NYSE: PLOW

Douglas Dynamics (PLOW) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$39.33+0.14 (+0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Douglas Dynamics heads toward its Q3 2026 earnings report on 2 November, with recent coverage still centered on its Q2 2026 results. The company posted adjusted EPS of $1.22, beating the consensus estimate of $0.93, while revenue of $214.65 million rose year-over-year but fell slightly short of analyst estimates.

The stock closed at $39.33, up 0.4%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $41.12 and 200-day average of $42.69, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 64.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 21.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $50.2, a gap of more than 5%. Over the past year the stock has returned 29.8%, though the three- and six-month returns are negative at -9.6% and -15.8%.

The next earnings date falls on 2 November, 21 days away, placing the report inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS beat of $0.62 versus $0.56 with a 3.7% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, and one trailblazer holder is listed. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7% gain over five years, rising in three of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming report.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Douglas Dynamics price vs fair value

$50.20$39.33Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $39.33200-day averageGekko Fair Value $50.20

Douglas Dynamics quick facts

Market cap
$909.5M
P/E ratio
17.9
Forward P/E
13.3
EPS, TTM
$2.20
Revenue, TTM
$699.1M
Profit margin
7.5%
Dividend yield
2.97%
Beta
1.20
Volume
110,934 avg 173,992
1-year return
+29.8%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
50-day average
$41.12
200-day average
$42.69
Next earnings
Nov 2
Shares outstanding
23.08M
52-week range
$28.52$55.00

Douglas Dynamics swing-trade checklist

Douglas Dynamics scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $39.33 is below the 50-day ($41.12) and 200-day ($42.69) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.6, Accumulation

    Reading 64.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    21.7% below

    Price is 21.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Douglas Dynamics stock chart and price history

Douglas Dynamics closed at $39.33 on Oct 12, 2026, +29.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $28.52 to $55.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Douglas Dynamics share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35$45$50$55NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct39.33

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.3%
3 months
−9.6%
6 months
−15.8%
1 year
+29.8%
The full PLOW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PLOW in Gekko

Follow Douglas Dynamics through every session

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About Douglas Dynamics

Douglas Dynamics makes and customizes equipment that turns commercial trucks into tools for snow and ice control and other work applications. It is best known for plows, spreaders, and related attachments used on light and heavy-duty trucks, sold under names such as BLIZZARD, FISHER, SNOWEX, WESTERN, TURFEX, and SWEEPEX. These products serve professional contractors who handle snow removal for commercial and residential properties.

The business runs through two segments. Work Truck Attachments covers the design and sale of snow and ice equipment and parts. Work Truck Solutions handles truck and vehicle upfitting, fitting chassis with specialized bodies, racking, and storage systems, along with cable pulling equipment and storage products for trucks and vans under brands including HENDERSON, BRINEXTREME, and DEJANA. This segment also builds turnkey packages for public agencies such as Departments of Transportation and municipal governments, supplying equipment for municipal snow and ice work.

Douglas Dynamics was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker PLOW.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery
Website
douglasdynamics.com

Douglas Dynamics GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Douglas Dynamics’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 7.2 points over five sessions.

010064.6Accumulation

Up 7.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying16+4.8%+5.2%+10.8%+10.8%
Accumulation (current zone)238+0.5%+0.9%+3.0%+4.9%
Neutral352+0.5%+1.2%+1.0%+5.2%
Distribution64−0.1%−1.1%+0.5%+3.7%
Selling12−5.9%−10.3%−10.1%−12.2%

Average PLOW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PLOW price, zone by zone.Track PLOW in Gekko

Is Douglas Dynamics stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Douglas Dynamics trades 21.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.20, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Douglas Dynamics shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$50.20

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

21.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 21.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$50$39Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PLOW in Gekko

Douglas Dynamics insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Douglas Dynamics, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PLOW in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PLOW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PLOW in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PLOW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PLOW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PLOW in Gekko

