Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ARCO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ARCO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARCO in Gekko
NYSE: ARCO
Arcos Dorados (ARCO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$7.76−0.01 (−0.1%)
Gekko Brief
Oct 12 closeArcos Dorados closed at $7.76 on 12 October 2026, -0.1% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($7.85) and 200-day ($8.21) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $6.67 to $9.75. The GekkoIndex reads 56.4, in the Neutral zone, down 1.2 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $14.92, so the price is 48% below it.
The next earnings report is due on 18 November 2026, 37 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 6 times, with an average move of 4.9% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +1.2% over the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
2 firms rate the stock: 2 buy, 0 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $11.29. A typical daily move is about 4.2%, and a typical 20-day move about 6.2%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (trend).
A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.
Arcos Dorados price vs fair value
Close $7.76200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.92
Arcos Dorados quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.63B
- P/E ratio
- 6.5
- Forward P/E
- 14.5
- EPS, TTM
- $1.22
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.98B
- Profit margin
- 5.2%
- Dividend yield
- 3.45%
- Beta
- 0.49
- Volume
- 1.66M avg 2.27M
- 1-year return
- +12.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.2%
- 50-day average
- $7.85
- 200-day average
- $8.21
- Next earnings
- Nov 18
- Shares outstanding
- 130.7M
Arcos Dorados swing-trade checklist
Arcos Dorados scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $7.76 is below the 50-day ($7.85) and 200-day ($8.21) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
56.4, Neutral
Reading 56.4 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
48.0% below
Price is 48% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Nov 18, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+1.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Arcos Dorados stock chart and price history
Arcos Dorados closed at $7.76 on Oct 12, 2026, +12.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.67 to $9.75.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −3.1%
- 3 months
- −5.4%
- 6 months
- −10.1%
- 1 year
- +12.6%
The full ARCO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ARCO in Gekko
Follow Arcos Dorados through every session
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About Arcos Dorados
Arcos Dorados operates as a franchisee for McDonald's, with rights to run, own, and sub-franchise the chain's restaurants across its territory. It is best known for holding this position across a wide stretch of Latin America and the Caribbean, covering countries such as Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Peru, Uruguay, Panama, Ecuador, Costa Rica, and Venezuela, along with island territories including Aruba, Curacao, Guadeloupe, Martinique, French Guiana, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
The company's reach spans 20 countries and territories in total, and as of the close of 2021 it managed or franchised 2,261 restaurant locations under this arrangement.
Arcos Dorados was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ARCO.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Website
- arcosdorados.com
Arcos Dorados GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Arcos Dorados’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.4, in the Neutral zone, down 1.2 points over five sessions.
56.4Neutral
Down 1.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 30 | +1.9% | +2.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 288 | +0.5% | +1.0% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 338 | −0.9% | −3.0% | ||
| Distribution | 17 | −3.5% | −3.6% | ||
| Selling | 9 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ARCO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARCO price, zone by zone.Track ARCO in Gekko
Is Arcos Dorados stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Arcos Dorados trades 48.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.92, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Arcos Dorados shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$14.92
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026
48.0% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 22.3% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARCO in Gekko
Arcos Dorados insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Arcos Dorados, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ARCO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ARCO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARCO in Gekko
Buybacks
Arcos Dorados has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2023
- $1.89M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.12%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ARCO.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Arcos Dorados earnings: next date and track record
Arcos Dorados reports on Nov 18, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 18, 2026
37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.17
- Revenue estimate
- $1.34B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.9%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Arcos Dorados reported record Q2 2026 total revenue of $1.3 billion, up 14%+ in local currencies, alongside record net income and sequential adjusted free cash flow growth. Digital sales surged 25%+ YoY, reaching 66% of total sales, while identified sales hit 28%. The company opened 16 restaurants in Q2 (35 H1 total) and gained ~0.5 points of market share. FIFA World Cup sponsorship drove traffic and premium sandwich sales. Operations in Venezuela and Colombia were impacted by earthquakes.
- Guidance
- Management highlighted continued momentum in digital sales, loyalty program membership, and market share gains as long-term value drivers. No specific revenue or earnings targets were provided in this excerpt, but organic growth initiatives and inorganic restaurant expansion remain ongoing priorities.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | $0.22 est $0.15 | $1.31B est $1.28B | +0.1% |
| May 20, 2026 | $0.17 est $0.10 | $1.22B est $1.21B | +13.4% |
| Mar 19, 2026 | $0.13 est $0.24 | $1.27B est $1.26B | −0.3% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $0.12 est $0.10 | $1.19B est $1.26B | +1.7% |
| Aug 13, 2025 | $0.11 est $0.05 | $1.14B est $1.20B | +8.1% |
| May 14, 2025 | $0.07 est $0.13 | $1.08B est $1.18B | −9.3% |
| Mar 12, 2025 | $0.28 est $0.22 | $1.14B est $1.05B | +1.5% |
| Nov 13, 2024 | $0.17 est $0.16 | $4.47B est $1.15B | +4.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Arcos Dorados stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Arcos Dorados is $11.29, +45.5% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$11.29consensus 12-month target, +45.5% from the last close
Now $7.76Avg $11.29
Low $10.50High $11.50
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | Bank of America Securities | $11.50 | +48.2% |
| Aug 14 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Jul 21 | J.P. Morgan | $10.50 | +35.3% |
| Jul 16 | J.P. Morgan | $10.50 | +35.3% |
−3.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Arcos Dorados seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Arcos Dorados averaged +1.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.2% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, ARCO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.2%.
Arcos Dorados market cap and key statistics
Arcos Dorados’s market cap is $1.63B, with a P/E ratio of 6.5 and revenue of $4.98B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.63B
- P/E ratio
- 6.5
- Forward P/E
- 14.5
- EPS, TTM
- $1.22
- Gekko Fair Value
- $14.92
Trading
- Volume
- 1.66M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.27M
- 52-week high
- $9.75
- 52-week low
- $6.67
- Shares outstanding
- 130.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.98B
- Profit margin
- 5.2%
- Return on equity
- 36.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +99.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.49
- Typical daily move
- ±4.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.2%
- Dividend yield
- 3.45%
Arcos Dorados stock news this week
1 headline about Arcos Dorados from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Arcos Dorados (ARCO) Surges 13.9%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?Zacks Investment Research, Oct 6
Arcos Dorados peers
Arcos Dorados’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MCDMcDonald's | Accumulation | 11.4% below |
| SBUXStarbucks | Accumulation | 10.2% above |
| YUMYum! Brands | Neutral | 19.8% below |
| CMGChipotle Mexican Grill | Accumulation | 10.0% below |
| QSRRestaurant Brands International | Accumulation | 37.4% below |
| DRIDarden Restaurants | Accumulation | 14.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Arcos Dorados stock FAQ
What is Arcos Dorados’s market cap?
Arcos Dorados’s market cap is $1.63B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $7.76, with 130.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 6.5.
What is the Arcos Dorados stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Arcos Dorados is $11.29, +45.5% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Arcos Dorados stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Arcos Dorados is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $7.76 is 48.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.92. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Arcos Dorados report earnings next?
Arcos Dorados is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.17 per share on revenue of $1.34B. Arcos Dorados beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.9% on average across the report.
What is Arcos Dorados’s 52-week high and low?
Arcos Dorados’s 52-week high is $9.75 and its 52-week low is $6.67; it closed at $7.76 on Oct 12, 2026, +12.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $13.20 on Jan 26, 2024.
Is Arcos Dorados stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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