NASDAQ: PCAR

PACCAR (PCAR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$106.16+4.13 (+4.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

PACCAR's week is dominated by third-quarter results and a steep share-price slide despite them. The company reported revenue of $7.94 billion, up 19% year over year, and net income of $847.5 million, up 44%, with earnings per share of $1.61 matching estimates; truck deliveries reached 40,100 units with gross margins of 14.5%. PACCAR Parts posted record quarterly revenue of $1.78 billion and Financial Services pretax income rose 9.4% to $138 million. The company also outlined plans for PACCAR Connect, a new fleet telematics system due in early 2027, and declared a $0.35 dividend with an ex-date in mid-November. Even so, the stock fell for seven straight sessions, down 7.5% and losing $4.4 billion in market value to $53.7 billion, a move described as largely company-specific rather than broad market weakness.

PCAR closes at $106.16, up 4% on the day but down 2.9% over one month, 19.6% over three months, and 8.9% over six months, while still up 8.9% over the past year. The close sits below both the 50-day average of $113.23 and the 200-day average of $119.85, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 63.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while the price remains 11.7% above Gekko Fair Value.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 26 January 2027, 82 days out, placing it outside a typical 20-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, Congressional activity shows 1 buy and 0 sells. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.3% gain over five years, rising in 4 of them. Separately, consensus among 9 covering analysts stands at 5 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a target of $127.50.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

PACCAR price vs fair value

$106.16$95.00Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $106.16200-day averageGekko Fair Value $95.00

PACCAR quick facts

Market cap
$55.89B
P/E ratio
19.5
Forward P/E
14
EPS, TTM
$5.28
Revenue, TTM
$29.08B
Profit margin
9.5%
Dividend yield
1.33%
Beta
0.96
Volume
4.87M avg 3.64M
1-year return
+8.9%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
50-day average
$113.23
200-day average
$119.85
Next earnings
Jan 26
Shares outstanding
526.5M
52-week range
$93.86$139.24

PACCAR swing-trade checklist

PACCAR scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $106.16 is below the 50-day ($113.23) and 200-day ($119.85) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.3, Accumulation

    Reading 63.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    11.7% above

    Price is 11.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 82 days

    Next report Jan 26, 2027, 82 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

PACCAR stock chart and price history

PACCAR closed at $106.16 on Nov 4, 2026, +8.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $93.86 to $139.24.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
PACCAR share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$110$120$130$140DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct106.16

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.9%
3 months
−19.6%
6 months
−8.9%
1 year
+8.9%
The full PCAR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PCAR in Gekko

Follow PACCAR through every session

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About PACCAR

PACCAR designs, builds, and distributes commercial trucks spanning light, medium, and heavy-duty classes, selling into markets that include the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and other regions worldwide. It is widely recognized for its truck brands, Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF, which serve both long-haul highway transport and rougher off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods. The company also produces industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic names.

The business runs through three segments. The Truck segment engineers and supplies vehicles sold through a network of independent dealerships. The Parts segment supplies aftermarket components for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment, operating leasing under the PacLease name, provides financing, leasing, and equipment support to dealers and franchisees, along with retail loans and leases to trucking companies of varying sizes, independent owner-operators, and other business customers, as well as inventory financing for dealers.

PACCAR was established in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker PCAR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
Website
paccar.com

PACCAR GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

PACCAR’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 8.7 points over five sessions.

010063.3Accumulation

Down 8.7 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32−0.8%−0.3%−1.6%+0.2%
Accumulation (current zone)238+0.1%0.0%+0.1%+2.1%
Neutral3690.0%+0.1%−0.1%+0.1%
Distribution47+1.3%+1.9%+5.1%−1.0%
Selling11+3.5%+5.4%+10.6%+23.2%

Average PCAR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PCAR price, zone by zone.Track PCAR in Gekko

Is PACCAR stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

PACCAR trades 11.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $95.00, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what PACCAR shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$95.00

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

11.7% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 24.4% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$95$102Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PCAR in Gekko

PACCAR insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PACCAR, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PCAR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PCAR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PCAR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

PACCAR has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$800K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

