NYSE: DE

Deere (DE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$676.50+10.67 (+1.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

This week brings restructuring news out of Deere, with plans to close two Iowa plants, Ottumwa and Clarion, as windrower, round baler and Hagie sprayer production shift to Des Moines and Thibodaux by fiscal years 2027 through 2029. Alongside this, the company is recalling over 275 workers and adding roughly 400 new hires across Iowa, Illinois and Kansas, bringing total callbacks since 2024 to about 1,000 employees, even as the broader farm machinery market remains described as weak.

DE closed at $676.50, up 1.6%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $665.46 and its 200-day average of $607.18, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 52, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -9.3. Price stands 19.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $564.36.

Earnings are scheduled for 25 November, 20 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior report showed an 11.5% reaction with EPS of $5.10 against an estimate of $4.79, part of a run of 8 beats in 8 quarters, and average absolute reactions of 7.3%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, though one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +4.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus among 17 firms shows 11 buy and 6 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $694.01.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Deere price vs fair value

$676.50$564.36Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $676.50200-day averageGekko Fair Value $564.36

Deere quick facts

Market cap
$182.4B
P/E ratio
37.1
Forward P/E
28.9
EPS, TTM
$17.99
Revenue, TTM
$47.93B
Profit margin
10.2%
Dividend yield
0.96%
Beta
0.90
Volume
1.25M avg 1.11M
1-year return
+46.4%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
50-day average
$665.46
200-day average
$607.18
Next earnings
Nov 25
Shares outstanding
269.6M
52-week range
$455.91$721.22

Deere swing-trade checklist

Deere scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $676.50 is above the 50-day ($665.46) and 200-day ($607.18) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52, Neutral

    Reading 52 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    19.9% above

    Price is 19.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 20 days

    Reports on Nov 25, 2026, 20 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Deere stock chart and price history

Deere closed at $676.50 on Nov 4, 2026, +46.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $455.91 to $721.22.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Deere share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$450$500$550$600$650$700DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct676.50

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.9%
3 months
+10.0%
6 months
+14.3%
1 year
+46.4%
The full DE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DE in Gekko

Follow Deere through every session

Put DE on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Deere

Deere makes and sells heavy equipment used in farming, lawn and turf care, and construction or logging work. It is widely recognized for its tractors and harvesting machines, though its product lines stretch across tillage, seeding, spraying, mowing, earthmoving, roadbuilding and forestry equipment as well.

The business is split into four segments. One covers large-scale and precision farming gear such as tractors, combines and soil preparation tools for grain growers. Another handles smaller agricultural and turf needs, selling utility tractors, mowers, golf course equipment and outdoor power tools to dairy and livestock farmers, crop producers, and general turf or utility customers, and it also resells equipment made by other manufacturers. A third segment supplies construction and forestry machinery, including loaders, excavators, pavers, crushers and log-handling equipment. The fourth, a financial services arm, arranges funding so customers can buy or lease equipment from the other three segments.

Deere shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker DE.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
Website
deere.com

Deere GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Deere’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52, in the Neutral zone, down 9.3 points over five sessions.

010052Neutral

Down 9.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+3.3%+4.0%+8.1%+10.1%
Accumulation203+1.0%+2.5%+3.0%+6.3%
Neutral (current zone)430+0.2%+0.2%+1.4%+4.4%
Distribution42−0.3%−1.2%−3.9%−1.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average DE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DE price, zone by zone.Track DE in Gekko

Is Deere stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Deere trades 19.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $564.36, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Deere shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$564.36

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

19.9% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 40.3% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$564$666Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DE in Gekko

Deere insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Deere, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DE in Gekko

Buybacks

Deere has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 2, 2026
$197.0M
As a share of market cap
0.11%
Trailing four quarters
$699.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds DE.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Deere earnings: next date and track record

