Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CCL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CCL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CCL in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeCruise stocks moved higher this week as oil prices fell 4%, a direct tailwind for Carnival, which does not hedge fuel; the stock climbed alongside Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line. Earlier, Norwegian's earnings beat and raised outlook lifted sentiment across the group, with Carnival edging up 2%. This follows Carnival's 29 September report of record Q3 revenues, yields, and net income of approximately $2 billion, exceeding guidance by $100 million, with yields up nearly 2.5% and customer deposits reaching a Q3 record of $7.6 billion, up 7% year-over-year; AI integration and efficiencies added $150 million in improvement.
Carnival closes at $31.32, up 7.3%, trading above both its 50-day average of $25.11 and 200-day average of $27.10. Shorter-term returns show a 17.8% one-month gain and an 8.8% three-month gain, within a 52-week range of $21.45 to $34.03. The GekkoIndex reads 43.2, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, down 6 over the past five sessions. Price sits 10.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $28.4.
The next earnings date falls on 18 December 2026, 43 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report beat estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 6.1%. Options activity shows 1 unusual signal over the past 30 days, with put premium of $732,895 against call premium of $58,203. One billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.4% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Consensus among 21 analysts stands at 17 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a target of $33.49.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Carnival price vs fair value
Close $31.32200-day averageGekko Fair Value $28.40
Carnival quick facts
- Market cap
- $42.11B
- P/E ratio
- 13.2
- Forward P/E
- 10.8
- EPS, TTM
- $2.27
- Revenue, TTM
- $27.59B
- Profit margin
- 11.4%
- Dividend yield
- 1.56%
- Beta
- 2.46
- Volume
- 29.54M avg 20.00M
- 1-year return
- +9.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±11.1%
- 50-day average
- $25.11
- 200-day average
- $27.10
- Next earnings
- Dec 18
- Shares outstanding
- 1.34B
Carnival swing-trade checklist
Carnival scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $31.32 sits between the 50-day ($25.11) and 200-day ($27.10) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
43.2, Distribution
Reading 43.2 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
10.3% above
Price is 10.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 43 days
Next report Dec 18, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+6.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Carnival stock chart and price history
Carnival closed at $31.32 on Nov 4, 2026, +9.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.45 to $34.03.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +17.8%
- 3 months
- +8.8%
- 6 months
- +13.8%
- 1 year
- +9.1%
The full CCL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CCL in Gekko
Follow Carnival through every session
Put CCL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About Carnival
Carnival sells ocean cruise vacations, with ships calling at nearly 700 ports across the globe. The company works through a collection of brands, among them Carnival Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, Holland America Line, P&O Cruises (Australia), Seabourn, Costa Cruises, AIDA Cruises, P&O Cruises (UK), and Cunard, a lineup that has become closely tied to its identity in the cruise business.
Beyond running its ships, the company earns revenue from port operations and other supporting services, and it also owns or manages hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motor coaches. People book trips through travel agents, tour operators, vacation planners, or its own online channels, and the company reaches travelers in the United States, Canada, continental Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and beyond. Across its brands, it operates 87 vessels able to carry 223,000 guests in lower berths.
Carnival traces back to 1972 and is based in Miami, Florida. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker CCL.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
- Website
- carnivalcorp.com
Carnival GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Carnival’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 43.2, in the Distribution zone, down 6 points over five sessions.
43.2Distribution
Down 6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 52 | +1.1% | +5.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 210 | −0.1% | +4.7% | ||
| Neutral | 385 | +0.9% | +0.2% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 49 | −0.2% | +5.0% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CCL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CCL price, zone by zone.Track CCL in Gekko
Is Carnival stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Carnival trades 10.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $28.40, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Carnival shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$28.40
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
10.3% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 23.9% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CCL in Gekko
Carnival insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Carnival, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CCL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CCL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CCL in Gekko
Buybacks
Carnival has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Aug 31, 2026
- $548.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.30%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 7% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bearish flow on Oct 20, $791K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CCL.
1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Carnival earnings: next date and track record
Carnival reports on Dec 18, 2026 (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 18, 2026
43 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.22
- Revenue estimate
- $6.47B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Sep 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- CCL reported record Q3 2026 revenues, yields, and net income of approximately $2 billion, exceeding guidance by $100 million. Yields increased nearly 2.5%, over 1 point above expectations, while unit costs (ex-fuel) beat guidance by 1 point. Customer deposits reached a Q3 record of $7.6 billion, up 7% year-over-year. AI integration and operational efficiencies generated $150 million in improvements since June guidance, offsetting higher fuel costs.
