NYSE: GBX

Greenbrier Companies (GBX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$39.17+0.74 (+1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Greenbrier fell to a 52-week low of $38.21 this week, down 35% from its high, with shares also slipping 3.27% to $38.78 on 7 October after UTLX Manufacturing, a Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary, initiated a trade dispute seeking antidumping and countervailing duties on railway tank car production. Greenbrier has formally rejected the petitions, calling the allegations factually unsupported and committing to defend its U.S. production record. Separately, the company scheduled its fourth quarter fiscal 2026 earnings release and conference call.

GBX closes at $39.17, up 1.9% on the day, but remains below both its 50-day average of $43.71 and its 200-day average of $48.85, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock sits 17% lower over three months and 25.9% lower over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 69.2, placing it in the Accumulation zone, while price stands 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $44.48.

Greenbrier next reports earnings on 28 October 2026, 16 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with past quarters showing an average absolute reaction of 9.2% and five beats in eight quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 13.9% gain over five years, rising in three of them. Two covering firms currently rate the stock a sell, with a consensus target of $45.33.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Greenbrier Companies price vs fair value

$44.48$39.17Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $39.17200-day averageGekko Fair Value $44.48

Greenbrier Companies quick facts

Market cap
$1.21B
P/E ratio
11.4
Forward P/E
11.1
EPS, TTM
$3.38
Revenue, TTM
$2.63B
Profit margin
4.1%
Dividend yield
3.35%
Beta
1.44
Volume
263,059 avg 414,554
1-year return
−13.6%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±7.1%
50-day average
$43.71
200-day average
$48.85
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
30.94M
52-week range
$37.61$59.19

Greenbrier Companies swing-trade checklist

Greenbrier Companies scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $39.17 is below the 50-day ($43.71) and 200-day ($48.85) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.2, Accumulation

    Reading 69.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.9% below

    Price is 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +13.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +13.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Greenbrier Companies stock chart and price history

Greenbrier Companies closed at $39.17 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $37.61 to $59.19.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Greenbrier Companies share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$45$50$55$60NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct39.17

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.1%
3 months
−17.3%
6 months
−25.9%
1 year
−13.6%
The full GBX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GBX in Gekko

Follow Greenbrier Companies through every session

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About Greenbrier Companies

Greenbrier Companies builds, repairs, and supplies railroad freight car equipment for customers across North America, Europe, and South America. Its product range spans hopper cars, boxcars, tank cars, intermodal double-stack railcars, flat cars, gondolas, automobile transporters, and vehicle-carrying auto-max and multi-max systems, along with marine vessels, giving it a broad footprint in freight car manufacturing.

The company works through three main divisions. Manufacturing handles the production of railcars and vessels described above. Wheels, Repair & Parts reconditions wheels and axles, performs machining and resizing work, maintains a repair and refurbishment network, and remanufactures components such as couplers, bolsters, side frames, and boxcar parts. Leasing & Services leases out a fleet of roughly 8,800 owned railcars and oversees a much larger managed inventory of about 444,000 cars, while also handling maintenance coordination, accounting, logistics, and remarketing. Customers across these divisions include railroads, shippers, carriers, financial institutions, and other leasing and transportation companies.

Founded in 1974, Greenbrier Companies is headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GBX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
Website
gbrx.com

Greenbrier Companies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Greenbrier Companies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.9 points over five sessions.

010069.2Accumulation

Down 0.9 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying42+0.1%−0.2%+1.0%+0.8%
Accumulation (current zone)263+0.1%+0.2%−1.3%−0.4%
Neutral347+0.1%+0.2%+1.5%+1.5%
Distribution23−1.2%−1.7%−4.4%−3.9%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average GBX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GBX price, zone by zone.Track GBX in Gekko

Is Greenbrier Companies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Greenbrier Companies trades 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $44.48, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Greenbrier Companies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$44.48

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

11.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$44$38Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GBX in Gekko

Greenbrier Companies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Greenbrier Companies, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GBX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GBX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GBX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GBX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GBX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GBX in Gekko

Buybacks

Greenbrier Companies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended May 31, 2026
$100K
As a share of market cap
0.01%
Trailing four quarters
$14.30M

From company filings.

