NASDAQ: WING

Wingstop (WING) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$126.02+3.76 (+3.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Wingstop shares rose 3.1% this week to $126.02, with coverage pointing to the stock as undervalued alongside a GF Score of 83/100. Attention also centers on the new Wing Pass subscription offering and NFL-season marketing, which analysts note could support recurring digital engagement and dividend growth. A separate Morningstar report described the company's brand and operational investments as prudent despite a strained industry backdrop, citing $5.3 billion in system sales for 2025, while other commentary flagged softened domestic same-store sales following a period of rapid expansion ahead of the company's upcoming fiscal update.

The stock trades at $126.02, above its 50-day average of $111.89 but well below its 200-day average of $172.56, reflecting a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 48.5, placing it in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -10.9. Against a Gekko Fair Value of $138.72, the current price sits 9.2% below that level.

Wingstop's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 October 2026, 16 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding period; its last report showed EPS of $1.18 against a $1.02 estimate, with a -0.4% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.4% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 14 buy and 4 hold ratings among 18 firms, with a consensus target of $196.08.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Wingstop price vs fair value

$138.72$126.02Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $126.02200-day averageGekko Fair Value $138.72

Wingstop quick facts

Market cap
$3.43B
P/E ratio
28.1
Forward P/E
18.2
EPS, TTM
$4.22
Revenue, TTM
$720.7M
Profit margin
16.2%
Dividend yield
1.03%
Beta
1.81
Volume
1.14M avg 1.35M
1-year return
−49.5%
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±9%
50-day average
$111.89
200-day average
$172.56
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
27.24M
52-week range
$95.82$302.80

Wingstop swing-trade checklist

Wingstop scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $126.02 sits between the 50-day ($111.89) and 200-day ($172.56) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.5, Neutral

    Reading 48.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    9.2% below

    Price is 9.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Wingstop stock chart and price history

Wingstop closed at $126.02 on Oct 12, 2026, −49.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $95.82 to $302.80.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Wingstop share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$150$200$250$300NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct126.02

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+7.6%
3 months
−15.1%
6 months
−32.4%
1 year
−49.5%
The full WING chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WING in Gekko

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About Wingstop

Wingstop operates and licenses restaurants under its own name, serving customers who come for cooked-to-order chicken wings, boneless wings, and tenders tossed by hand in a range of flavored sauces. The chain has become known for this made-to-order approach to its food.

Most of its locations are run by independent franchisees rather than the company itself, with a much smaller number of restaurants owned and operated directly by Wingstop. As of December 25, 2021, the network included 1,695 franchised restaurants alongside 36 company-owned stores, reaching customers across 44 U.S. states and seven countries.

Wingstop was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Addison, Texas. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker WING.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Restaurants
Website
wingstop.com

Wingstop GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Wingstop’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.5, in the Neutral zone, down 10.9 points over five sessions.

010048.5Neutral

Down 10.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying83+0.2%+1.9%+3.3%−2.6%
Accumulation241−0.5%−1.1%−2.2%−2.8%
Neutral (current zone)326−0.6%−1.9%−3.7%−9.3%
Distribution24+2.4%+7.0%+8.3%+10.3%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average WING share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WING price, zone by zone.Track WING in Gekko

Is Wingstop stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Wingstop trades 9.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.72, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Wingstop shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$138.72

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

9.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 28.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$139$122Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WING in Gekko

Wingstop insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Wingstop, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for WING in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every WING insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WING in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in WING were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for WING, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WING in Gekko

Buybacks

Wingstop has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$300.0M, Apr 29, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Mar 28, 2026
$78.52M
As a share of market cap
2.29%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold WING.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Wingstop earnings: next date and track record

