NYSE: OVV

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) (OVV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$59.53−0.60 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's coverage of Ovintiv centers on comparisons with peer energy names and a recent dividend declaration, alongside a stock price recap. On 21 September, Ovintiv declared a dividend of $0.30 per share, continuing a record of uninterrupted distributions and annual increases dating to 2016. A 25 September update noted a closing price of $60.13, with year-to-date and 1-year returns of 53.43% and 40.79% respectively, said to be outpacing the S&P 500 over those periods.

Shares of OVV closed at $59.53, down 1%, sitting between the 50-day average of $62.80 and the 200-day average of $54.34. The GekkoIndex reads 68, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 2.6 over five days. Price stands 16.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $71.30.

The next earnings date falls on 3 November, 35 days out, following a 23 July report in which cash flow per share and free cash flow beat consensus and net debt fell below $3 billion, the lowest leverage in over a decade. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.6% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) price vs fair value

$71.30$59.53Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $59.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $71.30

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) quick facts

Market cap
$16.47B
P/E ratio
16.7
Forward P/E
9
EPS, TTM
$3.62
Revenue, TTM
$9.52B
Profit margin
9.7%
Dividend yield
2.01%
Beta
0.54
Volume
2.70M avg 3.27M
1-year return
+39.4%
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%
50-day average
$62.80
200-day average
$54.34
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
276.6M
52-week range
$35.47$67.51

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) swing-trade checklist

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $59.53 sits between the 50-day ($62.80) and 200-day ($54.34) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68, Accumulation

    Reading 68 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    16.5% below

    Price is 16.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) stock chart and price history

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) closed at $59.53 on Sep 28, 2026, +39.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $35.47 to $67.51.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ovintiv Inc. (DE) share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep59.53

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.7%
3 months
+11.9%
6 months
−4.1%
1 year
+39.4%
The full OVV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OVV in Gekko

Follow Ovintiv Inc. (DE) through every session

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Ovintiv Inc. (DE) GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ovintiv Inc. (DE)’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.6 points over five sessions.

010068Accumulation

Up 2.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying29+3.6%+5.6%+7.9%+8.8%
Accumulation (current zone)208+0.4%+1.5%+2.6%+3.3%
Neutral382+0.1%+0.1%+0.3%+2.7%
Distribution43+1.4%+1.6%+4.6%+5.3%
Selling10+0.1%+0.7%+7.6%+24.1%

Average OVV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OVV price, zone by zone.Track OVV in Gekko

Is Ovintiv Inc. (DE) stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) trades 16.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $71.30, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ovintiv Inc. (DE) shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$71.30

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

16.5% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OVV in Gekko

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ovintiv Inc. (DE), and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for OVV in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every OVV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OVV in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in OVV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for OVV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OVV in Gekko

Buybacks

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$3.00B, Feb 23, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$345.0M
As a share of market cap
2.10%
Trailing four quarters
$593.1M

From company filings.

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) earnings: next date and track record

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) reports on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.9%Nov ’24+2.1%Feb ’25−1.6%May ’25+5.0%Jul ’25−2.4%Nov ’25−1.0%Feb ’26+0.4%May ’26+4.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ovintiv reported Q2 2026 results with cash flow per share and free cash flow beating consensus by a significant margin. Net debt fell below $3 billion, the lowest leverage in over a decade, with leverage ratio under 1x. Full year oil production guidance was raised ~4% per share with no additional capital. The company returned ~63% of free cash flow via buybacks and dividends, and has generated $1.3 billion in free cash flow year-to-date.
Guidance
OVV targets full year shareholder returns exceeding 60%, with more active buybacks in H2 2026. Oil production guidance raised for full year. Company maintains nearly 15 years of Permian and ~20 years of Montney premium inventory, with ground game bolt-ons expected to sustain inventory depth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 23, 2026$1.74
est $1.91
−8.9%$3.01B
est $2.37B
+27.3%+4.3%
May 11, 2026$2.00
est $1.83
+9.3%$2.53B
est $2.38B
+6.2%+0.4%
Feb 23, 2026$1.39
est $1.01
+37.6%$2.07B
est $1.93B
+7.2%−1.0%
Nov 4, 2025$1.03
est $0.95
+8.6%$2.02B
est $1.98B
+1.9%−2.4%
Jul 24, 2025$1.02
est $1.04
−1.9%$2.32B
est $1.90B
+21.8%+5.0%
May 6, 2025$1.42
est $1.18
+20.3%$2.38B
est $1.99B
+19.4%−1.6%
Feb 26, 2025$1.35
est $1.19
+13.5%$2.19B
est $2.30B
−4.8%+2.1%
Nov 7, 2024$2.44
est $1.58
+54.4%$2.32B
est $2.23B
+4.3%+2.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ovintiv Inc. (DE) is $76.17, +28.0% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$76.17consensus 12-month target, +28.0% from the last close
Low $55High $92
Buy15
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$79+32.7%
Sep 25JefferiesBuy, maintained$80+34.4%
Sep 23Siebert Williams Shank & CoBuy, maintained$82+37.7%
Sep 21William BlairBuy, maintained——
Sep 14UBSBuy, maintained$85+42.8%
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Ovintiv Inc. (DE) averaged +4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+13.1%2021+12.1%2022+0.5%2023+2.2%2024−8.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+7.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+8.5%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.0%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.0%3 of 5

For scale, OVV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.6%.

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) market cap and key statistics

Ovintiv Inc. (DE)’s market cap is $16.47B, with a P/E ratio of 16.7 and revenue of $9.52B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$16.47B
P/E ratio
16.7
Forward P/E
9
EPS, TTM
$3.62
Gekko Fair Value
$71.30

Trading

Volume
2.70M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.27M
52-week high
$67.51
52-week low
$35.47
Shares outstanding
276.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$9.52B
Profit margin
9.7%
Return on equity
8.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+37.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.54
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%
Dividend yield
2.01%

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) stock news this week

3 headlines about Ovintiv Inc. (DE) from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) peers

Ovintiv Inc. (DE)’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil−0.2%Neutral11.4% above
CVXChevron−0.3%Accumulation4.2% above
TTETotalEnergies−1.5%Neutral27.5% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources−1.0%Accumulation23.0% below
SUSuncor Energy−0.5%Neutral19.7% below
EOGEOG Resources−1.2%Accumulation26.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) stock FAQ

What is Ovintiv Inc. (DE)’s market cap?

Ovintiv Inc. (DE)’s market cap is $16.47B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $59.53, with 276.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.7.

What is the Ovintiv Inc. (DE) stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ovintiv Inc. (DE) is $76.17, +28.0% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ovintiv Inc. (DE) stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ovintiv Inc. (DE) is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $59.53 is 16.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $71.30. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ovintiv Inc. (DE) report earnings next?

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.75 per share on revenue of $2.35B. Ovintiv Inc. (DE) beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.5% on average across the report.

What is Ovintiv Inc. (DE)’s 52-week high and low?

Ovintiv Inc. (DE)’s 52-week high is $67.51 and its 52-week low is $35.47; it closed at $59.53 on Sep 28, 2026, +39.4% over the past year.

Is Ovintiv Inc. (DE) stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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