Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CNH in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CNH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CNH in Gekko
NYSE: CNH
CNH Industrial (CNH) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$13.26+0.17 (+1.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryCNH Industrial's shares have drawn mixed commentary this week, with several notes pointing to weakening global equipment demand, thin net margins and heavy leverage even as gross and EBIT margins hold up. Valuation views diverge sharply: one service pegs the stock as 31.5% overvalued against a GF Value of $10.10, while Bernstein holds a "Hold" rating with a $9.00 target versus a broader consensus target near $13.44. Separately, CNH Industrial priced C$550 million of privately placed notes, split between notes due 2028 and 2030, alongside its Capital Canada subsidiary's debt offering, adding to the debt-focused backdrop traders are weighing.
CNH closed at $13.26, up 1.3%, sitting above both its 50-day ($11.91) and 200-day ($11.05) averages, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 55.8, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits close to Gekko Fair Value of $13.55, a gap of -2.1%.
Earnings are scheduled for 9 November 2026, 41 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality data covering five years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 1.8% gain from this point in the calendar, higher in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage across 13 firms shows 8 buy, 4 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $13.94, implying 5.1% upside.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
CNH Industrial price vs fair value
Close $13.26200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.55
CNH Industrial quick facts
- Market cap
- $16.44B
- P/E ratio
- 52.4
- Forward P/E
- 15.5
- EPS, TTM
- $0.25
- Revenue, TTM
- $18.19B
- Profit margin
- 1.7%
- Dividend yield
- 0.75%
- Beta
- 1.24
- Volume
- 11.05M avg 25.23M
- 1-year return
- +22.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.1%
- 50-day average
- $11.91
- 200-day average
- $11.05
- Next earnings
- Nov 9
- Shares outstanding
- 1.24B
CNH Industrial swing-trade checklist
CNH Industrial scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $13.26 is above the 50-day ($11.91) and 200-day ($11.05) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
55.8, Neutral
Reading 55.8 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
2.1% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.1% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 41 days
Next report Nov 9, 2026, 41 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+1.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
CNH Industrial stock chart and price history
CNH Industrial closed at $13.26 on Sep 28, 2026, +22.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.00 to $14.46.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +16.0%
- 3 months
- +16.4%
- 6 months
- +23.7%
- 1 year
- +22.8%
The full CNH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CNH in Gekko
Follow CNH Industrial through every session
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About CNH Industrial
CNH Industrial makes heavy-duty machinery for farming and construction work, supplying equipment built for demanding, large-scale use. Among its brands, Case IH stands out as a long-established name that has served farmers across generations, contributing to the company's recognition in agricultural equipment.
The company reaches customers through an extensive network of more than 3,600 dealer and distribution outlets worldwide, putting its machinery within reach of buyers across many regions. Alongside manufacturing, CNH Industrial runs a financial services arm that supports this network, extending retail financing to end-customers who purchase equipment and providing wholesale funding to the dealers that make up its distribution base.
Shares of CNH Industrial trade on the NYSE under the ticker CNH.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Producer manufacturing
- Industry
- Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
- Website
- cnh.com
CNH Industrial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
CNH Industrial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.8, in the Neutral zone, up 3.3 points over five sessions.
55.8Neutral
Up 3.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 35 | +2.1% | −2.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 245 | +0.4% | +1.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 340 | 0.0% | +1.0% | ||
| Distribution | 48 | 0.0% | −4.0% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CNH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CNH price, zone by zone.Track CNH in Gekko
Is CNH Industrial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
CNH Industrial trades 2.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.55, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what CNH Industrial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$13.55
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
2.1% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CNH in Gekko
CNH Industrial insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CNH Industrial, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CNH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CNH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CNH in Gekko
Buybacks
CNH Industrial has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $36.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.22%
- Trailing four quarters
- $162.0M
From company filings.
CNH Industrial earnings: next date and track record
CNH Industrial reports on Nov 9, 2026 (41 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 9, 2026
41 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.10
- Revenue estimate
- $4.52B
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- CNH reported Q1 2026 results in line with guidance amid a weak ag industry cycle and notable regional headwinds. Management emphasized disciplined production to reduce dealer channel inventories by ~$500M, focus on presold/fast-moving orders, and continued investment in product and tech (including software and digital machine hardware). Agriculture net sales grew 1% to ~$2.6B (benefitting from currency and pricing in some regions) but Ag adjusted EBIT margin fell to 1% from 5.4% due to mix, tariffs, and higher R&D/SG&A. Construction sales fell 3% to $574M with Q1 adjusted EBIT margin negative 4.9% largely driven by tariffs and a supplier quality issue that will be made up in Q2. Financial Services net income declined (higher risk costs in Brazil) with managed portfolio at $28B and retail originations of $2.2B; delinquencies are elevated in Latin America. Management maintained full-year guidance, reiterated that Q1 is seasonally the weakest quarter, and communicated expectations for positive net price-cost in Ag through the rest of the year while Construction remains net negative for price-cost for the full year but expected to be above breakeven in Q2. Key risks discussed include tariff impacts (Section 232 and potential Section 301 actions), elevated transportation costs related to the Middle East conflict (potential ~$70M impact if persistent), and ongoing macro/credit stress in Brazil/Argentina. Management conveyed disciplined, measured confidence: acknowledging operational and margin pressure while pointing to product momentum, pricing power in Ag, inventory discipline, and strategic actions (e.g., minority stake in Abilene Machine and progress in India) to position for recovery in 2027.
