NYSE: TSN

Tyson Foods (TSN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$50.95+0.03 (+0.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Tyson Foods has been under pressure amid questions over whether the company can sustain its dividend while beef operations weigh on results, with one widely circulated piece framing losses in that segment against continued payouts. The stock also slid on 21 September to $52.02, a -1.42% move on a day the broader market rose. Separately, Tyson confirmed it will report fourth quarter fiscal 2026 results on 16 November, with a conference call scheduled for 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time.

Shares closed at $50.95, up 0.1% on the day, but trend readings remain weak: the close sits below both the 50-day average of $55.78 and the 200-day average of $60.17, with the shorter average also below the longer one. One-month, three-month, and six-month returns are all negative, at -7.9%, -13.1%, and -20.3% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 69.1, placing TSN in the Accumulation zone, and the price stands 21.8% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $65.14.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date on 16 November falls outside a typical holding window. Smart-money activity shows one open-market insider purchase in the past 90 days, valued at $1,001,617, alongside 2 billionaire holders. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average -2.8% move across this stretch of the calendar, with gains in 2 of those years, a pattern worth noting given the stock's typical 20-day move of 4.5%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Tyson Foods price vs fair value

$65.14$50.95Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $50.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $65.14

Tyson Foods quick facts

Market cap
$18.06B
P/E ratio
31.8
Forward P/E
11.2
EPS, TTM
$1.61
Revenue, TTM
$55.69B
Profit margin
1%
Dividend yield
0.97%
Beta
0.37
Volume
2.54M avg 3.83M
1-year return
−5.2%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$55.78
200-day average
$60.17
Next earnings
Nov 16 before open
Shares outstanding
281.8M
52-week range
$50.56$69.48

Tyson Foods swing-trade checklist

Tyson Foods scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $50.95 is below the 50-day ($55.78) and 200-day ($60.17) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.1, Accumulation

    Reading 69.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    21.8% below

    Price is 21.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 48 days

    Next report Nov 16, 2026, 48 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Tyson Foods stock chart and price history

Tyson Foods closed at $50.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −5.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $50.56 to $69.48.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Tyson Foods share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$55$60$65NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep50.95

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.9%
3 months
−13.1%
6 months
−20.3%
1 year
−5.2%
The full TSN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TSN in Gekko

Follow Tyson Foods through every session

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About Tyson Foods

Tyson Foods produces meat and packaged food items across four main areas: beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods. Its beef and pork operations cover the full path from live animals to finished cuts, including case-ready meats and fully cooked options, while its chicken business raises and processes poultry into fresh, frozen, and value-added products, along with breeding stock. The company also sells related items such as animal hides, and its prepared foods lineup ranges from sandwiches and burgers to sausages, deli meats, snacks, and prepared meals under brand names like Jimmy Dean, Hillshire Farm, Ball Park, Wright, State Fair, Aidells, Gallo Salame, and its own Tyson and ibp labels.

The company reaches customers through a direct sales force that supplies grocery chains, wholesalers, distributors, warehouse clubs, military outlets, industrial food processors, restaurant chains, and export markets, and it also works with independent brokers and trading firms to serve food service buyers such as cafeterias, convenience stores, and hospitals.

Tyson Foods was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker TSN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Food: meat/fish/dairy
Website
tysonfoods.com

Tyson Foods GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Tyson Foods’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.1 points over five sessions.

010069.1Accumulation

Up 1.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying55+0.5%+0.8%+1.0%+5.6%
Accumulation (current zone)230+0.3%+0.7%+1.9%+3.8%
Neutral360−0.2%−0.5%−1.1%−2.0%
Distribution26−0.3%+0.4%+0.4%−2.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average TSN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TSN price, zone by zone.Track TSN in Gekko

Is Tyson Foods stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Tyson Foods trades 21.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $65.14, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Tyson Foods shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$65.14

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

21.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TSN in Gekko

Tyson Foods insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Tyson Foods worth $1.00M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.00Min 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 8Schomburger Jeffrey K
director, officer: President & CEO Elect
Purchase19,450$1.00M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TSN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TSN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TSN in Gekko

Buybacks

Tyson Foods has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$31.00M
As a share of market cap
0.17%
Trailing four quarters
$277.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold TSN.

