Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TRN in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TRN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRN in Gekko
NYSE: TRN
Trinity Industries (TRN) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$25.95+0.43 (+1.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's news centers on Trinity Industries facing an antidumping and countervailing duty petition filed by UTLX Manufacturing, a Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary, targeting railway tank car imports from Mexico, a matter the company says it will vigorously defend against, noting it has produced over 73,000 tank cars in the U.S. Separately, Trinity's CFO Eric Marchetto flagged uncertainty in the North American railcar market, where the fleet is shrinking even as carloads rise, with new production falling short of retirements. The stock also appeared in a comparative industrials piece against Daimler Truck, and the company confirmed its third-quarter earnings release date.
Shares closed at $25.95, up 1.7% on the day, but remain below both the 50-day average of $28.39 and the 200-day average of $31.54, with the 50-day beneath the 200-day. Trailing returns show declines of 8.9% over one month, 28.4% over three months, and 25.8% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 67.9, placing TRN in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 14.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.30.
Trinity reports third-quarter results on 29 October, 17 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior release in July produced a 14.9% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7.4% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 2 firms stands at hold, with a $33 target.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Trinity Industries price vs fair value
Close $25.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $30.30
Trinity Industries quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.07B
- P/E ratio
- 6
- Forward P/E
- 20.1
- EPS, TTM
- $4.26
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.04B
- Profit margin
- 16.6%
- Dividend yield
- 4.85%
- Beta
- 1.36
- Volume
- 762,983 avg 766,752
- 1-year return
- −6.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.1%
- 50-day average
- $28.39
- 200-day average
- $31.54
- Next earnings
- Oct 29 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 79.67M
Trinity Industries swing-trade checklist
Trinity Industries scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $25.95 is below the 50-day ($28.39) and 200-day ($31.54) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
67.9, Accumulation
Reading 67.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
14.4% below
Price is 14.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 17 days
Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+7.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Trinity Industries stock chart and price history
Trinity Industries closed at $25.95 on Oct 12, 2026, −6.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.76 to $38.31.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.9%
- 3 months
- −28.4%
- 6 months
- −25.8%
- 1 year
- −6.7%
The full TRN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TRN in Gekko
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Trinity Industries GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Trinity Industries’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.9, in the Accumulation zone, down 1.8 points over five sessions.
67.9Accumulation
Down 1.8 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 49 | +0.3% | +1.6% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 177 | +0.9% | +2.5% | ||
| Neutral | 421 | −0.2% | +0.2% | ||
| Distribution | 30 | +0.7% | −5.7% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TRN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TRN price, zone by zone.Track TRN in Gekko
Is Trinity Industries stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Trinity Industries trades 14.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.30, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Trinity Industries shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$30.30
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
14.4% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 14.5% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TRN in Gekko
Trinity Industries insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Trinity Industries, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TRN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TRN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRN in Gekko
Buybacks
Trinity Industries has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $22.20M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.07%
- Trailing four quarters
- $62.40M
From company filings.
Trinity Industries earnings: next date and track record
Trinity Industries reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
Expected before the open, 17 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.27
- Revenue estimate
- $540.4M
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.7%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Trinity Industries Q2 2026 EPS from continuing operations was $1.25, boosted by a $132M pretax gain from the Napier Park partnership transaction. Rail Products underperformed at 1.3% operating margin due to specific transitional headwinds quantified at 270 basis points, while leasing held strong at 97.3% fleet utilization with lease rates rising. LTM adjusted ROE expanded to 32.4%. Rail Products backlog stands at $1.6B with book-to-bill just below 1x.
- Guidance
- Management enters H2 2026 with growing confidence, citing 6 consecutive months of positive PMI, improving carload growth, and inquiry levels signaling cycle inflection. No specific EPS or revenue targets provided, but forward lease rate differential of positive 3.5% suggests continued lease rate growth.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $1.25 est $1.34 | $485.1M est $474.8M | −14.9% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.32 est $0.28 | $492.0M est $538.9M | +17.8% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $2.31 est $2.30 | $611.2M est $570.5M | +10.7% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $0.38 est $1.51 | $454.1M est $539.0M | −1.7% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.19 est $0.39 | $506.2M est $556.3M | −3.3% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.29 est $0.33 | $585.4M est $628.1M | −0.4% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $0.39 est $0.38 | $629.4M est $676.9M | −11.7% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $0.37 est $0.38 | $798.8M est $586.2M | −8.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Trinity Industries stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Trinity Industries is $33.00, +27.2% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$33.00consensus 12-month target, +27.2% from the last close
Now $25.95Avg $33.00
Low $12.55High $34
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | Goldman Sachs | $34 | +31.0% |
| Aug 3 | Jefferies | $12.55 | −51.6% |
| Jul 30 | Goldman Sachs | $34 | +31.0% |
| Jul 22 | Goldman Sachs | $35 | +34.9% |
+2.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Trinity Industries seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Trinity Industries averaged +7.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +7.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +8.4% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, TRN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.1%.
Trinity Industries market cap and key statistics
Trinity Industries’s market cap is $2.07B, with a P/E ratio of 6 and revenue of $2.04B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.07B
- P/E ratio
- 6
- Forward P/E
- 20.1
- EPS, TTM
- $4.26
- Gekko Fair Value
- $30.30
Trading
- Volume
- 762,983
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 766,752
- 52-week high
- $38.31
- 52-week low
- $24.76
- Shares outstanding
- 79.67M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.04B
- Profit margin
- 16.6%
- Return on equity
- 30.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +620.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.36
- Typical daily move
- ±3.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.1%
- Dividend yield
- 4.85%
Trinity Industries stock news this week
Coverage of Trinity Industries this week reads negative: 0 positive, 2 neutral and 5 negative headlines.
- Critical Analysis: Daimler Truck (OTCMKTS:DTRUY) versus Trinity Industries (NYSE:TRN)Defense World, Oct 12
- Trinity Industries, Inc. Announces Date for Earnings ReleaseFinancialContent, Oct 8
- Trinity Industries stock faces an antidumping petition and falls 3.20 percentAD HOC NEWS, Oct 8
- Railcar Market Faces Uncertainty: Fleet Shrinks as Carloads Rise | Trinity Industries CFO Warns - News and StatisticsIndexBox, Oct 7
- Trinity Industries to defend against trade petition on Mexican railcar importsInvesting.com India, Oct 6
- Trinity Industries Statement on Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Petition Filed Against Railway Tank Car Imports from MexicoStock Titan, Oct 6
Trinity Industries peers
Trinity Industries’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CATCaterpillar | Accumulation | 4.8% above |
| DEDeere | Accumulation | 14.1% above |
| PCARPACCAR | Accumulation | 3.2% above |
| WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies | Neutral | 2.9% above |
| CNHCNH Industrial | Accumulation | 17.0% below |
| BWABorgWarner | Accumulation | 9.2% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Trinity Industries stock FAQ
What is Trinity Industries’s market cap?
Trinity Industries’s market cap is $2.07B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $25.95, with 79.67M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 6.
What is the Trinity Industries stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Trinity Industries is $33.00, +27.2% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Trinity Industries stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Trinity Industries is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $25.95 is 14.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.30. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Trinity Industries report earnings next?
Trinity Industries is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.27 per share on revenue of $540.4M. Trinity Industries beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.7% on average across the report.
What is Trinity Industries’s 52-week high and low?
Trinity Industries’s 52-week high is $38.31 and its 52-week low is $24.76; it closed at $25.95 on Oct 12, 2026, −6.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $39.83 on Jan 23, 2025.
Is Trinity Industries stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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