- Guidance
- For full year 2027, CCL is already half booked at record occupancy and pricing levels. Q4 yield expectations were raised on stronger booking momentum. 2028 bookings show higher occupancy and even higher prices year-over-year, with the booking curve at historic forward lengths.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | $1.43 est $1.35 | $8.44B est $8.39B | +10.8% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | $0.41 est $0.35 | $6.66B est $6.69B | −4.2% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | $0.20 est $0.18 | $6.17B est $6.14B | −5.2% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | $0.34 est $0.25 | — | +13.6% |
| Sep 29, 2025 | $1.43 est $1.32 | $8.15B est $8.10B | −5.6% |
| Jun 24, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.25 | $6.33B est $6.21B | +6.0% |
| Mar 21, 2025 | −$0.06 est $0.02 | $5.81B est $5.75B | +1.1% |
| Dec 20, 2024 | $0.14 est $0.07 | $5.94B est $5.94B | +2.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Carnival stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Carnival is $33.49, +6.9% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$33.49consensus 12-month target, +6.9% from the last close
Now $31.32Avg $33.49
Low $28.70High $42
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13 | Tigress Financial | $42 | +34.1% |
| Oct 13 | Bernstein | $28.70 | −8.4% |
| Oct 1 | Freedom Capital Markets | $36 | +14.9% |
| Sep 30 | Mizuho Securities | $38 | +21.3% |
| Sep 30 | Goldman Sachs | $32 | +2.2% |
+5.0%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+6.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Carnival seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Carnival averaged +6.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +6.4% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +5.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +8.2% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, CCL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.1%.
Carnival market cap and key statistics
Carnival’s market cap is $42.11B, with a P/E ratio of 13.2 and revenue of $27.59B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $42.11B
- P/E ratio
- 13.2
- Forward P/E
- 10.8
- EPS, TTM
- $2.27
- Gekko Fair Value
- $28.40
Trading
- Volume
- 29.54M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 20.00M
- 52-week high
- $34.03
- 52-week low
- $21.45
- Shares outstanding
- 1.34B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $27.59B
- Profit margin
- 11.4%
- Return on equity
- 24%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +5.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.46
- Typical daily move
- ±3.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±11.1%
- Dividend yield
- 1.56%
Carnival stock news this week
Coverage of Carnival this week reads positive: 3 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Carnival (CCL) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to KnowZacks Investment Research, Nov 3
- Carnival and Royal Caribbean Climb 5%, Norwegian Cruise Line Rises 4% as Oil Prices Drop24/7 Wall St., Nov 2
- Carnival Corporation (CCL) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance UK, Nov 1
- Norwegian Surges 11% as Earnings Beat Lifts Full-Year Outlook; Royal Caribbean Rises 3%, Carnival Edges Higher24/7 Wall St., Oct 29
- Why Is Carnival (CCL) Up 14.3% Since Last Earnings Report?Zacks Investment Research, Oct 29
- Where Did Carnival Fall Behind Hilton?Trefis, Oct 29
Carnival peers
Carnival’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MARMarriott International | Distribution | 37.0% above |
| ABNBAirbnb | Neutral | 15.8% above |
| RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises | Distribution | 9.3% above |
| HLTHilton Worldwide | Neutral | 31.5% above |
| VIKViking | Neutral | 3.2% below |
| HHyatt Hotels | Neutral | 26.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Carnival stock FAQ
What is Carnival’s market cap?
Carnival’s market cap is $42.11B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $31.32, with 1.34B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.2.
What is the Carnival stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Carnival is $33.49, +6.9% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 17 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Carnival stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Carnival is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $31.32 is 10.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $28.40. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Carnival report earnings next?
Carnival is expected to report on Dec 18, 2026 (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.22 per share on revenue of $6.47B. Carnival beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.1% on average across the report.
What is Carnival’s 52-week high and low?
Carnival’s 52-week high is $34.03 and its 52-week low is $21.45; it closed at $31.32 on Nov 4, 2026, +9.1% over the past year.
Is Carnival stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 3 as headwinds (gekkoindex, fair value and smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Carnival?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Carnival over the last 30 days, with $58K of flagged premium in calls and $733K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Oct 20, 2026 with $791K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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