NYSE: PR

Permian Resources (PR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$21.30−0.06 (−0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

A regulatory filing this week disclosed an increase in institutional holdings in Permian Resources, alongside routine stock-profile coverage; no other company-specific news surfaced.

PR closed at $21.30, down 0.3%, sitting below its 50-day average of $22.14 but above its 200-day average of $19.24; the one-month return is -8.1% while the three-month return stands at 15.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 65.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 5.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $20.18.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond the coming 20-trading-day stretch. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 11.4% from this point in the calendar, with gains in 4 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 18 buy ratings, 1 hold and 0 sell across 19 firms, with a consensus target of $27.14 and consensus upside of 27.4%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Permian Resources price vs fair value

$21.30$20.18Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $21.30200-day averageGekko Fair Value $20.18

Permian Resources quick facts

Market cap
$17.83B
P/E ratio
14.1
Forward P/E
10
EPS, TTM
$1.55
Revenue, TTM
$5.74B
Profit margin
21.5%
Dividend yield
2.86%
Beta
0.48
Volume
8.19M avg 10.36M
1-year return
+55.6%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
50-day average
$22.14
200-day average
$19.24
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
837.6M
52-week range
$11.92$24.65

Permian Resources swing-trade checklist

Permian Resources scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $21.30 sits between the 50-day ($22.14) and 200-day ($19.24) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.4, Accumulation

    Reading 65.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    5.6% above

    Price is 5.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +11.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +11.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Permian Resources stock chart and price history

Permian Resources closed at $21.30 on Sep 28, 2026, +55.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.92 to $24.65.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Permian Resources share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep21.30

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.1%
3 months
+15.3%
6 months
−1.6%
1 year
+55.6%
The full PR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PR in Gekko

Follow Permian Resources through every session

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About Permian Resources

Permian Resources works as an independent producer of crude oil and liquids-rich natural gas in the United States. Its operations center on the Delaware Basin, a sub-basin within the larger Permian Basin, where it extracts oil and associated gas reserves. The company has built a reputation around its focus on this specific geological region rather than a broader national footprint.

The bulk of its landholdings sit in Reeves County in West Texas and Lea County in New Mexico. As of the end of 2021, Permian Resources held roughly 73,675 net acres under lease or acquisition, together with 991 net mineral acres, all concentrated in the Delaware Basin. The company generates revenue through the extraction and sale of these hydrocarbon resources from its acreage position.

Permian Resources was incorporated in 2015 and previously operated under the name Centennial Resource Development, Inc., adopting its current name in September 2022. The company is headquartered in Midland, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker PR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Integrated oil
Website
permianres.com

Permian Resources GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Permian Resources’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.6 points over five sessions.

010065.4Accumulation

Up 2.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+5.4%+8.2%+7.1%+14.2%
Accumulation (current zone)215+0.7%+1.4%+2.9%+5.2%
Neutral370+0.1%+0.2%+0.5%+1.8%
Distribution55+0.8%+2.7%+6.2%+7.5%
Selling11+0.2%+0.6%+10.3%+32.9%

Average PR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PR price, zone by zone.Track PR in Gekko

Is Permian Resources stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Permian Resources trades 5.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $20.18, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Permian Resources shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$20.18

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

5.6% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PR in Gekko

Permian Resources insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Permian Resources, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PR in Gekko

Buybacks

Permian Resources has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
$30.35M
As a share of market cap
0.17%

From company filings.

