Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for SFD in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every SFD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SFD in Gekko
NASDAQ: SFD
Smithfield Foods (SFD) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$19.14+0.10 (+0.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summarySmithfield Foods touched a new 52-week low of $18.89 this week, extending a decline of about 19.79% over the past year and leaving shares roughly 63% below their 52-week high. Separately, the company addressed the Monmouth City Council to address recent incidents at its processing plant, including a fatal employee injury and odor complaints tied to wastewater treatment issues, while also marking its 90th anniversary as a company employing over 30,000 people and partnering with 10,000 independent farms.
Shares closed at $19.14, up 0.5% on the day, but remain below both the 50-day average of $22.80 and the 200-day average of $24.50, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. Momentum has been weak across horizons, with the stock down 13.4% over one month, 23.5% over three months and 28.3% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 71.1, placing SFD in the Buying zone, and the price sits 48.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.95.
Smithfield's next earnings date is 27 October 2026, before the open, which falls inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 11 August showed EPS of $0.62 against a $0.59 estimate, yet the stock reacted with a 7% drop. Consensus among 3 analysts stands at all buy ratings with a target of $26.75. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window, though one billionaire holder is recorded among current positions.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Smithfield Foods price vs fair value
Close $19.14200-day averageGekko Fair Value $36.95
Smithfield Foods quick facts
- Market cap
- $7.53B
- P/E ratio
- 7
- Forward P/E
- 10.5
- EPS, TTM
- $2.70
- Revenue, TTM
- $15.47B
- Profit margin
- 6.8%
- Dividend yield
- 5.94%
- Beta
- —
- Volume
- 1.88M avg 2.17M
- 1-year return
- −18.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.6%
- 50-day average
- $22.80
- 200-day average
- $24.50
- Next earnings
- Oct 27 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 393.8M
Smithfield Foods swing-trade checklist
Smithfield Foods scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $19.14 is below the 50-day ($22.80) and 200-day ($24.50) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
71.1, Buying
Reading 71.1 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
48.2% below
Price is 48.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 28 days
Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityno data
No data
Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Smithfield Foods stock chart and price history
Smithfield Foods closed at $19.14 on Sep 28, 2026, −18.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $18.81 to $29.81.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −13.4%
- 3 months
- −23.5%
- 6 months
- −28.3%
- 1 year
- −18.9%
The full SFD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SFD in Gekko
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About Smithfield Foods
Smithfield Foods makes bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli meats, ham, and other prepared foods, alongside cuts of raw pork, serving both everyday shoppers and food-service kitchens. Its labels include Smithfield, Eckrich, Nathan's Famous, Farmland, Armour, Farmer John, Kretschmar, Krakus, John Morrell, Cook's, Gwaltney, Carando, Margherita, Curly's, and Smithfield Culinary, plus store-brand goods made for other retailers.
The company divides its work into distinct areas. One turns raw meat into finished packaged items for grocery and restaurant buyers. Another slaughters and cuts live hogs into bellies, hams, loins, ribs, and similar pieces, shipping them to retail, food-service, and industrial buyers domestically and to markets abroad such as China, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, and Canada. A separate arm breeds and raises hogs, some on land it owns and some through farmers under contract, while also selling feed and grain and handling logistics. A final piece extracts materials from hogs for bioscience purposes, notably an ingredient used in blood-thinning medicine, and it also handles pork processing south of the border in Mexico.
Founded in 1936, Smithfield Foods keeps its main office in Smithfield, Virginia, and its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker SFD.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Consumer non-durables
- Industry
- Food: meat/fish/dairy
- Website
- smithfieldfoods.com
Smithfield Foods GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Smithfield Foods’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.1, in the Buying zone, down 4.8 points over five sessions.
71.1Buying
Down 4.8 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 31 | −0.3% | −4.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 129 | −0.2% | +2.0% | ||
| Neutral | 232 | 0.0% | −0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 19 | +1.4% | −2.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average SFD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SFD price, zone by zone.Track SFD in Gekko
Is Smithfield Foods stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Smithfield Foods trades 48.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.95, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Smithfield Foods shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$36.95
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
48.2% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SFD in Gekko
Smithfield Foods insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Smithfield Foods, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in SFD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for SFD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SFD in Gekko
Buybacks
Smithfield Foods has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, year ended Apr 28, 2013
- $386.4M
- As a share of market cap
- 5.13%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SFD.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Smithfield Foods earnings: next date and track record
Smithfield Foods reports on Oct 27, 2026, before the open (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 6 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
Expected before the open, 28 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.31
- Revenue estimate
- $3.69B
3 of 6reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.6%average move across the report
3 of 5reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Smithfield reported record second quarter and first-half adjusted operating profit driven by its vertically integrated model, disciplined execution, and strategic investments in brands and innovation. Consolidated Q2 sales were $3.7 billion (down 2.3% year-over-year) but adjusted operating profit reached a Q2 record of $300 million and adjusted net income and EPS were records, up 13% year-over-year. Packaged Meats faced volume declines (Easter timing impact and softer consumer), higher freight/diesel and packaging costs impacting margins, but management expects a stronger second half and particularly a solid fourth quarter aided by raw material tailwinds and distribution gains. Hog Production faces commodity-price-driven pressure with expectations of seasonal normalization and potential Q4 losses driven by futures; management noted operational improvements and potential upside to commodity assumptions. Management emphasized liquidity, strong cash generation, continued investment in brands and innovation, and disciplined cost mitigation.
