NASDAQ: ASTE

Astec Industries (ASTE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$39.48+0.77 (+2.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's coverage of Astec Industries centers on divided analyst views following its recent drop. Several pieces continue to call the stock a buy, citing attractive valuation and growth prospects tied to acquisitions and strong segment performance, with backlog up 57.9% year-over-year to $601.1 million. Other commentary strikes a more cautious tone, flagging weak near-term sentiment and mapping out risk zones for traders, while a separate piece weighs ASTE against Terex (TEX) on relative value.

ASTE closed at $39.48, up 2% on the day, but remains below both its 50-day average of $42.42 and its 200-day average of $51.30, with the 50-day itself under the 200-day. Shorter-term returns show declines across the 1-month (-4.7%), 3-month (-29.4%) and 6-month (-35.4%) periods. The GekkoIndex reads 66.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 6.9 over five days. Shares trade 18.4% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $48.36.

Earnings are scheduled for 4 November 2026, before the open, 22 days out and within a typical 20-day holding window; the last report showed an EPS miss of $0.94 versus $1.04 expected, with a -15.4% reaction, against a backdrop of 5 beats in the last 8 quarters. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days averaging +14.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Astec Industries price vs fair value

$48.36$39.48Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $39.48200-day averageGekko Fair Value $48.36

Astec Industries quick facts

Market cap
$907.7M
P/E ratio
48.4
Forward P/E
9.8
EPS, TTM
$0.81
Revenue, TTM
$1.56B
Profit margin
1.3%
Dividend yield
1.26%
Beta
1.33
Volume
303,002 avg 216,891
1-year return
−14.4%
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.3%
50-day average
$42.42
200-day average
$51.30
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
22.99M
52-week range
$38.29$65.69

Astec Industries swing-trade checklist

Astec Industries scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $39.48 is below the 50-day ($42.42) and 200-day ($51.30) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.7, Accumulation

    Reading 66.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    18.4% below

    Price is 18.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +14.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +14.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Astec Industries stock chart and price history

Astec Industries closed at $39.48 on Oct 12, 2026, −14.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $38.29 to $65.69.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Astec Industries share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$45$50$55$60$65NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct39.48

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.7%
3 months
−29.4%
6 months
−35.4%
1 year
−14.4%
The full ASTE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ASTE in Gekko

Follow Astec Industries through every session

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About Astec Industries

Astec Industries designs, manufactures, and supplies specialized equipment and parts used in road building and other heavy construction and civil engineering work, reaching customers both within the United States and abroad. The company is best known for the breadth of machinery it provides to support asphalt production, paving, and material processing on large infrastructure projects.

The business runs through two segments. Infrastructure Solutions covers equipment for asphalt and concrete work, including plants, storage tanks, heating and cooling systems, paving and material transfer machines, dust control tools, soil stabilization gear, and wood processing machines such as chippers and grinders, along with control systems and environmental and engineering services; its customers include asphalt producers, road and civil construction contractors, ready-mix concrete firms, construction waste recyclers, and government agencies. Materials Solutions builds machinery for processing raw materials, such as crushing, screening, and vibrating equipment, mobile and modular plants, bulk handling and conveying systems, automation tools, and mineral processing equipment, supported by consulting and engineering services.

Founded in 1972, Astec Industries is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker ASTE.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
Website
astecindustries.com

Astec Industries GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Astec Industries’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 6.9 points over five sessions.

010066.7Accumulation

Up 6.9 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying49+2.0%+2.9%+5.2%+10.4%
Accumulation (current zone)198+0.5%+2.1%+4.2%+8.2%
Neutral392+0.3%−0.1%−0.5%−0.5%
Distribution41−2.3%−2.8%−1.9%−3.5%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average ASTE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ASTE price, zone by zone.Track ASTE in Gekko

Is Astec Industries stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Astec Industries trades 18.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $48.36, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Astec Industries shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$48.36

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

18.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 31.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$48$39Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ASTE in Gekko

Astec Industries insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Astec Industries, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ASTE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ASTE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ASTE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ASTE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ASTE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ASTE in Gekko

Buybacks

Astec Industries has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2022
$4.00M
As a share of market cap
0.44%

From company filings.

