NYSE: BKV

BKV (BKV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$24.05−0.19 (−0.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

BKV rose 12.4% this week after news of a 1,200 megawatt natural gas-fired power generation deal for a Texas project backed by a hyperscaler, building on an earlier $800 million power equipment supply contract with $80 million in reservation fees already credited. The move follows BKV's Q2 2026 results, in which the company reported $0.46 per share against a $0.25 estimate and revenue of $465.54 million, its strongest quarter since going public, with record adjusted EBITDAX and net income. Roth MKM reiterated a Buy rating with a $28 target, and Jefferies maintained a Buy rating with a $33 target.

BKV closes at $24.05, down 0.8%, below both its 50-day average of $24.13 and its 200-day average of $26.91, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 54.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $24.09, putting price 0.2% below that level.

BKV's next earnings report is set for 9 November 2026, 28 days away, inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent window, though one billionaire holder is recorded. All 8 covering firms rate the stock Buy, with a consensus target of $34 and consensus upside of 41.4%. Worth noting is that BKV's average reaction to earnings has run 6.9%, with the last report drawing a 6.3% move.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

BKV price vs fair value

$24.09$24.05Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $24.05200-day averageGekko Fair Value $24.09

BKV quick facts

Market cap
$2.63B
P/E ratio
7.9
Forward P/E
15.8
EPS, TTM
$3.00
Revenue, TTM
$1.05B
Profit margin
25.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.12
Volume
1.20M avg 1.65M
1-year return
+8.0%
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±8.1%
50-day average
$24.13
200-day average
$26.91
Next earnings
Nov 9
Shares outstanding
109.4M
52-week range
$20.08$32.81

BKV swing-trade checklist

BKV scores 0 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

0 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $24.05 is below the 50-day ($24.13) and 200-day ($26.91) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54.1, Neutral

    Reading 54.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.2% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.2% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Nov 9, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

BKV stock chart and price history

BKV closed at $24.05 on Oct 12, 2026, +8.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $20.08 to $32.81.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
BKV share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct24.05

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.7%
3 months
−6.0%
6 months
−13.0%
1 year
+8.0%
The full BKV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BKV in Gekko

Follow BKV through every session

Put BKV on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About BKV

BKV operates across the full natural gas and natural gas liquids value chain. Its work includes acquiring, developing, and managing assets that produce these resources, alongside midstream activities such as gathering, processing, and transporting natural gas. The company is recognized for covering this complete range of activities, from production through to the movement of gas to market.

BKV's operations combine upstream production with midstream infrastructure services, allowing it to handle gas from extraction through processing and delivery. BKV Corporation, LLC functions as an affiliate of Banpu North America Corporation.

BKV was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado, with further offices in Tunkhannock, Pennsylvania, and Fort Worth, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BKV.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Integrated oil
Website
bkv.com

BKV GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

BKV’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.1, in the Neutral zone, down 11.9 points over five sessions.

010054.1Neutral

Down 11.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying24+1.9%+7.9%+5.3%+15.6%
Accumulation153+1.8%+2.6%+5.3%+6.0%
Neutral (current zone)292−0.1%−0.2%−0.1%+2.5%
Distribution37−1.7%−2.4%−1.2%−1.1%
Selling0Not available

Average BKV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BKV price, zone by zone.Track BKV in Gekko

Is BKV stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

BKV trades 0.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.09, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what BKV shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$24.09

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

0.2% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$24$24Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BKV in Gekko

BKV insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BKV, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BKV in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BKV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BKV in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BKV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BKV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BKV in Gekko

Buybacks

BKV has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$100.0M, Dec 18, 2025
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$117.2M
As a share of market cap
4.45%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds BKV.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

BKV earnings: next date and track record

BKV reports on Nov 9, 2026 (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.7%Nov ’24−10.8%Feb ’25+13.6%May ’25+8.4%Aug ’25+7.2%Nov ’25+1.0%Feb ’26−6.9%May ’26+6.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BKV reported its strongest financial quarter since going public, achieving record adjusted EBITDAX and record adjusted net income in Q2 2026. Upstream production came in at the high end of guidance with capital at the low end. Two carbon capture projects were commissioned as planned. The company is expanding its power strategy in ERCOT, receiving air permits for up to 400 MW of modular generation at Temple, and announcing a second energy complex development in Jack County.
Guidance
Management reaffirmed confidence in signing a PPA within 2026 to early 2027. Updated 2026 guidance details were referenced in an investor presentation and forthcoming quarterly SEC filing. Power demand growth in ERCOT from AI and data centers supports continued business momentum.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.46
est $0.32
+43.8%$465.5M
est $376.3M
+23.7%+6.3%
May 7, 2026$0.22
est $0.37
−40.5%$432.8M
est $337.6M
+28.2%−6.9%
Feb 25, 2026$0.29
est $0.37
−21.6%$330.1M
est $259.5M
+27.2%+1.0%
Nov 10, 2025$0.50
est $0.22
+127.3%$203.0M
est $230.4M
−11.9%+7.2%
Aug 12, 2025$0.39
est $0.15
+160.0%$204.3M
est $246.0M
−17.0%+8.4%
May 9, 2025$0.41
est $0.15
+173.3%$231.0M
est $224.0M
+3.1%+13.6%
Feb 26, 2025$0.01
est −$0.14
+106.9%$174.3M
est $214.0M
−18.6%−10.8%
Nov 12, 2024−$0.27
est −$0.25
−8.0%$137.8M
est $177.5M
−22.4%−0.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

BKV stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BKV is $34.00, +41.4% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$34.00consensus 12-month target, +41.4% from the last close
Low $28High $36
Buy8
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 7JefferiesBuy, maintained$33+37.2%
Oct 7Roth MKMBuy, maintained$28+16.4%
Oct 6Siebert Williams Shank & CoBuy, maintained$36+49.7%
Sep 24Roth MKMBuy, maintained——
Sep 23Siebert Williams Shank & CoBuy, maintained$36+49.7%
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

BKV market cap and key statistics

BKV’s market cap is $2.63B, with a P/E ratio of 7.9 and revenue of $1.05B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.63B
P/E ratio
7.9
Forward P/E
15.8
EPS, TTM
$3.00
Gekko Fair Value
$24.09

Trading

Volume
1.20M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.65M
52-week high
$32.81
52-week low
$20.08
Shares outstanding
109.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.05B
Profit margin
25.5%
Return on equity
14.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−47.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.12
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±8.1%

BKV stock news this week

Coverage of BKV this week reads positive: 13 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

BKV peers

BKV’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil+0.7%Neutral17.0% above
CVXChevron+0.2%Neutral8.4% above
TTETotalEnergies+0.2%Neutral29.7% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources+0.4%Neutral19.7% below
SUSuncor Energy+0.2%Neutral17.4% below
EOGEOG Resources+0.1%Neutral22.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

BKV stock FAQ

What is BKV’s market cap?

BKV’s market cap is $2.63B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $24.05, with 109.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.9.

What is the BKV stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BKV is $34.00, +41.4% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is BKV stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate BKV is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $24.05 is 0.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.09. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does BKV report earnings next?

BKV is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.48 per share on revenue of $415.9M. BKV beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.9% on average across the report.

What is BKV’s 52-week high and low?

BKV’s 52-week high is $32.81 and its 52-week low is $20.08; it closed at $24.05 on Oct 12, 2026, +8.0% over the past year.

Is BKV stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 0 of the 4 items with data read as supportive, 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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