Greenbrier Companies earnings: next date and track record

Greenbrier Companies reports on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.2%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+15.0%Oct ’24+4.2%Jan ’25−13.1%Apr ’25+23.6%Jul ’25−8.1%Oct ’25−5.4%Jan ’26+1.4%Apr ’26−3.0%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 1, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Greenbrier delivered solid Q3 fiscal 2026 results with sequentially improved gross margins and earnings. Orders totaled 2,200 railcars valued at $340 million, with backlog at 13,800 units worth $2 billion. The owned lease fleet expanded to 20,600 railcars at 99% utilization. Industry headwinds persist with calendar 2026 North American deliveries projected below 25,000 units, lowest since 2010.
Guidance
Management targets doubling recurring revenue base by 2028 through own manufacturing and secondary market opportunities. Calendar 2027 industry deliveries projected to recover to 34,000+ units. Focus remains on operational execution, cost discipline, and capital allocation through the cycle.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 1, 2026$0.60
est $0.60
0.0%$576.5M
est $612.7M
−5.9%−3.0%
Apr 7, 2026$0.47
est $0.82
−42.9%$587.5M
est $663.7M
−11.5%+1.4%
Jan 8, 2026$1.14
est $0.84
+35.7%$706.1M
est $655.5M
+7.7%−5.4%
Oct 28, 2025$1.26
est $1.18
+6.8%$755.8M
est $764.1M
−1.1%−8.1%
Jul 1, 2025$1.86
est $0.86
+116.3%$842.7M
est $785.7M
+7.3%+23.6%
Apr 7, 2025$1.69
est $1.78
−5.1%$762.1M
est $885.6M
−13.9%−13.1%
Jan 8, 2025$1.72
est $1.16
+48.3%$875.9M
est $877.1M
−0.1%+4.2%
Oct 23, 2024$1.92
est $1.32
+45.5%$1.05B
est $1.05B
+0.2%+15.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Greenbrier Companies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Greenbrier Companies is $45.33, +15.7% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$45.33consensus 12-month target, +15.7% from the last close
Buy0
Hold0
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 6Goldman SachsSell, maintained$42+7.2%
Sep 23Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$42+7.2%
Sep 22Goldman SachsSell, maintained$42+7.2%
Sep 1Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$42+7.2%
−1.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+13.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Greenbrier Companies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Greenbrier Companies averaged +13.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.0%2021+50.9%2022−11.5%2023+28.6%2024−1.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.8%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.9%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+8.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+13.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+13.4%2 of 5

For scale, GBX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.1%.

Greenbrier Companies market cap and key statistics

Greenbrier Companies’s market cap is $1.21B, with a P/E ratio of 11.4 and revenue of $2.63B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.21B
P/E ratio
11.4
Forward P/E
11.1
EPS, TTM
$3.38
Gekko Fair Value
$44.48

Trading

Volume
263,059
Avg volume, 20 days
414,554
52-week high
$59.19
52-week low
$37.61
Shares outstanding
30.94M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.63B
Profit margin
4.1%
Return on equity
6.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−67.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.44
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±7.1%
Dividend yield
3.35%

Greenbrier Companies stock news this week

Coverage of Greenbrier Companies this week reads negative: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Greenbrier Companies peers

Greenbrier Companies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CATCaterpillar+0.1%Accumulation4.8% above
DEDeere+2.0%Accumulation14.1% above
PCARPACCAR−0.1%Accumulation3.2% above
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies+0.2%Neutral2.9% above
CNHCNH Industrial+2.4%Accumulation17.0% below
BWABorgWarner−1.9%Accumulation9.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Greenbrier Companies stock FAQ

What is Greenbrier Companies’s market cap?

Greenbrier Companies’s market cap is $1.21B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $39.17, with 30.94M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.4.

What is the Greenbrier Companies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Greenbrier Companies is $45.33, +15.7% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Greenbrier Companies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Greenbrier Companies is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $39.17 is 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $44.48. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Greenbrier Companies report earnings next?

Greenbrier Companies is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.82 per share on revenue of $611.3M. Greenbrier Companies beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.2% on average across the report.

What is Greenbrier Companies’s 52-week high and low?

Greenbrier Companies’s 52-week high is $59.19 and its 52-week low is $37.61; it closed at $39.17 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $71.06 on Jan 23, 2025.

Is Greenbrier Companies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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