Buybacks

Douglas Dynamics has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$3.00M
As a share of market cap
0.33%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds PLOW.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Douglas Dynamics earnings: next date and track record

Douglas Dynamics reports on Nov 2, 2026 (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.2%Apr ’24+17.1%Jul ’24−10.5%Oct ’24−0.4%Jan ’25+0.7%Apr ’25−1.7%Jul ’25−1.9%Nov ’25+3.7%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Douglas Dynamics reported strong Q4 2025 results with growth in both Work Truck Attachments and Work Truck Solutions segments. Adjusted EPS increased significantly from $1.00 in 2023 to $1.47 in 2024 to $2.24 in 2025. The company raised guidance twice during 2025 and still finished at the high end of the range. Record parts and accessories sales were driven by early winter storms and above-average snowfall.
Guidance
Management expects to build on 2025 momentum with continued growth in both segments for 2026, supported by above-average snowfall this winter season.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 23, 2026$0.62
est $0.56
+10.7%$184.5M
est $169.9M
+8.6%+3.7%
Nov 3, 2025$0.40
est $0.36
+11.1%$162.1M
est $170.0M
−4.6%−1.9%
Jul 28, 2025$1.14
est $1.00
+14.0%$194.3M
est $157.2M
+23.6%−1.7%
Apr 28, 2025$0.09
est $0.00
+1,900.0%$115.1M
est $194.3M
−40.8%+0.7%
Jan 28, 2025$0.39
est $0.31
+25.8%——−0.4%
Oct 28, 2024$0.24
est $0.21
+14.3%$129.4M
est $141.2M
−8.4%−10.5%
Jul 29, 2024$1.11
est $0.66
+68.2%$199.9M
est $141.2M
+41.6%+17.1%
Apr 29, 2024−$0.29
est −$0.30
+3.3%$95.66M
est $184.0M
−48.0%+1.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Douglas Dynamics stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Douglas Dynamics is $54.00, +37.3% from the last close.

$54.00consensus 12-month target, +37.3% from the last close
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Douglas Dynamics seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Douglas Dynamics averaged +7.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+17.3%2021+31.8%2022−15.6%2023−1.7%2024+3.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.9%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.4%3 of 5

For scale, PLOW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.

Douglas Dynamics market cap and key statistics

Douglas Dynamics’s market cap is $909.5M, with a P/E ratio of 17.9 and revenue of $699.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$909.5M
P/E ratio
17.9
Forward P/E
13.3
EPS, TTM
$2.20
Gekko Fair Value
$50.20

Trading

Volume
110,934
Avg volume, 20 days
173,992
52-week high
$55.00
52-week low
$28.52
Shares outstanding
23.08M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$699.1M
Profit margin
7.5%
Return on equity
18.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−1.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.20
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
Dividend yield
2.97%

Douglas Dynamics stock news this week

Coverage of Douglas Dynamics this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Douglas Dynamics peers

Douglas Dynamics’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CATCaterpillar+0.1%Accumulation4.8% above
DEDeere+2.0%Accumulation14.1% above
PCARPACCAR−0.1%Accumulation3.2% above
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies+0.2%Neutral2.9% above
CNHCNH Industrial+2.4%Accumulation17.0% below
BWABorgWarner−1.9%Accumulation9.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Douglas Dynamics stock FAQ

What is Douglas Dynamics’s market cap?

Douglas Dynamics’s market cap is $909.5M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $39.33, with 23.08M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.9.

What is the Douglas Dynamics stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Douglas Dynamics is $54.00, +37.3% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Douglas Dynamics stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Douglas Dynamics is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $39.33 is 21.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Douglas Dynamics report earnings next?

Douglas Dynamics is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026 (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.92 per share on revenue of $218.6M. Douglas Dynamics beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is Douglas Dynamics’s 52-week high and low?

Douglas Dynamics’s 52-week high is $55.00 and its 52-week low is $28.52; it closed at $39.33 on Oct 12, 2026, +29.8% over the past year.

Is Douglas Dynamics stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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