- Guidance
- Company maintained full-year guidance; Q1 noted as seasonally lowest quarter. Specific forward-looking items: Q2 fully booked into Q3 (with disciplined order loading); Ag expected to have positive net price-cost each quarter for the rest of the year; Construction expected to be net negative on price-cost for full year but above breakeven in Q2; target to reduce dealer channel inventory by ~$500M by year-end; underproduction vs retail ~4% in 2026 (implying potential tailwind if production returns to retail levels).
- Risks flagged
- Tariff impacts (Section 232 and uncertainties around Section 301 investigations), elevated transportation/logistics costs from the Middle East conflict (potential ~$70M run-rate if persistent), ongoing macroeconomic and credit stress in Brazil and Argentina leading to higher delinquencies and tightened underwriting, supplier quality issues (recently resolved for a construction supplier), and broad macro/commodity-price dependence affecting replacement demand.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.01 est $0.07 | $3.83B est $3.80B | +4.0% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $0.19 est $0.11 | $5.16B est $4.96B | −0.6% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | $0.08 est $0.13 | $4.40B est $4.26B | −6.1% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | $0.17 est $0.16 | $4.71B est $4.22B | −3.3% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.10 est $0.09 | $3.83B est $3.75B | +7.2% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $0.14 est $0.17 | $4.88B est $3.76B | +0.1% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.24 est $0.28 | $4.65B est $4.96B | −7.9% |
| Jul 31, 2024 | $0.38 est $0.37 | $5.49B est $4.58B | −0.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
CNH Industrial stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for CNH Industrial is $13.94, +5.1% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$13.94consensus 12-month target, +5.1% from the last close
Now $13.26Avg $13.94
Low $9High $18
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Bank of America Securities | $14 | +5.6% |
| Sep 21 | Bernstein | $9 | −32.1% |
| Sep 11 | Northland Securities | $16 | +20.7% |
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $11 | −17.0% |
| Sep 2 | Evercore ISI | $18 | +35.7% |
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
CNH Industrial seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, CNH Industrial averaged +1.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, CNH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.1%.
CNH Industrial market cap and key statistics
CNH Industrial’s market cap is $16.44B, with a P/E ratio of 52.4 and revenue of $18.19B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $16.44B
- P/E ratio
- 52.4
- Forward P/E
- 15.5
- EPS, TTM
- $0.25
- Gekko Fair Value
- $13.55
Trading
- Volume
- 11.05M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 25.23M
- 52-week high
- $14.46
- 52-week low
- $9.00
- Shares outstanding
- 1.24B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $18.19B
- Profit margin
- 1.7%
- Return on equity
- 3.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −35.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.24
- Typical daily move
- ±3.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.1%
- Dividend yield
- 0.75%
CNH Industrial stock news this week
Coverage of CNH Industrial this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 4 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- CNH Industrial (NYSE:CNH) Stock PriceSimply Wall Street, Sep 25
- CNH Stock Drifts Lower As Traders Weigh Debt And MarginsStocksToTrade, Sep 25
- CNH Industrial NV (CNH) Shares Fall 3.4% -- GF Value Says Still OvervaluedGuruFocus, Sep 25
- CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 25
- CNH Industrial stock holds near analyst value after debt pricingAD HOC NEWS, Sep 23
- CNH Industrial Prices C$550 Million of Privately Placed Notesmarketscreener.com, Sep 22
CNH Industrial peers
CNH Industrial’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CATCaterpillar | Neutral | 6.4% above |
| DEDeere | Neutral | 22.4% above |
| PCARPACCAR | Buying | 3.4% above |
| WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies | Neutral | 5.6% above |
| BWABorgWarner | Accumulation | 0.6% below |
| TTCToro | Neutral | 3.4% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
CNH Industrial stock FAQ
What is CNH Industrial’s market cap?
CNH Industrial’s market cap is $16.44B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.26, with 1.24B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 52.4.
What is the CNH Industrial stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for CNH Industrial is $13.94, +5.1% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is CNH Industrial stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate CNH Industrial is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.26 is 2.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.55. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does CNH Industrial report earnings next?
CNH Industrial is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026 (41 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.10 per share on revenue of $4.52B. CNH Industrial beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.8% on average across the report.
What is CNH Industrial’s 52-week high and low?
CNH Industrial’s 52-week high is $14.46 and its 52-week low is $9.00; it closed at $13.26 on Sep 28, 2026, +22.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $19.69 on Dec 27, 2021.
Is CNH Industrial stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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