Insider buying last 90 days
$101Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | Lange Bob De Director | Purchase | $101K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryBofA Securities lowered its price target on AGCO from $130 to $123 on 24 September, a neutral adjustment against a backdrop of a Q2 report that showed flat revenues and results below analyst expectations, with AGCO's quarter drawing comparisons against peers such as Alamo in the agricultural machinery space. The consolidated picture concerns a company whose most recent earnings call cited consolidated net sales of about $2.6 billion, adjusted EPS of $1.43, and operating income of $140.7 million, with margin compression tied to lower volumes and higher input costs including tariffs and freight.
AGCO closed at $117.61, down 0.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $113.68 and 200-day average of $116.30. The GekkoIndex reads 56.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 2.8 over the past five days. Price stands 14.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.11, a gap that bears watching.
The next earnings date falls on 30 October, 31 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 90 days, smart money activity includes one open-market insider purchase valued at $100,710, alongside one billionaire holder. Seasonality over five years shows the next 20 trading days from this point averaging a 4.2% gain, with 3 of those years positive. Analyst consensus among 14 firms includes 6 buy, 6 hold, and 2 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $124, reflecting 5.4% upside from current levels.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
AGCO price vs fair value
Close $117.61200-day averageGekko Fair Value $103.11
AGCO quick facts
- Market cap
- $8.24B
- P/E ratio
- 16.3
- Forward P/E
- 16
- EPS, TTM
- $7.23
- Revenue, TTM
- $10.35B
- Profit margin
- 5.1%
- Dividend yield
- 1.01%
- Beta
- 1.10
- Volume
- 754,881 avg 1.25M
- 1-year return
- +8.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.3%
- 50-day average
- $113.68
- 200-day average
- $116.30
- Next earnings
- Oct 30
- Shares outstanding
- 70.03M
AGCO swing-trade checklist
AGCO scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $117.61 sits between the 50-day ($113.68) and 200-day ($116.30) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
56.4, Neutral
Reading 56.4 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
14.1% above
Price is 14.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 31 days
Next report Oct 30, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
AGCO stock chart and price history
AGCO closed at $117.61 on Sep 28, 2026, +8.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $98.22 to $143.78.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +6.1%
- 3 months
- −1.4%
- 6 months
- +3.6%
- 1 year
- +8.9%
The full AGCO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AGCO in Gekko
Follow AGCO through every session
Put AGCO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track AGCO in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About AGCO
AGCO makes farm machinery and the parts that go with it, selling to growers and agricultural operations around the world. Its lineup runs from high-horsepower tractors used in large row-crop operations to utility and compact tractors suited to smaller farms, dairies, orchards, vineyards, landscaping and residential use. The company is recognized for its tractor range and for the breadth of equipment it builds around it, including combines for harvesting grains such as corn, wheat, soybeans and rice.
Beyond tractors and combines, AGCO produces grain storage, drying and handling systems, seed-processing equipment, and livestock and poultry gear such as feed, ventilation and watering setups. It also supplies haying and forage equipment, tillage and planting implements, sprayers for crop chemicals and fertilizer, plus diesel engines, gears and generating sets. These products reach customers through independent dealers and distributors worldwide, under brand names including Challenger, Fendt, GSI, Massey Ferguson and Valtra.
AGCO shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AGCO.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
- Website
- agcocorp.com
AGCO GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
AGCO’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.4, in the Neutral zone, up 2.8 points over five sessions.
56.4Neutral
Up 2.8 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 42 | +1.3% | +4.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 228 | +1.0% | +2.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 367 | −0.5% | −0.6% | ||
| Distribution | 29 | −0.8% | −7.8% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AGCO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AGCO price, zone by zone.Track AGCO in Gekko
Is AGCO stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
AGCO trades 14.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.11, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what AGCO shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$103.11
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
14.1% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AGCO in Gekko
AGCO insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in AGCO worth $101K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AGCO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AGCO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGCO in Gekko
Buybacks
AGCO has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $347.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 4.21%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AGCO.
0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
AGCO earnings: next date and track record
AGCO reports on Oct 30, 2026 (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 30, 2026
31 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.88
- Revenue estimate
- $2.33B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- AGCO's Q2 2026 call reported mixed results: consolidated net sales about $2.6B (down ~1% YoY reported; -4% constant currency in Q2), adjusted EPS $1.43 (up $0.08 YoY), operating income $140.7M (down 14% YoY) and adjusted operating margin compression driven by lower volumes and higher input costs (tariffs, freight). Regional performance was uneven: North America showed strong volume and pricing (unit growth led by high-horse tractors, pricing ~3.5% in NA), Europe/Middle East declined (Europe ~5% lower constant currency; Germany notably softer than expected), Latin America was weak (Latin America -25% CC) but management expects a stronger H2 supported by subsidized financing and election-related stimulus in Brazil. Replacement parts were stable (~$516M, +3% reported). Management emphasized actions taken: production cuts to align with retail demand, dealer inventory reductions, cost discipline, working capital focus, and continued investment in precision ag (PTX), FarmerCore dealer initiatives, and autonomy (OutRun). They highlighted market-share gains in key segments and ongoing product/technology launches. Management described current headwinds including weather, elevated fertilizer and fuel costs, and macro uncertainty but remained confident in long-term agricultural fundamentals (aging fleets, productivity needs, renewable fuels demand).
