Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PCAR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every PCAR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PCAR in Gekko
NASDAQ: PCAR
PACCAR (PCAR) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$116.06−1.30 (−1.1%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryPACCAR (PCAR) closes at $116.06, down 1.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $127.59 and 200-day average of $120.69. The GekkoIndex reads 77.3, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Price stands 6.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $108.81. Over the past month the stock is down 9%, though it remains up 15.1% over the past year and 2.8% over six months.
This week's news centers on a 3.5% single-day drop that closed the stock at $118.22, part of a 7.3% retreat over four weeks, alongside coverage suggesting the Relative Strength Index points to potential selling exhaustion and a possible trend reversal. Separately, PACCAR's Board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.35 per share, payable 2 December to shareholders of record 11 November, continuing a streak of five consecutive years of dividend increases. Additional coverage noted stake increases from NewEdge Advisors LLC and Engineers Gate Manager LP, each acquiring shares in the second quarter valued at $2.04 million and $1.55 million respectively.
Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is set for 27 October, 37 days out, placing it outside a typical holding window. Congress activity over the past 90 days shows 1 buy and 0 sells. Seasonality over 5 years from this point in the calendar averages a 3.1% gain over the next 20 trading days, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage from 9 firms shows 4 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $144.80. Worth noting is the gap to Gekko Fair Value alongside the stock's position below its 50-day average.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $116.06200-day averageGekko Fair Value $108.81
Key stats
- Market cap
- $61.09B
- P/E ratio
- 24.9
- Forward P/E
- 15.9
- EPS, TTM
- $4.72
- Revenue, TTM
- $27.82B
- Profit margin
- 9%
- Dividend yield
- 1.13%
- Beta
- 0.97
- Volume
- 10.57M avg 2.67M
- 1-year return
- +15.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- 50-day average
- $127.59
- 200-day average
- $120.69
- Next earnings
- Oct 27
- Shares outstanding
- 526.4M
PACCAR swing-trade checklist
PACCAR scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $116.06 sits between the 50-day ($127.59) and 200-day ($120.69) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
77.3, Buying
Reading 77.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
6.7% above
Price is 6.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
PACCAR stock chart and price history
PACCAR closed at $116.06 on Sep 18, 2026, +15.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $92.25 to $139.24.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −9.0%
- 3 months
- −2.4%
- 6 months
- +2.8%
- 1 year
- +15.1%
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About PACCAR
PACCAR designs, builds, and distributes commercial trucks spanning light, medium, and heavy-duty classes, selling into markets that include the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and other regions worldwide. It is widely recognized for its truck brands, Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF, which serve both long-haul highway transport and rougher off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods. The company also produces industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic names.
The business runs through three segments. The Truck segment engineers and supplies vehicles sold through a network of independent dealerships. The Parts segment supplies aftermarket components for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment, operating leasing under the PacLease name, provides financing, leasing, and equipment support to dealers and franchisees, along with retail loans and leases to trucking companies of varying sizes, independent owner-operators, and other business customers, as well as inventory financing for dealers.
PACCAR was established in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker PCAR.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
- Website
- paccar.com
PACCAR GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
PACCAR’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 77.3, in the Buying zone, up 12.3 points over five sessions.
77.3Buying
Up 12.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 16 | +0.5% | +1.4% |
| Accumulation | 219 | +0.3% | +0.8% |
| Neutral | 369 | 0.0% | +0.2% |
| Distribution | 47 | +1.3% | +5.1% |
| Selling | 11 | +3.5% | +10.6% |
Average PCAR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PCAR price, zone by zone.Track PCAR in Gekko
Is PACCAR stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
PACCAR trades 6.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $108.81, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what PACCAR shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$108.81
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
6.7% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PCAR in Gekko
PACCAR insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PACCAR, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Aug 12 traded Jul 7 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
PACCAR has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
- $4.80M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.01%
- Trailing four quarters
- $36.60M
From company filings.
PACCAR earnings: next date and track record
PACCAR reports on Oct 27, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.61
- Revenue estimate
- $7.53B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- PACCAR's Q2 2026 earnings call highlighted strong operational performance, with revenues of $7.5B and net income of $752M, driven primarily by truck division strength, record parts revenues, and solid financial services performance. Management emphasized increased production and build rate increases globally, local-for-local production benefits (tariff advantages), and good cost controls leading to improved margins. PACCAR Parts reported record revenue ($1.75B) and improved gross margins; parts sales expected to grow 3–5% for the year. PACCAR Financial Services posted pre-tax income of $124M. Management discussed EPA NOx rule clarification allowing phased adoption of 35 mg engines and nonconformance penalties (NCPs) of ~$6K–$7K per truck, which could delay full adoption and smooth demand into 2027. Management expects full-year U.S./Canada heavy truck market ~250K units, Europe ~310K, South America ~100–110K. Truck deliveries rose to 38,700 in Q2; Q3 deliveries estimated ~42,000. Capex planned $700–750M, R&D $450–480M. Management provided qualitative confidence about 2027 market and parts growth; emphasized autonomous vehicle partnerships and continued investments in new powertrains and manufacturing. Q&A showed confident, upbeat tone, with few risks noted beyond tariffs, inventory, supplier constraints, and macro sensitivity to freight/GDP.