PACCAR earnings: next date and track record

PACCAR reports on Jan 26, 2027 (82 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.9%Jan ’25−2.0%Apr ’25+8.8%Jul ’25+2.4%Oct ’25+0.8%Jan ’26−7.1%Apr ’26+0.3%Jul ’26−1.9%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
PACCAR reported Q3 revenues of $7.94 billion (19% YoY growth) and net income of $847.5 million (44% YoY growth). PACCAR Parts achieved record quarterly revenues of $1.78 billion, while Financial Services generated $138 million pretax income (+9.4% YoY). Q3 truck deliveries reached 40,100 units with gross margins of 14.5%. PACCAR launched PACCAR Connect, a next-generation fleet telematics and vehicle display platform aimed at creating new revenue streams.
Guidance
Q4 deliveries expected at 41,000-43,000 trucks with gross margins of 14%-15%. US/Canada Class 8 market projected at 240,000-280,000 units in 2027. CapEx guided at $650M-$700M and R&D at $460M-$500M for 2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 27, 2026$1.61
est $1.61
0.0%$7.94B
est $7.48B
+6.1%−1.9%
Jul 28, 2026$1.43
est $1.33
+7.5%$7.00B
est $7.05B
−0.8%+0.3%
Apr 28, 2026$1.15
est $1.17
−1.7%$6.23B
est $6.44B
−3.2%−7.1%
Jan 27, 2026$1.06
est $1.06
0.0%$6.25B
est $6.05B
+3.3%+0.8%
Oct 21, 2025$1.12
est $1.15
−2.6%$6.67B
est $6.01B
+11.1%+2.4%
Jul 22, 2025$1.37
est $1.29
+6.2%$7.51B
est $6.99B
+7.4%+8.8%
Apr 29, 2025$1.46
est $1.58
−7.6%$7.44B
est $7.20B
+3.4%−2.0%
Jan 28, 2025$1.66
est $1.70
−2.4%$7.91B
est $7.59B
+4.2%+0.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

PACCAR stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for PACCAR is $127.50, +20.1% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$127.50consensus 12-month target, +20.1% from the last close
Low $115High $150
Buy5
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4BernsteinBuy, maintained$121+14.0%
Oct 30Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, upgraded$120+13.0%
Oct 29Truist FinancialHold, maintained$124+16.8%
Oct 29Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$125+17.7%
Oct 28J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$132+24.3%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

PACCAR seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, PACCAR averaged +6.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.4%2021+4.3%2022+8.7%2023+11.5%2024+12.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.6%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.8%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.3%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.0%3 of 5

For scale, PCAR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.

PACCAR market cap and key statistics

PACCAR’s market cap is $55.89B, with a P/E ratio of 19.5 and revenue of $29.08B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$55.89B
P/E ratio
19.5
Forward P/E
14
EPS, TTM
$5.28
Gekko Fair Value
$95.00

Trading

Volume
4.87M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.64M
52-week high
$139.24
52-week low
$93.86
Shares outstanding
526.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$29.08B
Profit margin
9.5%
Return on equity
13.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+43.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.96
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
Dividend yield
1.33%

PACCAR stock news this week

Coverage of PACCAR this week reads positive: 8 positive, 8 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

PACCAR peers

PACCAR’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CATCaterpillar−3.0%Buying10.0% below
DEDeere+0.2%Neutral19.9% above
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies+0.1%Neutral4.5% above
CNHCNH Industrial−1.4%Neutral17.5% below
TTCToro−1.1%Distribution10.4% above
BWABorgWarner−4.2%Buying24.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery

PACCAR stock FAQ

What is PACCAR’s market cap?

PACCAR’s market cap is $55.89B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $106.16, with 526.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.5.

What is the PACCAR stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for PACCAR is $127.50, +20.1% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is PACCAR stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate PACCAR is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $106.16 is 11.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $95.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does PACCAR report earnings next?

PACCAR is expected to report on Jan 26, 2027 (82 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.69 per share on revenue of $7.79B. PACCAR beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 3% on average across the report.

What is PACCAR’s 52-week high and low?

PACCAR’s 52-week high is $139.24 and its 52-week low is $93.86; it closed at $106.16 on Nov 4, 2026, +8.9% over the past year.

Is PACCAR stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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