- Guidance
- Management communicated the following forward-looking items: - Third quarter EPS was discussed in the call around $0.85 to $0.95 (referenced during Q&A). - Europe Q3 revenue expectation roughly $1.3B to $1.4B and Q4 north of $2B (management commentary). - Underproduction vs. retail: South America ~15% under retail; North America underproduction somewhat less (management commentary). - Company pricing: ~2% company-wide pricing in the quarter; ~3.5% in North America. - Management signaled they have lowered guidance for the back half of the year (no consolidated full-year numeric re-stated on the call).
- Risks flagged
- Risks/concerns cited: - Weather variability (drought, elevated temperatures) impacting crop development and farmer demand. - Elevated input costs (fertilizer, fuel) tied to geopolitical issues (e.g., Strait of Hormuz) and their uncertain timeline. - Lower production volumes and dealer reluctance to hold inventory leading to reduced sell-in. - Regional demand weakness (Europe softness, Latin America decline). - Tariff impacts and supply-chain/headwind cost pressures. - Macro uncertainty around farmer profitability and potential prolonged weak equipment demand.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $1.43 est $1.54 | $2.61B est $2.75B | −12.1% |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.94 est $0.44 | $2.34B est $2.26B | −0.9% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $2.17 est $1.89 | $2.92B est $2.67B | +8.9% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $1.35 est $1.22 | $2.48B est $2.67B | −0.8% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $1.35 est $1.06 | $2.64B est $2.48B | +6.5% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.41 est $0.03 | $2.05B est $2.43B | +12.2% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $1.97 est $1.83 | $2.89B est $3.17B | −3.2% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $0.68 est $1.08 | $2.60B est $2.90B | −3.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
AGCO stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AGCO is $124.00, +5.4% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$124.00consensus 12-month target, +5.4% from the last close
Now $117.61Avg $124.00
Low $98High $151
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Bank of America Securities | $123 | +4.6% |
| Sep 24 | Bernstein | $98 | −16.7% |
| Sep 21 | Bernstein | $98 | −16.7% |
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $108 | −8.2% |
| Aug 31 | Truist Financial | — | — |
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
AGCO seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, AGCO averaged +4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.4% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, AGCO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.
AGCO market cap and key statistics
AGCO’s market cap is $8.24B, with a P/E ratio of 16.3 and revenue of $10.35B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $8.24B
- P/E ratio
- 16.3
- Forward P/E
- 16
- EPS, TTM
- $7.23
- Gekko Fair Value
- $103.11
Trading
- Volume
- 754,881
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.25M
- 52-week high
- $143.78
- 52-week low
- $98.22
- Shares outstanding
- 70.03M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $10.35B
- Profit margin
- 5.1%
- Return on equity
- 11.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −74.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.10
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.01%
AGCO stock news this week
Coverage of AGCO this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- BofA Securities Adjusts Price Target on AGCO to $123 From $130marketscreener.com, Sep 24
- Q2 Rundown: AGCO (NYSE:AGCO) Vs Other Agricultural Machinery StocksStockStory, Sep 22
- AGCO Corporation (AGCO) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 22
AGCO peers
AGCO’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CATCaterpillar | Neutral | 6.4% above |
| DEDeere | Neutral | 22.4% above |
| PCARPACCAR | Buying | 3.4% above |
| WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies | Neutral | 5.6% above |
| CNHCNH Industrial | Neutral | 2.1% below |
| BWABorgWarner | Accumulation | 0.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
AGCO stock FAQ
What is AGCO’s market cap?
AGCO’s market cap is $8.24B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $117.61, with 70.03M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.3.
What is the AGCO stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AGCO is $124.00, +5.4% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is AGCO stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate AGCO is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $117.61 is 14.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.11. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does AGCO report earnings next?
AGCO is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026 (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.88 per share on revenue of $2.33B. AGCO beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.
What is AGCO’s 52-week high and low?
AGCO’s 52-week high is $143.78 and its 52-week low is $98.22; it closed at $117.61 on Sep 28, 2026, +8.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $150.28 on Mar 28, 2022.
Is AGCO stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See AGCO the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.