Deere reports on Nov 25, 2026 (20 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+10.3%Nov ’24+0.8%Feb ’25+6.8%May ’25−4.8%Aug ’25−6.8%Nov ’25+11.7%Feb ’26−5.6%May ’26+11.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Deere reported Q3 net sales of $12.608B (up 5% YoY) with equipment operations net sales of $10.999B (up 6%) and net income of $1.379B or $5.10 per diluted share. Equipment operations achieved 14.4% operating margin. Small ag and turf segment outperformed with 18.4% operating margin and 12% sales growth, while production and precision ag saw 6% sales decline with 13.2% margin. Inventory health improvements and cost discipline were highlighted.
Guidance
US/Canada large ag equipment industry expected to decline 15-20% in fiscal 2026. Small ag and turf industry projected flat to up 5%. European industry sales expected approximately flat, while South America faces pressure from elevated costs and higher interest rates.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 20, 2026$5.10
est $4.79
+6.5%$12.61B
est $10.81B
+16.6%+11.5%
May 21, 2026$6.55
est $5.74
+14.1%$11.78B
est $11.55B
+2.0%−5.6%
Feb 19, 2026$2.42
est $2.06
+17.5%$8.00B
est $7.59B
+5.4%+11.7%
Nov 26, 2025$3.93
est $3.84
+2.3%$12.09B
est $9.83B
+23.0%−6.8%
Aug 14, 2025$4.75
est $4.57
+3.9%$11.78B
est $10.35B
+13.8%−4.8%
May 15, 2025$6.64
est $5.56
+19.4%$12.53B
est $10.79B
+16.1%+6.8%
Feb 13, 2025$3.19
est $3.11
+2.6%$8.26B
est $7.70B
+7.3%+0.8%
Nov 21, 2024$4.55
est $3.89
+17.0%$10.83B
est $9.20B
+17.7%+10.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Deere stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Deere is $694.01, +2.6% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$694.01consensus 12-month target, +2.6% from the last close
Low $500High $813
Buy11
Hold6
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4BernsteinHold, maintained$580−14.3%
Oct 26BernsteinHold, maintained$580−14.3%
Oct 22OppenheimerBuy, maintained$685+1.3%
Oct 12CitiHold, maintained$650−3.9%
Oct 9J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$625−7.6%
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Deere seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Deere averaged +4.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.5%2021+10.6%2022−4.5%2023+14.3%2024+2.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.8%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.3%4 of 5

For scale, DE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.6%.

Deere market cap and key statistics

Deere’s market cap is $182.4B, with a P/E ratio of 37.1 and revenue of $47.93B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$182.4B
P/E ratio
37.1
Forward P/E
28.9
EPS, TTM
$17.99
Gekko Fair Value
$564.36

Trading

Volume
1.25M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.11M
52-week high
$721.22
52-week low
$455.91
Shares outstanding
269.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$47.93B
Profit margin
10.2%
Return on equity
18.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+7.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.90
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
Dividend yield
0.96%

Deere stock news this week

Coverage of Deere this week reads neutral: 7 positive, 8 neutral and 5 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Deere peers

Deere’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CATCaterpillar−3.0%Buying10.0% below
PCARPACCAR+2.5%Accumulation11.7% above
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies+0.1%Neutral4.5% above
CNHCNH Industrial−1.4%Neutral17.5% below
TTCToro−1.1%Distribution10.4% above
BWABorgWarner−4.2%Buying24.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery

Deere stock FAQ

What is Deere’s market cap?

Deere’s market cap is $182.4B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $676.50, with 269.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 37.1.

What is the Deere stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Deere is $694.01, +2.6% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Deere stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Deere is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $676.50 is 19.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $564.36. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Deere report earnings next?

Deere is expected to report on Nov 25, 2026 (20 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.07 per share on revenue of $10.42B. Deere beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.3% on average across the report.

What is Deere’s 52-week high and low?

Deere’s 52-week high is $721.22 and its 52-week low is $455.91; it closed at $676.50 on Nov 4, 2026, +46.4% over the past year.

Is Deere stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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