Wingstop reports on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−22.0%Oct ’24−19.3%Feb ’25+12.7%Apr ’25+30.0%Jul ’25+18.1%Nov ’25+3.3%Feb ’26−5.2%Apr ’26−0.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Wingstop reported fiscal Q2 2026 results that missed expectations with same-store sales down 7.5%. Management framed the quarter as a short-term setback in an otherwise healthy, scalable business. System-wide sales grew ~5.3% to ~$1.4 billion driven by net new restaurant openings; royalty, franchise and other revenue rose 8.7% to $86.8 million. Company-owned restaurants increased sales and improved company-owned cost of sales (~190 bps improvement). Management emphasized strategic initiatives: operational rollout of Smart Kitchen, national launch of Club Wingstop loyalty, increased flavor innovation cadence, and a shift to more explicit value messaging (examples: 30 wings for $30, Flavors Under $5). They reported double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth and strong free cash flow. Management acknowledged macro pressure (notably elevated gas prices) and softer frequency among lower-income core guests, and indicated an action plan for tighter creative, value presentation, personalization through CRM/Club Wingstop, and operational improvements to restore comps. Unit development remains strong with reiterated unit growth guide of 15%–16% and a record development pipeline. Overall tone: candid about near-term weakness but confident in long-term model.
Guidance
Management reiterated its unit growth guide of 15%–16% for the year and stated the shape of guidance could still imply double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth year-over-year. No specific revenue or EPS numerical guidance was disclosed on the call beyond these items.
Risks flagged
Macro headwinds (elevated gas prices) and pressure on lower-income core guests; intensifying industry price-point competition; need to successfully execute value messaging and creative; reliance on franchisee economics and continued unit development; algorithm/third-party delivery conversion risks. Standard forward-looking statement risks noted (SEC filings).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$1.18
est $1.02
+15.7%$185.6M
est $190.2M
−2.5%−0.4%
Apr 29, 2026$1.18
est $1.11
+6.3%$183.7M
est $187.8M
−2.2%−5.2%
Feb 18, 2026$1.00
est $0.84
+19.0%$175.7M
est $177.6M
−1.1%+3.3%
Nov 4, 2025$1.09
est $0.91
+19.8%$175.7M
est $177.7M
−1.1%+18.1%
Jul 30, 2025$1.00
est $0.87
+15.6%$174.3M
est $189.6M
−8.1%+30.0%
Apr 30, 2025$1.03
est $0.88
+16.2%$171.1M
est $171.4M
−0.2%+12.7%
Feb 19, 2025$0.95
est $0.87
+9.6%$161.8M
est $175.7M
−7.9%−19.3%
Oct 30, 2024$0.88
est $0.96
−8.3%$162.5M
est $164.7M
−1.3%−22.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Wingstop stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Wingstop is $196.08, +55.6% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$196.08consensus 12-month target, +55.6% from the last close
Low $120High $265
Buy14
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17CitiBuy, maintained$208+65.1%
Sep 16RBC CapitalBuy, maintained——
Sep 11TD CowenHold, maintained$120−4.8%
Aug 24Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$200+58.7%
Aug 3BernsteinHold, downgraded$155+23.0%
−3.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Wingstop seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Wingstop averaged +3.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.9%2021+19.0%2022+14.2%2023−16.0%2024−1.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.4%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.9%4 of 5

For scale, WING’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9%.

Wingstop market cap and key statistics

Wingstop’s market cap is $3.43B, with a P/E ratio of 28.1 and revenue of $720.7M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.43B
P/E ratio
28.1
Forward P/E
18.2
EPS, TTM
$4.22
Gekko Fair Value
$138.72

Trading

Volume
1.14M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.35M
52-week high
$302.80
52-week low
$95.82
Shares outstanding
27.24M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$720.7M
Profit margin
16.2%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+19.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.81
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±9%
Dividend yield
1.03%

Wingstop peers

Wingstop’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MCDMcDonald's+0.2%Accumulation11.4% below
SBUXStarbucks+1.2%Accumulation10.2% above
YUMYum! Brands+1.6%Neutral19.8% below
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill−1.1%Accumulation10.0% below
QSRRestaurant Brands International+0.8%Accumulation37.4% below
DRIDarden Restaurants+1.6%Accumulation14.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Wingstop stock FAQ

What is Wingstop’s market cap?

Wingstop’s market cap is $3.43B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $126.02, with 27.24M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 28.1.

What is the Wingstop stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Wingstop is $196.08, +55.6% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Wingstop stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Wingstop is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $126.02 is 9.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.72. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Wingstop report earnings next?

Wingstop is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.04 per share on revenue of $194.6M. Wingstop beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.9% on average across the report.

What is Wingstop’s 52-week high and low?

Wingstop’s 52-week high is $302.80 and its 52-week low is $95.82; it closed at $126.02 on Oct 12, 2026, −49.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $433.86 on Sep 24, 2024.

Is Wingstop stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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