Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HRL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every HRL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HRL in Gekko
NYSE: HRL
Hormel Foods (HRL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$19.97+0.26 (+1.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryHormel Foods declared a quarterly dividend of $0.2925 per share, its 393rd consecutive payment since 1928, payable 16 November 2026 to holders of record by 13 October 2026. The company also reported fiscal third-quarter adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.37, ahead of the $0.36 estimate, and raised and narrowed its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to $1.45–$1.51, alongside a leadership transition. Commentary around the results points to persistent inflation, input cost pressures and weak organic growth, with some coverage describing the shares as undervalued despite these headwinds, while a hold rating cites slowing dividend growth against a strong yield.
The stock closed at $19.97, up 1.3% on the day, but remains below both its 50-day average of $23.08 and 200-day average of $23.24, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Over the past month the shares are down 6.2%, and down 24.1% over three months, trading near the 52-week low of $19.42 and well off the 52-week high of $26.60. The GekkoIndex reads 70.8, placing it in the Buying zone, while the price sits 22.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.75.
The next earnings date falls on 3 December 2026, 65 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -4.3% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, while one billionaire holder and one trailblazer holder are recorded. Analyst consensus stands at 6 firms, with 1 buy and 5 hold ratings and a consensus target of $26.12.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Hormel Foods price vs fair value
Close $19.97200-day averageGekko Fair Value $25.75
Hormel Foods quick facts
- Market cap
- $10.99B
- P/E ratio
- 31.8
- Forward P/E
- 12.9
- EPS, TTM
- $0.62
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.15B
- Profit margin
- 2.8%
- Dividend yield
- 5.89%
- Beta
- 0.32
- Volume
- 5.43M avg 4.76M
- 1-year return
- −18.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.9%
- 50-day average
- $23.08
- 200-day average
- $23.24
- Next earnings
- Dec 3 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 550.4M
Hormel Foods swing-trade checklist
Hormel Foods scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $19.97 is below the 50-day ($23.08) and 200-day ($23.24) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
70.8, Buying
Reading 70.8 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
22.4% below
Price is 22.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 65 days
Next report Dec 3, 2026, 65 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−4.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Hormel Foods stock chart and price history
Hormel Foods closed at $19.97 on Sep 28, 2026, −18.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.42 to $26.60.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.2%
- 3 months
- −24.1%
- 6 months
- −13.4%
- 1 year
- −18.2%
The full HRL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HRL in Gekko
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About Hormel Foods
Hormel Foods develops, prepares and supplies a wide range of meat, nut and other food products for retailers, foodservice operators, delis and commercial customers both in the United States and abroad. The company is widely recognized for a broad lineup of packaged and prepared foods sold under names such as SKIPPY, SPAM, Hormel, Applegate, Justin's, Jennie-O, Planters and Corn Nuts, among others, covering everything from fresh and frozen meats to canned goods, snack nuts, salsas and ready-to-eat meals.
The business is organized into four segments: Grocery Products, Refrigerated Foods, Jennie-O Turkey Store, and International & Other. It processes and markets both branded and unbranded pork, beef, poultry and turkey items, along with nutritional foods, supplements, dessert and beverage mixes, and industrial gelatin. Products reach the market through a combination of internal sales staff, independent brokers and outside distributors.
Hormel Foods traces its origins to 1891, when it was established as Geo. A. Hormel & Company, later adopting its current name in 1995. The company is headquartered in Austin, Minnesota, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker HRL.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer non-durables
- Industry
- Food: meat/fish/dairy
- Website
- hormelfoods.com
Hormel Foods GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Hormel Foods’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.8, in the Buying zone, down 0.2 points over five sessions.
70.8Buying
Down 0.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 51 | +0.4% | +2.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 282 | −0.4% | −0.2% | ||
| Neutral | 322 | −0.2% | −2.0% | ||
| Distribution | 16 | +0.4% | +3.9% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average HRL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HRL price, zone by zone.Track HRL in Gekko
Is Hormel Foods stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Hormel Foods trades 22.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.75, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Hormel Foods shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$25.75
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
22.4% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HRL in Gekko
Hormel Foods insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Hormel Foods, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in HRL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for HRL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HRL in Gekko
Buybacks
Hormel Foods has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Apr 30, 2023
- $12.30M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.11%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold HRL.