- Guidance
- Management provided forward commentary (not a formal numeric full-year guidance) indicating: - Expectation of a strong second half for Packaged Meats, with Q3 as the seasonal low point and a solid Q4. - Packaged Meats call-down guidance referenced in discussion: roughly $35–$40 million at midpoint for the back half versus prior expectations. - Anticipated tailwind from lower raw material (pork) costs in H2, but continued elevated fuel, freight and packaging costs. - Hog Production: futures-implied prices used as foundational assumptions (3%–8% below 2025 levels in H2; Q4 roughly 13% below prior year in futures), implying potential losses in Q4 (~$20 per head referenced in the crush model) though management expects to outperform operationally and sees upside risk to prices.
- Risks flagged
- Key risks mentioned include: softer consumer demand and trade-downs impacting volumes; volatility in commodity/pricing (lean hog prices and the pork cutout); elevated freight, diesel and resin-based packaging costs; promotional and trade dynamics affecting volumes; recent deflation in the ham market; and macro uncertainty that could affect demand and input costs.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $0.62 est $0.59 | $3.70B est $3.65B | −7.0% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $0.64 est $0.58 | $3.80B est $3.70B | −8.0% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.58 est $0.53 | $3.75B est $4.08B | +1.2% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $0.48 est $0.55 | $3.79B est $3.79B | +1.4% |
| Mar 25, 2025 | $0.52 est $0.53 | $3.95B est $3.92B | +0.6% |
| Jan 21, 2025 | $0.52 est $0.54 | $3.33B est $3.92B | — |
| Jun 30, 2024 | $0.77 | $3.41B | — |
| Mar 31, 2024 | $0.41 | $3.44B | — |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Smithfield Foods stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Smithfield Foods is $26.75, +39.8% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$26.75consensus 12-month target, +39.8% from the last close
Now $19.14Avg $26.75
Low $25High $29
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 | Goldman Sachs | $28 | +46.3% |
| Sep 9 | Bank of America Securities | $25 | +30.6% |
| Sep 8 | Barclays | $29 | +51.5% |
| Sep 8 | Bank of America Securities | $25 | +30.6% |
| Aug 11 | Bank of America Securities | $29 | +51.5% |
−4.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Smithfield Foods market cap and key statistics
Smithfield Foods’s market cap is $7.53B, with a P/E ratio of 7 and revenue of $15.47B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $7.53B
- P/E ratio
- 7
- Forward P/E
- 10.5
- EPS, TTM
- $2.70
- Gekko Fair Value
- $36.95
Trading
- Volume
- 1.88M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.17M
- 52-week high
- $29.81
- 52-week low
- $18.81
- Shares outstanding
- 393.8M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $15.47B
- Profit margin
- 6.8%
- Return on equity
- 15.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +25.5%
Risk and income
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.6%
- Dividend yield
- 5.94%
Smithfield Foods stock news this week
Coverage of Smithfield Foods this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Smithfield Foods stock hits 52-week low at 18.9 USDInvesting.com, Sep 25
- Bank of America Corp DE Makes New Investment in Smithfield Foods, Inc. $SFDDefense World, Sep 25
- Smithfield Foods seeks to rebuild trust after Monmouth incidentsmeat+poultry, Sep 23
- Smithfield Foods reflects on 90-year legacymeat+poultry, Sep 21
Smithfield Foods peers
Smithfield Foods’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| JBSJBS | Buying | 45.7% below |
| TSNTyson Foods | Accumulation | 21.8% below |
| MICCMagnum Ice Cream | Accumulation | 33.9% below |
| HRLHormel Foods | Buying | 22.4% below |
| MAMAMama's Creations | Accumulation | 19.8% below |
| LWAYLifeway Foods | Buying | 35.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Smithfield Foods stock FAQ
What is Smithfield Foods’s market cap?
Smithfield Foods’s market cap is $7.53B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $19.14, with 393.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.
What is the Smithfield Foods stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Smithfield Foods is $26.75, +39.8% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Smithfield Foods stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Smithfield Foods is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $19.14 is 48.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.95. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Smithfield Foods report earnings next?
Smithfield Foods is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.31 per share on revenue of $3.69B. Smithfield Foods beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 6 reports, moving 3.6% on average across the report.
What is Smithfield Foods’s 52-week high and low?
Smithfield Foods’s 52-week high is $29.81 and its 52-week low is $18.81; it closed at $19.14 on Sep 28, 2026, −18.9% over the past year.
Is Smithfield Foods stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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