- Guidance
- - U.S./Canada heavy truck market: full-year ~250,000 units (first half 105,000; second half ~145,000). - Europe above 16-ton market: ~310,000 trucks in 2026. - South America above 16-ton market: 100,000–110,000 vehicles in 2026. - Q3 estimated truck deliveries: ~42,000. - PACCAR Parts full-year sales growth estimate: 3%–5%. - Capital investments planned: $700M–$750M in 2026. - R&D expenditures planned: $450M–$480M in 2026. - Management expects NCPs (nonconformance penalties) to be $6,000–$7,000 per truck under current EPA proposal.
- Risks flagged
- - Supplier constraints as production ramps (some supplier delays affecting U.S. deliveries). - Tariff environment and Section 232 implications; tariffs provided net benefit in Q2 but remain a factor. - Inventory uncertainty affecting market sizing (uncertainty in narrowing U.S./Canada market range). - EPA rule changes and ongoing notice-and-comment period (regulatory uncertainty could change timing/costs). - Macro sensitivity: freight rates, driver availability, GDP growth; a constrained driver pool and modest freight tonnage growth noted.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $1.43 est $1.33 | $7.00B est $7.05B | +0.3% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $1.15 est $1.17 | $6.23B est $6.44B | −7.1% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $1.06 est $1.06 | $6.25B est $6.05B | +0.8% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $1.12 est $1.15 | $6.67B est $6.01B | +2.4% |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $1.37 est $1.29 | $7.51B est $6.99B | +8.8% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $1.46 est $1.58 | $7.44B est $7.20B | −2.0% |
| Jan 28, 2025 | $1.66 est $1.70 | $7.91B est $7.59B | +0.9% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $1.85 est $1.82 | $8.24B est $7.66B | −5.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
PACCAR stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for PACCAR is $144.80, +24.8% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$144.80consensus 12-month target, +24.8% from the last close
Now $116.06Avg $144.80
Low $125High $164
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11 | Wells Fargo | $157 | +35.3% |
| Sep 10 | RBC Capital | $150 | +29.2% |
| Sep 4 | Morgan Stanley | $125 | +7.7% |
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $148 | +27.5% |
| Aug 31 | Bernstein | $148 | +27.5% |
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
PACCAR seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, PACCAR averaged +3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.9% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, PCAR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.
PACCAR market cap and key statistics
PACCAR’s market cap is $61.09B, with a P/E ratio of 24.9 and revenue of $27.82B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $61.09B
- P/E ratio
- 24.9
- Forward P/E
- 15.9
- EPS, TTM
- $4.72
- Gekko Fair Value
- $108.81
Trading
- Volume
- 10.57M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.67M
- 52-week high
- $139.24
- 52-week low
- $92.25
- Shares outstanding
- 526.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $27.82B
- Profit margin
- 9%
- Return on equity
- 12.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +4.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.97
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- Dividend yield
- 1.13%
PACCAR stock news this week
Coverage of PACCAR this week reads positive: 10 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- NewEdge Advisors LLC Acquires 10,858 Shares of PACCAR Inc. $PCARMarketBeat, Sep 19
- PACCAR Inc. (NASDAQ:PCAR) Announces Quarterly Dividend of $0.35MarketBeat, Sep 18
- PACCAR stock heads into the open after a 3.5% dropad-hoc-news.de, Sep 18
- Paccar Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 2, 2026marketscreener.com, Sep 17
- PACCAR Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividendwww.marketscreener.com, Sep 17
- Are Auto-Tires-Trucks Stocks Lagging PACCAR (PCAR) This Year?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 17
PACCAR peers
PACCAR’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CATCaterpillar | Accumulation | 4.8% above |
| DEDeere | Neutral | 23.4% above |
| WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies | Accumulation | 0.4% below |
| CNHCNH Industrial | Neutral | 0.8% above |
| BWABorgWarner | Accumulation | 2.1% above |
| TTCToro | Accumulation | 1.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
PACCAR stock FAQ
What is PACCAR’s market cap?
PACCAR’s market cap is $61.09B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $116.06, with 526.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.9.
What is the PACCAR stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for PACCAR is $144.80, +24.8% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is PACCAR stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate PACCAR is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $116.06 is 6.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $108.81. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does PACCAR report earnings next?
PACCAR is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.61 per share on revenue of $7.53B. PACCAR beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.5% on average across the report.
What is PACCAR’s 52-week high and low?
PACCAR’s 52-week high is $139.24 and its 52-week low is $92.25; it closed at $116.06 on Sep 18, 2026, +15.1% over the past year.
Is PACCAR stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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