Insider buying last 90 days
$103Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14 | Todd Allan Penegor Director | Purchase | $103K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NYSE: BROS
Dutch Bros (BROS) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$37.74−0.15 (−0.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryDutch Bros shares have declined sharply since second-quarter results, with the stock down 37% since that report according to commentary this week. Coverage remains split: Bank of America reiterated a buy rating and called the valuation attractive despite the pullback, while a separate piece flagged a $973 million liability and rates the stock Hold, citing decelerating transaction growth and shop margins below target. Other stories note Dutch Bros' 1,225 stores and plans to reach 2,029 by 2029, alongside 13 consecutive quarters of same-shop sales growth, alongside pieces questioning stretched valuation multiples and debating whether the drop represents a buying opportunity.
The stock closed at $37.74, down 0.4% on the day and below both its 50-day average of $51.27 and 200-day average of $56.02, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. Shares sit near the 52-week low of $37.40, far from the 52-week high of $74.02, and one-year return stands at -29.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 71.4, placing it in the Buying zone, while price sits 37.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.15.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. Smart money activity shows one open-market insider purchase over the last 90 days, valued at $103,120. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged a 18.4% return over 5 years, with gains in 5 of those years. All 19 covering analysts currently rate the stock buy, with a consensus target of $75.48.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Dutch Bros price vs fair value
Close $37.74200-day averageGekko Fair Value $60.15
Dutch Bros quick facts
- Market cap
- $6.52B
- P/E ratio
- 52.6
- Forward P/E
- 32.6
- EPS, TTM
- $0.72
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.88B
- Profit margin
- 4.9%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 2.29
- Volume
- 4.50M avg 4.43M
- 1-year return
- −29.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.7%
- 50-day average
- $51.27
- 200-day average
- $56.02
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 137.9M
Dutch Bros swing-trade checklist
Dutch Bros scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $37.74 is below the 50-day ($51.27) and 200-day ($56.02) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
71.4, Buying
Reading 71.4 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
37.3% below
Price is 37.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+18.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +18.4% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Dutch Bros stock chart and price history
Dutch Bros closed at $37.74 on Sep 28, 2026, −29.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $37.40 to $74.02.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −25.6%
- 3 months
- −47.4%
- 6 months
- −19.2%
- 1 year
- −29.3%
The full BROS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BROS in Gekko
Follow Dutch Bros through every session
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About Dutch Bros
Dutch Bros runs and licenses drive-thru beverage locations across the United States. It serves customers both at company-run shops and through online ordering, using several brand names including Dutch Bros, Dutch Bros Coffee, Dutch Bros Rebel, and Blue Rebel.
The business operates through two main segments: shops that the company owns and manages directly, and a franchising arm along with other related activities. Together these divisions cover how the company reaches and serves its customer base.
Dutch Bros traces its founding to 1992 and keeps its headquarters in Grants Pass, Oregon. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker BROS.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Website
- dutchbros.com
Dutch Bros GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Dutch Bros’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.4, in the Buying zone, down 3.3 points over five sessions.
71.4Buying
Down 3.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 61 | +1.7% | +7.3% | ||
| Accumulation | 202 | +0.1% | +2.6% | ||
| Neutral | 350 | +0.5% | +2.5% | ||
| Distribution | 51 | +2.4% | +0.7% | ||
| Selling | 8 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average BROS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BROS price, zone by zone.Track BROS in Gekko
Is Dutch Bros stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Dutch Bros trades 37.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.15, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Dutch Bros shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$60.15
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
37.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BROS in Gekko
Dutch Bros insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Dutch Bros worth $103K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BROS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BROS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BROS in Gekko
Buybacks
Dutch Bros has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
- $1.02M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.02%
From company filings.
Dutch Bros earnings: next date and track record
Dutch Bros reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected after the close, 36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.23
- Revenue estimate
- $548.0M
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±15.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Dutch Bros Q2 2026 delivered 32% total revenue growth and 28% adjusted EBITDA growth, marking the 13th consecutive quarter of positive comp sales and 8th straight quarter of transaction growth. The company opened 48 system shops in Q2, maintaining strong development momentum toward its 4,000-shop target by 2029. System-wide AUVs trended upward with exceptional new shop productivity. A Phoenix franchisee acquisition contributed to raised full-year guidance.
