside 101 additional franchised sites, reflecting a business built on both self-managed operations and partnerships with franchisees.
Texas Roadhouse traces its founding back to 1993 and keeps its headquarters in Louisville, Kentucky. Shares of the company are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker TXRH.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Website
- texasroadhouse.com
Texas Roadhouse GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Texas Roadhouse’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 76.5, in the Buying zone, down 2.1 points over five sessions.
76.5Buying
Down 2.1 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 21 | −1.4% | +3.3% |
| Accumulation | 222 | +0.7% | +2.2% |
| Neutral | 352 | −0.1% | −0.1% |
| Distribution | 66 | +1.2% | +3.6% |
| Selling | 11 | +2.9% | +13.6% |
Average TXRH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TXRH price, zone by zone.Track TXRH in Gekko
Is Texas Roadhouse stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Texas Roadhouse trades 0.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $158.98, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Texas Roadhouse shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$158.98
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
0.3% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TXRH in Gekko
Texas Roadhouse insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Texas Roadhouse, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Ray Cisneros House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 3 traded Jun 30 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Texas Roadhouse has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $43.65M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.42%
- Trailing four quarters
- $161.9M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold TXRH.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Texas Roadhouse earnings: next date and track record
Texas Roadhouse reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Expected after the close, 37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.51
- Revenue estimate
- $1.59B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $1.85 est $1.83 | $1.68B est $1.67B | −0.2% |
| May 7, 2026 | $1.87 est $1.80 | $1.63B est $1.64B | +11.1% |
| Feb 19, 2026 | $1.28 est $1.52 | $1.48B est $1.50B | −4.3% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $1.25 est $1.28 | $1.44B est $1.43B | −0.4% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $1.86 est $1.90 | $1.51B est $1.50B | −6.3% |
| May 8, 2025 | $1.70 est $1.76 | $1.45B est $1.44B | +5.6% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $1.73 est $1.64 | $1.44B est $1.41B | −2.8% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $1.26 est $1.32 | $1.27B est $1.41B | +4.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Texas Roadhouse stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Texas Roadhouse is $217.54, +37.3% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$217.54consensus 12-month target, +37.3% from the last close
Now $158.45Avg $217.54
Low $195High $276
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Wells Fargo | $230 | +45.2% |
| Sep 25 | Evercore ISI | $220 | +38.8% |
| Sep 15 | Seaport Global | $195 | +23.1% |
| Sep 15 | Wells Fargo | $230 | +45.2% |
| Aug 24 | Stifel Nicolaus | $235 | +48.3% |
+3.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+4.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Texas Roadhouse seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Texas Roadhouse averaged +4.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.4% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, TXRH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.6%.
Texas Roadhouse market cap and key statistics
Texas Roadhouse’s market cap is $10.41B, with a P/E ratio of 25.9 and revenue of $6.23B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $10.41B
- P/E ratio
- 25.9
- Forward P/E
- 21
- EPS, TTM
- $6.25
- Gekko Fair Value
- $158.98
Trading
- Volume
- 1.67M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.13M
- 52-week high
- $216.30
- 52-week low
- $153.82
- Shares outstanding
- 65.64M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $6.23B
- Profit margin
- 6.6%
- Return on equity
- 27.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −0.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.79
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.6%
- Dividend yield
- 1.74%
Texas Roadhouse stock news this week
Coverage of Texas Roadhouse this week reads positive: 4 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Batavia OKs sales tax rebate for proposed Texas RoadhouseDaily Herald, Sep 28
- Texas Roadhouse Is Maintained at In-Line by Evercore ISI GroupMoomoo, Sep 26
- CAVA vs. Texas Roadhouse: Which Restaurant Stock Has the Edge?Yahoo Finance, Sep 24
- Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH) and Boyd Gaming (NYSE:BYD) Head-To-Head ContrastDefense World, Sep 24
- Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 23
- Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Stock Looks Like A Bargain As Its 95% Run ContinuesSimply Wall Street, Sep 23
Texas Roadhouse peers
Texas Roadhouse’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MCDMcDonald's | Buying | 14.3% below |
| SBUXStarbucks | Buying | 11.3% above |
| CMGChipotle Mexican Grill | Buying | 6.2% below |
| YUMYum! Brands | Accumulation | 24.5% below |
| QSRRestaurant Brands International | Accumulation | 36.7% below |
| DRIDarden Restaurants | Accumulation | 26.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Texas Roadhouse stock FAQ
What is Texas Roadhouse’s market cap?
Texas Roadhouse’s market cap is $10.41B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $158.45, with 65.64M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.9.
What is the Texas Roadhouse stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Texas Roadhouse is $217.54, +37.3% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Texas Roadhouse stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Texas Roadhouse is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $158.45 is 0.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $158.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Texas Roadhouse report earnings next?
Texas Roadhouse is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.51 per share on revenue of $1.59B. Texas Roadhouse beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.4% on average across the report.
What is Texas Roadhouse’s 52-week high and low?
Texas Roadhouse’s 52-week high is $216.30 and its 52-week low is $153.82; it closed at $158.45 on Sep 28, 2026, −2.8% over the past year.
Is Texas Roadhouse stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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