Permian Resources earnings: next date and track record

Permian Resources reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.8%Nov ’24−0.3%Feb ’25+8.7%May ’25−3.4%Aug ’25+3.1%Nov ’25+1.9%Feb ’26−10.4%May ’26−1.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Permian Resources reported a very strong Q2 2026 with record free cash flow of $751 million and free cash flow per share of $0.88. Oil production was ~198,000 bbl/d, up ~3% Q/Q, with the company attributing growth to increased workovers, higher working interest in completed wells (~82% vs. expected 75%), and strong well performance. Management highlighted successful bolt-on and trade transactions (notably a Ward County acquisition ~2,000 net acres and ~5,000 Boe/d for $520 million), a continued high-performing ground-game M&A program, and improved operational efficiencies (water recycling, slim-hole designs, longer laterals including a successful 4-mile lateral). They raised full-year capital spend modestly (~$100 million to a ~$1.95 billion range) to capture accretive working-interest gains and expect this to deliver meaningful production growth in 2026. Gas volumes that were previously curtailed are back online and should contribute to cash flow in H2. The company emphasized disciplined, returns-driven capital allocation (paying down debt to ~0.5x leverage, continuing accretive acquisitions, priority on growing the base dividend), and management repeatedly expressed confidence in execution and the durability of their playbook.
Guidance
Updated production/guidance context: Q1 to Q2 production progression and guidance noted at ~199,000 bbl/d (reflected as guidance after Q1 and current expectations). Full-year 2026 capital guidance increased by about $100 million to roughly $1.95 billion (company describes this level as growth-oriented, driving ~10% production growth year-over-year). Working interest in 2026 TILs increased to >80%. Minimal incremental CapEx (~$25 million) associated with Ward County takeover. No formal 2027 numeric guidance provided; management noted that 2027 plans will depend on returns environment (oil price and service-cost dependent).
Risks flagged
Inflationary pressures (diesel and casing costs) that could pressure well costs; gas price volatility historically (WAHA) and dependency on midstream capacity/transport; competition/pricing risk for larger marketed deals and federal/state lease sales; potential variability in productivity initiatives (e.g., surfactant trial dispersion of results); integration and minimal take-over CapEx for acquisitions; general commodity price and macro volatility.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.69
est $0.56
+23.2%$1.86B
est $1.66B
+12.1%−1.1%
May 6, 2026$0.05
est $0.38
−86.8%$1.39B
est $1.41B
−1.2%−10.4%
Feb 25, 2026$0.37
est $0.28
+31.3%$1.17B
est $1.29B
−9.2%+1.9%
Nov 5, 2025$0.37
est $0.31
+20.2%$1.32B
est $1.32B
−0.1%+3.1%
Aug 6, 2025$0.27
est $0.27
0.0%$1.20B
est $1.23B
−2.4%−3.4%
May 7, 2025$0.42
est $0.42
+1.2%$1.38B
est $1.38B
−0.5%+8.7%
Feb 25, 2025$0.36
est $0.34
+5.5%$1.30B
est $1.30B
−0.6%−0.3%
Nov 6, 2024$0.53
est $0.31
+71.0%$1.22B
est $1.22B
−0.6%+7.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Permian Resources stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Permian Resources is $27.14, +27.4% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$27.14consensus 12-month target, +27.4% from the last close
Low $14High $30
Buy18
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 24RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$27+26.8%
Sep 23Siebert Williams Shank & CoBuy, maintained$30+40.8%
Sep 15UBSBuy, reiterated$29+36.2%
Sep 15KeyBancBuy, maintained$28+31.5%
Sep 14UBSBuy, maintained$29+36.2%
+2.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+11.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Permian Resources seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Permian Resources averaged +11.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+8.8%2021+43.7%2022+4.9%20230.0%2024−3.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+7.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+10.6%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+9.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+11.4%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+13.5%4 of 5

For scale, PR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.8%.

Permian Resources market cap and key statistics

Permian Resources’s market cap is $17.83B, with a P/E ratio of 14.1 and revenue of $5.74B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$17.83B
P/E ratio
14.1
Forward P/E
10
EPS, TTM
$1.55
Gekko Fair Value
$20.18

Trading

Volume
8.19M
Avg volume, 20 days
10.36M
52-week high
$24.65
52-week low
$11.92
Shares outstanding
837.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.74B
Profit margin
21.5%
Return on equity
11.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+232.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.48
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
Dividend yield
2.86%

Permian Resources stock news this week

2 headlines about Permian Resources from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Permian Resources peers

Permian Resources’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil−0.2%Neutral11.4% above
CVXChevron−0.3%Accumulation4.2% above
TTETotalEnergies−1.5%Neutral27.5% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources−1.0%Accumulation23.0% below
SUSuncor Energy−0.5%Neutral19.7% below
EOGEOG Resources−1.2%Accumulation26.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Permian Resources stock FAQ

What is Permian Resources’s market cap?

Permian Resources’s market cap is $17.83B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $21.30, with 837.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.1.

What is the Permian Resources stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Permian Resources is $27.14, +27.4% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 18 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Permian Resources stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Permian Resources is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $21.30 is 5.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $20.18. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Permian Resources report earnings next?

Permian Resources is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.58 per share on revenue of $1.69B. Permian Resources beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.

What is Permian Resources’s 52-week high and low?

Permian Resources’s 52-week high is $24.65 and its 52-week low is $11.92; it closed at $21.30 on Sep 28, 2026, +55.6% over the past year.

Is Permian Resources stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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