1added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Hormel Foods earnings: next date and track record
Hormel Foods reports on Dec 3, 2026, before the open (65 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 3, 2026
Expected before the open, 65 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.38
- Revenue estimate
- $3.20B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 27, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Hormel Foods reported Q3 fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS growth of 6% year-over-year, though organic net sales declined due to portfolio shaping actions, reduced commodity markets, and consumer pressure. Year-to-date performance showed increased organic net sales and strong adjusted earnings growth. The company raised and narrowed its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS outlook. Leadership transition was announced with John Ghingo named as incoming CEO.
- Guidance
- Hormel raised fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $1.45-$1.51 (from $1.43-$1.51) and tightened organic net sales growth to 1%-2% (from 1%-4%), reflecting current market and consumer conditions. Management expects full-year adjusted earnings growth consistent with or above long-term algorithm.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | $0.37 est $0.36 | $2.96B est $3.03B | −9.0% |
| May 28, 2026 | $0.40 est $0.35 | $2.97B est $2.96B | +10.8% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $0.34 est $0.32 | $3.03B est $3.07B | +1.1% |
| Dec 4, 2025 | $0.32 est $0.30 | $3.19B est $3.22B | +4.6% |
| Aug 28, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.40 | $3.03B est $2.98B | −12.3% |
| May 29, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.34 | $2.90B est $2.90B | +2.1% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.37 | $2.99B est $2.95B | −0.3% |
| Dec 4, 2024 | $0.42 est $0.42 | $3.14B est $3.14B | +3.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Hormel Foods stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Hormel Foods is $26.12, +30.8% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$26.12consensus 12-month target, +30.8% from the last close
Now $19.97Avg $26.12
Low $23High $30
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10 | Barclays | $30 | +50.2% |
| Sep 1 | J.P. Morgan | $23 | +15.2% |
| Aug 28 | Barclays | $30 | +50.2% |
| Aug 28 | Bank of America Securities | $24 | +20.2% |
| Aug 28 | Stephens | $23 | +15.2% |
+2.0%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−4.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Hormel Foods seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Hormel Foods averaged −4.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.4% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −4.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −4.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −4.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −4.2% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, HRL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.9%.
Hormel Foods market cap and key statistics
Hormel Foods’s market cap is $10.99B, with a P/E ratio of 31.8 and revenue of $12.15B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $10.99B
- P/E ratio
- 31.8
- Forward P/E
- 12.9
- EPS, TTM
- $0.62
- Gekko Fair Value
- $25.75
Trading
- Volume
- 5.43M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 4.76M
- 52-week high
- $26.60
- 52-week low
- $19.42
- Shares outstanding
- 550.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.15B
- Profit margin
- 2.8%
- Return on equity
- 4.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −67.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.32
- Typical daily move
- ±2.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.9%
- Dividend yield
- 5.89%
Hormel Foods stock news this week
Coverage of Hormel Foods this week reads positive: 11 positive, 5 neutral and 9 negative headlines.
- Hormel Foods declares $0.2925 quarterly dividend, continuing 393 consecutive payments since 1928.Pluang, Sep 29
- Hormel Foods Corporation Declares Quarterly DividendTradingView, Sep 29
- How Falling Unit Sales At Hormel Foods Has Changed Its Investment StorySimply Wall Street, Sep 29
- Hormel Foods stock last trades at USD 19.97 on September 28, 2026AD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- Hormel remains a hold as inflation and cost pressures slow its dividend growth despite strong yield.Pluang, Sep 28
- Hormel: Undervalued And A Record Yield But Facing Growth Struggles (NYSE:HRL)Seeking Alpha, Sep 28
Hormel Foods peers
Hormel Foods’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| JBSJBS | Buying | 45.7% below |
| TSNTyson Foods | Accumulation | 21.8% below |
| MICCMagnum Ice Cream | Accumulation | 33.9% below |
| SFDSmithfield Foods | Buying | 48.2% below |
| MAMAMama's Creations | Accumulation | 19.8% below |
| LWAYLifeway Foods | Buying | 35.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Hormel Foods stock FAQ
What is Hormel Foods’s market cap?
Hormel Foods’s market cap is $10.99B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $19.97, with 550.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.8.
What is the Hormel Foods stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Hormel Foods is $26.12, +30.8% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Hormel Foods stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Hormel Foods is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $19.97 is 22.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $25.75. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Hormel Foods report earnings next?
Hormel Foods is expected to report on Dec 3, 2026, before the market opens (65 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.38 per share on revenue of $3.20B. Hormel Foods beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.4% on average across the report.
What is Hormel Foods’s 52-week high and low?
Hormel Foods’s 52-week high is $26.60 and its 52-week low is $19.42; it closed at $19.97 on Sep 28, 2026, −18.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $55.11 on Apr 21, 2022.
Is Hormel Foods stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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