NYSE: SG

Sweetgreen (SG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$9.85+0.22 (+2.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Sweetgreen moves this week on a mix of corporate and investor-flow news. The company confirmed it will report third-quarter 2026 results on 5 November and announced Lauren Crowley as Chief People Officer, effective 26 October, reporting to CEO Jonathan Neman. Separately, the prior quarter's results remain in view, with Q2 FY26 revenue of $192.7 million, comparable sales down 6.2%, restaurant-level profit margin of 13.1%, and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $0.2 million across 287 restaurants, a period that also saw a cyclospora outbreak and a jalapeño recall cited as headwinds. An amended 13G filing also disclosed a shared 5.4% passive stake in the company's Class A shares.

Shares closed at $9.85, up 2.3% on the day, sitting above both the 50-day average of $7.19 and the 200-day average of $6.97, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 41.9, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, while price stands 31.9% above the Gekko Fair Value of $7.47.

The next earnings date falls on 5 November, within the next 20 trading days, after a last reaction of -11.5% and an average absolute reaction of 9.2% across prior reports. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality for this calendar stretch shows a 20-day average of -7.6% over four years, with gains in one of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming report.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Sweetgreen price vs fair value

$9.85$7.47Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $9.85200-day averageGekko Fair Value $7.47

Sweetgreen quick facts

Market cap
$1.17B
P/E ratio
106.3
Forward P/E
18.8
EPS, TTM
$0.09
Revenue, TTM
$681.8M
Profit margin
2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.17
Volume
3.78M avg 5.22M
1-year return
+24.2%
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±14.2%
50-day average
$7.19
200-day average
$6.97
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
107.1M
52-week range
$4.49$10.63

Sweetgreen swing-trade checklist

Sweetgreen scores 1 supportive, 0 mixed and 4 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive0 mixed4 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $9.85 is above the 50-day ($7.19) and 200-day ($6.97) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    41.9, Distribution

    Reading 41.9 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    31.9% above

    Price is 31.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −7.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −7.6% over 4 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Sweetgreen stock chart and price history

Sweetgreen closed at $9.85 on Oct 12, 2026, +24.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.49 to $10.63.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Sweetgreen share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5$15NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct9.85

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+38.7%
3 months
+38.9%
6 months
+71.6%
1 year
+24.2%
The full SG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SG in Gekko

Follow Sweetgreen through every session

Put SG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Sweetgreen

Sweetgreen runs a group of fast-casual restaurants built around healthy menu options made from fresh, seasonal, and organic ingredients. Diners can eat in at one of its locations or place orders through the company's website and mobile app, giving customers more than one way to get their food. The chain has become known for this focus on health-conscious, made-to-order meals served in a quick-service format.

Alongside its restaurant operations, Sweetgreen sells gift cards that customers can use at any of its locations, adding another way the company generates revenue beyond individual meal purchases. Its customer base consists of diners seeking fresh, organic food options, served either through in-person visits or digital ordering channels.

Sweetgreen was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker SG.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Restaurants
Website
sweetgreen.com

Sweetgreen GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Sweetgreen’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.9, in the Distribution zone, up 0.6 points over five sessions.

010041.9Distribution

Up 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying580.0%+1.3%+3.5%+1.3%
Accumulation270−0.5%−1.9%−2.8%−6.4%
Neutral286+0.8%+2.4%+2.4%−1.2%
Distribution (current zone)58+3.9%+5.8%+15.3%+29.1%
Selling10Not available

Average SG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SG price, zone by zone.Track SG in Gekko

Is Sweetgreen stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Sweetgreen trades 31.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $7.47, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Sweetgreen shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$7.47

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

31.9% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.8% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$7$10Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SG in Gekko

Sweetgreen insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Sweetgreen, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SG in Gekko

Buybacks

Sweetgreen has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 29, 2025
$3K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold SG.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Sweetgreen earnings: next date and track record