1added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Tyson Foods earnings: next date and track record

Tyson Foods reports on Nov 16, 2026, before the open (48 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.6%Nov ’24+0.9%Feb ’25−8.3%May ’25+4.3%Aug ’25+5.4%Nov ’25−0.9%Feb ’26+7.5%May ’26+1.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Tyson Foods reported Q3 fiscal 2026 results marking 12 consecutive quarters of meeting guidance. Prepared Foods showed all 13 weeks of volume and revenue share gains with record volume share up 70 basis points. Key brand performers include Hillshire Snacking (+18.4%), Hillshire Farm Lunch Meat (+7%), and Aidells dinner sausage (+5.8%). Management highlighted protein category tailwinds from consumer wellness trends and weight management routines supporting portfolio positioning.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in continued long-term growth trajectory driven by branded portfolio strength, innovation pipelines, and distribution gains. Incoming CEO Jeff Schomburger transition underway; no specific revenue or EPS targets were detailed in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$0.99
est $1.03
−3.9%$13.87B
est $14.07B
−1.4%+1.3%
May 4, 2026$0.87
est $0.78
+11.5%$13.65B
est $13.63B
+0.2%+7.5%
Feb 2, 2026$0.97
est $1.01
−4.0%$14.31B
est $14.00B
+2.2%−0.9%
Nov 10, 2025$1.15
est $0.83
+38.6%$13.86B
est $14.11B
−1.8%+5.4%
Aug 4, 2025$0.91
est $0.80
+13.5%$13.88B
est $13.54B
+2.5%+4.3%
May 5, 2025$0.92
est $0.83
+10.7%$13.07B
est $13.14B
−0.5%−8.3%
Feb 3, 2025$1.14
est $0.88
+29.5%$13.62B
est $13.16B
+3.6%+0.9%
Nov 12, 2024$0.92
est $0.69
+33.3%$13.57B
est $13.39B
+1.3%+7.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Tyson Foods stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Tyson Foods is $64.25, +26.1% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$64.25consensus 12-month target, +26.1% from the last close
Low $56High $75
Buy5
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18J.P. MorganBuy, upgraded$63+23.7%
Sep 11BarclaysBuy, maintained$75+47.2%
Sep 10Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$66+29.5%
Sep 4BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$65+27.6%
Sep 4Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$56+9.9%
+1.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Tyson Foods seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Tyson Foods averaged −2.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.2%2021+0.8%2022−9.6%2023−0.6%2024−3.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.4%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.3%0 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.6%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.8%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.1%1 of 5

For scale, TSN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

Tyson Foods market cap and key statistics

Tyson Foods’s market cap is $18.06B, with a P/E ratio of 31.8 and revenue of $55.69B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$18.06B
P/E ratio
31.8
Forward P/E
11.2
EPS, TTM
$1.61
Gekko Fair Value
$65.14

Trading

Volume
2.54M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.83M
52-week high
$69.48
52-week low
$50.56
Shares outstanding
281.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$55.69B
Profit margin
1%
Return on equity
3.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+204.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.37
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
0.97%

Tyson Foods stock news this week

3 headlines about Tyson Foods from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Tyson Foods peers

Tyson Foods’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
JBSJBS+1.0%Buying45.7% below
MICCMagnum Ice Cream+0.2%Accumulation33.9% below
HRLHormel Foods+1.3%Buying22.4% below
SFDSmithfield Foods+0.5%Buying48.2% below
MAMAMama's Creations−0.7%Accumulation19.8% below
LWAYLifeway Foods−1.7%Buying35.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Tyson Foods stock FAQ

What is Tyson Foods’s market cap?

Tyson Foods’s market cap is $18.06B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $50.95, with 281.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.8.

What is the Tyson Foods stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Tyson Foods is $64.25, +26.1% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Tyson Foods stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Tyson Foods is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $50.95 is 21.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $65.14. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Tyson Foods report earnings next?

Tyson Foods is expected to report on Nov 16, 2026, before the market opens (48 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.78 per share on revenue of $14.37B. Tyson Foods beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.

What is Tyson Foods’s 52-week high and low?

Tyson Foods’s 52-week high is $69.48 and its 52-week low is $50.56; it closed at $50.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −5.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $100.72 on Feb 8, 2022.

Is Tyson Foods stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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