Insider buying last 90 days
$432Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2 | Thompson Douglas W. officer: Chief Operations Officer | Purchase | $432K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryCAVA reaches its 500th restaurant, expanding to 30 states and Washington, D.C., and putting it ahead of schedule for a goal of 1,000 restaurants by 2032. At the same time, shares have come under pressure amid a broader sector sell-off tied to weak August restaurant traffic data and concerns over valuation, with the stock also drawing comparisons to Chipotle and being described by some as undervalued relative to certain valuation estimates.
CAVA closes at $51.58, below both its 50-day average of $62.15 and its 200-day average of $72.28, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Over the past month the stock is down 23%, and over three months down 37%. The GekkoIndex reads 69.6, placing CAVA in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 27.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $70.87.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 10 November 2026, after the close, 42 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 11 August showed EPS of $0.19 against a $0.18 estimate, with a 12.8% reaction. Over the last 90 days there has been 1 open-market insider purchase valued at $432,380, and over the last 30 days 1 unusual options signal, with put premium of $591,600 against call premium of $42,669. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 4.7% across 3 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
CAVA price vs fair value
Close $51.58200-day averageGekko Fair Value $70.87
CAVA quick facts
- Market cap
- $6.01B
- P/E ratio
- 94.8
- Forward P/E
- 69.9
- EPS, TTM
- $0.56
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.37B
- Profit margin
- 4.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.74
- Volume
- 2.90M avg 3.60M
- 1-year return
- −17.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±13.1%
- 50-day average
- $62.15
- 200-day average
- $72.28
- Next earnings
- Nov 10 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 116.8M
CAVA swing-trade checklist
CAVA scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $51.58 is below the 50-day ($62.15) and 200-day ($72.28) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
69.6, Accumulation
Reading 69.6 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
27.2% below
Price is 27.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneymixed
Mixed
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 42 days
Next report Nov 10, 2026, 42 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.7% over 3 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
CAVA stock chart and price history
CAVA closed at $51.58 on Sep 28, 2026, −17.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $43.41 to $98.79.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −23.0%
- 3 months
- −37.0%
- 6 months
- −31.6%
- 1 year
- −17.6%
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About CAVA
CAVA runs a group of restaurants centered on Mediterranean-style food, with a menu built around salads, dips, spreads, toppings and dressings inspired by that region's cooking. Guests can sit down at one of its restaurant locations or arrange to have meals delivered through online ordering platforms, giving them more than one way to get their food.
The company does not limit itself to restaurant dining alone. It also places its food items on the shelves of whole food markets and other grocery outlets, so shoppers can pick up its products while doing regular grocery runs rather than visiting a restaurant directly. This gives CAVA a presence with both people eating out and those buying food to prepare or enjoy at home.
CAVA Group, Inc. traces its founding back to 2006 and runs its main operations out of Washington, D.C. The company's stock trades on the NYSE, where it is listed under the ticker CAVA.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Website
- cava.com
CAVA GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
CAVA’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.8 points over five sessions.
69.6Accumulation
Down 2.8 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 64 | −1.0% | +6.7% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 202 | +0.2% | +4.4% |
| Neutral | 342 | +1.0% | −0.2% |
| Distribution | 54 | +0.2% | +1.9% |
| Selling | 10 | −0.9% | +10.3% |
Average CAVA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CAVA price, zone by zone.Track CAVA in Gekko
Is CAVA stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
CAVA trades 27.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $70.87, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what CAVA shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$70.87
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 25, 2026
27.2% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CAVA in Gekko
CAVA insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in CAVA worth $432K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CAVA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CAVA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CAVA in Gekko
Buybacks
CAVA has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $100.0M, Sep 18, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2023
- $1.54M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.03%
- Trailing four quarters
- $3.11M
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 7% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 26, $634K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold CAVA.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
CAVA earnings: next date and track record
CAVA reports on Nov 10, 2026, after the close (42 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 10, 2026
Expected after the close, 42 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.12
- Revenue estimate
- $359.8M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- CAVA reported a strong second quarter of 2026 with broad-based top-line growth, solid operating performance, and continued unit expansion. Key reported results: revenue grew 31.3% year-over-year to $365.4 million; same-restaurant sales rose 9% (driven by 5.3% traffic); 17 net new restaurants opened, totaling 476 units; system-wide AUVs are ~$3.1M; adjusted EBITDA was $54.7M (up 30% YoY); net income was $23M and year-to-date free cash flow was $44.8M. Management emphasized the durability of the Mediterranean category, strong new-unit productivity (100%+ productivity on recent openings), progress on loyalty, technology (CAVA Core / CAVA Current) and operational initiatives (AGM rollout, pre-marinated chicken, KDS). They acknowledged and incorporated the effects of recent food-safety-related headline events (Cyclospora and broader industry issues) into prudently shaped guidance, while expressing confidence in the brand and long-term growth runway. Margins saw some pressure from food, beverage & packaging (about +50 bps YoY driven in part by Salmon launch and expected fuel surcharges), a 3% wage increase took ~30 bps of labor deleverage, and higher third-party delivery mix increased other OpEx. Management signaled targeted, prudent investments (marketing, team development, pre-marinated chicken, Project Soul refreshes) rather than aggressive cost cuts, and expects to continue to prioritize guest experience and long-term optionality in growth.