Sweetgreen reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.2%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.7%Nov ’24+3.3%Feb ’25−14.9%May ’25−20.9%Aug ’25−10.7%Nov ’25−5.3%Feb ’26+1.9%May ’26−11.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Sweetgreen reported Q2 2026 revenue of $192.7 million with comparable restaurant sales declining 6.2%. Restaurant-level profit margin was 13.1% and adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $0.2 million across 287 restaurants. The company faced headwinds from a cyclospora outbreak (unrelated to Sweetgreen) and a jalapeño recall. Transaction comps improved sequentially each month, reaching flat in June, driven by operational improvements in markets like New York and Seattle.
Guidance
Updated outlook incorporates cyclospora outbreak impact and recovery assumptions. Jalapeño recall impact is not yet reflected in guidance due to timing. Management expects return to positive transaction growth, prioritizing throughput improvement, AUV rebuilding, and restaurant-level cash flow enhancement.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026−$0.22
est −$0.13
−69.2%$192.7M
est $194.5M
−0.9%−11.5%
May 7, 2026−$0.21
est −$0.19
−8.3%$161.5M
est $163.9M
−1.5%+1.9%
Feb 26, 2026−$0.42
est −$0.31
−35.5%$155.2M
est $158.8M
−2.3%−5.3%
Nov 6, 2025−$0.27
est −$0.18
−50.0%$172.4M
est $159.6M
+8.0%−10.7%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.20
est −$0.09
−122.2%$185.6M
est $193.4M
−4.1%−20.9%
May 8, 2025−$0.13
est −$0.17
+26.8%$166.3M
est $205.6M
−19.1%−14.9%
Feb 26, 2025−$0.25
est −$0.20
−25.0%$160.9M
est $164.7M
−2.3%+3.3%
Nov 7, 2024−$0.18
est −$0.13
−38.5%$173.4M
est $163.3M
+6.2%−4.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Sweetgreen stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Sweetgreen is $8.00, −18.8% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$8.00consensus 12-month target, −18.8% from the last close
Low $5.50High $11
Buy6
Hold6
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 3Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$9.10−7.6%
Sep 29J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$10+1.5%
Sep 28Wells FargoBuy, upgraded$11+11.7%
Sep 11TD CowenHold, maintained$6−39.1%
Sep 7KeyBancBuy, upgraded$9−8.6%
+15.3%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
−7.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 4 years
±4.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Sweetgreen seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Sweetgreen averaged −7.6% across the last 4 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.9%2022−14.2%2023+16.0%2024−23.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.5%3 of 4
Next 10 trading days−1.7%1 of 4
Next 15 trading days−5.7%1 of 4
Next 20 trading days−7.6%1 of 4
Next 30 trading days−14.1%1 of 4

For scale, SG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 14.2%.

Sweetgreen market cap and key statistics

Sweetgreen’s market cap is $1.17B, with a P/E ratio of 106.3 and revenue of $681.8M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.17B
P/E ratio
106.3
Forward P/E
18.8
EPS, TTM
$0.09
Gekko Fair Value
$7.47

Trading

Volume
3.78M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.22M
52-week high
$10.63
52-week low
$4.49
Shares outstanding
107.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$681.8M
Profit margin
2%
Return on equity
3.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.17
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±14.2%

Sweetgreen stock news this week

5 headlines about Sweetgreen from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Sweetgreen peers

Sweetgreen’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MCDMcDonald's+0.2%Accumulation11.4% below
SBUXStarbucks+1.2%Accumulation10.2% above
YUMYum! Brands+1.6%Neutral19.8% below
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill−1.1%Accumulation10.0% below
QSRRestaurant Brands International+0.8%Accumulation37.4% below
DRIDarden Restaurants+1.6%Accumulation14.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Sweetgreen stock FAQ

What is Sweetgreen’s market cap?

Sweetgreen’s market cap is $1.17B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.85, with 107.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 106.3.

What is the Sweetgreen stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Sweetgreen is $8.00, −18.8% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Sweetgreen stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Sweetgreen is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.85 is 31.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $7.47. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Sweetgreen report earnings next?

Sweetgreen is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.26 per share on revenue of $168.8M. Sweetgreen beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.2% on average across the report.

What is Sweetgreen’s 52-week high and low?

Sweetgreen’s 52-week high is $10.63 and its 52-week low is $4.49; it closed at $9.85 on Oct 12, 2026, +24.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $56.20 on Nov 18, 2021.

Is Sweetgreen stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend) and 4 as headwinds (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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