- Guidance
- Management raised full-year guidance based on strong year-to-date performance and the Phoenix franchisee acquisition. The company targets 4,000 system shops by 2029, supported by 525+ operator candidates in the pipeline with ~8 years average tenure.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.28 est $0.27 | $550.9M est $525.4M | −16.8% |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.16 est $0.16 | $464.4M est $449.7M | −6.3% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $0.17 est $0.10 | $443.6M est $424.8M | −0.6% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.19 est $0.17 | $423.6M est $413.6M | −3.5% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.26 est $0.18 | $415.8M est $411.8M | +22.3% |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.14 est $0.10 | $355.2M est $344.3M | +8.1% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $0.07 est $0.02 | $342.8M est $318.8M | +30.1% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.16 est $0.12 | $338.2M est $306.3M | +33.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Dutch Bros stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Dutch Bros is $75.48, +100.0% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$75.48consensus 12-month target, +100.0% from the last close
Now $37.74Avg $75.48
Low $50High $95
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | D.A. Davidson | $60 | +59.0% |
| Sep 22 | Bank of America Securities | $79 | +109.3% |
| Sep 18 | Melius Research | $70 | +85.5% |
| Sep 15 | Seaport Global | $50 | +32.5% |
| Sep 11 | TD Cowen | $59 | +56.3% |
+7.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+18.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Dutch Bros seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Dutch Bros averaged +18.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +13.1% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +18.4% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +24.1% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, BROS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.7%.
Dutch Bros market cap and key statistics
Dutch Bros’s market cap is $6.52B, with a P/E ratio of 52.6 and revenue of $1.88B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $6.52B
- P/E ratio
- 52.6
- Forward P/E
- 32.6
- EPS, TTM
- $0.72
- Gekko Fair Value
- $60.15
Trading
- Volume
- 4.50M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 4.43M
- 52-week high
- $74.02
- 52-week low
- $37.40
- Shares outstanding
- 137.9M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.88B
- Profit margin
- 4.9%
- Return on equity
- 14.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +37.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.29
- Typical daily move
- ±3.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.7%
Dutch Bros stock news this week
6 headlines about Dutch Bros from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- A Pair Trade In The Coffee Space: Short Dutch Bros And Go Long Coffee HoldingSeeking Alpha, Sep 28
- Prediction: Here's What a $10,000 Investment in Dutch Bros Stock Could be Worth By 2029The Motley Fool, Sep 27
- Dutch Bros (BROS) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 25
- Prediction: Here's What a $10,000 Investment in Dutch Bros (BROS) Stock Could Be Worth by 2029The Motley Fool, Sep 25
- Dutch Bros: A $973M Liability That Doesn't Show Up In LeverageSeeking Alpha, Sep 25
- Is Dutch Bros (NYSE:BROS) Brewing A Comeback After Its Pullback?Kalkine Media, Sep 24
Dutch Bros peers
Dutch Bros’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MCDMcDonald's | Buying | 14.3% below |
| SBUXStarbucks | Buying | 11.3% above |
| CMGChipotle Mexican Grill | Buying | 6.2% below |
| YUMYum! Brands | Accumulation | 24.5% below |
| QSRRestaurant Brands International | Accumulation | 36.7% below |
| DRIDarden Restaurants | Accumulation | 26.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Dutch Bros stock FAQ
What is Dutch Bros’s market cap?
Dutch Bros’s market cap is $6.52B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $37.74, with 137.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 52.6.
What is the Dutch Bros stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Dutch Bros is $75.48, +100.0% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 19 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Dutch Bros stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Dutch Bros is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $37.74 is 37.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.15. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Dutch Bros report earnings next?
Dutch Bros is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.23 per share on revenue of $548.0M. Dutch Bros beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 15.1% on average across the report.
What is Dutch Bros’s 52-week high and low?
Dutch Bros’s 52-week high is $74.02 and its 52-week low is $37.40; it closed at $37.74 on Sep 28, 2026, −29.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $86.88 on Feb 18, 2025.
Is Dutch Bros stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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