NASDAQ: WEN

Wendy's (WEN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$6.31+0.08 (+1.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Wendy's shares remain under pressure amid a continuing legal dispute with one of its largest franchisees, which is undergoing a Chapter 11 bankruptcy restructuring. Additional store closures were planned for the weekend of 12 October, following a prior round of permanent shutdowns, and the stock touched a new 52-week low of $5.95 on 5 October trading. The company also confirmed it will report third quarter 2026 results on 5 November.

WEN closed at $6.31, up 1.3%, though it sits below both its 50-day average of $7.50 and 200-day average of $7.49, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 65.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 4.4 points over five days. The current price stands 40.1% below the Gekko Fair Value of $10.53.

Over the next 20 trading days, the 5 November earnings date falls within the typical holding window, following a Q2 report that showed global systemwide sales down 6.5% and U.S. same-restaurant sales down 7%, with a -1.2% reaction at the time. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +5.3% over five years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 12 analysts includes 9 hold and 3 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $7.57.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Wendy's price vs fair value

$10.53$6.31Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $6.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $10.53

Wendy's quick facts

Market cap
$1.20B
P/E ratio
9.4
Forward P/E
12.4
EPS, TTM
$0.66
Revenue, TTM
$2.20B
Profit margin
5.7%
Dividend yield
9.17%
Beta
0.41
Volume
4.61M avg 5.84M
1-year return
−28.5%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%
50-day average
$7.50
200-day average
$7.49
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
190.7M
52-week range
$5.94$10.12

Wendy's swing-trade checklist

Wendy's scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $6.31 sits between the 50-day ($7.50) and 200-day ($7.49) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.7, Accumulation

    Reading 65.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    40.1% below

    Price is 40.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Wendy's stock chart and price history

Wendy's closed at $6.31 on Oct 12, 2026, −28.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.94 to $10.12.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Wendy's share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$8$10$12NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct6.31

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−17.3%
3 months
−15.0%
6 months
−5.8%
1 year
−28.5%
The full WEN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WEN in Gekko

Follow Wendy's through every session

Put WEN on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Wendy's GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Wendy's’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.4 points over five sessions.

010065.7Accumulation

Down 4.4 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying53+1.0%−0.2%−0.7%−3.1%
Accumulation (current zone)343−0.6%−1.1%−2.2%−5.0%
Neutral272−1.0%−2.0%−3.6%−8.3%
Distribution10−3.7%−3.5%−10.4%−13.6%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average WEN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WEN price, zone by zone.Track WEN in Gekko

Is Wendy's stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Wendy's trades 40.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.53, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Wendy's shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$10.53

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

40.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.0% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$11$6Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WEN in Gekko

Wendy's insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Wendy's, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for WEN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every WEN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WEN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in WEN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for WEN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WEN in Gekko

Buybacks

Wendy's has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 28, 2026
$1.92M
As a share of market cap
0.16%
Trailing four quarters
$16.61M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds WEN.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Wendy's earnings: next date and track record

Wendy's reports on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.2%Oct ’24+0.6%Feb ’25+0.2%May ’25+3.4%Aug ’25−3.3%Nov ’25−3.7%Feb ’26−2.7%May ’26−1.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 7, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Wendy's Q2 fiscal 2026 results were weak: global systemwide sales fell 6.5%, U.S. same-restaurant sales declined 7%, and international same-restaurant sales dropped 2.3%, pressuring adjusted EBITDA and EPS. New CEO Bob Wright acknowledged eroded quality differentiation, weakened value proposition, and franchisee economic pressure. Bright spots included improved U.S. customer satisfaction scores, company-operated restaurants outperforming system by 280bps, and 48 combined new restaurant openings globally.
Guidance
No formal forward-looking guidance was provided in this excerpt. Management signaled a turnaround focus on traffic-driven sales growth, margin expansion, and franchisee economics improvement, but specific targets were not yet disclosed.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 7, 2026$0.18
est $0.16
+10.5%$570.6M
est $557.1M
+2.4%−1.2%
May 8, 2026$0.12
est $0.10
+20.0%$540.6M
est $518.0M
+4.4%−2.7%
Feb 13, 2026$0.16
est $0.14
+14.3%$543.0M
est $537.2M
+1.1%−3.7%
Nov 7, 2025$0.24
est $0.20
+23.0%$549.5M
est $534.7M
+2.8%−3.3%
Aug 8, 2025$0.29
est $0.25
+16.0%$560.9M
est $558.0M
+0.5%+3.4%
May 2, 2025$0.20
est $0.20
0.0%$523.5M
est $525.4M
−0.4%+0.2%
Feb 13, 2025$0.25
est $0.24
+4.2%$574.3M
est $562.6M
+2.1%+0.6%
Oct 31, 2024$0.25
est $0.25
0.0%$566.7M
est $564.0M
+0.5%−3.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Wendy's stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Wendy's is $7.57, +20.0% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$7.57consensus 12-month target, +20.0% from the last close
Low $5.50High $9
Buy0
Hold9
Sell3

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 29J.P. MorganSell, maintained$7+10.9%
Sep 15GuggenheimHold, reiterated——
Sep 15Seaport GlobalHold, initiated——
Sep 1CitiHold, maintained$8.25+30.7%
Aug 26Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$5.50−12.8%
−2.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Wendy's seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Wendy's averaged +5.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.5%2021+6.5%2022−3.4%2023+10.3%2024+3.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.3%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.8%2 of 5

For scale, WEN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.

Wendy's market cap and key statistics

Wendy's’s market cap is $1.20B, with a P/E ratio of 9.4 and revenue of $2.20B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.20B
P/E ratio
9.4
Forward P/E
12.4
EPS, TTM
$0.66
Gekko Fair Value
$10.53

Trading

Volume
4.61M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.84M
52-week high
$10.12
52-week low
$5.94
Shares outstanding
190.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.20B
Profit margin
5.7%
Return on equity
108%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−40.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.41
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%
Dividend yield
9.17%

Wendy's peers

Wendy's’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MCDMcDonald's+0.2%Accumulation11.4% below
SBUXStarbucks+1.2%Accumulation10.2% above
YUMYum! Brands+1.6%Neutral19.8% below
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill−1.1%Accumulation10.0% below
QSRRestaurant Brands International+0.8%Accumulation37.4% below
DRIDarden Restaurants+1.6%Accumulation14.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Wendy's stock FAQ

What is Wendy's’s market cap?

Wendy's’s market cap is $1.20B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $6.31, with 190.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.4.

What is the Wendy's stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Wendy's is $7.57, +20.0% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Wendy's stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Wendy's is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $6.31 is 40.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.53. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Wendy's report earnings next?

Wendy's is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.10 per share on revenue of $533.2M. Wendy's beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.3% on average across the report.

What is Wendy's’s 52-week high and low?

Wendy's’s 52-week high is $10.12 and its 52-week low is $5.94; it closed at $6.31 on Oct 12, 2026, −28.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $24.48 on Jan 7, 2022.

Is Wendy's stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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