Astec Industries earnings: next date and track record

Astec Industries reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+11.6%Nov ’24+15.0%Feb ’25+2.7%Apr ’25+6.2%Aug ’25−1.7%Nov ’25+6.6%Feb ’26−15.5%May ’26−15.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Astec Industries delivered record Q2 2026 revenues and adjusted EBITDA, with net sales up 23.6% YoY and adjusted EBITDA rising 26% to a 10.4% margin. Parts and service revenue grew 34.8% to $135.5M, representing 33.2% of net sales. Backlog surged 57.9% to $601.1M, driven by Material Solutions segment. However, macro headwinds including higher oil prices and Federal Highway Bill renewal uncertainty caused select asphalt plant delivery deferrals.
Guidance
Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance revised downward from $170M-$190M to $160M-$175M due to asphalt plant delivery shifts into Q4 2026 and Q1 2027. H2 EBITDA expected to split approximately 1/3 in Q3 and 2/3 in Q4.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.94
est $1.04
−9.6%$408.1M
est $405.5M
+0.6%−15.4%
May 6, 2026$0.54
est $0.84
−35.7%$396.3M
est $393.2M
+0.8%−15.5%
Feb 25, 2026$1.06
est $0.74
+43.2%$400.6M
est $374.2M
+7.1%+6.6%
Nov 5, 2025$0.47
est $0.45
+4.4%$350.1M
est $374.2M
−6.4%−1.7%
Aug 6, 2025$0.88
est $0.34
+158.8%$330.3M
est $340.4M
−3.0%+6.2%
Apr 29, 2025$0.88
est $0.46
+91.3%$329.4M
est $361.0M
−8.8%+2.7%
Feb 26, 2025$1.19
est $0.73
+63.0%$359.0M
est $319.3M
+12.4%+15.0%
Nov 6, 2024$0.31
est $0.31
0.0%$291.4M
est $371.4M
−21.5%+11.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Astec Industries stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Astec Industries is $67.25, +70.3% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$67.25consensus 12-month target, +70.3% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 10Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$60+52.0%
+4.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+14.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Astec Industries seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Astec Industries averaged +14.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+44.1%2021+32.9%2022−31.1%2023+21.6%2024+1.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.9%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+7.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+14.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.9%3 of 5

For scale, ASTE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.3%.

Astec Industries market cap and key statistics

Astec Industries’s market cap is $907.7M, with a P/E ratio of 48.4 and revenue of $1.56B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$907.7M
P/E ratio
48.4
Forward P/E
9.8
EPS, TTM
$0.81
Gekko Fair Value
$48.36

Trading

Volume
303,002
Avg volume, 20 days
216,891
52-week high
$65.69
52-week low
$38.29
Shares outstanding
22.99M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.56B
Profit margin
1.3%
Return on equity
2.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−37.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.33
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.3%
Dividend yield
1.26%

Astec Industries stock news this week

Coverage of Astec Industries this week reads positive: 2 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Astec Industries peers

Astec Industries’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CATCaterpillar+0.1%Accumulation4.8% above
DEDeere+2.0%Accumulation14.1% above
PCARPACCAR−0.1%Accumulation3.2% above
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies+0.2%Neutral2.9% above
CNHCNH Industrial+2.4%Accumulation17.0% below
BWABorgWarner−1.9%Accumulation9.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Astec Industries stock FAQ

What is Astec Industries’s market cap?

Astec Industries’s market cap is $907.7M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $39.48, with 22.99M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 48.4.

What is the Astec Industries stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Astec Industries is $67.25, +70.3% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Astec Industries stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Astec Industries is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $39.48 is 18.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $48.36. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Astec Industries report earnings next?

Astec Industries is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.53 per share on revenue of $378.6M. Astec Industries beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.3% on average across the report.

What is Astec Industries’s 52-week high and low?

Astec Industries’s 52-week high is $65.69 and its 52-week low is $38.29; it closed at $39.48 on Oct 12, 2026, −14.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $75.00 on Nov 9, 2021.

Is Astec Industries stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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