- Guidance
- Management provided directional (prudently shaped) guidance for the back half of 2026: the low end of the same-restaurant-sales range implies slightly negative comps; the high end implies mid-single-digit same-restaurant-sales. Guidance explicitly incorporates a prudent assumption around the duration/impact of the Cyclospora events. Management expects food, beverage and packaging costs as a percent of revenue to increase for the remainder of the year (fuel surcharges and rollout of pre-marinated chicken noted). They expect full-year free cash flow to remain strong but will invest in Q3/Q4 to seed pipeline for 2027; incremental CapEx of roughly $5–10M planned for restaurant enhancements and selective grill expansions.
- Risks flagged
- Primary risks called out or implied on the call include: (1) food-safety related headline events (Cyclospora and industry Salmonella concerns) that can impact traffic and perception; (2) macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty; (3) input cost pressures including food, fuel surcharges and third-party delivery fees; (4) wage inflation (a 3% incremental wage investment was implemented); (5) potential deleverage in other operating expenses driven by delivery mix; (6) execution risks related to rapid unit growth (staffing, post-opening productivity) and new initiatives like catering and centralization; (7) reliance on continued consumer acceptance as the company expands into new markets.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $0.19 est $0.18 | $368.4M est $360.1M | +12.8% |
| May 19, 2026 | $0.20 est $0.17 | $438.3M est $360.1M | +0.8% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $0.04 est $0.03 | $275.0M est $268.4M | +25.3% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.12 est $0.13 | $292.2M est $267.9M | −4.3% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $0.16 est $0.13 | $280.6M est $293.9M | −14.4% |
| May 15, 2025 | $0.22 est $0.14 | $331.8M est $287.7M | −2.7% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $0.05 est $0.06 | $227.4M est $329.2M | −5.0% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | $0.15 est $0.11 | $243.8M est $233.1M | −0.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
CAVA stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for CAVA is $83.12, +61.1% from the last close, from 22 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$83.12consensus 12-month target, +61.1% from the last close
Now $51.58Avg $83.12
Low $58High $110
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 22 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Telsey Advisory | $95 | +84.2% |
| Sep 18 | J.P. Morgan | $80 | +55.1% |
| Sep 16 | RBC Capital | $85 | +64.8% |
| Sep 15 | Seaport Global | $58 | +12.4% |
| Sep 15 | Telsey Advisory | $95 | +84.2% |
+4.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±4.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
CAVA seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, CAVA averaged +4.7% across the last 3 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.9% | 1 of 3 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.9% | 1 of 3 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.9% | 3 of 3 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.7% | 3 of 3 |
| Next 30 trading days | −2.8% | 2 of 3 |
For scale, CAVA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 13.1%.
CAVA market cap and key statistics
CAVA’s market cap is $6.01B, with a P/E ratio of 94.8 and revenue of $1.37B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $6.01B
- P/E ratio
- 94.8
- Forward P/E
- 69.9
- EPS, TTM
- $0.56
- Gekko Fair Value
- $70.87
Trading
- Volume
- 2.90M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.60M
- 52-week high
- $98.79
- 52-week low
- $43.41
- Shares outstanding
- 116.8M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.37B
- Profit margin
- 4.8%
- Return on equity
- 8.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +19.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.74
- Typical daily move
- ±4.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±13.1%
CAVA stock news this week
Coverage of CAVA this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 3 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Chipotle vs. CAVA: Which Fast-Casual Stock Is the Better Buy Now?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) Options Chain - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 28
- CAVA Stock Slips: Sector Fear or Valuation Reality?MarketBeat, Sep 27
- Cava Group Inc (CAVA) Stock Down 3.6% -- Now Undervalued? GF ScoGuruFocus, Sep 26
- CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance Australia, Sep 25
- Why Has Cava Group (NYSE:CAVA) Expanded to 500 Restaurants?Kalkine Media, Sep 24
CAVA peers
CAVA’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MCDMcDonald's | Buying | 14.3% below |
| SBUXStarbucks | Buying | 11.3% above |
| CMGChipotle Mexican Grill | Buying | 6.2% below |
| YUMYum! Brands | Accumulation | 24.5% below |
| QSRRestaurant Brands International | Accumulation | 36.7% below |
| DRIDarden Restaurants | Accumulation | 26.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
CAVA stock FAQ
What is CAVA’s market cap?
CAVA’s market cap is $6.01B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.58, with 116.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 94.8.
What is the CAVA stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for CAVA is $83.12, +61.1% from the last close. Of the 22 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 17 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is CAVA stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate CAVA is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.58 is 27.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $70.87. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does CAVA report earnings next?
CAVA is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026, after the market closes (42 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.12 per share on revenue of $359.8M. CAVA beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.2% on average across the report.
What is CAVA’s 52-week high and low?
CAVA’s 52-week high is $98.79 and its 52-week low is $43.41; it closed at $51.58 on Sep 28, 2026, −17.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $172.43 on Nov 13, 2024.
Is CAVA stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (smart money) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in CAVA?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in CAVA over the last 30 days, with $43K of flagged premium in calls and $592K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 26, 2026 with $634K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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